Texas, 2012

Drought in Texas, February 1 to 29, 2012

February 1 to 29, 2012 · NWS FWD · 11 events in 11 counties and zones

Drought conditions continued to improve across the southern areas of North Texas during the month of February. Only Bell County remained in extreme drought (D3) at the end of the month, and only 8 counties remained in drought conditions.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 11 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
$23,000
Events
11

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

Drought conditions continued to improve across the southern areas of North Texas during the month of February. Only Bell County remained in extreme drought (D3) at the end of the month, and only 8 counties remained in drought conditions. Local lakes and reservoirs continued to improve, but many local municipalities continued water restrictions due to concerns of another below normal rainfall in the summer months.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1130 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012

.UPDATE...
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE AS SOUTH WINDS REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS AHEAD OF
STALLED WEAK LOW PRESSURE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED FROM CISCO...TO
GAINESVILLE. WILL INTRODUCE PATCHY DENSE FOG ACROSS THOSE AREAS
SOUTHEAST OF AN EMORY...CORSICANA...CAMERON LINE WHERE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS MORE RICH. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT PARTS OF THIS AREA MAY
NEED TO BE INCLUDED IN A DENSE FOG ADVISORY ON THE EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING PACKAGE...BUT RIGHT NOW CONFIDENCE ON THE WHERE/WHEN IS
NOT FULLY CERTAIN AND WILL LET OVERNIGHT CREW DECIDE.

OTHERWISE NO CHANGES TO REST OF THE FORECAST.

05/

&&

.AVIATION...
VLIFR CIGS REMAIN WELL EAST OF TAF SITES AND WITH SOUTHWESTERLY
COMPONENT TO THE LOW LEVEL FLOW...CONFIDENCE OF IFR CIGS
AFFECTING TAF SITES IS BECOMING LESS AND LESS. THINK WACO WILL
HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR RESTRICTED CEILINGS AND WILL SHOW LOW
MVFR CONDITIONS THERE DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING
PERIOD. WE ARE STARTING TO SEE SOME SHALLOW GROUND FOG ACROSS
GRASSY AREAS OUTSIDE OF OUR OFFICE. CURRENT THINKING IS THIS
SHOULD REMAIN SHALLOW AND NOT HAVE A MAJOR IMPACT OF TAF
SITES...BUT THIS BEARS WATCHING. OTHERWISE...LOW CLOUDS AT WACO
SHOULD LIFT BY NOON AND A NORTH WIND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
TAF SITES TOMORROW EVENING.

85/NH

&&

.PREV UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
NO UPDATES PLANNED WITH CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE. WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES OVERNIGHT AND THIS
IS WHERE LOW WILL FALL INTO THE 40S...WITH 50S TO LOWER 60S
ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WHILE NORTH-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. LOW CLOUDINESS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY NORTHWEST ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA BEFORE DAYBREAK.

MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN SOUTHEAST OF THE
CWA...THOUGH A ROGUE SHOWER OR TWO CAN'T BE RULED ACROSS THE AREA
BEFORE SUNRISE.

05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012/
A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE SURFACE
COMBINED WITH PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
UP INTO THE 70S ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. LOW CLOUDS
HAVE LINGERED OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS MORE ABUNDANT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WEAK ENERGY THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLIER SHOULD REMAIN
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION THIS EVENING.

FOR TOMORROW...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROPAGATE EAST
TOWARDS THE STATE AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AS THE COLD FRONT IS
PRESSING IN FROM THE NORTH. LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIP IS
NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED STORMS LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE EAST
OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. 12Z NAM APPEARS TO BE ONE OF THE MORE
AGGRESSIVE MODELS WITH RESPECT TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
TOMORROW...WITH CAPES PROGGED ABOVE 1000 J/KG OVER THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM IF
INSTABILITY BECOMES AS HIGH AS ADVERTISED BY THE NAM...WITH THE
BEST POTENTIAL OVER THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST COUNTIES ALONG THE
FRONT DURING PEAK HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME THE
FEELING IS THAT ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED AND TOMORROW/S
POPS WILL BE KEPT LOW.

AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY EAST OF THE STATE...A
STRONGER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEST COAST AND
DEEPEN AS IT PROGRESSES EAST INTO THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS REGION. LEE
SURFACE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP TO OUR WEST ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE. AS THIS OCCURS...THE WEAK FRONT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE
OVER OUR AREA AND MOIST SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RETURN TO
NORTH TEXAS. IMPRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE DEVELOPS OVER THE
AREA LATE THURSDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH DIGS IN FROM THE WEST AND
SHOWS SIGNS CLOSING OFF.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT BEGINS LATE THURSDAY...AND SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AND AFFECT MAINLY THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE REGION WHERE LIFT IS STRONGEST. ACTIVITY MAY BECOME
MORE ORGANIZED FRIDAY MORNING AS A PACIFIC FRONT PUSHES IN FROM
THE WEST...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A LINE OF STORMS TO DEVELOP AND
PROGRESS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY IN SYNC WITH THE FRONT
AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. ENOUGH SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
PRESENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS...AND WE WILL
KNOW MUCH MORE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT.
ACTIVITY WILL COME TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH COOLER AND DRIER
WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND BEHIND THE FRONT.

30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  58  73  48  70  58 /   5  20  10  10  30
WACO, TX              59  74  48  71  59 /   5  20  10  10  20
PARIS, TX             53  70  48  66  54 /   5  20  10  10  30
DENTON, TX            52  72  42  68  57 /   5  20  10  10  30
MCKINNEY, TX          54  70  43  70  57 /   5  20  10  10  30
DALLAS, TX            58  73  49  70  58 /   5  20  10  10  30
TERRELL, TX           57  72  49  70  57 /   5  20  20  10  20
CORSICANA, TX         57  75  52  72  58 /   5  20  20  10  20
TEMPLE, TX            59  75  52  71  59 /   5  20  10  10  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     52  71  40  69  55 /   5  10  10  10  40

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

85/05
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 11:36 PM CST, 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1136 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
1136 PM CST TUE JAN 31 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PATCHY FOG CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A GAINESVILLE...
TO MINERAL WELLS...TO COMANCHE LINE. LOCALIZED DENSE FOG IS
POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF AN EMORY...CORSICANA...HEARNE LINE
OVERNIGHT. FOG MAY RESTRICT VISIBILITIES TO BELOW A MILE IN SPOTS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PATCHY FOG CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A GAINESVILLE...
TO MINERAL WELLS...TO COMANCHE LINE THROUGH MID MORNING WEDNESDAY.
LOCALIZED DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF AN EMORY...TO
CORSICANA...TO HEARNE LINE. FOG MAY RESTRICT VISIBILITIES TO BELOW
A MILE IN SPOTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH TEXAS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY. MORE
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

05/

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

11 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Freestone

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 20, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Freestone forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.705, -96.149 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as severe drought (D2) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 3 inches of rainfall and was not classified in drought at the end of the month.

Drought, Limestone

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 20, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Limestone forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.546, -96.580 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as severe drought (D2) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 3 inches of rainfall and was not classified in drought at the end of the month.

Drought, McLennan

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 20, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McLennan forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.552, -97.202 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as severe drought (D2) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 5 inches of rainfall and was not classified in drought at the end of the month.

Drought, Anderson

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Anderson forecast zone
Crop damage
$2,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.813, -95.653 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as severe drought (D2) throughout the month. The county received up to 3 inches of rainfall but drought conditions did not improve.

Drought, Coryell

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Coryell forecast zone
Crop damage
$2,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.391, -97.799 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as severe drought (D2) throughout the month. The county received up to 3 inches of rainfall but drought conditions did not improve.

Drought, Falls

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Falls forecast zone
Crop damage
$3,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.253, -96.936 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as extreme drought (D3) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 5 inches of rainfall and was classified as severe drought (D2) at the end of the month.

Drought, Lampasas

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Lampasas forecast zone
Crop damage
$3,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.196, -98.241 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as extreme drought (D3) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 4 inches of rainfall and was classified as severe drought (D2) at the end of the month.

Drought, Leon

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Leon forecast zone
Crop damage
$3,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.297, -95.996 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as extreme drought (D3) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 5 inches of rainfall and was classified as severe drought (D2) at the end of the month.

Drought, Milam

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Milam forecast zone
Crop damage
$3,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
30.786, -96.977 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as extreme drought (D3) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 8 inches of rainfall and was classified as severe drought (D2) at the end of the month.

Drought, Robertson

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Robertson forecast zone
Crop damage
$3,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.027, -96.513 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as extreme drought (D3) at the beginning of the month. The county received up to 8 inches of rainfall and was classified as severe drought (D2) at the end of the month.

Drought, Bell

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 29, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Bell forecast zone
Crop damage
$4,000
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
31.038, -97.478 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

According to the US Drought Monitor, the county was classified as extreme drought (D3) throughout the month. The county received up to 4 inches of rainfall but drought conditions did not improve.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 364779, 364780, 364781, 364782, 364783, 364784, 364785, 364786, 364787, 364788, 364790.