Virginia, 2013

Flash Flooding and Flood in Virginia, January 30 to 31, 2013

January 30 to 31, 2013 · NWS RNK · 21 events in 12 counties and zones

Unseasonably warm air, with afternoon temperatures reaching into the 60s and low 70s, and a surge of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico interacted with a slow moving cold front during the afternoon and evening hours of January 30th, resulting in strong low-topped showers and thunderstorms and widespread heavy rainfall. Despite weak CAPE associated with the frontal passage, low level wind shear was…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.6 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
21

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.

Unseasonably warm air, with afternoon temperatures reaching into the 60s and low 70s, and a surge of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico interacted with a slow moving cold front during the afternoon and evening hours of January 30th, resulting in strong low-topped showers and thunderstorms and widespread heavy rainfall. Despite weak CAPE associated with the frontal passage, low level wind shear was in excess of 60 knots across the region, which produced lines of showers, often with strong winds but little to no lightning. Precipitable water values were observed to be in the 1.0 to 1.5 inch range, which is extremely high for January across the Appalachians and the nearby Piedmont region. To add to the flooding threat, ground conditions were already saturated from recent rain and snow during the days and weeks preceding the event.

Severe weather caused power outages across portions of southwest and central Virginia, with one of the highest concentrations of power outages occurring in Pulaski County, where nearly 1250 homes and businesses were without power during the evening of January 30th. The Virginia Department of Transportation reported as many as 35 roads were closed across mainly southwest Virginia due to flooding or flooding-related problems, and that clean up costs associated with flooding, landslides and debris flow was between 1.5 and 2 million dollars.

The following is a list of total rainfall amounts, in inches, across western and central Virginia:

- Alleghany County - | 2.48 4 E Covington CCR,| 2.22 Gathright Dam COOP,| 2.10 Covington FP COOP,| 2.00 Rich Patch IFLOWS,| 1.96 Dunlap Creek Near Covington.

- Amherst County - | 4.10 Pedlar Dam COOP.

- Appomattox County - | 1.11 Appomattox COOP.

- Bath County - | 3.16 Cassidy Bridge IFLOWS,| 3.05 Lime Kiln RAWS,| 2.76 Mill Creek,| 2.64 Trappers Lodge IFLOWS,| 2.36 Jordon Top IFLOWS,| 2.32 Pump Storage IFLOWS,| 2.31 Gathright Dam DCP,| 2.30 Williamsville,| 2.23 Hot Springs COOP,| 2.20 Douthat State Park IFLOWS,| 1.88 BaCreek Creek DCP at Sunrise,| 1.40 JaCreekson River Near Bacova,| 1.08 Ingalls Field Airport.

- Bedford County - | 3.26 Holcomb RoCreek COOP,| 3.07 Bedford COOP,| 2.17 4 WSW Moneta CCR.

- Bland County - | 1.49 Bland DCP.

- Botetourt County - | 4.35 Apple Orchard IFLOWS,| 4.15 Lithia IFLOWS,| 3.64 Troutville IFLOWS,| 3.36 Glade Creek IFLOWS,| 3.00 Carvin Creek IFLOWS,| 2.96 Buchanan,| 2.83 Sloan Branch IFLOWS,| 2.76 Daleville IFLOWS/USGS,| 2.48 Tinker Creek IFLOWS,| 2.16 North Fork IFLOWS,| 2.12 Oriskany IFLOWS.

- Buckingham County - | 1.10 Buckingham COOP.

- City of Roanoke - | 4.14 Roanoke River at STP IFLOWS,| 4.03 Roanoke,| 3.11 Lower N. Lakes IFLOWS,| 1.80 Montclair IFLOWS.

- Carroll County - | 3.99 6 N Galax CCR,| 3.32 Woodlawn IFLOWS,| 2.40 Twin County Airport.

- Charlotte County - | 1.03 Charlotte Courthouse COOP.

- Craig County - | 2.72 Johns Creek/RTE 311 IFLOWS,| 2.64 Simmonsville IFLOWS,| 2.64 Abbott IFLOWS,| 2.52 Potts Mountain IFLOWS,| 1.88 Craig Creek/RTE 614 IFLOWS,| 1.76 Upper Johns Creek IFLOWS,| 1.67 Craig Valley RAWS.

- Floyd County - | 4.45 Willis COOP,| 4.32 8 ENE Floyd CCR,| 4.31 Willis DCP,| 3.40 Copper Hill IFLOWS,| 3.16 Mountain View Church IFLOWS.

- Franklin County - | 4.23 Adney Gap IFLOWS,| 3.71 Simmonds Gap IFLOWS,| 3.22 Maggodee Creek IFLOWS,| 2.46 6 E Boones Mill CCR,| 2.44 Route 640/Pigg River IFLOWS,| 2.24 Rocky Mount/Pigg River IFLOWS,| 1.80 Rocky Mount COOP,| 1.60 Gills Creek N.F. IFLOWS,| 1.44 Ferrum IFLOWS,| 1.16 Blackwater IFLOWS.

- Giles County - | 2.48 North Fork IFLOWS,| 2.47 Spruce Run IFLOWS,| 1.64 W Pearisburg CCR,| 1.44 Dismal IFLOWS,| 1.08 Butt Mountain IFLOWS.

- Grayson County - | 4.17 2 E Independence CCR,| 3.45 1 S Independence CCR,| 3.02 Galax,| 2.48 Jones Knob IFLOWS,| 2.28 Bethel IFLOWS,| 2.08 Troutdale DCP,| 1.84 Fairwood IFLOWS,| 1.80 Whitetop Mountain IFLOWS,| 1.76 Grayson Highland IFLOWS.

- Halifax County - | 1.09 South Boston COOP.

- Henry County - | 1.84 Prilliman IFLOWS,| 1.76 Providence Church IFLOWS,| 1.55 Chestnut knob IFLOWS,| 1.35 Marrowbone Reservoir IFLOWS,| 1.31 Philpott Dam,| 1.24 Blackberry Creek RG IFLOWS,| 1.12 Meadows Church IFLOWS,| 1.03 Martinsville Hydro-Electric IFLOWS.

- Montgomery County - | 4.83 Lafayette COOP,| 3.32 Shawsville SG/IFLOWS,| 3.08 Ironto IFLOWS,| 3.00 Lafayette SG/IFLOWS,| 3.00 Falling branch IFLOWS,| 2.77 Christiansburg COOP,| 2.71 Brush Mountain IFLOWS,| 2.40 Blacksburg IFLOWS,| 2.12 Blacksburg NWS,| 1.76 Poor Mountain IFLOWS,| 1.14 VA Tech Airport.

- Nelson County - | 4.00 Montebello Fish Nursery.

- Patrick County - | 3.83 Circle M IFLOWS,| 3.80 Slate Mountain IFLOWS,| 3.76 Raven Rock Church IFLOWS,| 3.16 Meadows of Dan COOP,| 2.87 Central Academy IFLOWS,| 2.57 Woolwine COOP,| 2.44 Samuel Grove Church IFLOWS,| 2.28 Willow Hill Church IFLOWS,| 2.24 Doe Run Church IFLOWS,| 2.12 Trot Valley IFLOWS,| 2.12 Dry Pond IFLOWS,| 1.91 Stuart COOP,| 1.16 Critz IFLOWS.

- Pittsylvania County - | 1.06 Chatham COOP.

- Pulaski County - | 1.99 Radford COOP,| 1.96 Caseknife Station IFLOWS,| 1.80 Peak Creek IFLOWS,| 1.74 Radford,| 1.68 NRV Airport IFLOWS,| 1.49 Pulaski COOP,| 1.20 Cove Mountain IFLOWS.

- Roanoke County - | 4.63 Tinker Creek S. IFLOWS SG/RG,| 3.60 Witt's Orchard IFLOWS,| 3.32 Sugarloaf Mountain IFLOWS,| 3.20 Crawfords Ridge IFLOWS,| 3.15 Salem Pump Station IFLOWS,| 3.08 Peters Creek IFLOWS,| 2.96 Mill Mountain IFLOWS,| 2.92 Fort Lewis Mountain IFLOWS,| 2.65 Roanoke Airport (ASOS),| 2.39 Mason Creek IFLOWS,| 2.36 Roanoke COOP,| 2.34 Niagara River Gage,| 1.32 Mason Cove IFLOWS.

- Rockbridge County - | 3.55 Glasgow 1 SE COOP,| 3.04 Calfpasture River Above Mill Creek at Goshen,| 3.00 Buena Vista COOP,| 2.88 Glasgow IFLOWS SG/RG,| 2.56 Lexington IFLOWS/COOP,| 2.23 Vesuvius IFLOWS,| 1.52 Rockbridge Baths.

- Smyth County - | 2.48 Little Brushy IFLOWS,| 2.25 Saltville COOP,| 2.08 mf Holston River at Seven Mile Ford IFLOWS/USGS,| 1.99 Saltville Precip (TVA),| 1.96 Walker House IFLOWS,| 1.76 Nebo IFLOWS,| 1.44 Camp IFLOWS,| 1.44 Empire Airport IFLOWS,| 1.32 Marion TVA RG,| 1.16 Mount Rogers IFLOWS.

- Tazewell County - | 3.20 Springville IFLOWS,| 2.11 Richlands Precip (TVA),| 2.10 Burkes Garden COOP,| 2.04 Christmas Tree Hill IFLOWS,| 2.00 Cumberland Heights IFLOWS,| 2.00 Whitaker Ridge IFLOWS,| 1.96 Bluestone IFLOWS,| 1.92 East River Mountain IFLOWS,| 1.88 Jewell Ridge IFLOWS,| 1.76 Stony Ridge IFLOWS,| 1.76 Gratton IFLOWS,| 1.11 Tazewell Rain Gage (TVA).

- Wythe County - | 1.80 Wytheville IFLOWS,| 1.80 Sand Mountain IFLOWS,| 1.56 Cedar Springs IFLOWS,| 1.36 Stony Fork USFS RAWS,| 1.32 Walker Lookout IFLOWS,| 1.12 Crawfish Valley IFLOWS.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 30, 1:12 PM EST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 1:12 PM EST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
112 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINS...AND
STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS TO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE FRONT MOVES OFF THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING WHILE
COLDER AIR MOVES BACK IN TO END THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 100 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE BIGGEST ADJUSTMENT FOR THE AFTERNOON IS THE CANCELLATION OF
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. THE BEST PUSH OF THE COLDER AIR
REMAINED NORTH OF THE REGION...AND THE SECTION OF THE LINE THAT
REACHED OUR AREA LOST ITS MOMENTUM. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON...WE EXPECT WHAT IS LEFT OF THE LINE TO CONTINUE HEADING
EAST WITH RAIN SHOWERS BEHIND IT. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR
ALONG AND NEAR THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AS STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES. REDEVELOPMENT OF THE LINE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING IS POSSIBLE AS IT ENTERS SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA AND
NEIGHBORING PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

AS OF 945 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

MORNING UPDATE REFLECTS INCREASED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE
WEST WITH THE TIMING OF THE ARRIVAL OF THE LINE OF SHOWERS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE CONVECTIVE WATCH. ALONG THE CREST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...HAVE RAMPED POPS TO CATEGORICAL WHERE LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
FLOW IS PRODUCING A GENEROUS COVERAGE OF LIGHT RAIN. HAVE MADE
ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES...DEW POINTS AND SKY COVER BASED UPON
THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND EXPECTED TRENDS THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.

AS OF 830 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 400 PM FOR
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA AND SOME NEIGHBORING PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA. THE CONCERN IS DAMAGING COINCIDENT TO THE PASSAGE OF A
SQUALL LINE APPROACHING THE REGION FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY. VERY
LITTLE IF ANY THUNDER IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE.
HOWEVER...IF ANY WARNINGS ARE NEEDED THEY WOULD BE ISSUED AS A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING.

AS OF 345 AM WEDNESDAY...

PATTERN IS MORE LIKE MARCH THAN LATE JANUARY. WE WILL BE DEALING
WITH SEVERAL WEATHER ISSUES THIS PERIOD.

FIRST...LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE NE ALONG THE SOUTHERN BLUE
RIDGE THIS MORNING...AND SHOULD SEE SOME INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE MORNING GIVEN INCREASING SOUTHERLY COMPONENT IN THE LOW
LVLS. THE WINDS WILL BE THE FIRST TO CAUSE ISSUES LATER THIS
MORNING...AS 50-70 KNOT LOW LVL JET MOVES FROM THE OHIO VALLEY/TN
EAST-NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE SFC COMPONENT WILL
BE FAVORABLE AT LEAST FOR A FEW HOURS FOR WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE
SFC AND GUST OVER 55 MPH IN PORTIONS OF SRN WV/FAR SW VA AND NW
NC....HENCE THE HIGH WIND WARNING. THIS WILL BE SOMEWHAT INHIBITED
BY THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL MOVING IN.

THE BIG ISSUE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SVR WX AND FLASH FLOODING
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. SQUALL LINE LINED UP FROM WRN
INDIANA SOUTH ALONG THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY IS GOING TO ADVANCE
EAST AND ANTICIPATING IT REACHING THE MTNS BETWEEN 21Z-00Z...THEN
KICKING EAST INTO THE PIEDMONT AFTER 01Z AND EXITING THE CWA AROUND
MIDNIGHT...WITH LINGERING SHOWERS THEREAFTER. THE SVR THREAT WILL
COME FROM THE STRONG WIND ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM. WE HAVE WIND
ADVISORIES POSTED AHEAD OF THIS GIVEN POTENTIAL MIXING DOWN OF 45+
MPH WINDS. THE INSTABILITY STILL APPEARS LIMITED GIVEN CLOUD
COVER...BUT A FEW BREAKS MAY OCCUR IN THE MTN EMPIRE. DONT EXPECT TO
SEE TOO MUCH LIGHTNING WITH THIS.

THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT SEEMS GREATER IN THE MOUNTAINS GIVEN THE
ALIGNMENT OF THE LINE OF CONVECTION AND PWATS OF 1.00 TO 1.5 WHICH
FOR LATE JANUARY IS MAXED OUT. HPC HAS THE MOUNTAINS IN A SLIGHT
RISK OF EXCEEDING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE AND MODERATE RISK OVER
GREENBRIER AND BATH COUNTIES. GIVEN SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AND
SOME LINGERING SNOW COVER...HAVE DECIDED TO GO WITH A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE MOUNTAIN COVERAGE AREA...LEAVING OUT ROA/SRN
SHENANDOAH VALLEY...ALTHOUGH THEY COULD GET SOME ISOLATED THREAT.
THIS FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL RUN FROM NOON TIL MIDNIGHT AS MOST OF
THE HEAVIER RAINS WILL OCCUR FROM MID AFTERNOON TIL EVENING.

DESPITE THE CLOUDS AND INCREASING SHOWERS...TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO
PUSH INTO THE 60S WEST AND LOWER TO MID 70S SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER...THE
RECORD HIGHS FOR THIS DATE SEEM JUST OUT OF REACH. BLF IS CLOSEST
WITH FORECAST HIGH OF 67 AND RECORD HIGH OF 69 SET IN 2002.

FOR TONIGHT...THERE WILL BE SOMEWHAT OF A LULL IN WINDS ONCE THE
QLCS PUSHES EAST BUT THEN PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND 6 HR
PRESSURE RISES OF 5-8 MB WILL BRING ANOTHER SURGE OF STRONG WINDS
ALONG WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION INTO THE AREA MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
BUT MORE LIKELY TOWARD DAWN. WILL LEAVE OUR WIND HEADLINES AS
IS...AS THIS WILL COVER MORE OF THE PREFRONTAL STUFF...AND LET LATER
SHIFTS REARRANGE AND/OR EXPAND IT IN TIME AS WE GET CLOSER.

THE OTHER ISSUE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT WILL BE SNOW SHOWERS ON THE
UPSLOPE. MODELS ARE SHOWING A QUICK BURST OF 1/2 TO 2 INCHES IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN ASHE/WATAUGA AND THE SE WV MTNS. MAY NEED A
WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR THIS...AS THE STRONG COLD ADVECTION PLUS SNOW
AND WET GROUND COULD LEAD TO SOME VERY SLICK ROADS. WILL MENTION IN
THE HWO.

TEMPS TONIGHT WILL VARY AND IF THE FRONT SLOWS ANOTHER 1 TO 2
HOURS...PLACES LIKE DANVILLE MAY STAY IN THE 50S. FOR NOW THINK THE
COOLER AIR ARRIVES AROUND DAWN TO SEND THE PIEDMONT DOWN INTO THE
LOWER 40S WHILE THE MTNS ARE DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 345 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

HOPE YOU HAVE ENJOYED THE WARM...WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. COME THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL NOT REACH
NORMAL AND LIKELY FALL THROUGH THE DAY. COMBINING THE COLD AIR AND
WINDY CONDITIONS...WIND CHILLS WILL VARY FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
20S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TO MID 20S TO LOWER 30S EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE THURSDAY. WEST WINDS AND MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL
KEEP SNOW SHOWERS ON WESTERN SLOPES INTO MID AFTERNOON. WITH ONLY A
BRIEF UPSLOPE EVENT...AMOUNTS ON WESTERN SLOPES WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO
3 INCHES. BOTH THE WIND AND THE SNOW TAPER OFF BY THURSDAY EVENING.

A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE QUICKLY FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY
EVENING TO THE MID ATLANTIC SHORE FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO
POOL INTO THE REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AS
THE GULF IS BEING BLOCKED BY A SURFACE RIDGE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL
BRING ONE TO TWO INCHES OF DRY SNOW TO THE FAR WEST AND A DUSTING TO
AN INCH FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SCATTERED FLURRIES PUSHING EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...POSSIBLY IN TO THE PIEDMONT FRIDAY MORNING.

BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...MORE COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE REGION
FRIDAY. 85H TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AFTERNOON ARE FORECASTED AROUND
-8C. BEHIND FRIDAY DISTURBANCE...85H TEMPERATURES ARE FORECASTED TO
BE -16C IN THE AFTERNOON. IN OTHER WORDS...TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
WILL RANGE BETWEEN 30F-45F...FRIDAY 20F-35F. THE SNOW AND THE WIND
WILL TAPER OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
WEST. HOWEVER...THE COLD AIR WILL LINGER INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 305 PM EST TUESDAY...

A LONG WAVE TROF REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN CONUS FOR THE WEEKEND. SFC
HIGH CENTERED ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY WILL MOVE EAST INTO
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. A CLIPPER-LOW AND ATTENDING SURFACE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST SATURDAY AND TRAVELS ACROSS FORECAST AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE GFS SUGGEST THAT A COUPLE OF
INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN UPSLOPE
AREAS. THE ECMWF HINTS AT LIGHTER SNOW TOTALS. KEPT SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW FOR SUNDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON
LEANING TOWARDS GFS THEN TAPER OFF AS THE TROF AXIS MOVES FURTHER
INTO THE ATLANTIC.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE CENTER LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS GREAT
LAKES AND PUSHES A COLD FRONT TOWARDS OUR REGION MONDAY. THE COLD
FRONT ADVANCES ACROSS OUR REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE
GFS DEVELOPS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST MONDAY
NIGHT AND LIFTS IT NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY. THE GFS SOLUTION
INDICATED THAT MORE SNOW...SEVERAL INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WESTERN UPSLOPE AREAS ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WENT WITH
SCATTERED POPS FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND WILL WATCH FOR
FURTHER RUNS TO SEE EVOLUTION AND DETAILS OF THIS STORM FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1245 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

PRIMARILY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA INTO
TONIGHT AS A BROAD AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS PROGRESSES INTO THE AREA
IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ALSO...IN ADVANCE OF
THESE SHOWERS...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN RAIN
ALONG AND NEAR THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THIS SAME SOUTHERLY
JET WILL HELP MAINTAIN GUSTY CONDITIONS AT THE
SURFACE...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
EXIT EASTWARD OUT OF THE REGION WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
HOWEVER...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL HELP
MAINTAIN MVFR CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA AND NEIGHBORING SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
THROUGH THURSDAY.

UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE...BUT DECREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE REST OF THE AREA WILL SEE VFR
CONDITIONS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS TO THE ENTIRE AREA FOR
THE START OF THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE
CLIPPER THROUGH MONDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALIZED
MVFR CONDITIONS TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
POTENTIAL FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME POSSIBILITY FOR EVEN HIGHER. MAIN THREAT IS
FLASH FLOODING GIVEN CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM...AND GROUND
BEING SATURATED.

WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR RIVERS COMING BACK UP AFTER THE RECENT WET
SPELL...MAINLY IN THOSE RIVERS IN THE MOUNTAINS LIKE THE
CLINCH/HOLSTON/GREENBRIER AND WATAUGA.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER BROADCASTING FROM WYTHEVILLE
IS BACK ON THE AIR. THE SITE LOST COMMERCIAL POWER AND IS NOW
OPERATING ON GENERATOR POWER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ007-
     009>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ011-013-014-
     016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ001-002-
     018.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ002>006-019-
     020.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ042>045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ043>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WP
NEAR TERM...DS/WP
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...KK
AVIATION...DS
HYDROLOGY...
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 4:49 AM EST, 10 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
449 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-311000-
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-GRAYSON-MERCER-
449 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY...MAINLY
IN THE MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AND/OR A WIND ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ002-VAZ011-013-014-016>020-WVZ043>045-311000-
ALLEGHANY NC-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
449 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY MORNING. LIGHT
ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MAINLY SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND
DAMAGE TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-311000-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-
CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
449 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE TO OUR
OFFICE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 30, 10:30 AM EST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1030 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042>045-301600-
SMYTH VA-TAZEWELL VA-BLAND VA-MERCER WV-SUMMERS WV-GREENBRIER WV-
MONROE WV-
1030 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  TAZEWELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME WESTERN BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  SUMMERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 1100 AM EST

* AT 1021 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED TO ENTER WESTERN
  PORTIONS OF SMYTH AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA...AND WESTERN
  MERCER...SUMMERS AND GREENBRIER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST WEST
  VIRGINIA BEFORE 11 AM.

* WHILE VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED ALONG THIS LINE...WE
  HAVE RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 50
  MPH AS THIS LINE PASSED THROUGH PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA AND
  KENTUCKY. THESE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN TREES AND
  LARGE TREE LIMBS. POWER LINES MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN AND POWER
  OUTAGES MAY OCCUR.

* LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY GUSTY WINDS THROUGH NOON INCLUDE...
  ROCKY GAP...                     PRINCETON...
  BURKES GARDEN...                 BLUEFIELD...
  TAZEWELL...                      RICHLANDS...
  HINTON...                        SALTVILLE...
  CHILHOWIE...                     CERES...
  PIPESTEM... 					   ALDERSON...

* IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE LINE
  AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH MAY RESULT IN SLICK ROADS AND
  LOW VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS AND BE AWARE FOR ANY DEBRIS BLOWN
INTO THE ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 8042 3823 8036 3811 8036 3804 8023
      3671 8166 3693 8183 3696 8178 3715 8190
      3724 8174 3721 8155 3727 8142 3758 8119
      3760 8108 3771 8097 3768 8088 3782 8094
      3788 8075 3806 8080 3810 8088 3808 8071
TIME...MOT...LOC 1521Z 277DEG 26KT 3836 8089 3708 8209

16
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 11:12 AM EST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1112 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ007-009>012-015-019-WVZ042>045-301715-
SMYTH VA-GILES VA-TAZEWELL VA-BLAND VA-GRAYSON VA-WYTHE VA-
ALLEGHANY VA-MERCER WV-SUMMERS WV-GREENBRIER WV-MONROE WV-
1112 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME WESTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  TAZEWELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  SUMMERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 1215 PM EST

* AT 1109 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG RAIN SHOWERS ENTERING WESTERN PORTIONS
  OF SMYTH AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA...AND WESTERN
  MERCER...SUMMERS AND GREENBRIER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST WEST
  VIRGINIA.

* WHILE VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED ALONG THIS LINE...WE
  HAVE RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 50
  MPH AS THIS LINE PASSED THROUGH PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA AND
  KENTUCKY. THESE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BLOWING DOWN TREES AND
  LARGE TREE LIMBS. POWER LINES MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN AND POWER
  OUTAGES MAY OCCUR.

* IN ADDITION TO STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE LINE
  AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH MAY RESULT IN SLICK ROADS AND
  LOW VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS AND BE AWARE FOR ANY DEBRIS BLOWN
INTO THE ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 8027 3807 7996 3770 8028 3770 8042
      3687 8125 3677 8126 3664 8162 3715 8190
      3724 8174 3721 8155 3727 8142 3758 8119
      3771 8097 3768 8088 3782 8094 3787 8075
      3806 8080 3810 8088 3808 8071 3827 8044
TIME...MOT...LOC 1609Z 278DEG 26KT 3853 8044 3698 8201

16
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 12:13 PM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1213 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ011-019-020-WVZ042>045-301800-
GILES VA-BATH VA-ALLEGHANY VA-MERCER WV-SUMMERS WV-GREENBRIER WV-
MONROE WV-
1213 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  CENTRAL SUMMERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 100 PM EST

* AT 1205 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG RAIN SHOWERS PASSING ACROSS EXTREME
  SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA AT AROUND 35 MPH...EXPECTED TO PASS INTO
  VIRGINIA BY 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

* WHILE VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED ALONG THIS
  LINE...AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING STATIONS HAVE REPORTED A FEW
  WIND GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE AS THIS LINE PASSED THROUGH
  PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA EARLIER TODAY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BLUEFIELD...                     PRINCETON...
  WARM SPRINGS...                  HOT SPRINGS...
  LEWISBURG...                     POPLAR HILL...
  PEARISBURG...                    WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS FOR ANY DEBRIS BLOWN INTO THE ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3820 7960 3757 8032 3724 8061 3715 8086
      3719 8087 3718 8089 3727 8101 3730 8098
      3724 8122 3727 8128 3813 8037 3805 8027
      3804 8016 3806 7997 3811 7993 3818 7992
      3826 7981
TIME...MOT...LOC 1705Z 291DEG 26KT 3818 8013 3673 8168

16
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 12:58 PM EST, 2 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1258 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ009>014-018>020-023-024-WVZ042-044-045-301900-
GILES VA-SMYTH VA-CRAIG VA-BLAND VA-BATH VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
BOTETOURT VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-WYTHE VA-PULASKI VA-ALLEGHANY VA-
MERCER WV-MONROE WV-GREENBRIER WV-
1258 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  CENTRAL SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 200 PM EST

* AT 1253 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  BURNSVILLE TO RURAL RETREAT...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18
  MILES NORTH OF GOSHEN TO CERES...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NEWPORT...                       PULASKI...
  WYTHEVILLE...                    BLAND...
  MARION...                        JORDAN MINES...
  COVINGTON CITY...                WARM SPRINGS...
  CLIFTON FORGE CITY...            HOT SPRINGS...
  POPLAR HILL...                   PEARISBURG...
  DUBLIN...                        NARROWS...
  RURAL RETREAT...                 SPEEDWELL...
  MOUNTAIN LAKE...                 PETERSTOWN...
  UNION...                         MAX MEADOWS...

LAT...LON 3803 7939 3677 8110 3678 8167 3817 7978
TIME...MOT...LOC 1753Z 270DEG 48KT 3825 7951 3697 8127

JH
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 1:51 PM EST, 1 hour 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
151 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ019-020-024-WVZ044-045-301945-
BATH VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-ALLEGHANY VA-GREENBRIER WV-MONROE WV-
151 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM EST

* AT 145 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A SHOWER WITH GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN NEAR ORGAN
  CAVE...OR 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RONCEVERTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
  MPH. ADDITIONAL FAST MOVING SHOWERS MAY ALSO AFFECT THE REGION AS
  A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS MOVES IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH 3
  PM.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SHOWER.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  COVINGTON CITY...                WARM SPRINGS...
  HOT SPRINGS...                   CLIFTON FORGE CITY...
  LEWISBURG...                     WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS...
  RONCEVERTE...                    GOSHEN...
  MILLBORO...                      NEOLA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS SHOWERS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 7973 3796 7939 3759 8041 3773 8055
      3806 8010 3806 7997 3811 7993 3813 7995
      3818 7992 3827 7980
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 233DEG 47KT 3771 8041
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 2:31 PM EST, 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ009-012-015-302030-
WATAUGA NC-ASHE NC-SMYTH VA-GRAYSON VA-WYTHE VA-
231 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WATAUGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SMYTH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 228 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SALTVILLE
  TO BULADEAN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  CHILHOWIE TO 10 MILES EAST OF ERWIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS BAND OF
  SHOWERS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BOONE...                         TODD...
  MARION...                        SALTVILLE...
  CHILHOWIE...                     JEFFERSON...
  BLOWING ROCK...                  SPEEDWELL...
  SUGAR GROVE...                   BEECH MOUNTAIN...
  TROUTDALE...                     MOUTH OF WILSON...
  WHITETOP...                      ASHLAND...
  LANSING...                       SANDS...
  LOVILL...                        RUTHERWOOD...
  SILVERSTONE...                   MEAT CAMP...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3636 8179 3634 8176 3634 8171 3641 8174
      3647 8170 3653 8171 3663 8161 3680 8170
      3693 8183 3683 8114 3658 8130 3657 8136
      3653 8134 3612 8162 3611 8181 3619 8185
      3622 8191 3627 8189 3629 8192
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 285DEG 31KT 3686 8181 3612 8223

JH

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 113 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:07 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

11 thunderstorm wind, 9 flash flood, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Grayson

When
January 30, 3:07 PM EST
Where
Grayson County, 0.85 mi ENE of Rugby
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.625, -81.436

Multiple trees were blown down along Highway 58.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pulaski

When
January 30, 3:40 PM EST
Where
Pulaski County, 2.84 mi WSW of Dublin to 2.75 mi W of Dublin
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.110, -80.750

A 15-foot by 30-foot section of a roof was blown off of one home, while part of a roof was blown off of another home by strong thunderstorm winds.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pulaski

When
January 30, 3:41 PM EST
Where
Pulaski County, 0.55 mi W of Dublin to Dublin
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.120, -80.710

A detached garage was heavily damaged and several trees were blown down in Dublin.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pulaski

When
January 30, 3:50 PM EST
Where
Pulaski County, 1.1 mi E of Fairlawn
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.150, -80.580

A gustnado caused part of the brick exterior of a commercial building to collapse, exposing the wooden frame and insulation of the building. Automobiles and rental transport trailors were also tossed around and damaged by strong winds.

Thunderstorm Wind, Montgomery

When
January 30, 4:03 PM EST
Where
Montgomery County, 0.89 mi W of Blacksburg
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Storm Chaser
Coordinates
37.228, -80.436

A few five-inch diameter tree limbs were blown down on Virginia Tech Golf Course near Prices Fork Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Bedford

When
January 30, 5:05 PM EST
Where
Bedford County, 2.31 mi WNW of Stewartsville
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.280, -79.840

This wind gust was measured with home weather station equipment.

Thunderstorm Wind, Amherst

When
January 30, 5:48 PM EST
Where
Amherst County, 1.46 mi SSE of Pleasantview
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.600, -79.240

A few trees were blown down by thunderstorm winds along the Buffalo Springs Turnpike.

Flash Flood, Grayson

When
January 30, 6:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Grayson County, 0.38 mi SW of Fries to 0.44 mi SSW of Fries
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.716, -80.974

Emergency management in the community of Fries reported that Dalton Creek was flowing out of its banks and across Main Street.

Flash Flood, Floyd

When
January 30, 6:30 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Floyd County, 0.56 mi ESE of Copper Vly to 0.4 mi W of Carthage
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
36.978, -80.520

Several roads were reported closed or washed out in the Indian Valley area due to flash flooding. Flooding occurred on Indian Creek Road, Homestead Road, Horse Ridge Road and Duncans Chapel Road. Two homes were evacuated as flood waters entered the residences.

Flash Flood, Alleghany

When
January 30, 6:53 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Alleghany County, 1.34 mi ENE of Potts Creek to 1.37 mi ENE of Potts Creek
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
37.630, -80.179

Eight inches of water was observed flowing across the 8400 block of Potts Creek Road, forcing the road to be closed.

Flash Flood, Pulaski

When
January 30, 8:00 PM EST to 10:40 PM EST
Where
Pulaski County, 1.19 mi NW of Mack Creek Vlg to 1.02 mi NW of Mack Creek Vlg
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
36.990, -80.697

A swift water rescue was performed when a creek overflowed its banks, pinning an automobile against trees along Eanes Ferry Road. After the rescue, the driver of the automobile was treated at the scene and released.

Flash Flood, Roanoke

When
January 30, 9:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Roanoke County, 2.15 mi N of Cave Spg to 2.19 mi N of Cave Spg
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.261, -80.019

Six inches of water was observed flowing across Cravens Creek Road near Deyerle Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Bedford

When
January 30, 9:20 PM EST
Where
Bedford County, 0.82 mi SE of Huddleston
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.160, -79.471

Thunderstorm winds blew down several trees in Huddleston.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pittsylvania

When
January 30, 9:30 PM EST
Where
Pittsylvania County, 2.68 mi SE of Whitmell
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.675, -79.483

A tree was blown down by thunderstorm winds on Clearview Drive.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pittsylvania

When
January 30, 9:50 PM EST
Where
Pittsylvania County, 2.71 mi ESE of Kentuck
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.639, -79.253

Thunderstorm winds blew a tree down on Rocksprings Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pittsylvania

When
January 30, 9:50 PM EST
Where
Pittsylvania County, 1.37 mi S of Danville City
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
36.550, -79.278

A tree was blown down on Cedar Road.

Flash Flood, Rockbridge

When
January 30, 10:00 PM EST to January 31, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Rockbridge County, 1.49 mi E of Stewardsburg to 1.73 mi S of Riverside
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.753, -79.353

Multiple locations along Long Hollow Road just north of the community of Buena Vista were experiencing flash flooding, including eight to twelve inches of water flowing over the road near the intersection with Catalpa Road.

Flood, Carroll

When
January 30, 10:00 PM EST
Where
Carroll County, Byllesby to 0.41 mi WNW of Byllesby
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$1.5 million
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
36.780, -80.930

Several, if not all, of the wooden flash boards at the Byllesby/Buck Dams were damaged or washed away due to flooding on the New River. In addition, turbines were damaged.

Flash Flood, Montgomery

When
January 30, 10:25 PM EST
Where
Montgomery County, 0.69 mi N of Alleghany Spg to 1.04 mi NNE of Alleghany Spg
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
37.140, -80.270

The south fork of Roanoke River reached flood stage due to widespread heavy rainfall.

Flash Flood, Bedford

When
January 30, 10:30 PM EST
Where
Bedford County, 0.36 mi WSW of Shady Grove to 0.41 mi WSW of Shady Grove
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.319, -79.726

A portion of Meadowlark Lane was washed out due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Franklin

When
January 30, 11:45 PM EST to January 31, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Franklin County, 1.48 mi SE of Gogginsville to 1.58 mi SE of Gogginsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.035, -79.911

Flooding was observed at the intersection of Blue Bend road with Jamestown Road, where a nearby creek flowed out of its banks.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, January 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 430896, 430891, 430889, 430892, 430890, 430878, 430877, 430899, 430901, 430897, 431342, 430902, 431681, 430893, 430894, 430895, 430907, 431677, 430908, 430898, 430900.