California, 2016

Drought in California, June 1 to 30, 2016

June 1 to 30, 2016 · NWS STO · 6 events in 6 counties and zones

Long term drought impacts continued through the month of June, though the largest of the reservoirs in northern interior California were at or near normal levels due to a significant mountain snow pack melting. Very warm weather caused the snow to melt and run off earlier than expected, though.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

Long term drought impacts continued through the month of June, though the largest of the reservoirs in northern interior California were at or near normal levels due to a significant mountain snow pack melting. Very warm weather caused the snow to melt and run off earlier than expected, though. The California Department of Water Resources revised its water supply estimate downward and predicted just 71% of the normal runoff during the months of heaviest snowmelt, reducing the water rivers and reservoirs usually receive. Lake Shasta was 107% of normal by the end of the month, Lake Oroville was 102%, Folsom Lake was 88%, and Don Pedro was 97%. New Melones continued to lag behind the other significant area reservoirs and was only 41% of normal. On April 21st, the Department of Water Resources increased water delivery projections to the State Water Project to 60%, up from the 45% estimate in late March.

The U.S. Drought Monitor showed no change from May for the area, with severe drought across the southern Sacramento Valley; the northern and central Sacramento Valley and the northern Sierra in moderate drought, while Shasta County was abnormally dry. The remainder of the Central and northern portion of the Southern Sierra Nevada mountain areas remained in the severe to extreme drought. There remained extreme drought in the Sierra south of Highway 50.

Groundwater aquifers recharged much more slowly than the surface reservoirs, with many in the Central Valley still falling toward record levels. Growers in the San Joaquin Valley continue to turn to groundwater with reduced surface water allocations. This heavy reliance on groundwater has resulted in declining water levels.

Governor Jerry Brown declared a drought emergency for the entire state of California January 17, 2014 and this continued to be in effect. Governor Brown issued an executive order on May 9, 2016 that built on temporary statewide emergency water restrictions to establish longer-term water conservation measures, including permanent monthly water use reporting, new permanent water use standards in California communities and banned clearly wasteful practices such as hosing off sidewalks, driveways and other hardscapes.

The local Emergency Proclamation for Butte County was removed in June. Local Emergency proclamations remain for Colusa, Calaveras, El Dorado, Glenn, Plumas, San Joaquin, Shasta, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tuolumne, and Yuba counties. The cities of Live Oak (Sutter County), Lodi (San Joaquin County), Manteca (San Joaquin County), Portola (Plumas County), Ripon (San Joaquin County), and West Sacramento (Yolo County). Drought task forces remain in Lake, Nevada, Placer, Plumas, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, Tuolumne, and Yolo counties to coordinate response to the drought.

Mandatory water reductions of 25% as ordered by Governor Brown were suspended in May due to the improved reservoir levels, with voluntary reductions requested. The State Water Board announced on June 6th that water conservation was strong in April with residents statewide reducing water use by 26.1% over the same month in 2013. In contrast, water conservation fell to 21.5% savings for the month of June 2016, down from 27.5% in June 2015.

The state continued to supply food assistance to those impacted by the drought, along with California Disaster Assistance Act money for those who have lost drinking water due to dry wells. Nonprofit organizations in the San Joaquin Valley struggled to meet the needs of their clients for drought-related programs.

Tree mortality from drought and resulting bark beetle infestation continued to increase both in scale and intensity, especially in low elevation pine and oak woodlands along the Sierra Nevada Range. A US Forest Service- Forest Health Protection aerial survey showed tree mortality was especially high in the Stanislaus National Forest southward, though pockets of tree mortality were present as far north as eastern Shasta County. Tree mortality from the recent years of drought has been estimated at 66 million trees across California.

Drought conditions are blamed for an increase in blue-green algae across Northern California lakes. These algae can produce cyanotoxins, which in high enough concentrations can potentially cause allergic reactions, skin irritation, fever, diarrhea, vomiting, joint pain, liver damage and even cancer.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 8:33 PM PST, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 8:33 PM PST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
933 PM PDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Very warm weather expected this week as high pressure strengthens.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The high pressure ridge shifts a little to the southeast on
Wednesday. This will flatten the ridge a little over the northern
areas and may bring some slight synoptic cooling along with some
high clouds over the northern areas during the day. This might be
enough to keep temperatures a little below record highs. The models
are indicating the possibility of some showers or isolated
thunderstorms just to the north and northwest of Shasta County
late in the day.

Further south the shift should allow for a little better
influence coming through the delta all day and stronger flow up
the Sacramento valley. 850 mb temperatures cool slightly so only
minor synoptic cooling is expected for some of the well inland
areas. The Sacramento area might top out in the upper 90s due to
the stronger flow through the delta and the slight synoptic
cooling.

On Thursday weaker airflow over the interior with a continued
very warm airmass over the area should have many temperatures
back up around 100 again.

An upper level low forming well off the coast the next couple of
days will move close enough to the coast to enhance the ridge over
the region and warm temperatures up slightly warmer than todays
highs. Winds within the valley will be from the northwest during
the day and there will be no delta influence. This will help to
increase temperatures over todays highs.

&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Saturday THROUGH Tuesday)

Models shift strong upper ridge into the Great Basin Saturday as
upper low approaches the SoCal coast. Some instability depicted
over the Sierra Nevada Saturday to support a slight chance of
afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Low is forecast to track across
California Sunday into Monday but models differ with exact track
and how quickly it progresses through. Thus forecast confidence
decreases during this period but pattern suggests at least a
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms for Interior NorCal.
Models then point to a drier southwesterly flow regime for
Tuesday. Cooling expected through the extended forecast period
with Central valley highs lowering to the upper 80s to lower 90s
by Tuesday.
&&

.AVIATION...

Upr high ovr NorCal with acyc flow alf bcmg SWly Wed as high
movs E into Grt Basin. VFR conds ovr Intr NorCal nxt 24 hrs with
sfc wnds genly lgt exc lcl SWly gsts to 25 kts poss thru Delta
aftns into eve. In Cntrl Vly, aftn density altitudes gtr than
2500 ft.

&&

.STO Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

Event by event

6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northern Sacramento Valley

When
June 1, 12:00 AM PST to June 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Northern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Reported by
State Official

The Household Water Supply Shortage Reporting System indicated there were still some homes without well water due to dry wells, with 3 in Shasta County, unchanged from May. Tehama County was 34, also unchanged from May.

Drought, Central Sacramento Valley

When
June 1, 12:00 AM PST to June 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Central Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Reported by
State Official

The Household Water Supply Shortage Reporting System indicated there were some homes without well water due to dry wells with 25 in Glenn County, unchanged from May. Colusa County had 4, also unchanged. Butte County had 1 dry well, up from 0 wells in May.

Drought, Southern Sacramento Valley

When
June 1, 12:00 AM PST to June 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Southern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Reported by
State Official

The Household Water Supply Shortage Reporting System indicated there were some homes without well water due to dry wells, with 1 in Yolo County and 1 in Sacramento County, unchanged from May.

Drought, Carquinez Strait and Delta

When
June 1, 12:00 AM PST to June 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Carquinez Strait and Delta forecast zone
Reported by
State Official

The Household Water Supply Shortage Reporting System had 1 home without well water in Solano County, unchanged from May.

Drought, Northern San Joaquin Valley

When
June 1, 12:00 AM PST to June 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Northern San Joaquin Valley forecast zone
Reported by
State Official

The Household Water Supply Shortage Reporting System indicated there were some homes without well water due to dry wells, with 228 in Stanislaus County and 10 in San Joaquin County, both unchanged since May. However, many communities in the Northern San Joaquin valley were still receiving food assistance as a direct result of the drought.

Drought, Motherlode/Camptonville to Groveland

When
June 1, 12:00 AM PST to June 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Motherlode/Camptonville to Groveland forecast zone
Reported by
State Official

The Household Water Supply Shortage Reporting System had Calaveras County with 1 household, Tuolumne County had 238 households, unchanged from May.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in California, June 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 647038, 647039, 647040, 647041, 647042, 647043.