A little stream flooding developed in the North Carolina foothills after a prolonged period of moderate to heavy rain.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.
A little stream flooding developed in the North Carolina foothills after a prolonged period of moderate to heavy rain.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 2:16 PM EST, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
316 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEYS THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE TROUGH
WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE BERMUDA HIGH BUILDS BACK
IN...WARMING AND DRYING THE AIRMASS AND RETURNING US TO A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF MIDDAY TUE...THE ERN PORTION OF THE CWFA WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
THE MOST WIDESPREAD PRECIP ACTIVITY THIS AFTN. SANDWICHED BETWEEN THE
DEEP UPPER LOW IN THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE BERMUDA HIGH...
STRONGER LOW-MIDLEVEL WINDS OVER THAT AREA WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE
ABUNDANT ATLANTIC MOISTURE AND PROMOTE LIFT THROUGH UPSLOPING WITH A
SLIGHT BOOST FROM ISENTROPIC LIFT. A LINE OF CONVECTION INITIALLY
DRIVEN BY DIFFERENTIAL HEATING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE FOOTHILLS AND
INTO THE NC PIEDMONT WHERE IT HAS BLOSSOMED WITH BETTER INFLOW.
LIGHTNING REMAINS OCCASIONAL AND WITH THE AREA BEING MOSTLY CLOUDY
THUNDER AND SEVERE WX REMAIN A MUCH LESSER CONCERN THAN THE FLASH
FLOOD POTENTIAL...GIVEN THE MOIST ENVIRONMENT. THE CONVECTION WILL
EVENTUALLY BE JOINED BY LIGHTER STRATIFORM RAIN MOVING UP FROM THE
SOUTH LATER THIS AFTN.
THE TIGHTEST PART OF THE HEIGHT GRADIENT WILL MOVE NORTH LATE TODAY
INTO TONIGHT AS THE CORE OF THE UPPER LOW RETREATS TO THE NORTH...AND
THE LLVL LIFT WILL RELAX AS A RESULT. CHANNELED 500MB VORT IS SHOWN
ARRIVING LATE TONIGHT ON BOTH THE GFS/NAM SO AN UPTICK MAY BE NOTED
AROUND DAYBREAK. WINDS DO PICK UP FURTHER WEST OVERNIGHT ALSO BACKING
TO A MORE FAVORABLE DIRECTION FOR UPSLOPE. THEREFORE DURING THE NEAR
TERM THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN SHOULD SPREAD WESTWARD TO THE SRN BLUE
RIDGE ESCARPMENT.
QPF REMAINS A CHALLENGING FCST WITH THE MODEL VALUES GENERALLY NOT
INDICATIVE OF THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED CONVECTIVE DOWNPOURS...BUT
LEANING TOWARD THE HIGHER END OF THE RANGE WE HAVE ARRIVED AT TOTALS
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OF 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES...BUT TRAINING OF CELLS
WILL EASILY PRODUCE 3 INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR IN AFFECTED AREAS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM TUESDAY...THE REGION WILL REMAIN BETWEEN A STRONG RIDGE
OF BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SE COAST AND A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE MS VALLEY. THE GUIDANCE NOW WEAKENS THE TROF
ALLOWING THE RIDGE TO RETROGRADE FRI. FOR THU...THE ATMOSPHERIC
RIVER REMAINS OVER THE AREA WITH SHORT WAVES MOVING THRU. THE H85
JET MOVES FROM THE EAST WITH THE H25 JET REMAINING IN GOOD POSITION
FOR CONTINUED WAVES OF UPPER DIVERGENCE. THAT SAID...THE GUIDANCE
HAS TRENDED WESTWARD WITH THE AXIS OF DEEPEST MOISTURE AND STRONGEST
SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING WITH THE WEAKENING TROF ALLOWING THIS AXIS TO
MOVE FARTHER WESTWARD. THAT SAID...PW VALUES REMAIN 1 TO 1.5
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL WITH GOOD UPSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPING.
THEREFORE...THE AXIS OF HIGHEST POP MOVES TO THE WEST AS WELL WITH
CAT POP OVER THE WRN CWFA DIMINISHING TO THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS
WITH LIKELY POP DROPPING TO CHC OVER THE SERN CWFA. POP RAMPS BACK
UP TO CAT FOR THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS WITH LIKELY ALL BUT THE I-77
CORRIDOR WHERE GOOD CHC POP CONTINUES. WITH THESE TRENDS...ANOTHER 1
TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIP LIKELY GENERALLY OVER THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS.
AT SOME POINT WE MAY BE ABLE TO DROP THE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE
ERN CWFA...BUT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE IT OVER THE WEST.
FOR FRI...THE AXIS OF BEST FORCING AND DEEPEST MOISTURE REMAINS TO
THE WEST IF NOT ACTUALLY MOVING FARTHER WEST. HOWEVER...THE STRONG
UPSLOPE FLOW AND COPIOUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE CWFA.
THEREFORE...LIKELY CONVECTION CONTINUES OVER THE WRN CWFA WITH GOOD
CHC OVER THE EAST. QPF VALUES SHUD FALL AS WELL...WITH MODEL BLEND
SUGGESTING UP TO AN INCH IN THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS WITH AS LITTLE
AS A QUARTER INCH OVER THE ERN CWFA.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM TUESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE PICKS UP AT 00Z SATURDAY
WITH A BLOCKING PATTERN ALOFT OVER THE CONUS...THAT WILL EVENTUALLY
BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...THE
BERMUDA HIGH WILL STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT SLIGHTLY WESTWARD. THIS WILL
ALLOW DRIER AIR TO ENTER THE CWA AND RETURNS US TO A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN...WITH WEAK SOUTHEASTERLY UPLSLOPE FLOW FAVORING
A MORE DIURNAL PATTERN OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE POPS
OVER THE WEEKEND WILL GIVE WAY TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK.
AS THE BERMUDA HIGH BUILDS BACK IN...HEIGHT RISES AND A GENERAL
CLEARING OUT OF CLOUD COVER OVER THE WEEKEND WILL ALLOW HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO NEAR AVERAGE FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
LOWS WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...SHRA SLOWLY APPROACHING THE FIELD WILL LIKELY ARRIVE THIS
AFTN PRIOR TO MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL DRIVEN BY MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW AND UPPER DISTURBANCES. A FEW TS WILL BE EMBEDDED IN THE
ACTIVITY TODAY AND LOW MVFR TO PERHAPS BRIEFLY IFR CONDITIONS WILL
ACCOMPANY HEAVIER PRECIP. PRECIP WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY THIS EVENING BUT LOW CIGS WILL REMAIN DUE TO THE
VERY MOIST SFC CONDITIONS. IFR EXPECTED BY AROUND MIDNIGHT LASTING
THRU DAYBREAK...BUT SHOULD LIFT TO MVFR BY MID MORNING...WHEN TS
CHANCES RETURN.
ELSEWHERE...SHRA MOVING INTO THE PIEDMONT ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE A
PERIOD OF IFR AT KHKY. WESTERN SITES SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARER SKIES
THIS AFTN WHICH WILL AID DESTABILIZATION AND NEW SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AND CIGS ARE
EXPECTED TO LOWER OVERNIGHT...GENERALLY TO MVFR THIS EVENING AND IFR
AFTER MIDNIGHT. BEST SHOWER CHANCES WILL MOVE FROM THE PIEDMONT INTO
THE FOOTHILLS AND WRN UPSTATE OVERNIGHT. CIGS SHOULD BE ABLE TO LIFT
TO LOW MVFR BY MID MORNING WED.
OUTLOOK...VERY MOIST AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
REGION THROUGH INDEPENDENCE DAY. PERIODS OF SHRA/TSRA WILL OCCUR
BOTH DURING THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT. MORNING STRATUS AND FOG IS
POSSIBLE EACH DAY ACROSS THE REGION. OVER THE WEEKEND...BERMUDA HIGH
WILL PUSH WEST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...YIELDING MAINLY DIURNAL
SHRA/TSRA. MORNING FOG WILL FAVOR THE MTN VALLEYS.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
19-01Z 01-07Z 07-13Z 13-19Z
KCLT HIGH 94% HIGH 90% HIGH 96% HIGH 90%
KGSP HIGH 96% HIGH 88% HIGH 93% HIGH 96%
KAVL HIGH 95% HIGH 86% HIGH 92% HIGH 86%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 89% HIGH 81% HIGH 86%
KGMU HIGH 89% HIGH 85% HIGH 93% HIGH 95%
KAND HIGH 89% HIGH 80% HIGH 87% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-
026-028-029.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NCZ033-035>037-
048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SCZ001>014-019.
&&
SYNOPSIS...VISIN
NEAR TERM...WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...VISIN
AVIATION...WIMBERLEYHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 334 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-031945- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 334 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAIN...THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. BY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
105 PM EDT TUE JUL 02 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SSW HICKORY 35.65N 81.37W
06/26/2013 CATAWBA NC EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN VALE. ONE TREE FELL ON A
HOME.
&&
STUREYPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
107 PM EDT TUE JUL 02 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SSW HICKORY 35.69N 81.35W
06/26/2013 CATAWBA NC EMERGENCY MNGR
MANY TREES FELLED FROM THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN A WOODED
AREA ABOUT 100 YARDS LONG.
&&
STUREYThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Cedar Rock Estate Road was covered by a foot of fast moving water by Lower Creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 467181.