Oregon, 2015Rip Current in Oregon, July 10, 2015
July 10, 2015 · NWS PQR · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A man drowned while swimming along the coast in Tillamook. His drowning is believed to be due to a rip current.
- Deaths
- 1
- Injuries
- 1
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A man drowned while swimming along the coast in Tillamook. His drowning is believed to be due to a rip current.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 10, 12:51 PM PST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 12:51 PM PST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
151 PM PDT FRI JUL 10 2015
.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT WITH THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS DECREASING AS THE LOW MOVES
EAST. STRONG ONSHORE FLOW THAT BEGAN THURSDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP OFF THE
COAST...MAINTAINING THE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND GIVING A CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS AT TIMES...WITH
THUNDER POSSIBLY IN THE HIGHER CASCADES. THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL
FINALLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WITH A BIT
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS. FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE
MUCH COOLER WEATHER...AND POSSIBLY GIVE OUR AREA A CHANCE OF A FEW
SHOWERS AT TIMES THROUGH MONDAY. MORE SEASONAL PATTERN IS EXPECTED
DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK UNDER ZONAL FLOW BUT NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER SYSTEMS.
&&
.SHORT TERM...AN UPPER LOW CONTINUED OVER THE GREAT BASIN AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT OVER SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
AND NORTHWEST OREGON. A SOUTHWEST MARINE PUSH OCCURRED
OVERNIGHT...AND MARINE CLOUDS STILL COVERED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW HAS CONTINUED
TO FEED A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE OREGON CASCADES TODAY...WHICH
THEN WEAKEN INTO A FEW SHOWERS AS THEY MOVE WEST OFF THE CASCADES
INTO THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY. IT APPEARS THIS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING.
THE GREAT BASIN LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE OUT TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE NEXT UPSTREAM SYSTEM ALONG 135W AND
APPROACHES AND TURNS THE UPPER FLOW MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. THIS
TRANSITION WILL REINFORCE THE ONSHORE FLOW AND KEEP THINGS QUITE
CLOUDY WITH TEMPS A BIT BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT WILL
ALSO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE AREA AT TIMES.
THE MODELS SHOW A DECENT SHORT WAVE NEAR THE COAST BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND MOVING THROUGH OUR AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY BE
ENOUGH TO HAVE SOME LOW POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA LATER
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ANY CHANCE OF THUNDER WOULD BE MAINLY
NEAR WILLAMETTE PASS. IN ADDITION...IT LOOKS LIKE SATURDAY WILL HAVE
THE MOST PERSISTENT MARINE CLOUDS AND THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES OF
THIS STRETCH.
ON SUNDAY THE SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES AS THE UPPER TROUGH REMAINS
JUST OFF THE COAST...BUT WE ARE IN BETWEEN ANY SHORT WAVES. AFTER A
FEW RESIDUAL SHOWERS NEAR THE CASCADES FROM THE SATURDAY NIGHT SHORT
WAVE...THERE MIGHT BE A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH A BIT BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDER OVER MORE OF THE HIGHER
CASCADES THAN ON SATURDAY. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SAY THAT THE MAIN
UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE WILL COME ONSHORE AND THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. WHILE EARLIER MODEL RUNS WERE STRONGER AND
HAD THE MAIN LOW CROSSING THROUGH OUR AREA MONDAY...THE LAST FEW RUNS
ARE COMING INTO AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST
THROUGH WASHINGTON. HAVE PATTERNED THE POPS AND ANY CHANCE OF THUNDER
TO REFLECT THIS LATTER MODEL SOLUTION FOR NOW. TOLLESON
.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM
MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MONDAY...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO
SHOW A BIT OF A WEAK BAGGY UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON
TUESDAY. THIS WILL STILL RESULT IN MORNING CLOUDS BUT IF ANY
PRECIPITATION REMAINS IT WILL BE SPARSE AT BEST AND MAINLY CONFINED
TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE NORTH PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE MID
WEEK PERIOD WILL BE MORE SEASONAL WITH TEMPS CLOSE TO NORMAL AND A
NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUD REGIME ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST AND THE
NORTH INTERIOR...WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS ALONG THE COAST. THE MODELS
HAVE BEEN VACILLATING ON A POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM LATE NEXT WEEK
BUT A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS...ESPECIALLY SINCE THE MODELS WILL
HAVE TROUBLE WITH THE DETAILS AS A COUPLE OF TROPICAL SYSTEMS IN THE
WESTERN PACIFIC ARE SOON TO BE ABSORBED INTO THE WESTERLIES. FOR NOW
HAVE INCREASED CLOUDS AND EASED TEMPS A FEW DEGREES. TOLLESON
&&
.AVIATION...SOME LOCAL MVFR MARINE STRATUS AROUND 3000 FT LINGERS IN
VALLEY LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME SHOWERS DRIFTING WEST OFF
OF THE CASCADES INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY. WILL
SEE MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL INLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING... WITH
SOME LOCAL HIGH-END MVFR CIGS IN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING OVER THE CASCADES. OCCASIONAL VFR
CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MVFR
STRATUS RETURNS SHORTLY AFTER 01Z-02Z SAT. MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED
INLAND AFTER 08Z-10Z SAT.
KPDX AND APPROACHES...LOW-END VFR CIGS AROUND 4000 FT CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN MVFR STRATUS RETURNS WITH CIGS NEAR 2500
FT AFTER 09Z SAT AGAIN. /27
&&
.MARINE...A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN PUSH THROUGH ON SAT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10-15 KT WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH GUSTS 21-23 KT POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SAT MORNING. STILL NOT CONFIDENT ON WIDESPREAD
GUSTS ABOVE 21 KT...THINKING MORE LIKE A FEW LOCAL GUSTS OVER THE
NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS. IF ANYTHING... A LOW END SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY MAY BE WARRANTED. /27
OTHERWISE...WINDS DROP OFF ONCE AGAIN AND TURN WESTERLY BEHIND THE
TROUGH SAT NIGHT AND SUN. THEN EXPECT A TRANSITION TO A SEASONAL
NORTHERLY WIND PATTERN NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRES BECOMES REESTABLISHED
OVER THE NE PAC. IT APPEARS THAT THE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS STARTING ON TUE...WITH
THIS PATTERN CONTINUING FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 5 FT OR BELOW WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. PYLE
&&
.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND
THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.
Rip Current, Northern Oregon Coast
- When
- July 10, 3:15 PM PST to 3:25 PM PST
- Where
- Northern Oregon Coast forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Injuries
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Coast Guard
A man swimming along the coast near Tillamook was unable to swim to shore because of a rip current, and drowned.
- Rip Current
- A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Kansas, July 10, 20151 death · 70 kt wind · 10 events
- Excessive Heat in Arkansas, July 10, 20151 death · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Iowa, July 10 to 11, 2015$550,000 · 31 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in West Virginia, July 10 to 11, 2015$497,000 · 52 kt wind · 11 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Kentucky, July 10, 2015$190,000 · EF0 · 30 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, July 10, 2015$33,000 · 50 kt wind · 9 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Nebraska, July 10, 2015$32,000 · 1.75 in hail · 7 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Kentucky, July 10, 2015$26,000 · 2 events
- Damaging Winds in Kentucky, July 10, 2015$1,000 · 55 kt wind · 18 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in New Mexico, July 10, 2015$10,000 · 1 in hail · 11 events
- High Surf in Hawaii, July 10 to 11, 201510 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Kansas, July 10, 2015$13,000 · 1 in hail · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 594153.