Alaska, 2014Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Alaska, February 12 to 15, 2014
February 12 to 15, 2014 · NWS AJK · 10 events in 7 counties and zones
Low pressure (960mb) located over the western Gulf near remained stationary through 2/14 and the associated front drove moisture in to the Yakutat area and Northern Panhandle. This warmer, moist air produced significant snowfall across the region and some wind.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 10
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Low pressure (960mb) located over the western Gulf near remained stationary through 2/14 and the associated front drove moisture in to the Yakutat area and Northern Panhandle. This warmer, moist air produced significant snowfall across the region and some wind. Travel was impeded.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 12, 3:24 PM AKST, 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 3:24 PM AKST, 36 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
324 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014
.SHORT TERM...A SURFACE LOW HAS FORMED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
UNDERNEATH A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. AN UPPER LOW WILL DROP
SOUTH FROM THE NORTHERN INTERIOR AND AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS FEATURE AS A BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM WRAPS AROUND THE BASE
OF THE UPPER LOW. FRONTOGENESIS IS ALSO APPARENT IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY AS OF THIS AFTERNOON. FURTHER SOUTH IN THE GULF, A
DEVELOPING WAVE IS TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST. THE WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE DEVELOPING FRONT AND THEN SWING NORTH
TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. WHILE NOT A TRUE TRAINING EVENT,
MUCH OF THE ASSOCIATED QPF WILL BE CONCENTRATED IN THE YAKUTAT
AREA. AS OF THIS AFTERNOON, IT LOOKS LIKE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
WILL OCCUR TO THE WEST OF THE BAY, BUT ENOUGH WILL FALL IN
YAKUTAT TO SUPPORT A WINTER STORM WARNING FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TRAJECTORY ON THIS FRONT WOULD NORMALLY
RESULT IN RAIN, BUT NEAR SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURES OVER THE GULF
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL RESULT IN SNOW AT THE STAR
REGARDLESS OF WHERE THE PRECIP IS COMING FROM. SETTLED ON A SNOW
RATIO OF 13 TO 1 AND WORKED UP A 24 HOUR SNOW FORECAST OF 9 TO
13 INCHES FOR THE TOWN OF YAKUTAT. BY TOMORROW MORNING, THE FRONT
WILL BEGIN WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH ALONG THE COAST AND SPREAD SNOW
INLAND. HAVE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN PLACE FOR BOTH HAINES
AND SKAGWAY TOMORROW AS A RESULT. OPTED TO CANCEL THE WIND CHILL
ADVISORY THAT WAS OUT FOR THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY AND INCORPORATE
THAT ELEMENT INTO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ZONE 17. SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ALL THE WAY DOWN THE PANHANDLE THROUGHOUT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LITTLE LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM SECTOR AND THE VERY PRONOUNCED
THICKNESS RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT, SO THERE IS A GOOD
CHANCE THAT THE SOUTHERN OUTER COAST WILL WARM UP ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE A RAIN-SNOW MIX BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE THE
ADVISORY AND WARNING AREAS, SNOW TOTALS THROUGH TOMORROW
AFTERNOON RANGE FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES IN THE JUNEAU AREA TO LESS
THAN 1 INCH FOR THE SOUTHERN OUTER COAST.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN CANADA HAS RELAXED SOMEWHAT, BUT AN
OFFSHORE GRADIENT STILL EXISTS AS A RESULT OF THE DEEPENING LOW
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. HAVE ISSUED GALE WARNING FOR THE OUTSIDE
COASTAL MARINE ZONES DOWN TO CAPE DECISION IN ADVANCE OF THE
APPROACHING FRONT. ALSO HAVE A GALE WARNING OUT FOR GLACIER BAY
AND CROSS SOUND. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR MOST OF THE REMAINING
INNER CHANNELS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KTS OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES AND
DISENCHANTMENT BAY.
USED A BLEND OF GEM, NAM, AND ECMWF FOR PRESSURE AND WIND. POP
AND QPF FROM NAM. TEMPS ADJUSTED PER GFS. OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...COLD AND SNOWY WEATHER EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS A LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF AND
ALASKA DOES NOT MOVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE THIS
RESULTS IN A VERY PERSISTENT LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WITH
SEVERAL SHORT WAVES OR LOWS ROTATING AROUND IT AND INTO THE
PANHANDLE IN THE SW FLOW. USUALLY THIS TYPE OF PATTERN WOULD
BRING US A DECENT WARM UP ACROSS THE PANHANDLE, BUT THE POOL OF
COLD AIR IN THE GULF HAS PUSHED SO FAR SOUTH THAT ANY LOWS IN THE
NORTHERN PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN GULF ARE FORMING ENTIRELY IN THE
POOL OF COLD AIR. SO WHEN THESE LOWS EVENTUALLY MAKE LANDFALL ON
THE PANHANDLE THEY DON'T HAVE MUCH OF A WARM PUSH AHEAD OF THEM
TO WARM THINGS UP. CONSEQUENTLY TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD
ENOUGH FOR SNOW FOR MOST AREAS, ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE PANHANDLE.
STORM NUMBER ONE FOR THE LONG RANGE SHOWS UP ON THU NIGHT AND
FRI. STILL A LITTLE DISAGREEMENT FROM THE MODELS ON WHERE IT WILL
GO BUT THE MAIN CONSENSUS IS THAT THIS ONE IS LOOKING LIKE MAINLY
A SOUTHERN PANHANDLE STORM AGAIN AS THE MAIN LOW HEADS FOR THE
DIXON ENTRANCE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW
BUT SOME AREAS ALONG PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND AND OVER TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF CLARENCE STRAIT MAY WARM UP ENOUGH FOR THE SNOW
TO MIX WITH RAIN REDUCING SNOW AMOUNTS. HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS MAY
BE ALONG NORTHERN PRINCE OF WALES INTO PETERSBURG AND WRANGELL
WHERE QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHEST BUT TEMPS WILL STILL BE LOW
ENOUGH THAT RAIN SHOULD NOT MIX IN VERY MUCH. EXPECTING UPWARDS
OF 2 TO 6 INCHES FROM THIS STORM.
NEXT STORM IS FRI NIGHT INTO SAT AND THIS ONE LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
IT WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE BUT IT WILL BRING QUITE A BIT OF WIND DUE
TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN IT AND THE RIDGE OVER
BRITISH COLUMBIA. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT IN THE GULF
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GET TO MIN STORM FORCE LATE FRI NIGHT INTO
SAT BEFORE THE FRONT STARTS TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DRIFT EAST. THIS
SLOW DRIFT WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD THE HIGHER WINDS INTO THE INNER
CHANNELS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES, GALE WARNINGS, MAYBE EVEN
STRONG WIND HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED SAT AS THE FRONT GETS CLOSER
TO THE COAST. ANOTHER DUMP OF SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED FOR THE
YAKUTAT AREA WITH THIS STORM. THE REST OF THE PANHANDLE WILL NOT
SEE MUCH AS MOST OF THE HIGHER PRECIP REMAINS OFFSHORE.
PAST THE WEEKEND, MODELS DIVERGE WITH WHERE THE NEXT STORMS WILL
BE. THE GENERAL CONSENSUS SEEMS TO BE THAT THE PERSISTENT
NORTHERN GULF LOW WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT TO THE SE EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE GULF. THIS RESULTS IN THE
PANHANDLE DRYING OUT A BIT EARLY NEXT WEEK.
EXTENDED RANGE MODELS WERE IN SOMEWHAT GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH SOME DIFFERENCES HERE AND THERE. THE ECMWF WAS A
LITTLE BIT OF AN OUTLIER FOR THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE STORM ON THU
NIGHT AS IT TOOK THE LOW FARTHER NORTH THEN ANY OTHER MODEL BUT
GOT BACK ON TRACK AFTERWARDS. DECIDED ON MORE NAM/GFS FOR THU
NIGHT INTO FRI THEN GFS/EC INTO THE WEEKEND. USED WPC FOR THE
REST OF THE EXTENDED TO EVEN OUT THE DIFFERENCES THAT SHOW UP
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM AKST THURSDAY FOR
AKZ019.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AKST THURSDAY FOR AKZ018.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM AKST THURSDAY FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-022-042-043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-031-033>036-041.
&&
FRITSCH/EALIn the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 12, 12:40 PM AKST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1240 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM HEAVY SNOW HYDER 55.91N 130.02W
02/11/2014 M10.9 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
CLIMATE DAY SNOWFALL. WAS STILL SNOWING AT TIME OF
OBSERVATION.
0700 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 S WRANGELL 56.33N 132.40W
02/11/2014 M6.5 INCH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
6.5 INCHES FOR THE DAYS SNOWFALL
0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 30 NNW KLAWOCK 55.95N 133.39W
02/12/2014 M3.2 INCH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
TOTAL SNOWFALL AT EDNA BAY ALONG NORTHERN PRINCE OF WALES
ISLAND.
0800 AM HEAVY SNOW COFFMAN COVE 56.01N 132.83W
02/12/2014 M5.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE EVENT.
0800 AM HEAVY SNOW CRAIG 55.47N 133.13W
02/12/2014 M2.2 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE EVENT.
0930 AM HEAVY SNOW 13 N KETCHIKAN 55.53N 131.65W
02/12/2014 M7.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION FOR THE EVENT.
&&
RCLEvent by event
8 winter storm, 1 high wind, 1 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.
Winter Storm, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area
- When
- February 12, 4:00 PM AKST to February 13, 4:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
About on 2/13 at 430am Bob Pate called WSO Yakutat to say they had 10 in town... office had about 6around that time. By 745am the WSO had 8 total. WSO Yakutat got 14 inches thus far as of noon 13th WSO Yakutat got 13.2 inches for the storm total which was compacted.
High Wind, Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area
- When
- February 13, 4:00 PM AKST to February 14, 5:00 AM AKST
- Where
- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- C-MAN Station
A moderate strength low moved up to just off Cape Decision on the night of 2/13. Although observations were not available, wind gusts at Cape Decision exceeded 60 KT that night with sustained wind around 40 KT.
Heavy Snow, Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway
- When
- February 13, 4:00 PM AKST to February 14, 4:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Still snowing on Feb 15 at 0800 from Klondike road report 18 inches at customs and 22 inches at the pass.
Winter Storm, Haines Borough and Lynn Canal
- When
- February 13, 4:00 PM AKST to February 14, 4:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Haines Borough and Lynn Canal forecast zone
- Reported by
- COOP Observer
Spotter and COOP reports: Haines #2 (Paul Swift) storm total of 10.3 inches. |Haines #8 8-10 inches estimate of snow. Haines #10: 10 inches of snow.
Winter Storm, Glacier Bay
- When
- February 13, 4:00 PM AKST to February 14, 4:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Glacier Bay forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
Gustavus Spotter #2 measured 9.5 inches of new snow for this storm.
Winter Storm, Eastern Chichagof Island
- When
- February 13, 4:00 PM AKST to February 14, 4:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Eastern Chichagof Island forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
Hoonah measured 9.4 inches of new snow as of 0830 2/14.
Winter Storm, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island
- When
- February 13, 4:00 PM AKST to February 14, 4:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
Official reports: 6 inches at 4 mile North Douglas since midnight at 14/0700 and |12 inches at JD waste water treatment plant at 14/0900 and 7.8 inches at Auke Bay COOP 14/11am. Further 8.5 inches at lena point overnight 14/1330 and PAJN 10.4 inches for storm total, also PAJK 6.3 inches for storm total and West Juneau 9.6 inches for storm total (NWS employee).
Winter Storm, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area
- When
- February 14, 4:00 PM AKST to February 15, 5:00 AM AKST
- Where
- Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
Yakutat already got a snow dump on 2/14 then got 4 more inches before midnight on 2/15. The snow then changed to rain, and the snow pack rapidly diminished.
Winter Storm, Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway
- When
- February 15, 1:56 AM AKST to 4:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Klondike Highway: 15/0800 from road report 18 inches at customs and 22 inches at the pass. currently still snowing. Skagway Customs was called at 15/1145 received around 2 feet of snow but ended. Facebook post from Skagway resident showing 14 inches of snow on 2/15.
Winter Storm, Haines Borough and Lynn Canal
- When
- February 15, 1:56 AM AKST to 9:00 AM AKST
- Where
- Haines Borough and Lynn Canal forecast zone
- Reported by
- COOP Observer
From reports: 15/0700 17 inches for a 24 hour total at Haines Customs.
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Storm in Pennsylvania, February 12 to 14, 201442 injured · $625,000 · 13 events
- Ice Storm in South Carolina, February 12 to 13, 20142 deaths · 3 injured · 10 events
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Virginia, February 12 to 13, 20141 death · 1 injured · $1.4 million · 27 events
- Flooding in Washington, February 12 to 14, 2014$3.2 million · 5 events
- Heavy Snow in Tennessee, February 12 to 13, 201492 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in New Jersey, February 12 to 14, 2014$100,000 · 21 events
- Flooding in Idaho, February 12 to 14, 2014$170,000 · 3 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Delaware, February 12 to 14, 20146 injured · 4 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, February 12 to 15, 201460 kt wind · 41 events
- Winter Storm in North Carolina, February 12 to 13, 201431 events
- Winter Storm in Virginia, February 12 to 13, 201431 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Florida, February 12, 2014$31,000 · 50 kt wind · 6 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 505126, 505150, 505151, 505175, 505179, 505184, 505188, 505159, 505203, 505206.