A surface low crossed the central Florida peninsula and high moisture content and forcing on the north side of the low brought waves of heavy rainfall across portions of northeast Florida for a couple of days.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A surface low crossed the central Florida peninsula and high moisture content and forcing on the north side of the low brought waves of heavy rainfall across portions of northeast Florida for a couple of days.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 1, 3:19 AM EST, 6 hours 11 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 319 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014 .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... RAINFALL EVENT IS EVOLVING AS EXPECTED AND THE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS WE GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. CURRENTLY...MOST OF THE RAIN OBSERVED ON REGIONAL RADARS IS EVAPORATING PRIOR TO REACHING THE GROUND DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT LAYER OF DRY AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS. THIS WILL HOWEVER CHANGE AS WE GO THROUGH THE DAY. LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND THE LOW LEVELS WILL ALSO BECOME SATURATED AS WE GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STRONGEST ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA IS PROGGED TO LIFT INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA LATER TONIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECTED. MOST OF THE RAIN THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT BUT COULD BE FAIRLY STEADY AS THE MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN SPREADS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND THEN INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. WILL SHOW AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ROUGHLY A QUARTER TO A HALF OF AN INCH TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA...AND WILL THEN SHOW A HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TONIGHT...PRIMARILY NORTH OF A LINE FROM GAINESVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE. HIGH PRESSURE WEDGE AND DEVELOPING TROUGH OFFSHORE WILL KEEP THE AREA IN THE COOL SECTOR THROUGH TONIGHT SO IT WILL BE A RELATIVELY CHILLY RAIN WITH HIGHS TODAY ONLY IN THE 50S WITH PERHAPS SOME MID 60S FAR SOUTH AS THICK CLOUD COVER EFFECTIVELY SHIELDS THE SUN. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL NOT MOVE MUCH FROM DAYTIME VALUES AS THE CLOUDS ACT AS A BLANKET WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS ONLY EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES LOWER THAN TODAYS HIGHS. THU/THU NIGHT...THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH THE SYSTEMS COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA THU AFTN INTO THE EVENING. WILL CONTINUE TO USE 100 POPS FOR MOST AREAS WITH A WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL EVENT. WITH THE AREA REMAINING NORTH OF THE WARM SECTOR...DO NOT EXPECT EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RATES...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES FOR MOST AREAS AND LOCAL MAXIMUMS TO 3 INCHES. WITH THE AREA REMAINING OUT OF THE WARM SECTOR...WILL KEEP ANY TSTM MENTION SLIGHT CHANCE AND LIMITED TO NORTH CENTRAL FL THU AFTN JUST IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. PRECIP WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH THU NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT EXITS TO THE SE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THU WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER/MID 60S FROM I-10 NORTH...WITH UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL WORK IN THU NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER/MID 30S INLAND...WITH UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S CLOSER TO THE COAST. FRI/FRI NIGHT...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COLD NORTHERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN LITTLE OF A WARMUP...WITH HIGHS AROUND 50 FROM I-10 NORTH...WITH LOWER/MID 50S FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SOME FRIDAY NIGHT CLOSE TO THE COAST AS FLOW BECOMES NE...WITH A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OFFSHORE. LOWS FRI NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 30 INLAND...WITH UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S CLOSER TO THE COAST. .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... SATURDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRY...BUT WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH...A FEW COASTAL SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE MILDER THAN FRIDAY WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW...WITH 55 TO 60 FOR SE GA...WITH MAINLY 60S FOR NE FL. LOWS SAT NIGHT WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES WARMER THAN FRIDAY NIGHT. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT BRINGING THE NEXT COLD FRONT TO THE AREA SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT. WITH DEEP MOISTURE LIMITED...WILL USE LOW END CHANCE POPS FOR THE FRONTAL CROSSING. SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE WITH TROUGH AMPLITUDE BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE ECMWF CONTINUING TO BE THE STEEPEST WITH THE TROUGH...BRINGING IN THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON BY TUESDAY. GFS REMAINS LESS AMPLIFIED BUT IS TRENDING SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER. WITH THE ECMWF SHOWING SOME RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY...WILL BEGIN TO BLEND IT IN MORE WITH THE WARMER GFS GUIDANCE...WITH A FREEZE FOR MOST INLAND LOCATIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND CHILLY HIGHS ONLY AROUND 50 FOR MANY LOCATIONS TUESDAY. && .AVIATION... CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TODAY...BECOMING MVFR THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN IFR TONIGHT. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH IFR VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE IN A STEADY PERIOD OF A MORE MODERATE RAINFALL TONIGHT. && .MARINE... WINDS TODAY TO REMAIN ONSHORE 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH SEAS GENERALLY 2 TO 4 FEET. FORECAST BECOMES A LITTLE MORE COMPLICATED TONIGHT AS A TROUGH BEGINS TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE WITH WINDS TURNING TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE FLORIDA WATERS. DEPENDING ON STRENGTH OF TROUGH...WIND SPEEDS TONIGHT MAY END UP A LITTLE HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST BUT STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THURSDAY WITH SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OFFSHORE. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT EXPECT A STRONG NORTHERLY WIND SURGE...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE OFFSHORE THU NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINING...WILL NOT ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR NOW. RESIDUAL SCA WINDS FRIDAY WILL DIMINISH FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER NORTH WIND SURGE/SCA CONDITIONS LIKELY EARLY NEXT WEEK. RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 56 49 63 33 / 60 100 100 30 SSI 57 54 61 35 / 80 100 100 50 JAX 59 56 65 33 / 90 100 100 50 SGJ 62 60 70 37 / 90 90 100 60 GNV 61 57 68 36 / 80 80 90 60 OCF 63 58 72 41 / 70 70 80 60 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && SHULER/ALLEN/
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 353 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014 AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040- GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-020900- ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM- ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON- SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS- GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON- APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN- COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 353 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA... SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GAINESVILLE TO ST AUGUSTINE ON THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TO THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Both a storm spotter and NWS employee measured 3.5 inches of rainfall in 24 hours on the west side of Fleming Island.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, January 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 486231.