High Wind in Texas, October 26, 2011

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1244 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER SOUTHEAST NM AND TRANS PECOS CONTINUE
TO SPREAD EAST... EXPECT TO BE DEALING WITH PRECIP THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND INTO TOMORROW.  FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED BETWEEN PEQ AND FST AT 05Z
SHOULD GO AHEAD AND PUSH TO THE RIO GRANDE BY 12Z.  STRATUS AND SOME
FOG OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS SPREADING SOUTHWARD... WILL HAVE MVFR CIGS
AND VSBYS.  STRATUS LOOKS TO HANG AROUND MUCH OF THE DAY FOR THE EAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 912 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011/

UPDATE...
THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO EXPAND THE MENTION OF
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS ALONG WITH THE LATEST MODEL DATA SUGGEST AT
LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
TRANS PECOS...PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS. WE
HAVE ALSO DELAYED THE MENTION OF RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS NORTHERN LEA
COUNTY UNTIL AFTER 09Z AS IT APPEARS THE COLUMN WILL NOT COOL
SUFFICIENTLY UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. CLOUD COVER HAS ALSO
BEEN INCREASED THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS MOST AREAS.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM MDT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
233 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-271945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
233 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 /133 PM MDT WED OCT 26 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY FROM THE
DAVIS MOUNTAINS...EASTWARD ACROSS THE STOCKTON PLATEAU AND LOWER
TRANS PECOS.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AND
WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS.  THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF STORMS
BETWEEN INTERSTATE 10 AND INTERSTATE 20 OVERNIGHT.  THE STRONGER
STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS OVER 50 MPH AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE BLUSTERY NORTHEAST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RESULT
IN PATCHY BLOWING DUST...WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY AND AFFECT
TRAVEL.  NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN GUADALUPE PASS.  WINDS
WILL FUNNEL THROUGH THE PASS AND INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH FROM LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY MORNING.  THEREFORE...A HIGH WIND
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GUADALUPE PASS DURING THIS TIME.

LIGHT RAIN COULD CHANGE TO SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
LATE TONIGHT.  NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THURSDAY MORNING.
SINCE THE SNOWFALL WILL BE LIGHT...AIR TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND THE GROUND WILL BE WARM FROM RECENT MILD WEATHER...NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

FROST COULD FORM FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AREA...DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND
MARFA PLATEAU.  SOME OF THESE COULD ALSO SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES
FOR A FEW HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND