New Mexico, 2014

High Wind in New Mexico, April 2 to 3, 2014

April 2 to 3, 2014 · NWS MAF · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

An upper level trough passing over he region resulted in strong southwest to west winds in the Guadalupe Mountains.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.

An upper level trough passing over he region resulted in strong southwest to west winds in the Guadalupe Mountains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 2, 5:14 PM MST, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 5:14 PM MST, 2 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
714 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2014

.UPDATE...
See public discussion below.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
will allow the wind advisory to expire on schedule across the
southeast New Mexico plains and Van Horn Highway 54 corridor
including the Davis Mountains. Tweaked the sky grid tonight to
increase clouds and also tweaked temperatures in several places
a couple of degrees.

updated products to be sent shortly.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2014/

DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
Winds have decreased and will continue to do, an exception could
be CNM. For now have brought winds down to 12kts at most sites thru
the night. Big changes tmw with w winds increasing by mid morning
nearing 30kts sustained by early afternoon. Also MVFR vbsy expected
in BLDU. Airport weather warning will be needed and no doubt low
levels will be very turbulent Thursday.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 243 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2014/

DISCUSSION...

This afternoon is shaping up to be another very warm day with high
temperatures similar to those yesterday.  An upper level trough is
currently over southern California and Arizona and is moving
eastward.  In advance of this upper trough, a lee surface trough is
expected across the area with west to southwest winds.  Stronger
winds from the approaching upper trough will mix down to the surface
today and will contribute to stronger winds across the Guadalupe and
Davis Mountains as well as the surrounding plains.  A High Wind
Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe Mountains and a Wind Advisory
is in effect for Eddy County in New Mexico, the Davis Mountains, and
the Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor area.  Patchy blowing dust will
be possible across southeast New Mexico this afternoon with the
stronger winds.  The winds are expected to weaken during the
overnight period across the plains so the Wind Advisory will be
allowed to expire at 6 pm MDT.  The winds may briefly weaken below
high wind criteria in the Guadalupe Mountains tonight but don't
expect much of a break from the winds so the High Wind Warning will
be allowed to be in effect through the overnight hours.

The upper level trough will pass over the Central/Southern Plains on
Thursday with the base of the trough passing over the CWA.  Strong
winds from the base of the upper trough will mix down across the
area on Thursday.  High winds are expected in the Guadalupe
Mountains so the High Wind Warning will be allowed to continue
through the day Thursday.  High winds are also expected to be in the
Davis Mountains so a High Wind Warning is in effect for Thursday.
Winds may also reach high wind criteria near Van Horn and the
Highway 54 Corridor.  Winds may reach wind advisory criteria in
parts of the plains Thursday afternoon but do not have enough
confidence at this time to issue a Wind Advisory.  Areas of blowing
dust will be possible Thursday across the southeast New Mexico
plains, the Permian Basin, the Western Low Rolling Plains, and the
Trans Pecos. Winds across the area will begin to weaken by evening
so the High Wind Warnings will be allowed to expire then.
Temperatures will cool off to near normal values on Thursday due to
cooler 850 mb temperatures.

As the upper level trough passes to the east, a cold front will move
south toward the CWA.  The front appears to arrive late Thursday
evening.  Winds will briefly shift to the north then will become
southeasterly by Friday evening.  The temperatures will only be
slightly cooler on Friday due to the brief wind shift and distance
to the surface high.

Another upper trough will approach the region on Saturday.  As upper
level lift and low level moisture increase across the area, showers
and thunderstorms may develop across mainly eastern and northern
sections of the CWA Saturday afternoon.  Showers and thunderstorms
may continue into Saturday night across the eastern Permian Basin
and Lower Trans Pecos along with a dryline that will be present.  As
this upper trough moves east of the region, a cold front will move
into the area Sunday evening with showers and thunderstorms possible
across far northeast sections of the CWA.  High temperatures on
Monday are expected to be cooler and slightly below average.
Temperatures will gradually warm up through the middle of next week
as the upper trough moves eastward.

FIRE WEATHER...

Very windy conditions have developed in the Guadalupe Mountains and
southeast New Mexico plains this afternoon, and combined with very
dry air is creating critical fire weather conditions. Winds have
been slower to increase in the Davis Mountains but critical
conditions are expected there as well.

A deep upper level trough currently over the western states will
move into the central plains tomorrow. Westerly winds will remain
modest overnight allowing for a poor RH recovery and another very
dry day Thursday. A mid level wind speed max will couple with
downward forcing and daytime heating to cause very windy conditions
across much of the area. Thursday will be a high end critical
weather day or perhaps even an extremely critical fire weather day.
The worst conditions will be over the Permian Basin and Guadalupe
and Davis Mountains where wind speeds will be strongest. The main
limiting factor for an extreme day will be near, or perhaps even
slightly below normal temperatures. Not only will stronger winds be
mixed to the surface, but cooler air within the trough will mix down
as well. Many of the high end days are associated with above or well
above normal temperatures and that won't be the case on Thursday.
Still with such windy conditions and dry air, very explosive fire
behavior will be possible and fire fighting agencies should remain
alert to this dangerous situation.

The upper trough will move east of the area Thursday night bringing
a cold front and cooler temperatures. There will be a wind shift
from the north sometime near midnight Friday morning which fire
officials need to be aware of, but thankfully winds will also
diminish. Winds will veer from the northeast through the southeast
during the day on Friday as high pressure builds into Texas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 51  71  38  69  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              52  75  40  69  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                50  71  36  70  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  64  86  49  75  /  10   0  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           55  75  41  72  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          43  64  35  63  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   48  68  35  67  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   43  67  31  68  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    52  73  40  70  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  52  73  40  70  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    50  73  39  73  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING from 9 AM to 9 PM MDT Thursday FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...
     Southeast Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING until 6 PM MDT Thursday FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

     RED FLAG WARNING until 9 PM MDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...Southeast
     Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING from 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ to 10 PM CDT /9 PM
     MDT/ Thursday FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Andrews...Big Bend
     Area...Borden...Crane...Davis/Apache Mountains Area...
     Dawson...Ector...Gaines...Glasscock...Guadalupe Mountains...
     Howard...Loving...Marfa Plateau...Martin...Midland...
     Mitchell...Pecos...Presidio Valley...Reagan...Reeves County
     and Upper Trans Pecos...Scurry...Terrell...Upton...Van Horn
     and Highway 54 Corridor...Ward...Winkler.

     HIGH WIND WARNING until 6 PM MDT Thursday FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.

     RED FLAG WARNING until 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Davis/Apache Mountains Area...Guadalupe
     Mountains...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

     HIGH WIND WARNING from 1 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Davis/Apache Mountains Area.

&&

99/99
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 2, 5:07 PM MST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
707 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-040015-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
707 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014 /607 PM MDT WED APR 2 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE GUADALUPE...DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS...AND VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.  A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 65 MPH. A HIGH
WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

TONIGHT IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS MAINLY ABOVE 6000 FT...WEST WINDS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...AND A
HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT STARING AT 1 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HIGH IMPACT FIRE WEATHER DAY IS EXPECTED
THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WEST TEXAS PERMIAN BASIN AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH/S ARE EXPECTED WITH
VERY DRY FUELS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN
EFFECT.

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT IN THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS THURSDAY...WITH WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 70 MPH. THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL ALSO REMAIN IN EFFECT
IN THE DAVIS AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...WITH WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH EXPECTED. WESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35
MPH COULD ALSO AFFECT MANY AREAS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER THERE IS A
HEIGHTENED RISK OF FIRES...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County

When
April 2, 8:00 PM MST to April 3, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Unknown
Coordinates
32.472, -104.304 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Eddy County Plains

When
April 3, 12:00 PM MST
Where
Eddy County Plains forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS
Coordinates
32.472, -104.304 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, April 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 506393, 506391.