After nearly fourteen to eighteen inches of rainfall during the month of October, hazardous high water conditions continued through November 4th for eastern Willacy County, where high water remained on roadways, across agricultural fields, and in and around residences and businesses.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.
After nearly fourteen to eighteen inches of rainfall during the month of October, hazardous high water conditions continued through November 4th for eastern Willacy County, where high water remained on roadways, across agricultural fields, and in and around residences and businesses.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:38 PM CST, 22 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1238 AM CDT SUN NOV 1 2015
.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
&&
.AVIATION...A BAND OF LIGHT SPRINKLE/RAIN IS MOVING FROM THE SW TO
NE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE ACTIVITY
WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS THE THREE TERMINAL SITES IN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AS THIS BAND MOVES TOWARDS THE GULF WATERS. FEW GUSTS UP
TO 20 KNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH CLOUD DECK REMAINING
ABOVE 7000 FEET. SUNDAY...NW FLOW WILL PREVAIL WITH ABUNDANT DRY
AIR MASS FILTERING INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES WITH NW WINDS UP TO 15 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1101 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015/
DISCUSSION...MADE A FEW TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST OVERNIGHT.
FIRST...BAND OF LIGHT RAIN IS LIKELY MAKING IT TO THE GROUND BASED
ON REPORTS FROM OBSERVERS IN STARR COUNTY...AND RADAR INDICATING
40 TO 50 DBZ POCKETS FROM BROOKS THROUGH STARR/JIM HOGG. WITH
UNCERTAINTY ON HOW MUCH WILL MEASURE...DECIDED TO MATCH THE WFO
CORPUS IDEA OF 'WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES' TO COVER THE IDEA
OF RAIN WITHOUT MAKING FOLKS THINK A WASHOUT IS COMING...AND
UPDATED ZONES TO WORD AS "MEASURABLE" RAIN CHANCES AT 20 PERCENT.
WHATEVER FALLS SHOULD HAVE ONLY A MINOR/NUISANCE IMPACT ON THE
LATE NIGHT HALLOWEEN ACTIVITIES.
OTHERWISE...RAMPED UP THE WINDS A HAIR IN ALL AREAS AS STEADY 10
TO 15 MPH...15 TO 20 MPH NEAR THE COAST WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL
COVER IT.
BEYOND THIS...QUICK CLEARING ARRIVES TOWARD DAYBREAK FROM WEST TO
EAST AND SUNDAY LOOKS STUPENDOUS!
MARINE...WITH VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE AND DECENT DRY AIR
ADVECTION...AS WELL AS REASONABLE COOL AIR ADVECTION...AND THAT
BUOY 20 HAS JUMPED TO 19 GUST 23 KNOTS WITH THE PUNCH OF UPPER
ENERGY YET TO ARRIVE...DECIDED TO JUMP THE GUN AND HOIST A SHORT
FUSED (8 HOUR) ADVISORY FOR THE OVERNIGHT IN THE GULF. SEAS MAY
ALSO POKE 7 FEET AGAIN ESPECIALLY OFFSHORE...SO BROAD BRUSHED
ADVISORY TO COVER BOTH EFFECTS.
CONDITIONS SHOULD QUICKLY SETTLE BACK TO CAUTION LEVELS THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING BUT MAY CONTINUE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...SO WHILE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER BY DAYBREAK EARLY FISHING/BOATING MIGHT
BE A ROUGH GO FOR SOME. MUCH BETTER CONDITIONS BY MONDAY MORNING.
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-
175.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
GMZ150-155-170-175.
&&
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV
67/61HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 447 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015 TXZ248>257-011100- ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY- INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON- 447 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EARLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING...AREAS OF GROUND FOG MAY DEVELOP ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS OR OPEN FIELDS PARTICULARLY WHERE THE GROUND HAS BEEN SATURATED BY RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL. VISIBILITY MAY BE SHARPLY REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO WHERE FOG IS THICKEST...TYPICALLY IN NORMALLY COOLER LOCATIONS. WEDNESDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF DOWNPOURS...AND GUSTY WINDS TO 25 MPH OR HIGHER WOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-011100- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 447 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT CONTINUED HIGH SEAS AND SWELL BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT...BUT REMAIN DANGEROUS FOR SMALL CRAFT OR SIMILAR VESSELS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...BRIEF DOWNPOURS...AND GUSTY WINDS TO 25 KNOTS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. 52/BSG
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Hazardous high water conditions from heavy rainfall in October continued for eastern Willacy County, where high water remained on roadways, across agricultural fields, and in and around residences and businesses.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 605991.