A cold front moved into the tri-state area with heavy rainfall and some severe weather. In northwest Florida, an EF1 tornado touched down in Washington county with other straight line wind damage in Jackson county.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
A cold front moved into the tri-state area with heavy rainfall and some severe weather. In northwest Florida, an EF1 tornado touched down in Washington county with other straight line wind damage in Jackson county. In addition, some flooding occurred in Walton county with over 6 inches of rain measured.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 1, 3:41 PM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
441 PM EST SUN NOV 1 2015
.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
Water vapor imagery shows the upper level low spinning near the
Dallas/Fort Worth area early this afternoon. A deep plume of
moisture was feeding northward from the southern Gulf to the central
Gulf coast region. At the surface, a broad area of low pressure was
analyzed south of the Louisiana coast with a southward trailing
cold front and NEWD extending warm front through central Georgia.
As the upper low moves east and the surface low lifts NE into
southern Alabama tonight, widespread showers with isolated
thunderstorms will overspread our CWA with the heaviest and most
concentrated area of convection generally along and west of the
river through daybreak. Widespread 1 to 2 inch rain amounts have
already fallen over portions of the Florida Panhandle and southeast
corner of Alabama earlier today with a few locations receiving 2 to
3 inches. We believe that this area could see another 1 to 3 inches
of rain in the next 24 hours so a Flash Flood Watch will be in
effect for the afternoon package. The eastern zones will see amounts
generally in the 1 to 2 inch range but will be monitored closely. In
addition to the heavy rain potential, there is a slight risk for
severe thunderstorms mainly for our Florida Panhandle and SE Alabama
zones. The greatest threat will be damaging winds but an isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out. With the strong warm air advection
ahead of the front, min temps will be well above seasonal levels in
the lower 70s.
.Short Term [Monday Through Tuesday Night]...
The surface low will continue pushing northeastward from southern
Alabama Monday morning towards the NC-VA coastline through Tuesday
morning, with a northeast-southwest oriented front trailing the low.
Deep layer flow will be from the southwest, keeping moisture
plentiful Monday and Monday night with PW values around 2". Such
rich moisture will mean that heavy rain is possible tomorrow.
Instability will be a limiting factor once again, but we should
continue to advect in a less stable air mass from over the water
ahead of the front, which could help MLCAPE to peak in the 1000-1500
J/kg range. Models are showing 0-6 km shear around 40-50 kts Monday
morning over the western portions of our area, so there will still
be a threat for damaging wind gusts with storms tomorrow.
Additionally, a low level jet will stretch along the front centered
roughly from Destin, FL to Macon, GA, increasing the 0-1 km shear to
around 30 kts along/near this line. With this amount of low level
wind shear, a few isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out,
particularly north and west of a line from Panama City to Albany.
The northeastward motion of the storm system will begin to push the
strongest storms north of our area Monday evening. The threat of
heavy rain, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes will be highest
Monday morning, tapering off into the afternoon and evening hours.
By Tuesday, only our south central Georgia and eastern Florida Big
Bend counties will even have a 20% chance of rain. Highs will be in
the upper 70s-mid 80s and lows will be mostly in the upper 50s-upper
60s.
.Long Term [Wednesday Through Sunday]...
After the frontal system pulls off to the northeast, we will see
drier conditions, but will stay abnormally warm for November. Highs
will be in the low-mid 80s and lows will be in the 60s. Another
frontal system will skirt towards the area as we head into the
weekend, increasing rain chances to 20-30% towards the end of the
period, which may bring some cooler conditions early next week.
&&
.Aviation...
[Through 18Z Monday] Another round of showers and thunderstorms will
approach from the west this afternoon, with highest chances of rain
at ECP and DHN this evening. Expect IFR conditions at all terminals
early morning due to fog and thunderstorms.
&&
.Marine...
As a frontal system lifts northeastward through our area, winds
from the south will increase to around 20 kts overnight over the
western waters. Though the large-scale winds will lower to 15-20
kts Monday morning, seas will still occasionally be up to 8 ft
through around 10 AM ET, so small craft advisory is in effect
through mid-morning Monday. Additionally, winds and seas will be
locally higher during stronger storms. Winds will become lighter
and more easterly by Tuesday ahead of another approaching frontal
system.
&&
.Fire Weather...
With wet conditions expected through Monday, no fire weather issues
are anticipated.
&&
.Hydrology...
About 1-3" of rain has fallen over zones north and west of a line
from Panama City, FL to Albany, GA, with a few isolated areas
seeing closer to 4". The highest rainfall totals are expected to
stay northwest of our area, but an additional 1-2" is forecast for
the area, with isolated areas receiving closer to 2-4" more. A
flash flood watch is in effect through Monday afternoon west of
the Chattahoochee and Apalachicola rivers. In terms of river
flooding, a few sites along and west of the Chattahoochee and
Apalachicola rivers may rise to action stage, but no widespread
river flooding is forecast.
&&
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Tallahassee 71 85 65 83 66 / 20 70 20 20 10
Panama City 73 80 64 79 67 / 50 80 10 10 10
Dothan 72 79 59 79 62 / 80 90 10 10 10
Albany 72 83 62 80 64 / 50 80 30 10 20
Valdosta 71 88 69 85 66 / 20 60 20 20 20
Cross City 71 86 70 85 68 / 20 30 20 20 10
Apalachicola 75 80 66 79 68 / 30 70 10 10 10
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flash Flood Watch through Monday afternoon FOR Calhoun-Central
Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland
Gulf-Jackson-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.
High Rip Current Risk until 3 AM EST /2 AM CST/ Monday FOR
Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.
GA...NONE.
AL...Flash Flood Watch through Monday afternoon FOR Coffee-Dale-
Geneva-Henry-Houston.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday FOR Coastal waters
from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from
Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.
&&
NEAR TERM...BARRY
SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...WESTON
MARINE...MOORE
FIRE WEATHER...CAMP
HYDROLOGY...MOOREPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
441 PM EST SUN NOV 01 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW CAIRO 30.91N 84.23W
11/01/2015 GRADY GA 911 CALL CENTER
TREES DOWN
&&
MCDERMOTPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
442 PM EST SUN NOV 01 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0345 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW CAIRO 30.91N 84.23W
11/01/2015 GRADY GA 911 CALL CENTER
TREES DOWN
&&
MCDERMOTPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
443 PM EST SUN NOV 01 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW CAIRO 30.91N 84.23W
11/01/2015 GRADY GA 911 CALL CENTER
TREES DOWN
&&
MCDERMOTThe Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 46 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:02 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind, 3 flood, 2 flash flood, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
Six to twelve inches of water was flowing over the road at Highway 2 in the Caney Creek area. This also contributed to a car accident according to the Walton County Sheriff's facebook page.
A long duration of moderate to heavy rainfall resulted in flooding along West Indian Creek Ranch Road. The West Indian Creek Ranch Road bridge was underwater and the road was closed.
Sherwood Road at Red Hill Road was closed due to flooding from a long duration of moderate to heavy rainfall.
Raley Road at Dr Nelson Road was closed due to flooding from a long duration of moderate to heavy rainfall.
The road was washed out at Harrison Road and Brown Road. Damage was estimated.
A large tree blew down on Highway 79 between Bonifay and Vernon.
The tornado touched down around Deltona Blvd and Peak Drive, downing a tree and a power line. It tracked northeast to near Washington Blvd and Syfrett Road where the most significant damage occurred. At this location, a tree was uprooted, a portion of a metal roof on a barn was torn off, a garage door was ripped off and caused a hole in the roof of a house, and a greenhouse was destroyed. The tornado continued moving northeast, downing a tree on Highview Circle and quickly lifted thereafter. The tornado was rated EF1 with max winds around 90 mph. It also exhibited a tornadic debris signature on dual-pol radar. Damage cost was estimated.
A large tree was blown down onto an unoccupied house on Kelson Ave. A photo was available via the Jackson County Floridan newspaper. Damage was estimated.
Downed trees caused power outages in the Greenwood area.
Downed trees resulted in power outages in the Bascom area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2015Warnings in Florida, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 601710, 601712, 601715, 601716, 601711, 601719, 601724, 601721, 601722, 601723.