Arizona, 2016

Flash Flooding and Heavy Rain in Arizona, January 4 to 8, 2016

January 4 to 8, 2016 · NWS VEF · 6 events in 3 counties and zones

A series of three Pacific storms impacted the desert Southwest, bringing periods of heavy rain, heavy snow, and locally dense fog.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
1
Property damage
$4,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS VEF wrote it up.

A series of three Pacific storms impacted the desert Southwest, bringing periods of heavy rain, heavy snow, and locally dense fog.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 4, 3:34 PM MST, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 4, 3:34 PM MST, 1 hour 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
234 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF PACIFIC STORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION
TONIGHT AFTER BRINGING LIGHT RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW MAINLY TO AREAS
FROM LAS VEGAS EAST. TWO SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH WETTER AND BRING WIDESPREAD
VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW. HEAVY SNOW AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL IS
EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE FIRST IN A LONG SERIES OF WAVES IS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY...WITH THE BRUNT OF THE ENERGY LOCATED BETWEEN YUMA AND
PHOENIX. HOWEVER...THIS WAVE DID TRIGGER FAIRLY WIDESPREAD LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS TODAY...MAINLY OVER AREAS EAST OF A TWENTYNINE PALMS-
PAHRUMP-RACHEL LINE. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AND SHIFT EAST INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA AS THE WAVE CONTINUES ITS TRACK
TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BRIEF BREAK
OVERNIGHT BEFORE A MUCH MORE POTENT AND MOISTURE-RICH SYSTEM SYSTEM
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

THIS SECOND SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WERE INCREASED
JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE AS CONFIDENCE IN THE COVERAGE AND TIMING
CONTINUES TO INCREASE. SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW LEVELS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5000-6000 FEET. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING ABOVE 5500 FEET FOR THE
SIERRA...WHITE MOUNTAINS...SPRING MOUNTAINS...AND SHEEP RANGE.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED FOR THE REMAINING AREAS
PREVIOUSLY COVERED BY THE WATCH. MEANWHILE...MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS
SHOULD EXPECT AT LEAST 0.25-0.60 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE MOUNTAINS...MOST OF WHICH WILL FALL IN A 6
HOUR PERIOD AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME MINOR
FLOODING IN AREAS THAT SEE PROLONGED MODERATE RAIN OR HEAVIER SHOWER
ACTIVITY. A FEW ISOLATED HEAVY SHOWERS...OR EVEN A THUNDERSTORM WILL
BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO AND SOUTHERN MOHAVE
COUNTIES LATE TUESDAY...AND A MENTION OF THUNDER WAS ADDED INTO THE
FORECAST THERE. PRECIPITATION SHOULD GENERALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THOUGH MONDAY.

VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD AS A SERIES OF PACIFIC STORM SYSTEMS PROGRESS THROUGH THE
REGION. THE PERIOD WILL START OFF WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A
PROGRESSIVE (AND QUITE BRIEF) SHORTWAVE RIDGE PUSHING INTO THE AREA
ALLOWING FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF DRYING WEDNESDAY MORNING BETWEEN
STORM SYSTEMS. THE BREAK WILL NOT LAST HOWEVER AS INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES WILL MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN AREAS BY LATE IN THE DAY IN
ADVANCE OF A ROBUST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE PACIFIC COAST. SNOW
LEVELS WILL BE GRADUALLY DROPPING THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD...STARTING OFF AROUND 4500-5000 FEET WEDNESDAY AND FALLING TO
BETWEEN 3500-4000 FEET BY THURSDAY. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ON THE LIGHT SIDE...BETWEEN A TENTH AN A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OR RAINFALL...HOWEVER MOHAVE COUNTY AND THE
SIERRA STAND A GOOD CHANCE TO SEE CONSIDERABLY MORE THAN THAT. I
HAVE HIGH ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO GO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE
SIERRA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING WHERE SNOW AMOUNTS EXCEEDING
8 INCHES ARE LOOKING LIKELY. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MOHAVE COUNTY AS
WELL...ABOVE 4500 FEET...BUT MODEL CONSENSUS IS POOR ON THE EXACT
TIMING AND AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION AND MY CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH
ENOUGH AT THIS POINT TO GO WITH ANY WATCHES. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE SPRING MOUNTAINS.

THE MAIN TAKE AWAY WITH THE WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY STORM IS THAT ANOTHER
ROUND OF WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW EXPECTED
ABOUT THE 4500 FOOT LEVEL. SOME ELEVATIONS DOWN TO 3500 FEET MAY
EVEN SEE LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW THURSDAY MORNING INCLUDING THE
SPRING MOUNTAINS AND UPPER REACHES OF RED ROCK CANYON. BE ADVISED OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING OR PLANNING RECREATION IN
THESE AREAS.

FRIDAY...LEAST CONFIDENCE EXISTS WITH THE FORECAST AS THE GFS DRAGS
A SLUG OF MOISTURE UP INTO OUR SOUTHERN ZONES WHILE MOST OF THE
OTHER MODELS RETAIN A DRIER AND MORE SHOWERY OUTLOOK. MAINTAINED LOW
POPS FOR THIS TIME FRAME BUT IT BEARS WATCHING. SATURDAY LOOKS LIKE
THE MOST LIKELY DRY DAY OF THE WEEK AHEAD AS RIDGING TRIES TO BUILD
INTO THE WEST COAST AND THE TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR UNSETTLED WEATHER
LATE IN THE WEEK MOVES EASTWARD. ANOTHER POSSIBLE STORM SYSTEM MAY
MOVE IN ON SUNDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS FAR OUT JUNCTURE.

LONG STORY SHORT...KEEP THE UMBRELLAS AND/OR SNOW SHOVELS HANDY FOR
THIS STORMY WEEK AHEAD.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LIGHT AND MOSTLY VARIABLE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. CONSIDERABLE CLOUD
COVER AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
WITH CIGS 5-7K FEET. CIGS & PRECIPITATION CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO
IMPROVE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT BEFORE DETERIORATING AGAIN EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. CIGS TUESDAY MAY DROP TO BELOW 2-4K FEET (BRIEF
PERIODS OF LOWER CIGS POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY)...WITH RAIN
SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING. A SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING ALONG WITH
INCREASED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WHICH SHOULD EVENTUALLY TURN TO THE
SOUTHWEST DURING THE EVENING. ANOTHER BREAK IN THE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SERIES OF STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA. MOUNTAINS OBSCURATIONS...MECHANICAL TURBULENCE...AND ICING
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUES FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SHOWER ACTIVITY FROM LAS VEGAS EAST CONTINUES THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. CIGS HAVE GENERALLY
RANGED FROM 4-7K FEET AND MAY BRIEFLY IMPROVE OVERNIGHT. MAINLY
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH THIS PERIOD...EXCEPT ENHANCED
SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR KBIH. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
RAIN...MOUNTAIN SNOW...AND LOWER CIGS (GENERALLY 2-4K FEET...BUT
BRIEF PERIODS OF LOWER CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE) FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE ALSO
LIKELY TO INCREASE BY MID-DAY TUESDAY. ANOTHER BREAK IN THE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SERIES OF STORMS MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA. MOUNTAINS OBSCURATIONS...MECHANICAL TURBULENCE...AND ICING
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUES FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...WHILE SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT
EXPECTED...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
RAIN...SNOW...OR OTHER WEATHER-RELATED IMPACTS.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM.............OUTLER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

The radar

The Las Vegas radar (KESX), 70 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:03 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood, 1 heavy rain, 1 dense fog, 1 funnel cloud, 1 freezing fog. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Mohave

When
January 4, 5:00 PM MST to 6:00 PM MST
Where
Mohave County, 8.93 mi ENE of Bullhead City Arpt
Injuries
0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
35.212, -114.400

A car crash on Highway 68 near mile marker 11 at 1738 MST during a rain storm injured one person (indirect).

Dense Fog, Lake Mead National Recreation Area

When
January 5, 7:48 AM MST to 8:00 AM MST
Where
Lake Mead National Recreation Area forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Dense fog briefly reduced visibility to near zero in Bullhead City.

Flash Flood, Mohave

When
January 6, 11:00 PM MST to January 7, 12:00 AM MST
Where
Mohave County, 4.74 mi SSW of Golden Valley to 4.53 mi SSW of Golden Valley
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.155, -114.248

Portions of Teddy Roosevelt Road and Shinarump Drive were closed due to flooding.

Flash Flood, Mohave

When
January 7, 4:00 AM MST to 6:00 AM MST
Where
Mohave County, 0.98 mi ESE of Willow Beach to 3.45 mi SE of Willow Beach
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
35.864, -114.654

Willow Beach Road was closed due to significant debris on the road.

Funnel Cloud, Mohave

When
January 7, 1:46 PM MST to 1:50 PM MST
Where
Mohave County, 7.03 mi E of Yucca
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
34.865, -114.026

A weak funnel cloud was photographed near Boriana Mine Road east of Yucca.

Freezing Fog, Northwest Plateau

When
January 8, 8:15 AM MST to 9:15 AM MST
Where
Northwest Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
35.704, -113.758 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Freezing fog reduced visibility to 1/4 mile at Colorado City Airport.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
Dense Fog
Fog reducing visibility to a quarter mile or less, filed where it caused accidents or disruption.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Funnel Cloud
A rotating column of cloud extending from a thunderstorm that did not reach the ground.
Freezing Fog
Fog that froze on contact with roads, vehicles or structures.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, January 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 611577, 611578, 611579, 611580, 611581, 611582.