Tennessee, 2013

Damaging Winds in Tennessee, October 31, 2013

October 31, 2013 · NWS MEG · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

A cold front approached the Mid-South during the day on October 31st, 2013. Widespread rain occurred through much of the day.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.

A cold front approached the Mid-South during the day on October 31st, 2013. Widespread rain occurred through much of the day. However...rain tapered off by late afternoon. There was enough of a window for the atmosphere to recover before the actual cold front moved into the area during the evening. Thus a couple of severe thunderstorms developed ahead of the front during the evening hours across West Tennessee. Damaging winds occurred from the storms.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 5:32 PM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 5:32 PM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
632 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO ADD 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 231 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013/

DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM NEAR QUINCY ILLINOIS TO
TULSA OKLAHOMA. MAIN AREA OF RAIN CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH EAST
BUT STILL REMAINS OVER MOST LOCATIONS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER. THIS AREA OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION
THIS EVENING. RAIN SHOULD BE COMING TO AN END SHORTLY ACROSS THE
MEMPHIS METRO AREA. MEANWHILE ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI WHERE THE
SHORTWAVE IS LOCATED...SHOWERS ARE BEGINNING TO POP. THUS FAR ONLY ONE OR
TWO THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED. THERE IS A FEW BREAKS OCCURRING
IN THE CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI/NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THE QUESTION
REMAINS WILL THERE BE ENOUGH TIME FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME
UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME SEVERE.
CLOUD COVER REMAINS ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND EXPECT ANY
BREAKS THAT WOULD OCCUR WOULD HAPPEN OVER THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS. AT
THIS TIME DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE ENOUGH TIME FOR THE
ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS TO
BECOME SEVERE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. ALTHOUGH CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
SHOWERS OR JUST GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING ACROSS NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AND NORTHWEST TENNESSEE AS THE
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

DO NOT EXPECT MUCH CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE
FRONT AS WINDS QUICKLY TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECT MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL COME THROUGH THE AREA DRY. MUCH COOLER AIR
WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA BEHIND THIS FRONT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE MIDSOUTH OVER THE
WEEKEND. GENERALLY EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...ALTHOUGH CAN/T RULE OUT SOME STRATO-CU DEVELOPING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE ON SATURDAY WHICH MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES
COOLER THAN WHAT GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING. WILL GO WITH HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE LOWER 60S ON SATURDAY. DO NOT
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE MUCH DIFFERENT ON SUNDAY DUE TO A COLD
START. LOWS WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE 30S SATURDAY NIGHT.

A WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR ON MONDAY AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST.
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS
OCCURRING LATE MONDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.

A COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY. THERE REMAINS SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE
MODELS. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SETTLE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT.

KRM

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE

MAIN PRE-FRONTAL AREA OF RAIN WILL BE EXITING WEST TENNESSEE AND
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. HOWEVER...A
BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM AT
BEST ALIGNED ALONG THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THROUGH TAF
SITES THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY AT JBR. MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TO IMPROVE TO VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES TONIGHT WITH THE ONLY
EXCEPTIONS AT JBR DUE TO TEMPORARY MVFR CEILINGS LATER THIS
EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH WRAP AROUND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PATCHY FOG AT TUP BETWEEN
01/09-12Z. GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING BETWEEN 12-15 KTS
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KTS WILL VEER WEST/NORTHWEST AFTER
FRONTAL PASSAGE AND DIMINISH TO BETWEEN 4-6 KTS LATER TONIGHT AND
INCREASE TO 8-10 KTS AFTER 01/16Z.

CJC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  50  72  49  63 /  10   0   0   0
MKL  51  71  44  57 /  30   0   0   0
JBR  49  70  44  60 /  20   0   0   0
TUP  54  73  47  62 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 31, 6:43 PM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 31, 6:52 PM CST, 53 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 31, 7:02 PM CST, 43 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 31, 7:41 PM CST, 4 minutes before
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The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 82 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dyer

When
October 31, 7:45 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Dyer County, 0.94 mi SE of Four Pts to 0.74 mi NE of Ro Ellen
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
35.969, -89.390

Straight line winds knocked down trees between Fowlkes and Roellen. HIghway 210 in Fowlkes and Don Hurley Road near Roellen were blocked as a result.

Thunderstorm Wind, Gibson

When
October 31, 8:05 PM CST to 8:15 PM CST
Where
Gibson County, Dyer to Rutherford
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
36.070, -89.000

Straight line winds knocked down trees and power lines between Dyer and Rutherford.

Thunderstorm Wind, Henry

When
October 31, 8:55 PM CST to 9:00 PM CST
Where
Henry County, 0.9 mi SSW of Paris to 2 mi S of Paris
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.288, -88.325

Straight line winds knocked down a few trees just south of Paris.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Tennessee in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, October 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 480251, 480252, 480253.