Post-frontal rain lingered across West Tennessee near the Tennessee River due to an upper level disturbance that was moving through the region. The rain fell for 12 hours.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Post-frontal rain lingered across West Tennessee near the Tennessee River due to an upper level disturbance that was moving through the region. The rain fell for 12 hours. Three to four inches of rain fell across Henderson, Carroll and Decatur Counties during that time span. Low water crossings were flooded as a result.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 10, 11:50 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1250 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013 .UPDATE... UPDATED TO ADD 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1101 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013/ UPDATE... MINOR CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST AS RAIN MOVES SLOWLY EAST. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 659 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013/ UPDATE... HAVE ENDED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE FORECAST AREA AS SUSTAINED WINDS ARE BELOW CRITERIA OF 25 MILES AN HOUR. NEVERTHELESS...WINDS OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE SERVICE AREA WILL GUST TO NEAR 30 MILES AN HOUR UNTIL THE SURFACE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. REST OF FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY THE SAME WITH STEADY RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDER GRADUALLY MOVING EAST. BELLES PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013/ UPDATE...00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 327 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013/ DISCUSSION... SKIES ARE CLOUDY ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH THROUGH WESTERN ARKANSAS AND INTO EAST TEXAS. A SECOND BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSISSIPPI. AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY IS A LINE OF HEAVIER SHOWERS WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. WINDS HAVE BEEN PRETTY GUSTY AT TIMES ACROSS THE REGION AS THIS BOUNDARY MOVED THROUGH BUT HAVE SUBSIDED BEHIND IT. WITH THAT IN MIND HAVE CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND WILL LET REMAINDER OF THE ADVISORY EXPIRE AT 7 PM. THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TONIGHT WITH MORE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVING OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY MORNING WITH RAIN GRADUALLY ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST. WITH ALL THE CLOUDS AND RAIN AND COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE ONLY IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S MONDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CHILLY BY TUESDAY MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR BOTH DAYS. BY THURSDAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH ALLOWING FOR WARMER AIR TO RETURN TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THURSDAY BUT WARM UP TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BY NEXT SUNDAY...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BE JUST NORTH OF THE REGION WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ARS && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF CYCLE A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH JBR AND MEM AND WILL PUSH THROUGH MKL BY 11/07Z. BEHIND THE FRONT RAIN WILL COME TO AN END AND WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AT TUP FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS. WINDS HAVE ALREADY SHIFTED IN RESPONSE TO A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH...AND MAY BE VARIABLE UNTIL AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO REDUCE VISIBILITY SIGNIFICANTLY. CIGS SHOULD BE MAINLY AT MVFR LEVELS BUT MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO IFR LEVELS TOWARD SUNRISE. TOMORROW...WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST GENERALLY 10-15 KTS...WEAKENING AFTER SUNSET. CIGS WILL RISE TO AT LEAST MVFR LEVELS AT ALL SITES BY 17Z. JDS && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 50 35 58 37 / 20 0 10 0 MKL 50 29 56 31 / 40 10 10 0 JBR 49 33 57 34 / 10 0 10 0 TUP 54 34 59 35 / 60 10 10 0 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 724 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-120230- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 724 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Water covered the roadway at a low water crossing on Highway 219 and Rosser Circle Road, northeast of Huntingdon.
Several low water crossings became flooded across portions of Henderson County. The low water crossings included the Shady Hill Road, Wake Forrest Road, Nealis Woods Road, Taylor Road, Rock Hill Road, Rock Milam Road, Poplar Springs-Bargerton Road, Juno-Bargerton Road, and Old Exchange Road.
Several low water crossings became flooded across Decatur County with four to five inches of water. The low water crossings included the following roads: Bible Hill Road, Hog Creek Road, Concord Road, and Martin Landing Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, March 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 438168, 438169, 438170.