Montana, 2014

Avalanche and High Wind in Montana, March 13 to 16, 2014

March 13 to 16, 2014 · NWS TFX · 8 events in 7 counties and zones

High winds over north central montana.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
1
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

High winds over north central montana.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 13, 4:20 AM MST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 4:20 AM MST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
520 AM MDT Thu Mar 13 2014

Updated Aviation Discussion

.DISCUSSION...

Today through Saturday...A shortwave will move over the Rockies
today and move into Eastern Montana this afternoon. Water vapor
shows this to be a rather dry system and any chance of precip
will be limited to the western mountains. Some breezy conditions
currently over the Rockies and adjacent plains which should weaken
during the morning. A slightly cooler air mass will move in behind
with the cold front associated with the shortwave but the high
pressure ridge will quickly rebuild and Friday will continue the
trend of warm temperatures. However, another short wave will be
moving over the West Coast Friday and winds aloft will strengthen
ahead of this system. Strong and gusty surface winds will develop
Friday afternoon and continue into Saturday. At this time, high
lights are not expected to be needed although some higher
locations will need to be watched...the Northern Rockies and the
Whitlash/Sunburst area. This shortwave will also bring
precipitation into the area late Friday afternoon and night. With
warm temperatures, snow accumulations should not be significant.
Higher locations may see total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
inches. The shortwave will cool the air mass Friday night and
Saturday. However, the ridge rebuilds quickly and should allow
good heating and the current warm max temps for Saturday will be
continued. Zelzer

Saturday night through Thursday...An upper level ridge of high
pressure shifts east across the region Saturday night through
Sunday. Afternoon temperatures on Sunday will be about 10-15 degrees
above climatological averages with some lower elevation locations
likely to approach 60 degrees. Westerly winds aloft strengthen
through the day on Sunday as the upper level ridge flattens Sunday
afternoon through Sunday night in response to a strong pacific jet
moving east along the US/Canadian border. This and the development
of a lee-side surface trough which strengthens Sunday night will
likely produce strong winds for western portions of north-central
MT. Medium range models have come into better agreement on the
arrival of a Pacific upper level trough in the Northern Rockies on
Monday, but still differ with respect to precipitation amounts with
ECMWF showing a stronger/wetter wave than the GFS. With higher
confidence now in the timing, have increased pops for Monday and
Monday night and cooled temps a bit further. Upper level ridging
then builds in behind the trough during the Tuesday/Wednesday period
before a larger trough may move into the west later next week.
Models are still struggling with the timing and strength of these
features for Tuesday and beyond, though a turn to generally more
unsettled weather appears likely by late next week. Hoenisch

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1120Z.
An upper level weather disturbance will move quickly SE across MT
today. Main impacts from this feature will be breezy winds, shifting
to the northwest over north-central MT terminals late this morning.
Moisture is very limited with this system and little or no
precipitation is expected, though a period of broken mid level
clouds is likely late this morning into this afternoon, mainly
across north central MT. VFR conditions will prevail at all all
terminals with clearing skies and decreasing winds expected tonight.
Hoenisch

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Further flooding problems during the next few days are not
expected. Snow levels should be relatively low and minimum
temperatures should fall below freezing for a time each night. A
weather system will move through the area Friday night but
significant amounts of precipitation are not expected. Snowmelt
could increase by Sunday as snow levels rise to between 6500 feet
and 7500 feet. Increased precipitation could occur early next week
but snow levels will fall.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  49  28  51  31 /  10   0  20  50
CTB  45  26  47  29 /   0   0  10  60
HLN  50  29  51  32 /   0   0  20  50
BZN  45  24  49  29 /   0   0  20  70
WEY  42  17  42  20 /   0  10  20  70
DLN  48  26  49  27 /   0   0  10  60
HVR  48  26  51  30 /  10  10  10  80
LWT  46  27  49  30 /  10  10  10  60

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WARNING for the Missouri River near Landusky until Thursday
evening.

FLOOD WARNING for the Milk River at Eastern Crossing near Rudyard
until further notice.

URBAN and SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY until 115 PM MDT Thursday for
Jefferson County.

URBAN and SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY until 200 PM MDT Thursday for
Glacier and Pondera counties.

URBAN and SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY until 930 PM MDT Thursday for
Lewis and Clark County.

&&

weather.gov/greatfalls
www.twitter.com/NWSGreatFalls
www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.GreatFalls.gov

Event by event

7 high wind, 1 avalanche. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 13, 6:35 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

High wind gusts, peaking at 55KT (63MPH), were reported 1 mi E of East Glacier Park, MT at the Two Medicine DOT sensor.

Avalanche, Gallatin

When
March 13, 12:00 PM MST to 2:00 PM MST
Where
Gallatin forecast zone
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Park/Forest Service

The Gallatin County Sheriff’s Office received a report of an unknown number of skiers that had been caught up in an avalanche north of Bridger Bowl.

Rescuers found one injured skier. The skier was a 32 year old male from Bozeman that had been skiing out of bounds north of Bridger Bowl in what is called the Barney Avalanche Slide Path. The skier caused the avalanche at the ridge breaking a large cornice free and landed approximately 450 yards down the hill. The skier was able to dig his way out of the snow. Rescuers moved the skier to the Bridger Bowl Ski Patrol building to provide further medical assistance. The skier was then transported to Bozeman Deaconess Hospital for his injuries.

High Wind, Liberty

When
March 14, 11:30 AM MST
Where
Liberty forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High wind gusts, peaking at 53KT (61MPH), were reported 6 mi NE of Whitlash, MT at the State Flood sensor.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 15, 11:45 PM MST to March 16, 8:00 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
73 kt (84 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

High wind gusts, peaking at 73KT (84MPH), were reported 1 mi E of East Glacier Park, MT at the Two Medicine DOT sensor.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 16, 1:45 AM MST to 8:00 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
68 kt (78 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High wind gusts, peaking at 68KT (78MPH), were reported 17 mi W of Pendroy, MT at the Theodore Roosevelt Memorial Ranch sensor.

High Wind, Eastern Teton

When
March 16, 1:45 AM MST to 8:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Measured
36 kt (41 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Trained Spotter

High sustained winds, peaking at 36KT (41MPH), were reported 13 mi E of Fairfield, MT. A gust to 53KT (61MPH) was also reported.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
March 16, 3:45 AM MST to 8:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

High wind gusts, peaking at 56KT (64MPH), were reported 3 mi SW of Cut Bank, MT at the Cut Bank Airport ASOS.

High Wind, Judith Basin

When
March 16, 9:40 AM MST to 1:40 PM MST
Where
Judith Basin forecast zone
Measured
37 kt (43 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Department of Highways

High sustained winds, peaking at 37KT (42MPH), were reported 2 mi SSE of Geyser, MT at the Geyser DOT sensor.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Avalanche
A mass of snow sliding down a mountainside that caused a death, an injury or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 502182, 502179, 502184, 502185, 502186, 502189, 502188, 502191.