Montana, 2013

Heavy Snow and High Wind in Montana, March 14 to 17, 2013

March 14 to 17, 2013 · NWS TFX · 9 events in 3 counties and zones

High winds developed over the Northern and Southern Rocky Mountain front areas.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

High winds developed over the Northern and Southern Rocky Mountain front areas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 14, 10:55 AM MST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 10:55 AM MST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1155 AM MDT Thu Mar 14 2013

Aviation section updated

.UPDATE...

Today...A cold front will be moving southward across the Hi-line
late this morning and through the afternoon. Therefore...dropped
high temps into the 30s and put areas of fog into the forecast
near the Canadian border as it should remain nearly saturated in
this region through the evening. Also, expecting northerly winds to
veer to northeasterly on the cold side of the boundary with W/SW
winds to the south. Uttech

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1755Z.
A Canadian cold front has dropped southward into North Central MT
this morning. Expect widespread low clouds/fog/IFR conditions to
affect areas between Cut Bank and Havre through the period. The low
clouds will spread southward into the Lewistown area this evening.
Easterly winds will keep the cold air and low clouds in place in
this region through much of Friday. Otherwise southwesterly winds
will allow for VFR conditions...with mainly just mid/high level
clouds over Southwest MT. Brusda

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 545 AM MDT Thu Mar 14 2013/

Today through Saturday...A rather complex weather pattern
beginning to take shape to close out the week. High pressure aloft
will provide dry and unseasonably warm conditions over the area
today. Temperatures, however, will not be quite as warm along the
Hi-Line as a surface cold front will begin to slowly drop south
during the afternoon. By late afternoon, the front should lie just
north of Great Falls. The upper ridge rebuilds over the Pacific
Northwest on Friday resulting in a moist and unstable northwest
flow aloft over the area. Isolated showers will develop during the
afternoon with rain and/or snow showers across the Hi-Line as this
area will be under a colder airmass. Shortwave energy ejecting
from the base of an upper trof over the Pacific Northwest will
move across the area Saturday bringing scattered rain and/or snow
showers. Accumulating precipitation Saturday will likely be
confined to the Rocky Mountain Front and over the Big and Little
Belt mountains. Temperatures will be 15 to 20 degrees above
seasonal averages today but will cool to near seasonal averages
Saturday. The exception will be along and north of the Hi-Line
where temperatures will be below seasonal averages. Emanuel

Saturday Night through Thursday...Models are coming into better
agreement for widespread precipitation to develop across the
Treasure State beginning Saturday night through Sunday night. An
upper-level shortwave trough with ample Pacific moisture will move
into the Northern Rockies Saturday night while a colder Canadian
airmass pushes into areas along and east of the Continental Divide
on Sunday. Temperatures over the central plains and southwest
valleys will be above freezing Saturday evening resulting in a mix
of rain and snow at the onset of precipitation, then change to all
snow as temperatures fall overnight. Wet roadways will become
snow-covered and icy Saturday night and Sunday morning, especially
over mountain passes. Snow will continue through Sunday with highest
snow amounts expected in the mountains at and above pass level. High
temperatures will be in the mid 20s to low 30s. Confidence remains
low on exact snowfall amounts though at this time snow amounts of 2
to 5 inches are possible over the plains and valleys with 5 to 10
inches in the mountains at and above pass level and locally higher
amounts on north-facing slopes. The combination of colder
temperatures and snow will also cause stress on young livestock. In
addition, gusty northerly winds are expected over the plains on
Sunday, which will further impact travel with low visibilities and
blowing/drifting snow. Winds and snow will taper late Sunday night
with overnight temperatures Sunday night falling well into the teens
along the Hi-Line and teens to low 20s elsewhere. Will continue to
closely monitor the progression of this system and update for
possible winter weather highlights as confidence increases.
Unsettled northwest flow aloft will persist through the middle part
of the week with below-average temperatures. Long-range forecast
models hint at another possible storm system Wednesday and Thursday,
however the large spread between model solutions keep forecast
confidence low. MLV

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  65  41  53  28 /   0  20  10  10
CTB  57  35  43  22 /  10  20  20  10
HLN  65  40  58  33 /   0  20  20  20
BZN  62  36  55  29 /   0  20  30  20
WEY  49  28  47  25 /   0  10  20  30
DLN  61  37  54  31 /   0  20  20  20
HVR  49  37  40  19 /  10  30  30  10
LWT  59  39  48  24 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

weather.gov/greatfalls
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 4:26 AM MST, 7 hours 34 minutes before
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Event by event

7 high wind, 2 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 14, 12:00 PM MST to 12:30 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High winds of 65KT (75MPH) were measured 2 miles SW of East Glacier Park.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 14, 11:30 PM MST to March 15, 12:00 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
64 kt (74 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

High winds of 64KT (73MPH) were measured 1 mile ENE of East Glacier Park at the Two Medicine DoT site.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 15, 1:00 AM MST to 1:30 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High winds of 53KT (61MPH) were measured 13 miles W of Bynum, MT at the Dellwo site.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 15, 1:30 AM MST to 2:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High winds of 59KT (68MPH) were measured 17 miles W of Pendroy, MT at the Theodore Roosevelt Memorial Ranch.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 15, 3:00 AM MST to 3:30 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS

High winds of 52KT (60MPH) were measured at the Heart Butte RAWS site.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 15, 6:00 AM MST to 6:30 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS

High winds of 59KT (68MPH) were measured 8 miles SE of East Glacier Park at the Deep Creek RAWS site.

Heavy Snow, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 16, 4:00 PM MST to March 17, 7:00 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL

Heavy snow measuring 14 inches in 24 hours was reported at the Many Glacier SNOTEL (Elevation 4900ft).

Heavy Snow, Gallatin

When
March 17, 4:00 AM MST to 10:00 AM MST
Where
Gallatin forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL

Heavy snow measuring 9 inches in 6 hours was reported at the Brackett Creek SNOTEL (Elevation 7320ft).

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 17, 8:00 AM MST to 8:30 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Trained Spotter

High winds of 52KT (61MPH) were measured 12 miles WSW of Bynum, MT at Teton Pass ski area.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 441041, 441042, 441044, 441049, 441050, 441047, 441055, 441074, 441058.