Montana, 2014Avalanche and High Wind in Montana, March 13 to 16, 2014
March 13 to 16, 2014 · NWS TFX · 8 events in 7 counties and zones
High winds over north central montana.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 1
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 8
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
High winds over north central montana.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 13, 4:20 AM MST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 4:20 AM MST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
520 AM MDT Thu Mar 13 2014
Updated Aviation Discussion
.DISCUSSION...
Today through Saturday...A shortwave will move over the Rockies
today and move into Eastern Montana this afternoon. Water vapor
shows this to be a rather dry system and any chance of precip
will be limited to the western mountains. Some breezy conditions
currently over the Rockies and adjacent plains which should weaken
during the morning. A slightly cooler air mass will move in behind
with the cold front associated with the shortwave but the high
pressure ridge will quickly rebuild and Friday will continue the
trend of warm temperatures. However, another short wave will be
moving over the West Coast Friday and winds aloft will strengthen
ahead of this system. Strong and gusty surface winds will develop
Friday afternoon and continue into Saturday. At this time, high
lights are not expected to be needed although some higher
locations will need to be watched...the Northern Rockies and the
Whitlash/Sunburst area. This shortwave will also bring
precipitation into the area late Friday afternoon and night. With
warm temperatures, snow accumulations should not be significant.
Higher locations may see total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
inches. The shortwave will cool the air mass Friday night and
Saturday. However, the ridge rebuilds quickly and should allow
good heating and the current warm max temps for Saturday will be
continued. Zelzer
Saturday night through Thursday...An upper level ridge of high
pressure shifts east across the region Saturday night through
Sunday. Afternoon temperatures on Sunday will be about 10-15 degrees
above climatological averages with some lower elevation locations
likely to approach 60 degrees. Westerly winds aloft strengthen
through the day on Sunday as the upper level ridge flattens Sunday
afternoon through Sunday night in response to a strong pacific jet
moving east along the US/Canadian border. This and the development
of a lee-side surface trough which strengthens Sunday night will
likely produce strong winds for western portions of north-central
MT. Medium range models have come into better agreement on the
arrival of a Pacific upper level trough in the Northern Rockies on
Monday, but still differ with respect to precipitation amounts with
ECMWF showing a stronger/wetter wave than the GFS. With higher
confidence now in the timing, have increased pops for Monday and
Monday night and cooled temps a bit further. Upper level ridging
then builds in behind the trough during the Tuesday/Wednesday period
before a larger trough may move into the west later next week.
Models are still struggling with the timing and strength of these
features for Tuesday and beyond, though a turn to generally more
unsettled weather appears likely by late next week. Hoenisch
&&
.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1120Z.
An upper level weather disturbance will move quickly SE across MT
today. Main impacts from this feature will be breezy winds, shifting
to the northwest over north-central MT terminals late this morning.
Moisture is very limited with this system and little or no
precipitation is expected, though a period of broken mid level
clouds is likely late this morning into this afternoon, mainly
across north central MT. VFR conditions will prevail at all all
terminals with clearing skies and decreasing winds expected tonight.
Hoenisch
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Further flooding problems during the next few days are not
expected. Snow levels should be relatively low and minimum
temperatures should fall below freezing for a time each night. A
weather system will move through the area Friday night but
significant amounts of precipitation are not expected. Snowmelt
could increase by Sunday as snow levels rise to between 6500 feet
and 7500 feet. Increased precipitation could occur early next week
but snow levels will fall.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 49 28 51 31 / 10 0 20 50
CTB 45 26 47 29 / 0 0 10 60
HLN 50 29 51 32 / 0 0 20 50
BZN 45 24 49 29 / 0 0 20 70
WEY 42 17 42 20 / 0 10 20 70
DLN 48 26 49 27 / 0 0 10 60
HVR 48 26 51 30 / 10 10 10 80
LWT 46 27 49 30 / 10 10 10 60
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WARNING for the Missouri River near Landusky until Thursday
evening.
FLOOD WARNING for the Milk River at Eastern Crossing near Rudyard
until further notice.
URBAN and SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY until 115 PM MDT Thursday for
Jefferson County.
URBAN and SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY until 200 PM MDT Thursday for
Glacier and Pondera counties.
URBAN and SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY until 930 PM MDT Thursday for
Lewis and Clark County.
&&
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High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 13, 6:35 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
High wind gusts, peaking at 55KT (63MPH), were reported 1 mi E of East Glacier Park, MT at the Two Medicine DOT sensor.
Avalanche, Gallatin
- When
- March 13, 12:00 PM MST to 2:00 PM MST
- Where
- Gallatin forecast zone
- Injuries
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
The Gallatin County Sheriff’s Office received a report of an unknown number of skiers that had been caught up in an avalanche north of Bridger Bowl.
Rescuers found one injured skier. The skier was a 32 year old male from Bozeman that had been skiing out of bounds north of Bridger Bowl in what is called the Barney Avalanche Slide Path. The skier caused the avalanche at the ridge breaking a large cornice free and landed approximately 450 yards down the hill. The skier was able to dig his way out of the snow. Rescuers moved the skier to the Bridger Bowl Ski Patrol building to provide further medical assistance. The skier was then transported to Bozeman Deaconess Hospital for his injuries.
High Wind, Liberty
- When
- March 14, 11:30 AM MST
- Where
- Liberty forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
High wind gusts, peaking at 53KT (61MPH), were reported 6 mi NE of Whitlash, MT at the State Flood sensor.
High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 15, 11:45 PM MST to March 16, 8:00 PM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 73 kt (84 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
High wind gusts, peaking at 73KT (84MPH), were reported 1 mi E of East Glacier Park, MT at the Two Medicine DOT sensor.
High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 16, 1:45 AM MST to 8:00 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Measured
- 68 kt (78 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
High wind gusts, peaking at 68KT (78MPH), were reported 17 mi W of Pendroy, MT at the Theodore Roosevelt Memorial Ranch sensor.
High Wind, Eastern Teton
- When
- March 16, 1:45 AM MST to 8:00 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Teton forecast zone
- Measured
- 36 kt (41 mph) measured sustained
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
High sustained winds, peaking at 36KT (41MPH), were reported 13 mi E of Fairfield, MT. A gust to 53KT (61MPH) was also reported.
High Wind, Eastern Glacier
- When
- March 16, 3:45 AM MST to 8:00 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern Glacier forecast zone
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
High wind gusts, peaking at 56KT (64MPH), were reported 3 mi SW of Cut Bank, MT at the Cut Bank Airport ASOS.
High Wind, Judith Basin
- When
- March 16, 9:40 AM MST to 1:40 PM MST
- Where
- Judith Basin forecast zone
- Measured
- 37 kt (43 mph) measured sustained
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
High sustained winds, peaking at 37KT (42MPH), were reported 2 mi SSE of Geyser, MT at the Geyser DOT sensor.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Avalanche
- A mass of snow sliding down a mountainside that caused a death, an injury or damage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Strong Wind in Florida, March 13, 20141 death · 2 injured · 1 event
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- Blizzard and Avalanche in Alaska, March 13 to 15, 20143 events
- Winter Weather in West Virginia, March 13, 20141 event
- Winter Weather in Virginia, March 13, 20141 event
- Winter Weather in Tennessee, March 13, 20141 event
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- Flood in Illinois, March 13 to 18, 20141 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 502182, 502179, 502184, 502185, 502186, 502189, 502188, 502191.