A trough of low pressure and passing upper level disturbance triggered a round of severe weather that impacted Southern Connecticut.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.
A trough of low pressure and passing upper level disturbance triggered a round of severe weather that impacted Southern Connecticut.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 13, 6:49 PM EST, 53 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service New York NY
749 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
The dangerous heat and humidity will continue into Sunday. A cold
front will slowly approach on Sunday, pass through Sunday night, and
stall to the south from Monday into Tuesday. The front will return
north as a warm front Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, with
weak low pressure trough lingering from later Wednesday into
Thursday. A weak cold front will pass late Thursday night into
Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
***SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE COUNTY UNTIL
1 AM EDT***
***DANGEROUS HEAT AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND***
Bermuda ridging remain strong and actually nudges a bit farther
north into the region tonight into Sunday. Another oppressively warm
and humid night, with lows in the mid to upper 70s for most of
the region, except 80-lower 80s for NYC/NJ metro. Dewpoints hold
in the mid to upper 70s.
Widespread heat indices of 100 to 105 still occurring as of 7 PM,
with 90s across most of Long Island and SE CT.
Isolated tstms across E PA appear associated with subtle mid
level shortwave trough lifting NE across E PA and NJ. This plus
any development farther upstream across central PA will have to
be watched the first half of tonight for severe potential given
relatively high potential instability. Severe tstm watch issued to
cover only Orange County attm; strong activity near RDG looks
like it could arrive there by about 01Z, and storms near IPT
after about 02Z-03Z, with some CAM guidance indicating potential
for any storms to not only impact Orange but also much of the
rest of the lower Hudson Valley into southern CT. Mid level
ridging over the area which has been suppressing most convection
today should shift a little bit east and slowly weaken during this
time, which may give a window of opportunity for this to happen,
so will watch and wait. Threat with any strong storms will be
damaging winds from wet microbursts and frequent cloud to ground
lightning in the. Localized flash flooding possible with any
training/anchored cells.
There is a except a marginally high rip current risk into this
evening at the NYC and Nassau County ocean beaches, and a
moderate risk at the Suffolk County ocean beaches.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Bermuda ridging remain strong and actually nudges a bit farther
north into the region on Sunday. A shearing northern stream
shortwave moving into the Upper Great Lakes Sunday morning will
approach the Eastern Great Lakes by Sunday evening, and then into
Northern New England Sun night. In between, stream of convectively
induced vorts appears to shift from Western PA/NY to Central
PA/NY.
At the surface, cold front over western NY/PA in the morning,
approaches the area late in the day. Ahead of it, a pre-frontal
trough establishes itself over the region.
Despite increased high and mid cloud cover likely filtering
sunshine, WSW flow and deep mixing should support highs well
into the 90s once again, as high as the mid to upper 90s for
coastal plain. Pre-frontal trough placement will be important for
heat index forecast in the mid to late afternoon, as dewpoint
pooling into the mid 70s will likely occur ahead/along the trough,
but possibly mixing out into the upper 60s/lower 70s behind it. In
any case, with rapid heating and mid 70 dewpoints likely in the
morning into early afternoon, think most places in the current
excessive heat warning should reach or slightly exceed 105
degrees, locally up to 110. Heat indices could then drop below 105
from mid afternoon on if drier air works in.
Question on convective coverage on Sunday once again will be the
lack of a clear trigger. Isolated tstm development expected in
vicinity of pre-frontal trough, sea breeze boundaries and
differential heating off hilly terrain in the early afternoon. If
vort stream gets closer to the region in the aft/eve this could
help increase convective development along the pre-frontal
trough, but mitigating factor would be subsidence and higher
heights aloft toward the coastal plain.
Convective mode is expected to be pulse due to high CAPE/weak
shear environment in the morning, but could transition to more
organized and if enough coverage even a line segment or two late
day/evening with increasing unidirectional deep layer westerly
shear. Anything that does develop has the potential to produce
torrential rain, but a 30-35 mph storm motion should limit flash
flood potential. Main conditional threat appears to damaging wind
gusts from wet microbursts or line segment noting the high
equilibrium level, deep moisture, and inverted v in the low levels
on the sounding.
Shower/tstm activity should diminish in the late evening with
increasing CIN, despite approach of weak cold front, as best
forcing remain well N/NW and as pre-frontal trough and theta-E
rich air mass pushes east. Otherwise very warm, and slightly
drier airmass advects in Sunday night in wake of cold front.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Conditions should be less oppressive Mon-Tue in wake of weak
fropa, with somewhat lower max temps in the upper 80s/lower 90s
and dewpoints in upper 60s/lower 70s, with max heat indices 90-95.
A warm front will then approach late Tuesday night into Wednesday,
with chances for thunderstorms, and timing of fropa somewhat
uncertain at least per model guidance. Climatology and model
biases argue for suppression Tuesday night, and then warm fropa
Wednesday morning.
Expect high temps mainly 85-90 Wed-Fri, with high humidity on Wed
and possibly Thu, then drier conditions Fri after a weak cold
frontal passage.
Heat advisory may have to continue for the NYC metro for much of
the upcoming week for 95 degree heat indices.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A weak trough of low pressure approaches from the west tonight,
then moves into the Tri-state Sunday. A cold front approaches
early Sunday evening.
Mainly VFR through the TAF period. For now appears convection will
mainly stay clear of area terminals this evening, however should
pass close enough to KSWF to warrant a VCTS in the TAF there
through 3z. With that said, given very unstable airmass cannot
completely rule out convection at any terminal this evening. As a
result, would not be surprised if a TAF or so had to be amended
for convection this evening.
SSE-SSW flow 10-15kt early becoming SSW-SW at under 10kt
throughout by midnight, with light and variable winds developing
outside of the city terminals. Winds become SW-W 10-15g15-20kt
around midday Sunday.
.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z Monday through Thursday...
.Sunday night-Thursday...Mainly VFR. However, scattered mainly
afternoon and evening SHRA/TSRA each day could result in brief
MVFR or lower conditions.
&&
.MARINE...
Conditions are expected to prevail below advisory criteria across
all waters today, however there will be occasional gusts around
25 KT into this evening for the NY bight and adjacent near shore
waters.
Occasional near shore gusts to 25 kt possible Sunday afternoon.
Seas should remain 3 to 4 ft.
Sub-SCA conditions otherwise will prevail through the rest of the
forecast period.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
With precipitable water remaining generally 2-2.5 inches, any
thunderstorms that develop into this evening will be capable of
producing torrential rainfall. Storm motion should be between
20-25 kt, thus any flash flooding threat would be localized and
tied to training/anchored convection.
On Sunday, any thunderstorms that develop in the aft/eve will be
capable of producing torrential rainfall. Storm motion should be a
faster 30-35 kt, further limiting the flash flooding threat to
training/anchored convection.
Any thunderstorms with a warm frontal approach and passage late
Tuesday night into Wednesday, may be capable of producing
torrential rainfall with rainfall rates 1-2 inches per hour and
localized flash flooding.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Heat Advisory until 10 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ012.
Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ005>011.
NY...Heat Advisory until 10 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ079-081.
Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ067>075-
078-080-176>179.
High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075-
178.
NJ...Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT Sunday for NJZ002-004-
006-103>108.
MARINE...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...NV
NEAR TERM...Goodman/NV
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...NV
AVIATION...Maloit
MARINE...NV
HYDROLOGY...NVHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 CTZ005>011-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ068>074-078-176-177-142230- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON- WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX- WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU- 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON SUNDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. NYZ067-142230- ORANGE- 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON SUNDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. CTZ012-NYZ079-142230- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON SUNDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. NYZ080-179-142230- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON SUNDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES ON SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. NYZ081-142230- SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HEAT ADVISORY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON SUNDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES ON SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. NYZ075-178-142230- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS- 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON SUNDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES ON SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-142230- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 619 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 34 KT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 34 KT ON SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
308 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016
NYZ067-132000-
ORANGE-
308 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY...
AT 307 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
FROM NEAR OTISVILLE TO UNIONVILLE. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 20 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.
THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
MIDDLETOWN AROUND 325 PM EDT.
WARWICK...GOSHEN AND FLORIDA AROUND 340 PM EDT.
CHESTER AROUND 350 PM EDT.
WALDEN AROUND 400 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SCOTCHTOWN AND
MAYBROOK.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 4143 7458 4153 7416 4116 7425 4116 7428
4132 7462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1907Z 253DEG 18KT 4139 7454 4129 7457
GOODMANSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 756 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 NYZ067>070-140045- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-ROCKLAND-PUTNAM-ORANGE- 756 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ROCKLAND...WESTERN PUTNAM... NORTHERN WESTCHESTER AND SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTIES... AT 755 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GREENWOOD LAKE...OR NEAR MONROE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR... HARRIMAN AROUND 810 PM EDT. WEST POINT AROUND 830 PM EDT. PEEKSKILL AROUND 835 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE CENTRAL VALLEY...TUXEDO PARK...BUCHANAN...HIGHLAND FALLS...PUTNAM VALLEY...STONY POINT AND FORT MONTGOMERY. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK. LAT...LON 4119 7426 4128 7428 4143 7388 4123 7379 TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 254DEG 23KT 4124 7423 GOODMAN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
820 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016
CTZ009-NJZ104-NYZ070-071-073-140100-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-EASTERN BERGEN-BRONX-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER-
820 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTCHESTER...SOUTHWESTERN
FAIRFIELD...NORTHEAST BERGEN...AND BRONX COUNTIES...
AT 818 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HAD DEVELOPED OVER
THE AREA. THE STRONGEST OF THESE STORMS WAS LOCATED OVER
SCARSDALE...OR NEAR WHITE PLAINS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
THIS STRONGEST STORM WILL BE NEAR...
WHITE PLAINS AROUND 825 PM EDT.
RYE...HARRISON AND HAWTHORNE AROUND 830 PM EDT.
PORT CHESTER AROUND 835 PM EDT.
GREENWICH AROUND 855 PM EDT.
STAMFORD...NORWALK...NEW CANAAN...DARIEN AND BEDFORD AROUND 900 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE
ROCKLEIGH...HAWORTH... HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON...TUCKAHOE...RYE
BROOK...MOUNT VERNON...THORNWOOD...NEW MILFORD...ELMSFORD AND ARMONK.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 4082 7393 4088 7391 4088 7393 4084 7396
4094 7407 4102 7395 4100 7389 4106 7389
4129 7356 4121 7348 4116 7347 4116 7343
4108 7336 4102 7355 4099 7357 4100 7361
4099 7360 4091 7375 4087 7376 4079 7390
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 234DEG 19KT 4100 7381
GOODMANThe Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:40 UTC.
9 thunderstorm wind, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
A utility pole was reported down on Granite Drive between Wilton and Westport.
Numerous trees were reported down throughout Greenwich.
A couple of trees were reported down around town in Old Greenwich.
A couple of trees were reported down across the town of Stamford.
Numerous trees and wires were reported down throughout the town of Danbury.
A large tree limb was reported down on a house on Witch Lane just southeast of Westport.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of North Road and the North Road Extension along I-91 between Berlin and Cromwell.
A tree was reported down near the intersection of Geer Street and Watrous Park Road northwest of Cromwell.
Trees were reported down in the vicinity of Old Canterbury Turnpike and I-395.
A 14 year old was reported to be struck by lightning at the Sunfox Campground southwest of Lisbon.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Connecticut in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Connecticut, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 657486, 657490, 657509, 657495, 657513, 657519, 657541, 657542, 657545, 657482.