A strong cold front moved across northern Arizona with windy to locally very windy conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
A strong cold front moved across northern Arizona with windy to locally very windy conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 9:55 AM MST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 955 AM MST TUE NOV 10 2015 .SYNOPSIS...EXPECT WINDY AND COLDER CONDITIONS TODAY WITH AREAS OF RAIN AND SNOW. THE STORM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS WEATHER WILL MOVE EAST OF ARIZONA ON WEDNESDAY. DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT LOCATED BETWEEN KINGMAN AND SELIGMAN WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE STATE TODAY. A FAIR AMOUNT OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WAS DRAWN UP FROM THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. THIS HAS TRANSLATED INTO HIGHER THAN EXPECTED COVERAGE OF PRE-FRONTAL PRECIPITATION. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE FLAGSTAFF AREA AROUND NOON MST AND WILL REACH THE NEW MEXICO BORDER BY LATE AFTERNOON. FALLING SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT...WITH A FEW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT. ANOTHER ISSUE IS WIND SPEEDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...ESPECIALLY EAST OF FLAGSTAFF WHERE THE SKIES ARE CLEAR LEE OF THE RIM AND WHITE MTNS. A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS AND THAT LOOKS LIKE A GOOD CALL. THIS STORM WILL EXIT THE AREA VERY QUICKLY OVERNIGHT...WITH FAIR CONDITIONS AND RISING HGHTS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS ARE HINTING AT ANOTHER STORM POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE DETAILS ARE NOT VERY CLEAR AT THIS TIME. UPDATES WERE SENT EARLIER TO REFLECT HIGHER POPS AND A DELAY IN THE TRANSITION TO SNOW ALONG THE FRONT BY AN HOUR OR TWO. && .AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...A COLD FRONT CROSSING NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY FROM THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WILL BRING STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN HIGH ELEVATION SNOW AND LOW ELEVATION RAIN. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED EAST OF A LINE FROM SHOW LOW TO WINSLOW TO CHINLE. BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL DECREASE AND SWITCH TO A WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR AZZ013-014-017-040. && PUBLIC...PETERSON AVIATION...RR FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 519 AM MST TUE NOV 10 2015 AZZ004>017-038>040-110200- KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- 519 AM MST TUE NOV 10 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST CENTRAL ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS SUSTAINED FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH ALONG THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF THE WHITE MOUNTAINS REGION WEST TO WINSLOW AND NORTHWARD TO KEAMS CANYON ON THE NAVAJO NATION. LIGHT AMOUNTS OF RAIN AND SNOW ARE ALSO FORECAST TODAY. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS FORECAST ABOVE THE 5000 FOOT ELEVATION LEVEL FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM NORTH TO THE UTAH BORDER REGION. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME FAVORED LOCATIONS AND OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN PEAKS ABOVE 8000 FEET. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NO WEATHER HAZARDS ARE FORECAST. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. RB
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Petrified Forest National National Park (south entrance) reported a peak wind gust of 62 MPH (estimated time).
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 605642.