Drought conditions lingered into October, but experienced overall improvement due to rainfall which occurred primarily during the second half of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Drought conditions lingered into October, but experienced overall improvement due to rainfall which occurred primarily during the second half of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 10:30 PM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1130 PM CDT MON SEP 30 2013 .AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/ CONCERNS...POTENTIAL FOR MORNING STRATUS. SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW HAS RETURNED TO THE REGION...BUT THE BULK OF THE GULF MOISTURE REMAINS EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. HOWEVER... DEW POINTS IN THE 60S CONTINUE PUSHING WESTWARD. DESPITE MEAGER SURFACE WINDS...A LLJ OF 20-25KTS SHOULD ALLOW MVFR STRATUS TO BLANKET EAST TEXAS TUESDAY MORNING. WITHOUT MUCH OF AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS ABOVE THE NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER...THE STRATUS DECK SHOULD MAKE MINIMAL PROGRESS TO THE WEST. WILL CARRY SCT020 (SCT018 AT WACO) TO EMPHASIZE THAT THE SOLID LAYER WILL REMAIN TO THE EAST. WILL CONTINUE TO ASSESS TRENDS...BUT WITH ONLY SOME VFR DEBRIS FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON CU CURRENTLY... CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT ANY MVFR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN EAST OF ALL TAF SITES. EXPECT A BETTER CHANCE OF STRATUS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 25 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT MON SEP 30 2013/ RETURN FLOW WAS GRADUALLY BECOMING ESTABLISHED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON WHILE A STATIONARY FRONT TO OUR SOUTHEAST CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. MEANWHILE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LOW WAS ONGOING IN THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...NORTH TEXAS WILL BE SPLIT BETWEEN CLOUDS AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA TO MORE SUN AND DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF. AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES WILL LEAD TO RAIN CHANCES GENERALLY EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35/35 EAST CORRIDOR ON WEDNESDAY. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHEN SURFACE INSTABILITY WILL BE RECOGNIZED...AND OVER THE EASTERN-MOST COUNTIES WHERE PWATS WILL CLIMB TO AROUND 1.75 INCHES. WILL MAINTAIN THE 30 POPS OVER THESE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE PARIS...SULPHUR SPRINGS AND PALESTINE AREAS...WITH 20 POPS AS FAR WEST AS I-35/35E. OTHERWISE...AFTER A PLEASANT SUNDAY AND MONDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE WORK WEEK WITH LOWS IN THE 60S AND LOW 70S AND HIGHS GENERALLY 85 TO 90. A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED AS WE APPROACH THE WEEKEND. A LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO DEEPEN OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY AS SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OCCUR IN LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND A COLD FRONT INTENSIFIES OVER THE PLAINS. THE MAIN SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL ACCELERATE EAST FROM THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE PLAINS LATE FRIDAY...REACHING THE GREAT LAKES SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE FORCED SOUTHWARD TOWARDS NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY...PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MODELS HAVE COME INTO GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE FRONT. THE MOST RECENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS AN ARRIVAL TIME AROUND 00Z / 7 PM FRIDAY OVER THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES...THEN EXITING THE CWA TO THE SOUTHEAST MID MORNING SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME...WILL KEEP THE LOW POPS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN THE EVENT ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. THE MORE LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT CONVECTION WILL AWAIT THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT WHEN SURFACE BASED CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP AND BECOME LOOSELY ORGANIZED ALONG THE BOUNDARY. PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW FOR A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM...AND LIKEWISE A FAIRLY LOW THREAT FOR HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS AND FLOODING. INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL DUE MAINLY TO THE TIME OF DAY....BUT ENOUGH FOR SOME STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS WHEN COMBINED WITH 40KT OF 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR. SEASONABLY COOL AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT THIS WEEKEND WITH FORECAST LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S OVER THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 50S OVER THE SOUTHEAST. 30 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 66 90 72 89 73 / 0 10 5 20 5 WACO, TX 62 90 70 89 72 / 0 10 5 20 10 PARIS, TX 67 87 69 85 69 / 10 10 10 30 20 DENTON, TX 58 88 67 88 71 / 0 5 5 20 5 MCKINNEY, TX 59 87 67 87 67 / 0 10 5 20 5 DALLAS, TX 66 89 72 88 73 / 0 10 5 20 5 TERRELL, TX 65 87 70 88 70 / 5 10 10 30 10 CORSICANA, TX 66 88 70 88 71 / 5 10 10 30 10 TEMPLE, TX 62 91 68 88 70 / 0 10 5 20 10 MINERAL WELLS, TX 57 89 65 89 68 / 0 5 5 10 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 25/84
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 816 PM CDT MON SEP 30 2013 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011200- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 816 PM CDT MON SEP 30 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe/D2 drought over the southeastern quarter of the county ended by Oct 22, due to beneficial rainfall received during the month.
Severe/D2 drought in place at the beginning of October was upgraded to Moderate/D1 by October 22, due to much-needed rainfall occurring throughout the month.
Severe/D2 drought conditions in place at the beginning of October ended by October 22, as the U.S. Drought monitor upgraded conditions to Moderate/D1. This was due to much-needed rainfall which occurred throughout the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 479240, 479241, 479242.