Mississippi, 2015

Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Mississippi, January 3, 2015

January 3, 2015 · NWS JAN · 29 events in 12 counties and zones

During the afternoon of January 3rd, a strong upper level low was moving through the central Plains and a cold front began to move into the region. Across the Lower Mississippi River Valley, peak heating and upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints contributed to decent instability in the developing warm sector in advance of the front.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$802,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
29

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.

During the afternoon of January 3rd, a strong upper level low was moving through the central Plains and a cold front began to move into the region. Across the Lower Mississippi River Valley, peak heating and upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints contributed to decent instability in the developing warm sector in advance of the front. Strong low level wind shear and winds aloft were in place, which made a favorable environment for tornadoes. This helped to support widespread thunderstorms along with a few supercell storms.

A long lived, persistent, storm tracked across the southeastern counties (Lawrence, Jefferson Davis, Covington, Jasper and Lauderdale County) and produced eight tornadoes. Considerable damage occurred in Jasper County, north of Rose Hill, and also near Mount Olive in Covington County and Meehan and Bailey in Lauderdale County. Severe storms moved out of the region by early Saturday evening. The front slowly moved to the east through the area through the evening of January 3rd.

In addition to the severe storms and tornadoes, widespread flooding occurred in southeast Mississippi where 3-5 inches of rain fell. Record amounts of moisture for the month of January were observed in the evening weather balloon sounding at the Jackson International Airport, where precipitable water value of 1.74 inches tied the record last set on January 3, 1973. This led to widespread heavy rainfall and flooding. Water covered some roads and water was entering homes near Bay Springs, with one road washed out nearby.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 3, 11:04 AM CST, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 11:04 AM CST, 3 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1104 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

.UPDATE...

THE PRIMARY ADJUSTMENT TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING INCLUDES SHIFTING
THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK MORE INTO CENTRAL/ERN MS WHERE THE ELEVATED
THREAT FOR TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL CONTINUES. THE FORECAST IS
GENERALLY ON TRACK WITH A RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUING OVER
MOST OF THE AREA...AND ALL ELSE IS GENERALLY ON TRACK.

A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST TODAY WITH MODEST HEIGHT FALLS APPROACH THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE INCREASED FORCING WILL HELP TO REINVIGORATE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARD THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR AND
GUIDANCE BRINGS INTO ERN MS BY LATE THIS AFTN. THE BIG CONCERN
IS GREATER DESTABILIZATION TAKING PLACE OVER SE LA/SRN MS WITH
EFFECTIVE LOW LEVEL SHEAR/SRH (200+ M2/S2) AND SFC-BASED INSTABILITY
ON THE INCREASE THERE...WE CONTINUE TO BE CONFIDENT IN THE SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL AND ELEVATED THREAT AREA GENERALLY ALONG AND SE OF
THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR AS INTENSIFYING CONVECTION INTERACTS WITH
THE IMPROVING ENVIRONMENT WITH LATEST HRRR GUIDANCE SHOWING MID/
UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS UP TO THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE AREA BY EARLY/MID AFTN.

THE LATEST NEAR TERM GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT BROKEN LINEAR CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM MAY SOLIDIFY IN VICINITY OF CURRENT COLD POOL OVER WRN/CENTRL MS
AND GRADUALLY MOVE INTO ERN MS BY EARLY EVNG. AS THE SYSTEM SLOWS
DOWN...EXPECT POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING FLASH FLOOD THREAT WITH
INTENSE RAINFALL RATES PRODUCING LOCALIZED AREAS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER
WET GROUND. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...A MIX OF CLOUDS AND CONVECTION WILL RESULT IN MAINLY
MVFR/IFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES AT TAF SITES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY INTO
TONIGHT.  SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL...SOUTH...AND EAST MISSISSIPPI
(KHKS...KJAN...KGTR...KMEI...& KHBG)...AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND SOME TORNADOES.  WHILE SOME LIGHT
RAIN WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST...THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION SHOULD BE
EXITING EAST AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BETWEEN 01-03Z THIS EVENING.
WINDS TODAY WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH...BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
MORE WESTERLY AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWESTERLY IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015/

INCREASING RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT ARCTIC OUTBREAK NEXT WEEK...

SHORT TERM...THIS SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE EAST OF AREA BY EARLY MORNING
SUNDAY...AND IN THE WAKE OF IT COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOULD RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND SOME PATCHY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE INTO AT
LEAST EARLY SUNDAY. TEMPS SHOULD BE SOME 20 DEG COOLER SUNDAY THAN
SATURDAY. WITH THE SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION REGIONAL
CROSS SECTIONS HOLDS ON TO SOME LOW CLOUDS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. SO HAVE
GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR THAT PERIOD...WHICH WILL HINDER
RADIATIONAL COOLING. SO WENT CLOSER TO A MILDER SOLUTION FOR SUNDAY
NIGHT./17/

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE LONG TERM
CONTINUES TO BE THE MUCH COLDER AIR THAT IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE
ARKLAMISS REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE FIRST SHOT OF
ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE BEHIND THIS WEEKENDS STORM SYSTEM. A 1040MB
SURFACE HIGH WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT BUT WILL
ONLY GIVE A SHORT...GLANCING BLOW AS THIS SFC HIGH WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE AND MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY BY TUESDAY. THIS SHOT OF
COLDER AIR WILL BRING SUBFREEZING LOWS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
COOLER DAYTIME HIGHS FOR MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A SHORT MODERATION IN
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY BEFORE A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THIS WILL BE THE COLDEST WE HAVE SEEN YET.
MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE IN A 1050+ MB SURFACE HIGH DIVING SOUTH
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL SPREAD A COLD AIRMASS DEEP INTO
THE SOUTH WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR A HARD FREEZE...PARTICULARLY FOR
THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. THIS WOULD BRING OVERNIGHT LOWS ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THE TEENS AND DAYTIME HIGHS ON THURSDAY NOT
REACHING ABOVE FREEZING. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE LOWS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE TEENS AND 20S BUT SHOULD GET ENOUGH WARMTH ON
THURSDAY TO REACH INTO THE UPPER 30S/AROUND 40. GIVEN THE TIGHTENED
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY
THURSDAY...THIS WILL CREATE WIND CHILL READINGS INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS. OVERALL THIS PATTERN WILL LEAD TO AN
EXTREMELY COLD AND RAW PERIOD AS THE SFC HIGH STICKS AROUND OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. /28/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MSZ030-031-033-038-
     039-045-046-051-052-056>058-064>066-072>074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-
     025>029-032-034>037-040>044-047>050-053>055-059>063.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 3, 10:00 AM CST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-023-024-MSZ018-034-040000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-BOLIVAR-WASHINGTON-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

LAZ016-025-026-MSZ019-025>027-035-040>042-047-053-060-040000-
MADISON LA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-ADAMS-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

THERE IS A LIMITED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES OVER THE OUTLOOK
AREA TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO AND
THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS.

IN ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

MSZ028-029-032-036-037-043-044-048>050-054>056-059-061>063-040000-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CHOCTAW-HOLMES-ATTALA-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-
RANKIN-SCOTT-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JEFFERSON-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES OVER THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO AND
THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

IN ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-045-046-051-052-057-058-064>066-072>074-
040000-
CLAY-LOWNDES-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-
LAMAR-FORREST-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO
AND THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

IN ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

19

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 3, 12:41 PM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
LAZ016-025-MSZ040-047-053-031925-
WARREN MS-ISSAQUENA MS-CLAIBORNE MS-TENSAS LA-MADISON LA-
1241 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1241 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TENDAL TO 5 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ST. JOSEPH AT 1242 PM CST...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CLAIBORNE...SOUTHERN ISSAQUENA AND WESTERN WARREN
COUNTIES...AND MADISON AND EASTERN TENSAS PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR
THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3254 9123 3257 9106 3259 9113 3263 9104
      3260 9107 3257 9104 3261 9100 3264 9102
      3267 9097 3266 9078 3193 9075 3186 9104
      3187 9126 3181 9126 3186 9132 3178 9139
      3246 9140
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 253DEG 36KT 3238 9128 3188 9128

DHB
Local storm report, Jan 3, 12:46 PM CST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1246 PM CST SAT JAN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     FLOOD            LAKE VILLAGE            33.32N 91.28W
01/03/2015                   CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            60 PCT OF RURAL ROADS IN CHICOT COUNTY FLOODED

&&

GERARD
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 1:42 PM CST, 23 minutes before
MSZ035-036-042-048-032010-
HUMPHREYS MS-HOLMES MS-HINDS MS-YAZOO MS-
142 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
142 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS
LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINSLEY AT 142 PM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

PEOPLE IN YAZOO...HOLMES AND SOUTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3314 8993 3290 8996 3271 9014 3266 9024
      3266 9028 3263 9031 3258 9042 3258 9044
      3257 9045 3253 9054 3297 9052 3329 9017
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 216DEG 45KT 3267 9052

AEG

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 95 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:02 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

10 tornado, 8 thunderstorm wind, 8 flash flood, 2 lightning, 1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Tornado, Lawrence

When
January 3, 2:05 PM CST
Where
Lawrence County, 3.6 mi E of Tilton
Rating
EF0
Path length
0.08 mi
Path width
50 yd
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
31.430, -89.960

A brief tornado touchdown occurred according to multiple spotters near the Oak Vale Community. No notable damage was identified. Estimated maximum winds were 70 mph.

Lightning, Jefferson Davis

When
January 3, 2:20 PM CST
Where
Jefferson Davis County, 0.59 mi E of Prentiss
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.600, -89.870

Lightning caused a house fire along Mississippi Highway 42 West.

Lightning, Jefferson Davis

When
January 3, 2:25 PM CST
Where
Jefferson Davis County, 0.59 mi E of Mt Carmel
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.650, -89.790

Lightning caused a mobile home fire along James Berry Lane.

Tornado, Covington

When
January 3, 2:36 PM CST to 2:39 PM CST
Where
Covington County, 4.54 mi SW of Arbo to 2.71 mi SSW of Arbo
Rating
EF1
Path length
1.88 mi
Path width
50 yd
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
31.680, -89.680

The tornado began along Sunset Road, where the roof of a mobile home was damaged. It continued northeast and snapped trees along Cooley Spring-Coulter Road and Stroud Road before it lifted. The estimated maximum wind speed was 90 mph.

Tornado, Covington

When
January 3, 2:39 PM CST to 2:40 PM CST
Where
Covington County, 2.38 mi SSW of Arbo to 1.65 mi S of Arbo
Rating
EF1
Path length
1.03 mi
Path width
100 yd
Property damage
$40,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
31.700, -89.650

This tornado snapped numerous trees along its path from the east end of Stroud Road. It moved east northeast across Burtons Creek Road. It lifted near Rock Hill Road. The most impressive tree damage occurred along Burtons Creek Road and this is where it reached its peak intensity. The estimated wind speed was 110 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Covington

When
January 3, 2:45 PM CST
Where
Covington County, 1.76 mi W of Smith
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.750, -89.600

Power lines were blown down along Mississippi Highway 532 near William Warren Road.

Tornado, Jasper

When
January 3, 3:04 PM CST to 3:16 PM CST
Where
Jasper County, 0.07 mi WNW of Moss Hill to 4.62 mi E of Hero
Rating
EF2
Path length
7.99 mi
Path width
200 yd
Continued into
Newton, Ms (JAN)
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
32.130, -89.071

The tornado developed about a half mile southeast of the intersection of MS Highway 503 and County Road 20, and quickly strengthened as it moved northeast toward the intersection. The storm was at its strongest at this point, destroying five mobile homes, snapping several utility poles, and causing extensive tree damage. It continued northeast along the east side of Highway 503, downing trees near County Road 50323 and then began to parallel the eastern segment of County Road 20. Along this roadway, much of the roof was removed from a home, several trees were snapped or uprooted and minor damage occurred to another home. The tornado then crossed County Road 2026, where a mobile home was destroyed, and County Road 50325, where more trees were snapped. Farther northeast an outbuilding was destroyed near the intersection of MS Highway 504 and County Road 2420. The tornado damaged utility poles just across the Newton County line where it finally lifted. In all ten homes were destroyed along the path of the tornado.The estimated wind maximum was 130 mph at its strongest in Jasper County. The total path length was around 8 miles.

Thunderstorm Wind, Smith

When
January 3, 3:05 PM CST
Where
Smith County, Taylorsville
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
31.830, -89.430

A few trees were blown down across the southeast portion of Smith County.

Thunderstorm Wind, Rankin

When
January 3, 3:14 PM CST
Where
Rankin County, 1.75 mi W of Rankin
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.280, -89.950

A tree was blown down along I-20 at mile marker 63.

Tornado, Newton

When
January 3, 3:16 PM CST to 3:17 PM CST
Where
Newton County, 6.84 mi SSE of Hickory to 6.81 mi SSE of Hickory
Rating
EF1
Path length
0.04 mi
Path width
200 yd
Property damage
$7,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
32.224, -88.991

The tornado developed about a half mile southeast of the intersection of MS Highway 503 and County Road 20, and quickly strengthened as it moved northeast toward the intersection. The storm was at its strongest at this point, destroying five mobile homes, snapping several utility poles, and causing extensive tree damage. It continued northeast along the east side of Highway 503, downing trees near County Road 50323 and then began to parallel the eastern segment of County Road 20. Along this roadway, much of the roof was removed from a home, several trees were snapped or uprooted and minor damage occurred to another home. The tornado then crossed County Road 2026, where a mobile home was destroyed, and County Road 50325, where more trees were snapped. Farther northeast an outbuilding was destroyed near the intersection of MS Highway 504 and County Road 2420. The tornado damaged utility poles just across the Newton County line where it finally lifted. In all ten homes were destroyed along the path of the tornado.The estimated wind maximum was 130 mph at its strongest in Jasper County. The total path length was around 8 miles.

Tornado, Newton

When
January 3, 3:24 PM CST to 3:26 PM CST
Where
Newton County, 3.45 mi S of Chunky to 1.81 mi SE of Chunky
Rating
EF1
Path length
2.38 mi
Path width
100 yd
Continued into
Lauderdale, Ms (JAN)
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
32.270, -88.930

The tornado began in southeast Newton County along Griffis Fountain Road, where numerous trees were snapped. It continued northeastward into western Lauderdale County, snapping trees as it crossed Point Wanita Lake Road, the Chunky River, and US Highway 80. It then caused roof damage to a house and damaged an outbuilding as it crossed Suqualena Meehan Road. Additional trees were snapped and uprooted as the tornado crossed I-20, then a few trees were snapped along Suqualena Graham Road shortly before the tornado lifted. The estimated maximum winds were 110 mph. The total path length for the tornado was 9.9 miles.

Tornado, Lauderdale

When
January 3, 3:26 PM CST to 3:36 PM CST
Where
Lauderdale County, 2.23 mi SW of Point to 3 mi WSW of Nellieburg
Rating
EF1
Path length
7.51 mi
Path width
100 yd
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
32.300, -88.910

The tornado began in southeast Newton County along Griffis Fountain Road, where numerous trees were snapped. It continued northeastward into western Lauderdale County, snapping trees as it crossed Point Wanita Lake Road, the Chunky River, and US Highway 80. It then caused roof damage to a house and damaged an outbuilding as it crossed Suqualena Meehan Road. Additional trees were snapped and uprooted as the tornado crossed I-20, then a few trees were snapped along Suqualena Graham Road shortly before the tornado lifted. The estimated maximum winds were 110 mph. The total path length for the tornado was 9.9 miles.

Thunderstorm Wind, Choctaw

When
January 3, 3:40 PM CST
Where
Choctaw County, 1.35 mi ENE of Fulcher
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
33.340, -89.110

A tree was blown down on Highway 12. Another was blown down in Ackerman.

Thunderstorm Wind, Oktibbeha

When
January 3, 3:45 PM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 0.69 mi S of Sturgis
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$7,000
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
33.340, -89.050

Multiple trees were blown down in Sturgis.

Tornado, Lauderdale

When
January 3, 3:48 PM CST to 3:55 PM CST
Where
Lauderdale County, 0.58 mi W of Bailey to 1.85 mi ENE of Obadiah
Rating
EF1
Path length
3.56 mi
Path width
50 yd
Property damage
$47,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
32.470, -88.740

The tornado began near the intersection of King Road and Mississippi Highway 495. It tracked northeast along King Road. It then moved across Mississippi Highway 493 and Espey Hedgepeth Road before it lifted just beyond Mount Carmel Road. Numerous pine trees were snapped and several homes experienced roof damage along the path. A shed was also destroyed. The estimated maximum wind speed was 110 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Oktibbeha

When
January 3, 4:11 PM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 1.5 mi SSW of Patrick
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.460, -88.790

A blown down tree had partially blocked Blackjack Road. One home had a large limb through the front window. There was damage to a home at 710 South Montgomery Street from a tree limb that fell through the window.

Thunderstorm Wind, Lauderdale

When
January 3, 4:20 PM CST
Where
Lauderdale County, 1.75 mi N of Russell
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.425, -88.602

Some large limbs and a couple of trees were blown down along Willow Lake Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Lowndes

When
January 3, 4:30 PM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 0.69 mi N of Interstate City
Measured
62 kt (71 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$30,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.510, -88.400

There was roof damage along with numerous uprooted trees.

Tornado, Lauderdale

When
January 3, 4:31 PM CST to 4:35 PM CST
Where
Lauderdale County, 3.15 mi SE of Lauderdale to 4.9 mi ESE of Lauderdale
Rating
EF1
Path length
2.57 mi
Path width
50 yd
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
32.488, -88.482

The tornado began near the intersection of Kewanee Road and Cuba Road. It ended just east of Luther Ray Cobb Road. Multiple trees were either uprooted or snapped. One building received minor structural damage. Maximum estimated wind speeds were 90 mph.

Strong Wind, Lowndes

When
January 3, 4:37 PM CST
Where
Lowndes forecast zone
Measured
45 kt (52 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$100
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
33.473, -88.443 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wind gust of 52 mph occurred at the Columbus Air Force Base.

Flash Flood, Covington

When
January 3, 4:39 PM CST to 9:30 PM CST
Where
Covington County, 1.6 mi E of Smith to 1.79 mi E of Smith
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.751, -89.543

Some flooding occurred across Dilmore Dennis Road. A few roads were flooded across the northern part of the county, including four that were barricaded and closed.

Tornado, Lowndes

When
January 3, 4:53 PM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 4.15 mi NNE of Caledonia
Rating
EF0
Path length
0.25 mi
Path width
50 yd
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
33.730, -88.290

A brief tornado snapped the tops of multiple pine trees just north of Grant Road. The estimated maximum wind speed was 70 mph.

Flash Flood, Jasper

When
January 3, 5:00 PM CST to 9:30 PM CST
Where
Jasper County, 1.06 mi NNE of Bay Spgs to 1.21 mi NE of Bay Spgs
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.983, -89.290

Some flooding occurred along Highway 15 on the north side of town. Some water flowed into some homes. Road 18-2 was washed out.

Flash Flood, Jefferson Davis

When
January 3, 5:14 PM CST to 7:30 PM CST
Where
Jefferson Davis County, 2.83 mi SSW of Bassfield to 2.11 mi SSW of Bassfield
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.460, -89.760

Flooding occurred on Mississippi Highway 35 south of Bassfield.

Flash Flood, Marion

When
January 3, 5:25 PM CST to 7:20 PM CST
Where
Marion County, 9.89 mi NNE of Columbia Marion Arpt to 9.82 mi NNE of Columbia Marion Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.430, -89.750

Some flooding occurred along Cavanaugh Road.

Flash Flood, Jefferson Davis

When
January 3, 5:25 PM CST to 7:30 PM CST
Where
Jefferson Davis County, 1.03 mi E of Bassfield to 1.29 mi ENE of Bassfield
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.500, -89.733

Some flooding occurred on North Williamsburg Road and Jack Kerley Drive.

Flash Flood, Jasper

When
January 3, 5:30 PM CST to 9:10 PM CST
Where
Jasper County, 0.69 mi S of Rose Hill to 1.1 mi SSE of Rose Hill
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$7,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
32.140, -89.000

Roadways were flooded at Mississippi Highway 18 and Mississippi Highway 513.

Flash Flood, Jefferson Davis

When
January 3, 6:25 PM CST to 7:20 PM CST
Where
Jefferson Davis County, 3.6 mi SE of Terrell to 4.02 mi ESE of Terrell
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$7,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
31.550, -89.680

Flooding occurred across roadways in the Deen Community.

Flash Flood, Lauderdale

When
January 3, 7:25 PM CST to 10:00 PM CST
Where
Lauderdale County, 0.96 mi E of Toomsuba
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$8,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
32.419, -88.504

Flooding occurred in both directions on US 80 near Lauderdale-Toomsuba Road.

What these are

Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Mississippi, 2015Warnings in Mississippi, January 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 549199, 549200, 549201, 549208, 549220, 549222, 549233, 549238, 549241, 555830, 549251, 549253, 549257, 549330, 549262, 549323, 549320, 549317, 549313, 549292, 549291, 549290, 549288, 549284, 549275, 549278, 549271, 549270, 549269.