Tropical Storm Karen produced minor coastal flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS HGX wrote it up.
Tropical Storm Karen produced minor coastal flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 5, 5:29 AM CST, 1 minute earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
629 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013
.DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.
&&
.AVIATION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS MORNING HAVE STARTED TO WANE. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE A COUPLE MORE HOURS OF WIDELY ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAIN CONCERN FOR TAF PERIOD IS A SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE
MOVING DOWN FROM THE NORTH. CURRENT TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
IS AROUND 0Z SUNDAY. THINKING IS THAT MOST RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT WILL REMAIN SHOWER BASED. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME
THUNDER GIVEN INSTABILITY IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS. WARM 700MB
TEMPERATURES WILL HELP TO INHIBIT CONVECTION THOUGH. BEHIND THE
FRONT NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SPEEDS INCREASING
THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. 23
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013/
DISCUSSION...
AN IMPRESSIVE STORM SYSTEM SWEEPING OUT INTO THE PLAINS THIS
MORNING WHILE A DECAPITATED TS KAREN STRUGGLES TO SURVIVE. STRONG
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH SPS-ABI WITH BIG TEMPERATURE DROPS.
ACROSS SETX THE ATMOSPHERE IS STRONGLY CAPPED ABOVE 6000 FT PER
AMDAR SOUNDINGS. MODERATE SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN
THE MOISTURE AND SHOULD AID DEVELOPMENT OF SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS
THIS MORNING BELOW THE CAP. THE STRONG CAP IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN
AROUND 21Z/4 PM BUT SOME OF THE HIGH RES MODELS ARE KEEPING THE
CAP IN PLACE. THINK THAT RAIN CHANCES OF 20 PERCENT WEST TO 40
PERCENT FAR EAST STILL LOOK REASONABLE BUT THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CLL AREA 4 PM
AND METRO HOUSTON NEAR 7 PM THOUGH PREFRONTAL TROUGH MAY CLEAR IAH
BEFORE THEN AND OFF THE COAST A FEW HOURS LATER. SOME LINGERING
INSTABILITY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT (WEAKENING OF CAP) MAY BE
ENOUGH FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM IN THE SOUTH AND EASTERN
AREAS. TS KAREN OR PERHAPS TD BY THEN WILL BE TURNING AND
ACCELERATING OFF TO THE NE TOWARD FL PANHANDLE/AL/MS AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL QUICKLY IN THE WAKE OF OUR FRONT AND
MORNING TEMPS SUNDAY WILL START OUT IN THE MID 50S FAR NW TO LOWER
60S HOUSTON AND MID 60S COAST WITH A GOOD NNW FLOW. DRYING
THROUGHOUT THE DAY WILL MAKE FOR A PLEASANT DAY ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON AS CLOUDS FINALLY DEPART. MUCH COOLER MORNING MONDAY
WITH LOWS OF 45-50 NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH MID 50S ACROSS THE
COASTAL COUNTIES EXCEPT FOR THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL SITES WHICH WILL
BE WARMER. THE DRY WEATHER SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN LL MOISTURE WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND AS
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS FROM CENTRAL TX TO SE U.S. TURNING WINDS OVER
SETX TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AND LEADING TO A GRADUAL WARM UP OF
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. THIS LOOKS LIKE OUR FIRST TASTE OF FALL.
45
MARINE...
LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS WILL AGAIN BE THE STORY SATURDAY AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA. WINDS WILL START TO BACK EASTERLY DURING THE
DAY THEN EVENTUALLY NORTHERLY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE COASTAL
ZONES JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY MORNING. SWELLS HAVE BEEN ELEVATED
FRIDAY THANKS TO KAREN AND SHOULD START TO COME DOWN LATER TODAY.
DUE TO THE ELEVATED SWELLS A SCEC WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS UNTIL 0Z SUNDAY. THE PERIOD OF THE WAVES HAS ALREADY
STARTED TO COME DOWN THOUGH... AND AS KAREN CONTINUES TO APPROACH
THE COAST THE THREAT OF HIGH SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. A
COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IS ALSO IN PLACE DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF
MINOR COASTAL RUN UP. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS
WILL MOST LIKELY WARRANT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY STARTING EARLY
SUNDAY. WINDS WILL START TO DIE DOWN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING AND FALL BELOW SCEC CRITERIA BY MONDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL
THEN START TO VEER TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. 23
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 89 58 81 52 83 / 20 20 10 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 92 62 80 53 83 / 50 30 10 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 89 69 81 65 80 / 40 30 20 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.
&&
AVIATION/MARINE...23The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Tropical Storm Karen produced minor coastal flooding. There was wave run up on Beach Drive in Surfside Beach. Bryan Beach in Quintana was closed due to wave run up onto the dunes.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 473202.