A linear complex of thunderstorms developed and pushed east across portions of Mississippi. This complex produced scattered wind damage and some hail.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
A linear complex of thunderstorms developed and pushed east across portions of Mississippi. This complex produced scattered wind damage and some hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 7:59 PM CST, 6 hours 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 759 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012 .UPDATE...A WARM MOIST ADVECTION PATTERN IN PLACE AND PWATS HAVE MORE THAN DOUBLED TO 1.1-1.2 INCHES SINCE LATE MONDAY. SHORT TERM RUC/WRF MODELS HAVE LATCHED ON TO A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE IN ERN TX AND NOW SPREAD NUMEROUS SHRA ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN PORTIONS OF OUR CWFA BETWEEN 06-15Z LATE TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. INCREASING UPGLIDE AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT IN THE 290-295K REGION WILL ALSO RESULT IN ENOUGH LIFT SO HAVE BOOSTED OVERNIGHT POPS TO LIKELY CATEGORY IN THOSE AREAS AND NUDGED UP TO AROUND 50/50 CHANCES ELSEWHERE. SUSPECT MOST TEMPS WILL HOLD IN THE MID/UPPER 50S FOR LOWS AND FOG WILL REMAIN PATCHY DUE TO THE INCREASED RAIN CHANCES. EVEN THOUGH RAIN CHANCES ARE HIGHER...THE VOLUME OF RAINFALL WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY AND WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. EXPECT GENERALLY UNDER ONE QUARTER INCH OF RAIN WITH THIS NEXT WAVE OF SHOWERS./40/ && .AVIATION... CLOUDS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 3000 TO 4000 FT BEFORE LOWERING INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY FROM SW TO NE 05-09Z TONIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL POSSIBLE OVER THE FAR WEST BEFORE O4Z AND THEN START BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS BY 07-10Z. CLOUD LAYERS WILL LOWER DURING THAT SAME TIME FRAME WITH WIDESPREAD LOW STRATUS AND SOME FOG RESULTING IN IFR CIGS/VSBYS 09-15Z. ANY FOG SHOULD LIFT BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY WHEN DIMINISHING SHRA WILL ALSO ALLOW CIGS TO RISE TO MVFR FOR THE AFTERNOON...ISOLATED TSRA WILL BECOME POSSIBLE 20-24Z WEDNESDAY./40/ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012/ SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)... TUESDAY SAW A RATHER WARM AFTERNOON THANKS TO SOUTHERLY ONSHORE FLOW AND A DECENT AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE FOR MOST AREAS. A CONTINUATION OF THE WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS THE ARKLAMISS REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MODIFIED TROPICAL AIRMASS THAT HAS MOVED IN...DESPITE THE APPROACH OF A WEAK COLD FRONT EARLY THURSDAY. IN THE MEAN TIME...A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE/ISENTROPIC LIFT STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION. A LOW AMPLITUDE S/WV TRANSITING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY WILL KEEP A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW...AND POSSIBLY A FEW ISOLATED RUMBLES OF THUNDER. WEAK INSTABILITY PARAMETERS WILL PROHIBIT ROBUST UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT KEEPING THE RISK FOR A STRONG STORM TO A MINIMUM. WILL KEEP THE HWO CLEAR. SHOWER CHANCES WILL DIMINISH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS BY AND SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A S/WV RIDGE OVERSPREADS THE REGION. SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW QUICKLY RETURNS THURSDAY EVENING/NIGHT AS A DEEP UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE FAR WESTERN PLAINS...AND SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS ALONG THE GULF COAST. THIS MAY ALLOW A FEW SHOWERS TO IMPACT THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE RAIN CHANCES INCREASE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. OVERALL THE GFS MOS GUIDANCE LOOKED REASONABLE. I AM A LITTLE CONCERNED ADVERTISED HIGHS FOR TOMORROW MAY BE A BIT TOO HIGH...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS THAT SEE DECENT RAINS DURING THE DAY. MANY AREAS MAY NOT GET TO 70 DEGREES...BUT UPPER 60S ARE STILL EXPECTED. /BK/ PREVIOUS LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)... WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FRI-SAT. REGIONAL AND GLOBAL MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH TIMING/FEATURE DIFFERENCES CONTINUING THEREAFTER. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AS A DEEP AND HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST THURSDAY AND BECOMES CUT-OFF ACROSS SRN PLAINS BY LATE FRI/EARLY SAT. A SFC LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THAT WILL USHER IN LOW TO MID 60 DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. DECENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE COUPLED WITH 300-700 MUCAPE SHOULD RESULT IN DECENT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WITH BOTH THE 0Z OPS GFS AND EC SLOWING THE FRONT AT LEAST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...HIGH MOISTURE AND MODEST INSTABILITY COULD CO-EXIST ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR POTENTIAL OF A FEW STRONG STORMS. THE EVOLUTION OF THIS POTENTIAL WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS MODELS WILL MOST LIKELY ALTER IN SOME DEGREE. SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME-FRAME CONTINUES TO FEATURE MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH OPS GFS CONTINUING TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE EC. SINCE EC HAS COME AROUND MORE TOWARDS THE GFS IN THE SHORTER TERM...WILL GO WITH A BLEND WITH SLIGHTLY MORE WEIGHT PLACED IN THE OPS GFS CAMP. HAVE EXTENDED LIGHT PRECIP POSSIBILITIES INTO SUNDAY MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR SLOWER BIAS OF EC BUT THEN REDUCE POPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT SHOULD BE CLEAR OF REGION. FOR MON/TUES...CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE MORE SEASONABLE WITH COOLER TEMPS EXPECTED AND CLEARER SKIES. FOR FORECAST MATTERS...LOW TEMPS WERE BUMPED UP ABOVE GUIDANCE FRI-SAT WITH MEXMOS SLOWLY PICKING UP ON THE UPWARD TREND. POPS WERE GENERALLY ACCEPTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD BUT REDUCED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND THEREAFTER. /ALLEN/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... JACKSON 55 72 52 73 / 64 64 10 4 MERIDIAN 57 71 53 72 / 50 76 21 4 VICKSBURG 55 73 51 74 / 65 51 10 5 HATTIESBURG 58 73 55 74 / 50 76 15 8 NATCHEZ 58 72 54 73 / 70 56 10 5 GREENVILLE 56 69 53 71 / 50 41 14 4 GREENWOOD 56 71 53 73 / 50 54 19 4 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...NONE. LA...NONE. AR...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 251 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 012100- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH- SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 251 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. 17
LAZ026-010940-
CONCORDIA LA-
241 AM CST WED FEB 1 2012
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
241 AM CST WED FEB 1 2012
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED
10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACME AT 241 AM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.
HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.
PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN CONCORDIA PARISH SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3103 9165 3104 9172 3114 9173 3119 9169
3123 9181 3129 9182 3133 9187 3150 9152
3137 9147 3137 9152 3143 9155 3141 9158
3139 9158 3129 9151 3126 9156 3126 9165
3119 9158 3111 9162 3105 9155 3097 9167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0841Z 242DEG 26KT 3116 9180
OLBThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
8 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A tree was blown down along Highway 98 south of Bude.
A utility pole was blown down along Highway 1 north of Rosedale. Large trees were blown down near Mound Bayou.
Three homes had roof damage and an outbuilding was blown away along Drew Merigold Road and Jennings Road.
A few power lines and power poles were blown down between Minter City and Schlater.
Trees were blown down along Highway 7 and County Road 106. A fatality occurred when a pine tree fell on an ATV operator along County Road 286 between County Roads 93 and 95.
A few trees were blown down around the Holcomb area.
A tree was blown down across Kay Lane.
Several trees were blown down across northern portions of the county.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind, Carroll | 2012-02-01 | 52 | Female | Outside/Open Areas | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, February 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 361112, 361114, 361119, 361120, 361121, 361122, 361123, 361125, 361129.