Arkansas, 2012

Drought in Arkansas, October 1 to 31, 2012

October 1 to 31, 2012 · NWS SHV · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

The month of October continued where September left off concerning the ongoing drought conditions across portions of Southwest Arkansas. The counties that continued to suffer through D2 Severe and D3 Extreme Drought conditions through the month of October were Howard, Sevier, Little River, Hempstead and Miller counties.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SHV wrote it up.

The month of October continued where September left off concerning the ongoing drought conditions across portions of Southwest Arkansas. The counties that continued to suffer through D2 Severe and D3 Extreme Drought conditions through the month of October were Howard, Sevier, Little River, Hempstead and Miller counties.

The following are a few selected cities across Southwest Arkansas with their October rainfall totals and departures from normal as well as their 2012 rainfall totals and departures from normal.

Texarkana October rainfall was 1.77. The departure from normal was -3.16.|Texarkana yearly rainfall was 26.56. The departure from normal was -13.22.|Dequeen October rainfall was 1.19. The departure from normal was -3.33.|Dequeen yearly rainfall was 23.55. The departure from normal was -16.17.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 8:59 PM CST, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 8:59 PM CST, 3 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
959 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO SEVERAL ELEMENTS TO BETTER MATCH OBS
WITH EXPECTED TRENDS FOR THE OVERNIGHT. NEW NAM WINDS LOADED IN
THROUGH 00Z TOMORROW. LOWERED TEMPS TO CURRENT IN SOME CASES THAT
MAY WORK OUT TO BE THE OVERNIGHT UNDER THE CLOUDS. MEANWHILE...TYLER
HAS ALREADY BROKEN OUT A TIME OR TWO MAY COOL DOWN WITH SOME
PARTIAL CLEARING. WE HAVE RESTRUCTURED LATE EVENING POPS AND
OVERNIGHT POP/WX GRIDS WITH SLIGHT AND CHANCE LIGHT RAIN AND SOME
ADDITION OF PATCY FOG TO NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LA WHERE THE
CURRENT CHILL IN THE AIR HAS SOME MISTY FOG WITH MORE LIGHT YET TO
COME. FINALLY WE HAVE ADDED SOME MORE INTO THE SKY FOR TOMORROW.

THE WATER VAPOR SHOWS THE UPPER LOW OVER TEXARKANA AND DE QUEEN
AND MAY BE ALREADY BOTTOMED OUT AS IT IS WORKING EAST. LOOKS LIKE
A MIX OF SUN AND MORE CLOUDS FOR TOMORROW AS N/NW FLOW DOWN THE
FRONT RANGE WILL BE SPREADING IN HIGH CLOUDS PERHAPS JUST AS THE
LOW CLOUDS ARE WORKING EASTWARD EARLY TOMORROW. UPDATED PRODUCTS
ON THE WAY. /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT MAINLY FOR
GGG/LFK/TXK/TYR/SHV TERMINAL SITES AS UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST.
MLU/ELD TO REMAIN UNDER IFR CEILINGS UNTIL AT LEAST 12Z MONDAY WITH
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN PRODUCING MVFR VISIBILITIES OVERNIGHT. NORTH
TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH GUSTS INCREASING
AFTER 30/15Z. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012/

DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVING EAST ACROSS LA. STRONGER CONVECTION REMAINS
WELL SOUTH OF CWA...AND BAND OF WEAKER CONVECTION JUST SKIRTING
EXTREME EASTERN CWA. HOWEVER....A BAND OF ELEVATED SHOWERS HAS REDEVELOPED
WESTERN PORTIONS OF NE TX...AND SE OK. REINTRODUCED CHANCE POPS
THIS EVENING FOR THIS REGION. WILL LEAVE IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
RAIN FOR REMAINDING PORTIONS OF AREA NOT MENTIONED. NORTH WINDS ON
BACKSIDE OF LOW REMAINING AT AROUND 15 MPH...JUST BELOW LAKE WIND
ADVISORY. DECIDED TO CANCEL THIS ADVISORY...ORIGINALLY LASTING ALL
EVENING. CLOUDS WILL REMAIN FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT...WITH LOW CLOUD
CIGS WESTWARD TO AROUND INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. SHOULD SEE ENOUGH
SUN MONDAY TO ALLOW WARMING TO AROUND MID TO UPPER 70S. NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...AS SOUTHERLY
FLOW RETURNS TO AREA...AND PRECEDES A SLOW APPROACHING COLD FRONT./VII/.

AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD IFR CEILINGS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO
MVFR AND EVEN SOME VFR FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. HOWEVER THIS
WILL BE MAINLY ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. CEILINGS AT
KSHV MAY BECOME MVFR AFTER 23Z THIS EVENING BUT WILL BE ON THE LINE
BETWEEN MVFR AND IFR. MOST OF NORTH LOUISIANA INCLUDING KMLU WILL
LIKELY REMAIN IFR UNTIL AT LEAST 15Z MONDAY. VISIBILITY WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN. PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND
FOG...WILL BRING WIDESPREAD 3 TO 5 MILE VISIBILITY WITH BRIEF
PERIODS OF 1 TO 2 MILES...MAINLY NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND ADJACENT NORTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER THE REMAINDER OF FOUR STATE REGION AFTER
04Z DUE TO WET GROUND. SURFACE WIND NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KTS
WITH GUST TO 20 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. /14/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  77  56  81  56 /  30  10  10  10  10
MLU  58  73  56  78  55 /  50  20  10  10  10
DEQ  57  76  55  80  52 /  20  10  10  10  10
TXK  60  75  55  77  56 /  40  10  10  10  10
ELD  57  72  54  78  53 /  40  20  10  10  10
TYR  56  78  55  83  57 /  10  10  10  10  10
GGG  58  78  56  82  56 /  20  10  10  10  10
LFK  59  79  55  83  57 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

24/05
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 9:20 PM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-011215-
RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-
MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-
SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP EAST AND NORTHEAST
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

LIGHT RAIN WILL BE ENDING OVER THE EASTERN MOST STATE LINE DURING
THE LATE EVENING. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS...WILL NOT BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
011215-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-
1020 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND FOR NORTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND WILL BE SHIFTING
FARTHER EASTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY FOG AT
TIMES LIMITING VISIBILITY DOWN TO TWO TO FOUR MILES...DESPITE A
STRONG CROSS WIND THAT WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT MAINLY OVER THE I-20
CORRIDOR. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS...WILL NOT BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.

24

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 30, 11:03 PM CST, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1203 AM CDT MON OCT 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     HEAVY RAIN       20 SE NACOGDOCHES       31.41N 94.41W
09/30/2012  M13.80 INCH      NACOGDOCHES        TX   COCORAHS

            RAIN MEASURED BEGINNING AT 8 AM ON THE 29TH AND ENDING AT
            6 PM ON THE 30TH IN THE ETOILE COMMUNITY IN SOUTHERN
            NACOGDOCHES COUNTY.

&&

MBERRY
Local storm report, Sep 30, 11:07 PM CST, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1207 AM CDT MON OCT 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 W NACOGDOCHES         31.61N 94.74W
09/30/2012  M11.37 INCH      NACOGDOCHES        TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RAIN MEASURED BEGINNING AT 8 AM ON THE 29TH AND ENDING AT
            7 AM ON THE 30TH IN THE ALAZAN COMMUNITY WEST OF
            NACOGDOCHES.

&&

MBERRY

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Hempstead

When
October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hempstead forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.735, -93.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Howard

When
October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Howard forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.089, -93.993 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Little River

When
October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Little River forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.701, -94.234 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Miller

When
October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Miller forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.312, -93.892 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Sevier

When
October 1, 12:00 AM CST to October 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Sevier forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.997, -94.241 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, October 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 412357, 412359, 412360, 412361, 412362.