North Carolina, 2013

Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in North Carolina, January 30, 2013

January 30, 2013 · NWS RNK · 9 events in 4 counties and zones

Unseasonably warm air, with afternoon temperatures reaching into the 60s and low 70s, and a surge of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico interacted with a slow moving cold front during the afternoon and evening hours of January 30th, resulting in strong low-topped showers and thunderstorms and widespread heavy rainfall. Despite weak CAPE associated with the frontal passage, low level wind shear was…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$177,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.

Unseasonably warm air, with afternoon temperatures reaching into the 60s and low 70s, and a surge of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico interacted with a slow moving cold front during the afternoon and evening hours of January 30th, resulting in strong low-topped showers and thunderstorms and widespread heavy rainfall. Despite weak CAPE associated with the frontal passage, low level wind shear was in excess of 60 knots across the region, which made for strong squall lines of shower activity, often with strong winds but little to no lightning. Precipitable water values were observed to be in the 1.0 to 1.5 inch range, which is extremely high for January across the Appalachians and the nearby Piedmont region. To add to the flooding threat, ground conditions were already saturated from recent rain and snow during the days and weeks preceding the event.

The following is a list of total rainfall amounts, in inches, that fell across northern North Carolina:

- Ashe County - | 5.34 2 E Todd CCR,| 5.05 Jefferson 2 E COOP,| 4.46 Laurel Springs RAWS,| 3.86 Transou COOP,| 1.29 Ashe County Airport.

- Rockingham County - | 1.05 Eden COOP.

- Stokes County - | 1.42 Danbury COOP.

- Surry County - | 2.77 Raven Knob RAWS,| 2.39 Mount Airy COOP,| 2.31 Ararat River at Ararat,| 1.82 Elkin COOP.

- Watauga County - | 5.79 Boone 1 SE COOP,| 5.28 Boone RG (TVA),| 4.32 1 WSW Foscoe CCR,| 4.25 3 ENE Blowing Rock,| 3.76 Triplett RG DCP,| 2.69 Howards Knob IFLOWS,| 2.19 Watauga River/Foscoe IFLOWS,| 1.00 Blackburn Knob IFLOWS.

- Wilkes County - | 2.81 5 WNW Purlear CCR,| 2.68 Wilbar RG DCP,| 2.58 Rendezvous Mountain RAWS,| 1.92 Roaring River DCP,| 1.87 W Kerr Scott Reservoir COOP/DCP,| 1.75 North Wilkesboro COOP,| 1.71 Elk Creek at Elkville DCP.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 30, 4:28 PM EST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 4:28 PM EST, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
428 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING A PERIOD OF
HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY FALLING
TEMPERATURES AND MORE GUSTY WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
COLD AIR WILL PERSIST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND...WITH PERIODIC EPISODES OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM WEDNESDAY...

QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (QLCS - SQUALL LINE) WILL RACE
EAST OF MAIN COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 22 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10PM ALONG AND EAST OF BLUE RIDGE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS FAST MOVING LINE OF SEVERE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS LINE OF CONVECTION.

AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE QLCS SHOULD SEE A LULL IN THE
WIND...ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...MAY CONTINUE UP
UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER TONIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT IS
CURRENTLY MOVING EAST THROUGH THE OHIO/TN VALLEYS AND IS PROGGED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...BRINING AN ABRUPT CHANGE
IN TEMPERATURE AND SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION. ANY LULL IN THE WIND
PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL INCREASE AGAIN POST FRONTAL WITH
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION BRINGING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND FALLING
TEMPERATURES FOR THE LATE NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY.

HAVE EXTENDED THE HIGH WIND WARNINGS/ADVISORIES THROUGH 4PM
THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR BOTH PRE AND POST FRONTAL WINDS. FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED EAST THROUGH SOUTHSIDE VA THROUGH
MIDNIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN ANTICIPATED FROM THE
QLCS. THE NORTH END OF THE SQUALL LINE APPEARS TO BE MOVING FASTER
THAN THE SOUTH END...THUS THINK THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL OCCUR OVER
THE DAN RIVER BASIN.

AT SOME POINT MAY NEED TO CONSIDER WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES FOR
THE FAR WESTERN CWA...FROM WESTERN GREENBRIER...SOUTHWARD THROUGH
BLUEFIELD AND INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA. RAPID FALL
IN TEMPERATURE IS EXPECTED AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT WHICH
WILL RESULT IN CHANGE OVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW. THIS CHANGE IS
PROGGED TO TAKE PLACE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACROSS THESE MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS.

WINDS/CLOUDS/MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. FROM THAT POINT ON...IT WILL BE BACK TO
WINTER WITH TEMPS AND PTYPE RESEMBLING SOMETHING MORE TYPICAL OF
JANUARY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 415 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

WARM WEATHER IS OVER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

POLAR AIR WHICH COMES INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WILL BE REINFORCED BY
SOME ARCTIC AIR THURSDAY NIGHT. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD MIDNIGHT THURSDAY... PASSING OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO POOL INTO THE
REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AS THE GULF IS
BEING BLOCKED BY A SURFACE RIDGE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ONE
TO THREE INCHES OF DRY SNOW TO THE FAR WEST AND A DUSTING TO AN
INCH FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SCATTERED FLURRIES PUSHING EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...POSSIBLY IN TO THE PIEDMONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. 85H TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
PLUNGE TO NEAR -16C IN THE AFTERNOON...SUGGESTING SURFACE TEMPS
WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND
REMAIN IN THE 20S WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO
BE THE COLDEST OF THE UPCOMING NIGHT THIS WEEKEND...CLEAR SKIES
AND DIMINISHING WINDS ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD IS DOMINATED BY WEST OR NORTHWEST FLOW AND
SOME DEGREE OF COLD ADVECTION UNDER LARGE LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT
PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH AMERICA...HOWEVER OVER TIME
THE AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY AS WE GO THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.  HOW MUCH THIS DIMINISHES...AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF A
FEW CLIPPER SYSTEMS THAT WILL PROVIDE A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLDER
AIR AND SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL...REMAINS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION AS
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN MUCH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH THIS
PERIOD.

BEGINNING SATURDAY HOWEVER...GUIDANCE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH BY LATE IN THE DAY
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 12Z CANADIAN A
LITTLE FASTER AND A LITTLE COLDER. 12Z GFS A BIT STRONGER WITH THIS
SYSTEM...BUT ALSO SOMEWHAT MILDER ON SATURDAY BEFORE IT ARRIVES WITH
WEAK WARM ADVECTION.  GFS ENSEMBLES ALSO SUGGEST THE OPERATIONAL GFS
IS ON THE WARMER SIDE OF THE POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS...SO EVEN THOUGH
WILL NOT GO AS COLD AS THE ECMWF MOS NUMBERS...WILL STAY A FEW DEG
COOLER THAN GFS-BASED NUMBERS. HAVE ALSO INTRODUCED SOME HIGH CHC TO
LOW LIKELY POPS IN THE FAR WEST AS EARLY AS LATE IN THE DAY
SATURDAY. WOULD EXPECT PRECIP TO ARRIVE EARLIER THAN THE GFS...AND
MAYBE EARLIER THAN THE ECMWF GIVEN THE TYPICAL BIAS OF THE MODELS IN
THESE SITUATIONS. STILL LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY MINOR NW FLOW SNOWFALL
EVENT FOR THE UPSLOPE AREAS...YET A FEW INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. MAYBE EVEN A SKIFF FARTHER EAST UP TOWARD THE BLUE RDG IF
THE STRONGER GFS IDEA ENDS UP BEING CORRECT.

COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THAT...AND THE DEGREE OF COLD
AIR ADVECTION IS UNCERTAIN YET DOES NOT LOOK ESPECIALLY STRONG.  00Z
ECMWF BUILDS WEAK S/WV RIDGE IN FOR MONDAY ACTUALLY...AHEAD OF THE
NEXT SYSTEM. FASTER SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THIS NEXT CLIPPER COULD ARRIVE
BY LATE MONDAY...BUT CONSENSUS LOOKS MORE LIKE LATE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. HAVE A SLIGHT CHC IN LATE MONDAY THOUGH AGAIN BECAUSE
OF MODEL BIASES TYPICALLY NOT FAST ENOUGH.  THIS IS LIKELY TO BE
MORE MINOR EVENT IN TERMS OF ANY SNOW SHOWER ACCUMULATIONS IN
TYPICAL UPSLOPE AREAS COMPARED TO WEEKEND EVENT...YET FAR ENOUGH OUT
THAT THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME FOR POTENTIAL AMPLIFICATION AND
CANADIAN IS MOST AGRESSIVE WITH THIS IDEA.

FINALLY BY WEDNESDAY THERE ARE SIGNS OF LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOMING
INCREASINGLY ZONAL...ESPECIALLY GFS SOLUTIONS...BUT SOME DEGREE OF
NW FLOW MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK SO NOT EXPECTING ANY MAJOR
WARM UPS THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY
SEASONABLE. BETTER CHANCE FOR WARM UP MAY COME LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1245 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

PRIMARILY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA INTO
TONIGHT AS A BROAD AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS PROGRESSES INTO THE AREA
IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ALSO...IN ADVANCE OF
THESE SHOWERS...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN RAIN
ALONG AND NEAR THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THIS SAME SOUTHERLY
JET WILL HELP MAINTAIN GUSTY CONDITIONS AT THE
SURFACE...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
EXIT EASTWARD OUT OF THE REGION WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
HOWEVER...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL HELP
MAINTAIN MVFR CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA AND NEIGHBORING SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
THROUGH THURSDAY.

UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE...BUT DECREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE REST OF THE AREA WILL SEE VFR
CONDITIONS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS TO THE ENTIRE AREA FOR
THE START OF THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE
CLIPPER THROUGH MONDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALIZED
MVFR CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN AREAS OF SMALL STREAM AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. RIVERS
WILL ALSO BEGIN TO RESPOND WITH SIGNIFICANT RISES ANTICIPATED.

THE MAIN THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE IN THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS
WHERE WATER WILL QUICKLY FILL DRAINAGES. THE RIVER WHICH WILL BE
MOST SUSEPTIBLE TO RIVER FLOODING WILL BE THE DAN RIVER WHERE
SIGNIFICANT RAINS OCCURRED DURING THE LAST HEAVY RAIN EVENT FROM A
WEEK TO 10 DAYS AGO. OTHER RIVERS TO WATCH...ESP IN THE
MOUNTAINS...CLINCH/HOLSTON/GREENBRIER AND WATAUGA.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER BROADCASTING FROM WYTHEVILLE
IS BACK ON THE AIR. THE SITE LOST COMMERCIAL POWER AND IS NOW
OPERATING ON GENERATOR POWER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ007-
     009>020-032-033-043-044-058.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ011-013-014-
     016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009-010-
     012-015.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ001>006-
     018>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ002>006-019-020.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ042>045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ043>045.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...DS
HYDROLOGY...PM
EQUIPMENT...PM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 3:55 PM EST, 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ012-015-312100-
ASHE-WATAUGA-WYTHE-GRAYSON-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042-312100-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-MERCER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ019-020-WVZ043>045-312100-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ022>024-034-035-045>047-059-312100-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-CHARLOTTE-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ011-014-018-312100-
GILES-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

NCZ002>006-019-020-VAZ013-016-017-032-033-043-044-058-312100-
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PULASKI-
CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

DS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 30, 12:58 PM EST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1258 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ009>014-018>020-023-024-WVZ042-044-045-301900-
GILES VA-SMYTH VA-CRAIG VA-BLAND VA-BATH VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
BOTETOURT VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-WYTHE VA-PULASKI VA-ALLEGHANY VA-
MERCER WV-MONROE WV-GREENBRIER WV-
1258 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  CENTRAL SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 200 PM EST

* AT 1253 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  BURNSVILLE TO RURAL RETREAT...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18
  MILES NORTH OF GOSHEN TO CERES...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NEWPORT...                       PULASKI...
  WYTHEVILLE...                    BLAND...
  MARION...                        JORDAN MINES...
  COVINGTON CITY...                WARM SPRINGS...
  CLIFTON FORGE CITY...            HOT SPRINGS...
  POPLAR HILL...                   PEARISBURG...
  DUBLIN...                        NARROWS...
  RURAL RETREAT...                 SPEEDWELL...
  MOUNTAIN LAKE...                 PETERSTOWN...
  UNION...                         MAX MEADOWS...

LAT...LON 3803 7939 3677 8110 3678 8167 3817 7978
TIME...MOT...LOC 1753Z 270DEG 48KT 3825 7951 3697 8127

JH
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 1:51 PM EST, 2 hours 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
151 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ019-020-024-WVZ044-045-301945-
BATH VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-ALLEGHANY VA-GREENBRIER WV-MONROE WV-
151 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM EST

* AT 145 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A SHOWER WITH GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN NEAR ORGAN
  CAVE...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RONCEVERTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
  MPH. ADDITIONAL FAST MOVING SHOWERS MAY ALSO AFFECT THE REGION AS
  A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS MOVES IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH 3
  PM.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SHOWER.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  COVINGTON CITY...                WARM SPRINGS...
  HOT SPRINGS...                   CLIFTON FORGE CITY...
  LEWISBURG...                     WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...
  RONCEVERTE...                    GOSHEN...
  MILLBORO...                      NEOLA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS SHOWERS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 7973 3796 7939 3759 8041 3773 8055
      3806 8010 3806 7997 3811 7993 3813 7995
      3818 7992 3827 7980
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 233DEG 47KT 3771 8041
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 2:31 PM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ009-012-015-302030-
WATAUGA NC-ASHE NC-SMYTH VA-GRAYSON VA-WYTHE VA-
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WATAUGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 228 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SALTVILLE
  TO BULADEAN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  CHILHOWIE TO 10 MILES EAST OF ERWIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS BAND OF
  SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOONE...                         TODD...
  MARION...                        SALTVILLE...
  CHILHOWIE...                     JEFFERSON...
  BLOWING ROCK...                  SPEEDWELL...
  SUGAR GROVE...                   BEECH MOUNTAIN...
  TROUTDALE...                     MOUTH OF WILSON...
  WHITETOP...                      ASHLAND...
  LANSING...                       SANDS...
  LOVILL...                        RUTHERWOOD...
  SILVERSTONE...                   MEAT CAMP...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3636 8179 3634 8176 3634 8171 3641 8174
      3647 8170 3653 8171 3663 8161 3680 8170
      3693 8183 3683 8114 3658 8130 3657 8136
      3653 8134 3612 8162 3611 8181 3619 8185
      3622 8191 3627 8189 3629 8192
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 285DEG 31KT 3686 8181 3612 8223

JH
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 3:22 PM EST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
322 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ010>014-016-017-022-032-033-302115-
GILES VA-FRANKLIN VA-BLAND VA-PATRICK VA-CARROLL VA-WYTHE VA-
PULASKI VA-ROANOKE VA-FLOYD VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
322 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 415 PM EST

* AT 320 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKY
  GAP TO WYTHEVILLE TO CRIPPLE CREEK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 8 MILES EAST OF BLUEFIELD TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MAX MEADOWS
  TO SPEEDWELL...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BLACKSBURG...                    NEWPORT...
  PILOT...                         CHRISTIANSBURG...
  RADFORD...                       INDIAN VALLEY...
  ROCKY GAP...                     ALLISONIA...
  PULASKI...                       WYTHEVILLE...
  POPLAR HILL...                   DUBLIN...
  BENT MOUNTAIN...                 COPPER HILL...
  SHAWSVILLE...                    MAX MEADOWS...
  WOOLWINE...                      FLOYD...
  WILLIS...                        PRICES FORK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3702 8109 3727 8114 3730 8102 3728 8011
      3693 8004 3664 8017 3691 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 275DEG 39KT 3722 8107 3702 8102 3686 8109

JH
Local storm report, Jan 30, 4:10 PM EST, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
410 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0311 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUBLIN                  37.12N  80.70W
01/30/2013                   PULASKI            VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRUCTURE COLLAPSE AND SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN DUBLIN

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300381

JVC
Local storm report, Jan 30, 4:18 PM EST, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
418 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0341 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUBLIN                  37.12N  80.70W
01/30/2013                   PULASKI            VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRUCTURE COLLAPSE AND SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN DUBLIN

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300381

JVC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 147 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Watauga

When
January 30, 4:33 PM EST to 7:33 PM EST
Where
Watauga County, 1 mi SE of Valle Crucis to 1.12 mi SE of Valle Crucis
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
36.208, -81.770

The Watauga River was flowing out of its banks and flowing over a bridge on Dewitt Barnett Road.

Flash Flood, Watauga

When
January 30, 4:35 PM EST to 10:35 PM EST
Where
Watauga County, 0.48 mi WNW of Boone to 1.52 mi NE of Perkinsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$175,000
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
36.223, -81.688

The Boone Volunteer Fire Department reported that at least nineteen water-related rescues occurred across the Boone area due to rapidly rising water conditions from heavy rain. Some rescues were to assist people trapped inside their homes, while others were to assist trapped motorists stuck in standing water. Only one water rescue was considered to be serious by rescue personnel. No serious injuries were reported, although a few people were treated at the scene for mild hypothermia. Numerous roads across the Boone area were also closed and/or damaged due to flooding. One specific report includes flooding on Deerfield Road where a nearby stream was flowing out of its banks. Some of the worst road damage occurred on Roby Greene Road and Seven Oaks Road, with about $150,000 in damages. Water entered about a dozen apartments at the Bavarian Village apartment complex, which will take several days to clean. Several other apartments were evacuated due to a flooding-related propane leak, with no damages. At least 5.61 inches of rainfall was measured at the Watauga Medical Center.

Flash Flood, Ashe

When
January 30, 7:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Ashe County, 1.65 mi ENE of Wagoner to 1.3 mi NE of Wagoner
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
36.412, -81.374

The New River was observed flowing out of its banks and across Dog Creek Road near the community of Crumpler.

Flash Flood, Ashe

When
January 30, 7:05 PM EST to 10:05 PM EST
Where
Ashe County, 1.33 mi SW of Baldwin to 1.25 mi SW of Baldwin
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
36.337, -81.548

An observer measured nearly four inches of rainfall in the area, the heavy rain causing one foot of water to flow across Holman Road.

Flash Flood, Ashe

When
January 30, 7:10 PM EST to 11:10 PM EST
Where
Ashe County, 3.38 mi WSW of Crumpler to 3.06 mi ENE of Bina
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
36.489, -81.439

The north fork of the New River was observed flowing over Silas Creek Road, which was caused by an estimated five inches of rain.

Flash Flood, Ashe

When
January 30, 7:13 PM EST to 10:13 PM EST
Where
Ashe County, Creston to 0.15 mi NE of Creston
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Amateur Radio
Coordinates
36.430, -81.620

Extensive flooding was reported along Peak Road.

Flash Flood, Watauga

When
January 30, 8:30 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Watauga County, 1.64 mi NE of Shulls Mills to 1.6 mi NE of Shulls Mills
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.197, -81.710

Heavy rain caused two feet of water was observed flowing over Diamond Branch Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Rockingham

When
January 30, 8:50 PM EST
Where
Rockingham County, 0.34 mi NE of Madison
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.383, -79.965

Multiple Trees were blown down on Dahl Street.

Flash Flood, Wilkes

When
January 30, 10:00 PM EST to 11:59 PM EST
Where
Wilkes County, 1.51 mi W of Roaring River to 1.44 mi W of Roaring River
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.220, -81.027

Water was observed flowing over the bridge at Arbor Grove Church Road near Cotton Mill Road.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, January 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 431266, 431268, 431214, 431224, 431238, 431251, 431269, 431256, 431272.