Winter Storm in North Carolina, February 12 to 13, 2014

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
341 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL DEVELOP AS A LOW MOVES FROM THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE TODAY AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS UPON REACHING THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TO THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. A FEW WEAK SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT OUR
WEATHER INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS BEGINNING TO TAKE
SHAPE...WITH SHARPENING SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROF PLAINLY SEEN ON
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVR ERN TX...AND BAROCLINIC LEAF SIGNATURE
DEVELOPING ACRS THE GULF STATES ON IR. MEANWHILE...A 1035 MB SFC
HIGH WAS ANALYZED OVR THE ERN GREAT LAKES...WITH STRENGTHENING WEDGE
ACRS THE CAROLINAS TO ERN GA. RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS PRECIP SHIELD
FILLING IN AND INTENSIFYING ACRS MUCH OF THE GULF COAST
REGION...EXTENDING N TO THE UPR SAVANNAH VLY AND EAST INTO THE
MIDLANDS. CLASSIC COLD AIR DAMMING IS SUPPLYING PLENTY OF COLD DRY
AIR ACRS THE CWFA. AND THE 06Z GSO/FFC SNDGS ARE IN LINE WITH THE
MODEL PROFILES IN THE REGION. SO EVERYTHING SEEMS TO BE IN LINE WITH
PREVIOUS THINKING...AND THE FCST FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT HAS NOT
CHANGED MUCH.

EXPECT HEAVY PRECIP TO BREAK OUT ACRS THE ENTIRE AREA BY LATE
MORNING...STARTING BEFORE DAYBREAK ACRS ROUGHLY THE SRN HALF OF THE
CWFA. AS THE UPR SHORTWAVE APPROACHES TODAY...STRONG ISENT LIFT AND
UPR DIVERGENCE WILL SUPPORT HEAVY PRECIP. USING THE TOP-DOWN
APPROACH WITH THE NAM/GFS...STILL EXPECT MOD-HVY SNOW ACRS MOST OF
THE AREA...WITH A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM I-85 SOUTH. A
SLIVER OF PRIMARILY FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED ACRS ELBERT TO
GREENWOOD TODAY...AS A WARM NOSE PUNCHES IN FROM THE SOUTH.

GIVEN THE TRACK OF THE OVERALL SYSTEM...EXPECT THE STRONGEST
Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE TO CROSS RIGHT OVER THE CWFA THIS
EVENING...WITH THE 850 MB LOW ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR. THIS TRACK
SHUD SUPPORT HEAVY SNOW RATES IN A SW-NE AXIS ROUGHLY ALONG AND NW
OF I-85 TO THE BLUE RIDGE...EXTENDING TO THE NW NC PIEDMONT. TOTALS
WILL PROBABLY BE HIGHEST IN THESE AREAS. THIS TRACK MAY ALSO RESULT
IN SOME CONDITIONAL SYMMETRIC INSTABILITY (CSI) FOR THUNDERSNOW.
STILL NOT SEEING ENUF CHC TO ADD TO THE GRIDS AT THIS TIME. AT THE
SFC...LOW PRES SHUD START TO TAKE SHAPE INVOF THE N-CENTRAL GULF BY
18Z...THEN GRADUALLY DEEPEN AND LIFT NE ACRS NRN FL/SRN GA THIS
EVENING. THIS SHUD CAUSE NE WINDS TO INCREASE INTO THE 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 25 MPH RANGE. POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
COMBINATION OF WIND AND HEAVY WET SNOW (AND ICE IN THE SE FRINGE
COUNTIES).

TONIGHT...THE LOW PRES SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE
CWFA...BUT MODELS ALL AGREE THAT PRECIP WILL LINGER ACRS MOST OF THE
AREA THRU THE OVERNIGHT...AS A DEFORMATION ZONE WILL PIVOT THRU THE
AREA. THICKNESSES WILL DROP UNDER THE PASSAGE OF THE UPR LOW...SO
MOST AREAS SHUD SWITCH BACK TO ALL SNOW. THE FCST STORM TOTAL SNOW
AND ICE HAVE NOT CHANGED MUCH FROM PREVIOUS FCSTS. GENERALLY GOING
WITH 8-10"+ NORTH AND WEST OF I-85...5-8" JUST SOUTH OF I-85 WHERE
SLEET/FZRA WILL MIX IN AT TIMES...AND GENERALLY 2-4" FROM ELBERT TO
UNION NC...WHERE THE PRECIP WILL BE MORE FZRA/SLEET. ICE ACCUMS OF
0.25-0.5" EXPECTED IN THOSE COUNTIES...WITH UP TO 0.75"+ POSSIBLE IN
SRN ELBERT TO SRN GREENWOOD. ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF ICE ARE EXPECTED
NEAR THE I-85 CORRIDOR. OVERALL...ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS TO
IMPASSIBLE BY THIS EVENING ACRS THE ENTIRE AREA...WITH POWER OUTAGES
MOST WIDESPREAD PROBABLY IN THE ICE ZONES IN THE SOUTH. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING SEGMENTS LOOK GOOD...SO NO CHANGES TO THE HEADLINES
ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM EST...THE DEEP 500 MB TROUGH AXIS DRIVING THE WINTER
STORM SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA THU MORNING...WITH
THE ASSOCIATED SFC LOW MOVING NORTH OF THE NC OUTER BANKS. WILL
FAVOR THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER ECM/GFS SOLUTIONS FEATURING A CLOSED H5
LOW CENTER CROSSING THE REGION. THIS WILL MAKE UPPER DIVERGENCE
SLOWER TO CLEAR TO THE EAST THU MORNING...AND ALSO ALLOW DEEP LAYER
Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE TO DWELL OVERHEAD...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF INTERSTATE 77 THROUGH NOON. GIVEN THE FAIRLY ROBUST LAPSE RATES
ALOFT...STRONG CONTINUED FORCING WITH THE TROUGH...AND SOME DEGREE
OF A MID LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE CROSSING THE NRN HALF...WILL BOOST
SNOW ACCUMS SLIGHTLY IN WRN NC THU MORNING. MOST LOCATIONS OUTSIDE
OF THE NRN NC MTNS WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING ONCE DRYING ENSUES THU
AFTN...BUT RECOVERY AND MELTING MAY BE LIMITED GIVEN THE SNOW PACK.

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL FLATTEN OUT THROUGH THU NIGHT...WITH NOTHING
MORE THAN A TRANSIENT LOBE OF UPSLOPE MOISTURE IN THE BRISK WESTERLY
FLOW ACROSS THE NRN MTNS BY DAYBREAK FRI. EXPECT LITTLE MORE THAN
SOME INCREASED CLOUDS. A CLIPPER TYPE WAVE WILL DIVE SE THROUGH THE
NRN PLAINS THU NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION FRI NIGHT. THE BEST
FORCING...BRIEFLY DEEP MOISTURE...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH THE
CLIPPER WILL BE FRI EVENING. WILL INCREASE RA/SN CHANCES
THROUGHOUT...WITH MTN SNOW ACCUMS POSSIBLY APPROACHING ADVISORY
CRITERIA IN THE WESTERN MTNS FRI NIGHT. WILL MENTION IN HWO.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 115 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT 12Z
ON SATURDAY WITH THE UPPER TROF AXIS MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST WITH
A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SW STATES.  WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE REST OF THE DAY SATURDAY. BOTH THE GFS
AND ECMWF SHOW A SHORTWAVE MOVING SE FROM MINNESOTA AT 18Z SATURDAY
TO REACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AROUND 12Z SUNDAY. THE GFS HAS
ALL QPF RESPONSE BRIEFLY OVER NRN MTNS AND NRN FOOTHILLS OF NC EARLY
SUNDAY.  THE OLD 12Z TUE ECMWF HAS A BROAD QPF RESPONSE OVER OUR
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AT 12Z SUNDAY. THE EC THEN MOVES ALL OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST BEFORE 00Z MONDAY. THE CANADIAN IS MORE GFS LIKE WITH
ONLY PRECIP MOSTLY OVER NRN AREAS THEN QUICKLY PUSHING IT EAST. ANY
LIGHT PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOSTLY SNOW OVER
WESTERN NC AND IF ANY FALLS OVER NE GA AND THE UPSTATE WOULD BE
MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN. THE BRAND NEW ECMWF IS MORE GFS LIKE SO CONFINING
MOST LIGHT PRECIP TO NC IS BEST.

A CAD HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER NY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
MONDAY ALTHOUGH THE GFS SHOW A LIGHT AND VARIABLE LOW LEVEL WIND
FLOW IN THIS REGIME. THE ECMWF HAS A MORE REASONABLE WIND PATTERN
WITH THE EXPECTED NE FLOW SUNDAY NIGHT THEN SHIFTING TO MORE
SOUTHERLY LATE MONDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES ARE TRENDING COOLER MONDAY WITH THE AFFECT OF NE FLOW
FOR MUCH OF DAY WITH THE CAD AND CLOUDINESS. WITH THIS COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL FALL AROUND 12Z TUESDAY. EITHER
ALL OR NEARLY ALL WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN. IF THERE IS ANY LEFT
OVER PRECIP BEHIND THE FRONT WITH FALLING THICKNESSES AND ESPECIALLY
IF FRONT PASSES SOONER IN NIGHT TIME...THERE MAY BE SOME SNOW. HIGH
PRESSURE OF PACIFIC ORIGIN WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER BEHIND THIS COLD
FRONT INTO MID WEEK. BRAND NEW ECMWF IS NOW DELAYING COLD FRONT
ARRIVING ABOUT 12 HOURS...AROUND 00Z WEDNESDAY. THIS WOULD CHANGE
THE CURRENT FORECAST. OF COURSE...THAT IS NEAR A WEEK AWAY AND HAVE
PLENTY OF TIME TO REVISE THE FORECAST.

TEMPERATURES WILL GO FROM ABOUT TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL SATURDAY
WITH GRADUAL MILDER WEATHER UNTIL BEING ABOVE NORMAL BY ABOUT A
CATEGORY TUESDAY IN DOWNSLOPE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WHILE MTNS WILL
BE NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THINKING FOR THE 06Z TAFS. TIMING OF
WINTRY PRECIP MOVING IN IS STILL ON TARGET FOR THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. EXPECT PERHAPS A MIXTURE OF -SNPL AT ONSET...BUT SHUD
TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW QUICKLY BY AROUND 12Z. SNOW RATES ARE
EXPECTED TO CRANK UP SUCH THAT SEVERAL HOURS OF 1/4SM VSBY IS
PROBABLY LIKELY THIS AFTN. I HAVE TRENDED THAT WAY WITH 1/2SM IN
MODERATE SNOW. GUIDANCE STILL SHOWING A TRANSITION LINE OF PL AND
FZRA BEGINNING TO PIVOT NORTHWESTWARD LATE AFTN INTO THIS EVENING.
MEANWHILE...NE WINDS WILL INCREASE AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACRS NRN
FL. I HAVE BEEFED UP WINDS FOR THIS AFTN AND EVENING. ONCE
CONDITIONS DROP TO LIFR/IFR...EXPECT LITTLE IMPROVEMENT THRU 06Z.

ELSEWHERE...AS WITH KCLT DISCUSSION ABOVE...NOT MUCH CHANGE TO FCST
THINKING. HAVE DROPPED VSBY TO 1/2M DURING PERIOD OF EXPECTED
HEAVIEST SNOW RATES. THE UPSTATE SITES IN PARTICULAR WILL LIKELY
SEEN 1/4SM AT TIMES. A TRANSITION LINE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WILL APPROACH THE UPSTATE TAF SITES FROM SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTN
AND EARLY EVENING. THERE IS SOME IFR/MVFR STRATUS LINGERING ACRS THE
UPSTATE AND IN THE MTN VLYS. THERE MAY BE SOME BREAKS IN THOSE
CLOUDS...BUT THINGS SHUD QUICKLY GO TO MVFR/IFR BY 12Z...AS PRECIP
STARTS TO MOVE IN. NE WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY...AS LOW
PRES DEEPENS ACRS NRN FL. WINDS ARE A BIT TRICKY AT KAVL...AS COLD
AIR DAMMING SHUD SUPPORT A SE WIND...BUT ONCE LOW GETS FAR ENUF
NE...THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN OUT OF THE N AND BECOME GUSTY.

OUTLOOK...POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THU...BUT
SHUD IMPROVE DURING THE AFTN HOURS...AS LOW PRES LIFTS NE OF THE
AREA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING...AND MAY
BRING SOME RESTRICTIONS/PRECIP TO KAVL. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FRIDAY THRU THE WEEKEND.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            08-14Z        14-20Z        20-02Z        02-08Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     MED   70%     MED   79%     HIGH  90%
KGSP       MED   63%     LOW   46%     MED   61%     MED   79%
KAVL       MED   62%     LOW   41%     LOW   50%     HIGH  83%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     MED   72%     LOW   50%     HIGH  87%
KGMU       MED   62%     LOW   45%     MED   63%     HIGH  85%
KAND       MED   61%     LOW   59%     HIGH  86%     HIGH  86%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD DAILY SNOWFALL FOR WEDNESDAY FEB 12TH...

AVL...2.8 IN 2010
CLT...5.1 IN 1899
GSP...5.0 IN 1895

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR GAZ010-017-
     018-026-028-029.
NC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ033-
     035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR SCZ001>014-
     019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...ARK
CLIMATE...DEO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
448 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-131000-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
448 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. SEE THE LATEST WINTER STORM WARNING.
..FRIDAY...SNOW POSSIBLE. A SWIFTLY MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MAY PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY FRIDAY EVENING.
..SATURDAY...SNOW POSSIBLE. ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS WOULD OCCUR
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ053-062>065-501-503-505-131000-
BUNCOMBE-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
448 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE
ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE...AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. SEE THE LATEST WINTER STORM WARNING.
..FRIDAY...LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. A SWIFTLY MOVING UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MAY PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY FRIDAY
EVENING.
..SATURDAY...LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS
WOULD OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>014-019-131000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
448 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...SNOW POSSIBLE. SEE THE LATEST WINTER STORM WARNING.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1236 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>007-010>013-019-120900-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...ANDERSON...
ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...GREENWOOD
1236 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTRY WEATHER POISED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
WESTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING...

A LARGE SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING
WINTER STORM WILL START SPREADING ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
WESTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA FROM 1 TO 4 AM. PRECIPITATION
WILL LIKELY START OUT AS A SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE...BUT WILL
QUICKLY TRANSITION OVER TO ALL SNOW...WITH RATES INCREASING
THROUGH DAYBREAK. PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY SOUTHWEST
OF A GREENVILLE TO LAURENS LINE THROUGH 4 AM. TEMPERATURES WILL
QUICKLY FALL BELOW THE FREEZING MARK...IF THEY ARE NOT ALREADY
THERE AT YOUR LOCATION. TRAVEL PROBLEMS WILL GRADUALLY RAMP UP
THROUGH DAYBREAK.

GERAPETRITIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
330 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ062>064-SCZ001-002-004-005-010-011-
019-121100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
GREENWOOD
330 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...MAJOR WINTER STORM GETTING UNDERWAY...

SNOW AND SLEET WILL EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND GROW HEAVIER THROUGH
DAYBREAK ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE WESTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN
COUNTIES FROM FRANKLIN TO BREVARD THROUGH DAYBREAK. MAINLY SNOW IS
EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR THIS
MORNING...BUT WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXING IN AT TIMES FROM
HARTWELL TO ELBERTON TO GREENWOOD. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BECOME MUCH
GREATER AFTER DAYBREAK THROUGH NOON.

NCZ065-068>072-082-507>510-SCZ003-006>009-012>014-121100-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSONVILLE...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...LAKE LURE...
RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER
330 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...MAJOR WINTER STORM GETTING UNDERWAY SHORTLY...

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA FROM HENDERSONVILLE TO GREER TO
LAURENS BY 5 AM THIS MORNING. A LITTLE SLEET MAY MIX IN RIGHT AT
ONSET...BUT A QUICK TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED. THE SNOW
WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...FROM POLK TO SHELBY TO THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA...AROUND
DAYBREAK. SNOWFALL RATES WILL STEADILY INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
THROUGH NOON.

GERAPETRITIS