Flooding continued from the heavy rains at the end of February.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Flooding continued from the heavy rains at the end of February.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 29, 11:24 PM CST, 36 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1124 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016 .AVIATION... A STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY ADVANCE FROM THE WEST...SPREADING MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PROGRESS EAST...EXITING THE STATE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INITIALLY WITH MVFR TO OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST WITH THE SYSTEMS PASSAGE. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 857 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016/ DISCUSSION... LATEST MODEL RUNS ALONG WITH RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SLOWER TREND IN THE ONSET OF THE PRECIPITATION FOR THE FORECAST AREA. CONVECTION NOW GETTING FIRED UP IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA WITH THE STORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THEY MOVE INTO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. IT APPEARS MOST OF THE INSTABILITY WILL BE ELEVATED WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY CONCERN ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. ALL UPDATES OUT. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 557 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016/ AVIATION... STORM SYSTEM ADVANCING FROM THE WEST WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PROGRESS EAST...EXITING THE STATE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INITIALLY WITH MVFR TO OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST WITH THE SYSTEMS PASSAGE. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 254 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016/ SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY FORECAST CHALLENGE DURING THIS PERIOD IS TIMING...AND DETERMINATION OF CONVECTIVE MODE FOR EXPECTED EVENT DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. CAM TYPE MODELS CONTINUE TO POINT TOWARDS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BETWEEN 05-09Z...THEN WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA. AT THIS TIME...FORECAST SHEAR AND INSTABILTY PROFILES SUPPORT STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FOCUSED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...MOST OF WHICH WILL BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH THE EXTENDED TERM...WITH A NWLY FLOW ALOFT DOMINATING THROUGH MUCH OF THE TIME FRAME. NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE TAKING AIM AT THE AREA MIDWEEK...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. IT IS SOMEWHAT QUESTIONABLE HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL BE ABLE TO SURGE BACK INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM...SO I WENT MORE WITH SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH AND KEPT THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY IN THE SOUTH. YET ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BE TAKING AIM AT THE AREA IN THE MONDAY TO TUESDAY TIMEFRAME...AND THE MODELS ARE HAVING A BIT MORE DIFFICULTY HANDLING THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM INVOLVES A LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SWRN US AND MOVING ACROSS TEXAS AND UP TOWARD THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS SYSTEM AS ITS QUITE VIGOROUS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 54 61 33 56 / 70 80 10 0 CAMDEN AR 58 70 37 64 / 50 70 10 0 HARRISON AR 51 54 32 57 / 70 70 0 0 HOT SPRINGS AR 58 67 36 60 / 60 70 10 0 LITTLE ROCK AR 57 67 37 59 / 70 80 10 0 MONTICELLO AR 59 69 38 61 / 50 70 10 0 MOUNT IDA AR 57 64 35 61 / 70 70 10 0 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 52 58 31 56 / 70 70 10 0 NEWPORT AR 52 62 33 54 / 70 80 10 0 PINE BLUFF AR 57 67 37 58 / 60 80 10 0 RUSSELLVILLE AR 54 63 34 60 / 70 80 10 0 SEARCY AR 53 65 33 56 / 70 80 10 0 STUTTGART AR 56 66 36 56 / 70 80 10 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && AVIATION...65
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 550 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011100- BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD- INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY- FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND- SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT- JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN- BRADLEY-DREW- 550 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY STRONG AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS ARKANSAS. THE PRIMARY THREAT AT THIS TIME WOULD APPEAR TO BE LARGE HAIL. DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...AND A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND THE RISK WILL INCREASE TO A SLIGHT RISK DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY AFFECT THE NORTHWESTERN QUARTER OF THE STATE BEFORE DAWN...AND WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS AROUND OR SLIGHTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. BY MID MORNING THE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE STATE. IT WILL BE IMPORTANT TO REMAIN WEATHER AWARE DURING THE DAY AS THIS IS NOT THE TYPICAL TIME THE PEOPLE OF ARKANSAS USUALLY SEE THE MAJORITY OF SEVERE WEATHER. THE CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION COULD BE NEEDED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 53/56
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flooding was reported at Patterson on the Cache River.
Flooding continued from February into March at Augusta on the White River.
Flooding continued from February into March at Clarendon on the White River.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, March 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 625798, 625799, 625800.