Arkansas, 2015

Flash Flood in Arkansas, January 3, 2015

January 3, 2015 · NWS LZK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A frontal boundary stalled over the state in early January 2015. An upper level storm system over the Four Corners region of the United States then slowly approached the state, with the subtropical jet stream lifting moisture north into Arkansas over the stalled front.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

A frontal boundary stalled over the state in early January 2015. An upper level storm system over the Four Corners region of the United States then slowly approached the state, with the subtropical jet stream lifting moisture north into Arkansas over the stalled front. This setup allowed for several rounds of rainfall to develop across the state, with some heavy rain and flash flooding reported during the first few days of the month.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 3, 12:17 AM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 12:17 AM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1217 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF RAIN CONTINUE ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND A WARM FRONT FROM
THE SOUTH. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE MORNING
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT CEILINGS TO LIFT LATE IN THE PERIOD.
IFR AND LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

SHOWERS HAVE BEEN ONGOING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY...WITH OVERCAST CONDITIONS AND DRIZZLE
OBSERVED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TODAY. TEMPERATURES HAVE SLOWLY...BUT
STEADILY RISEN THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WARM
THROUGH THE NIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT
TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM INTO A LINE AS THEY SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY. CONTINUE TO EXPECT
HIGHEST QPF VALUES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE STATE WITH
BETWEEN AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SWINGS THROUGH THE STATE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY MORNING...A FEW SNOW FLAKES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
STATE SUNDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY YET ANOTHER CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
PUSHING SE TOWARDS THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR STATIONARY
ON SUNDAY...WITH DRY AND BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS CONTINUING FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DRY AND COLD FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD
WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIP LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH THE NEXT WEATHER
SYSTEM WILL MOISTURE. THE SECONDARY COLD FRONT AND ARCTIC AIR MASS
WILL SPREAD OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY...AND TAKE TEMPS 5
TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THE DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL BE
OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S...ALONG WITH THE UPPER WEST
TO NORTHWEST FLOW.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 7:07 AM CST, 18 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
707 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
707 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN AREA OF RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD ARKANSAS TONIGHT. THIS WILL BE THE
RESULT OF A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE...AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE STATE ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN AND WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE. RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY END FROM THE WEST SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY SATURDAY EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST
OF THE STATE.

SOME MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF ARKANSAS SATURDAY
NIGHT. TEMPERATURES MAY BE COLD ENOUGH SATURDAY NIGHT TO SEE A RAIN
SNOW MIX ACROSS FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE BEFORE ENDING.

DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

44/51

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 111 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:31 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Montgomery

When
January 3, 1:30 AM CST to 6:00 AM CST
Where
Montgomery County, 0.48 mi WNW of Albert to 0.46 mi NW of Albert
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
34.372, -93.878

An off duty state trooper reported rapidly rising water along the Little Missouri River and was starting to overflow it's banks. Evacuations of several homes along the river had occurred.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, January 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 549600.