Montana, 2015High Wind in Montana, January 22 to 25, 2015
January 22 to 25, 2015 · NWS TFX · 6 events in 6 counties and zones
A tightened pressure gradient along the Rocky Mountain Front caused strong winds to develop and become gusty. The strongest winds occurred along the Northern Rocky Mountain Front.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 6
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A tightened pressure gradient along the Rocky Mountain Front caused strong winds to develop and become gusty. The strongest winds occurred along the Northern Rocky Mountain Front.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 21, 10:38 PM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 21, 10:38 PM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1038 PM MST Wed Jan 21 2015
Updated Aviation
.UPDATE...
Tonight...An upper level high pressure ridge will keep the airmass
dry tonight. A shortwave moving into the ridge across the Pacific
Northwest will keep a tight surface gradient across the lee of the
Rockies. Brisk winds will continue through the night and keep mild
across the plains. Clear skies and light winds will bring another
night over very cold temps in the valleys of Southwest Montana.
Zelzer
&&
.AVIATION...
UPDATED 0600Z.
Moist northwest flow aloft will shift westerly with increasing high
clouds overnight and mid-level clouds by tomorrow afternoon.
Westerly winds will also increase and become gusty along the Rocky
Mountain Front tonight and spread into the plains Thursday. Wind
gusts of 35 to 45 kts are possible at KCTB and KGTF tomorrow
afternoon with higher gusts over the Rocky Mountain Front. As an
upper-level shortwave approaches Thursday evening, mountains will
become obscured and showers will be possible in higher terrain along
the Continental Divide. Have added VCSH to KHLN after 00z Friday.
Increased mountain wave activity is also possible on Thursday,
however VFR conditions will prevail at all sites over the next 24
hours. MLV
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 430 PM MST Wed Jan 21 2015/
Tonight through Saturday...An upper level ridge of high pressure
centered just inland of the West Coast will gradually expand
further inland over the next several days. Temperatures will
progressively warm over the next several days under a generally
dry and stable N-NW flow aloft. At the surface, high pressure will
remain anchored over areas west of the continental divide through
the remainder of this week. Low pressure developing east of the
Canadian Rockies tonight will bring increasing surface winds to
north central MT tonight, which will continue breezy to windy at
times through Friday. Strongest winds look to occur Thursday
morning along the east slopes of the Rockies where the pressure
gradient may be strong enough to produce some isolated gusts in
excess of 50 mph through favored passes and and along the
immediate front range. A very weak weather disturbance embedded
within the NW flow aloft will pass SE across the region Thursday
night, mainly bringing a period of cloudiness, with just some
light snow showers possible across the Rockies and a few
flurries/sprinkles further east across the plains Thursday night.
Hoenisch
Friday Night through Wednesday...Moisture increases from the west
northwest Friday and a trough moves across Central Montana and the
Continental Divide during the day Saturday. Precipitation chances
climb across Central Montana but the system moves through fairly
quickly suggesting most places will not see much in quantity.
Precipitation looks to be rain at lower elevations and snow in the
mountains. Summer-like high pressure over the west coast builds
north late Sunday helping push most moisture out of the region for
Monday and Tuesday. The pattern holds into Wednesday as moisture
from a low pressure system in Mexico moves north through the Western
U.S. and into Southwest Montana Wednesday afternoon. West-southwest
winds across much of the region look to remain brisk in the 15 to
20 MPH range throughout the period. High temperatures remain well
above seasonal averages with many locations near 50 this coming
weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 26 44 30 45 / 0 0 10 0
CTB 23 42 25 43 / 0 0 10 0
HLN 15 35 21 39 / 0 0 10 10
BZN 8 33 18 38 / 0 0 10 10
WEY -7 26 5 31 / 0 0 10 10
DLN 14 38 21 43 / 0 0 10 0
HVR 21 41 25 43 / 0 0 10 0
LWT 17 45 25 43 / 0 0 10 0
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
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High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- January 22, 1:00 AM MST to January 25, 8:00 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
High wind gusts, measured at 60KT (69MPH), were reported 1 mi E of East Glacier Park, MT at the Two Medicine Bridge DOT sensor.
High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- January 22, 7:00 AM MST to January 25, 8:00 AM MST
- Where
- Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
High wind gusts, measured at 62KT (71MPH), were reported 13 mi W of Bynum, MT at the Dellwo sensor.
High Wind, Eastern Glacier
- When
- January 22, 7:00 AM MST to 11:00 AM MST
- Where
- Eastern Glacier forecast zone
- Measured
- 38 kt (44 mph) measured sustained
- Reported by
- ASOS
High sustained winds, measured at 38KT (44MPH), were reported 3 mi SW of Cut Bank, MT at the Cut Bank airport ASOS.
High Wind, Toole
- When
- January 23, 9:00 PM MST to January 24, 3:00 AM MST
- Where
- Toole forecast zone
- Measured
- 35 kt (40 mph) measured sustained
- Reported by
- Mesonet
High sustained winds, measured at 35KT (40MPH), were reported 8 mi WNW of Whitlash, MT.
High Wind, Fergus
- When
- January 24, 2:00 AM MST to January 25, 1:00 PM MST
- Where
- Fergus forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
High wind gusts, measured at 51KT (59MPH), were reported 29 mi SE of Lewistown, MT.
High Wind, Judith Basin
- When
- January 24, 12:45 PM MST to January 25, 1:00 PM MST
- Where
- Judith Basin forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
High wind gusts, measured at 50KT (58MPH), were reported 2 mi SSE of Geyser, MT at the Geyser DOT sensor.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
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