New Mexico, 2011

Heavy Snow in New Mexico, November 7 to 8, 2011

November 7 to 8, 2011 · NWS ABQ · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

As an upper level closed low skirted across northern New Mexico, a back door cold front squeaked into the northeast. While snow showers were scattered across much of northern and western New Mexico, snow amounts were enhanced in favored upslope regions of the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

As an upper level closed low skirted across northern New Mexico, a back door cold front squeaked into the northeast. While snow showers were scattered across much of northern and western New Mexico, snow amounts were enhanced in favored upslope regions of the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. This quick-hitting storm system left over a foot of snow in some of the high peaks of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 7, 2:07 PM MST, 5 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 7, 2:07 PM MST, 5 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
207 PM MST MON NOV 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CHANGES INCLUDED TRANSITIONING NORTHEAST ZONES FROM THE
WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. JUST DIDNT FEEL
THAT THE BACK DOOR FRONT WOULD MAKE AS MUCH OF A HEADWAY INTO OUR
CWFA SO MAIN ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE COLORADO BORDER AND HITTING
AREAS LIKE THE FAR NORTHERN SANGRES AND RATON PASS. ALSO HAVE SOME
HIGHER STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS FOR THE WEST SLOPES OF THE JEMEZ
AND LOWER SAN JUANS DUE TO UPSLOPE EFFECTS. NEXT ADVISORY WILL
COME OUT BETWEEN 3 TO 4 PM.

DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS THAT THE MAIN FRONTOGENETIC BAND HAS STARTED
TO PUSH INTO THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS. COLD CORE PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE 3 STANDARD DEVIATION CLOSED LOW REMAINS OVER
CENTRAL ARIZONA. THUS SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BEGIN IN
EARNEST...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 7000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WEST.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIPITATION SHIFTING
NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND FAVORING THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS SHOULD GET INTO THE MAIN
BANDED ACTION LATER TONIGHT AND LAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
DIMINISHING EFFECTS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM PIVOTS OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST. UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS INTO TUESDAY EVENING AND HAVE ADJUSTED
POPS ACCORDINGLY BUT THE MAIN ACCUMULATION PERIOD WILL BE THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. HAVENT ADJUSTED HIGHLIGHTS EXCEPT FOR WHAT IS
MENTIONED ABOVE. LATER SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO END THE WESTERN MTN ADVISORY
EARLY BASED ON LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE. SNOW TOTAL GRIDS ARE COMING
OUT SIMILAR TO WHAT WE HAD IN THE EARLIER SHIFT ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
8 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN REMOTE AREAS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. IT DOES APPEAR THAT BOTH DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND THE BEST
FRONTOGENETIC EFFECTS LINE UP THE BEST ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST AREAS TONIGHT. LAPSE RATES ALSO LOOK TO BE FAIRLY STEEP WITH
6.5 TO 7.5 C/KM. THERMODYNAMICS SUGGEST DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH
UNDER THE COLD CORE LOW.

CONTINUED WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS NORTHEAST
AREAS AS MODELS SHOW A WEAK WAVE COMING DOWN THE BACKSIDE OF THE
MAIN PACIFIC TROUGH.

DRIER THURSDAY AS RIDGING TAKES SHAPE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
DECIDED TO LOWER OR TAKE POPS OUT FOR THE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
PERIOD. NONE OF THE MODELS ARE SHOWING PRECIPITATION DURING THIS
PERIOD ALTHOUGH CLOUD COVER SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE AHEAD OF THE
NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM. THAT SYSTEM IS PROGGED MORE FOR THE SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK PERIOD. SORT OF A SPLIT FLOW SITUATION SO
TIMING WILL PROBABLY GET ADJUSTED EVEN FURTHER UNDER SAID
CONDITIONS.

TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD. THEY START TO TREND A BIT WARMER...ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT
LOWS...AHEAD OF THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM. THAT WOULD BE THE WEEKEND
PERIOD.

50

&&

.AVIATION...
STORM SYSTEM IN IN ARIZONA SWEEPING EASTWARD ACROSS NEW MEXICO OVER
THE NEXT 18 HRS. COLD FRONT TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
TONIGHT. MOST AREAS TO REMAIN AT VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
DAY TUESDAY...BUT AREAS WITH CIGS AND VSBYS DROPPING TO IFR/LIFR IN
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS THROUGH 18Z
TUESDAY...AND EVEN AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THROUGH 02Z THIS
EVENING. MOST LIKELY PLACES FOR IFR OR LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE GUP
AND SAF. CANNOT RULE OUT BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS FMN...LVS...TCC AND
ABQ.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 10Z. CHJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH NEXT WEEK. POOR
VENTILATION RATES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MOST AREAS. WINDY
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND.

CURRENT STORM TO MOVE ACROSS NEW MEXICO TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY
FAVORING AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. FAIRLY WIDESPREAD WETTING
PRECIPITATION IN THESE AREAS WITH SUBSTANTIAL SNOWFALL IN THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS INTO THE NORTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL
BELOW NORMAL ON TUESDAY.

WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NEW MEXICO WEDNESDAY BUT WITH ONLY
CLOUDS...LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES TO
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. VENTILATION RATES WILL BE POOR AREA WIDE
WEDNESDAY AS WINDS DROP SHARPLY.

RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THURSDAY WILL BRING DRY WEATHER WITH MILDER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER RH VALUES...AND ANOTHER DAY OF MOSTLY POOR
VENTILATION RATES.

WINDS TO BEGIN TO PICK UP FRIDAY AS A STORM APPROACHES THE
CALIFORNIA COAST. WINDY PERIOD NEXT WEEKEND WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT
VENTILATION RATES. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO TREND DOWNWARD AND
RH VALUES HIGHER OVER THE WEEKEND. THE RH VALUES SHOULD PREVENT ANY
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS NEXT WEEKEND. INCREASING CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION AS WELL NEXT WEEKEND. BULK OF THE STORM EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE STATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

CHJ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  29  43  21  43 /  40  10   0   0
DULCE...........................  23  39  12  42 /  60  20   5   5
CUBA............................  25  39  15  42 /  60  20   5   5
GALLUP..........................  22  41  15  44 /  40  10   0   0
EL MORRO........................  21  36  15  39 /  40  10   0   0
GRANTS..........................  23  42  17  44 /  30  10   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  22  40  16  46 /  30  10   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  28  51  24  56 /  20   5   0   0
CHAMA...........................  22  35   7  37 /  80  40  20   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  29  40  23  39 /  50  20   5   5
PECOS...........................  25  40  20  37 /  40  20   5   5
CERRO/QUESTA....................  24  35  10  35 /  80  30  10   5
RED RIVER.......................  17  30  10  31 /  80  50  10   5
ANGEL FIRE......................  20  33   6  33 /  70  40  10  10
TAOS............................  26  40  15  40 /  70  20  10   5
MORA............................  26  38  15  36 /  60  30  10  10
ESPANOLA........................  30  46  21  46 /  40  20   5   5
SANTA FE........................  26  40  21  39 /  40  20   5   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  27  43  22  43 /  30  20   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  31  47  27  47 /  30  10   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  33  48  29  47 /  20  10   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  33  50  27  50 /  20   5   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  31  49  28  49 /  30  10   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  31  51  27  51 /  20   5   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  31  49  27  49 /  30  10   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  32  54  27  53 /  10   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  27  45  21  46 /  30  10   0   5
TIJERAS.........................  27  46  22  46 /  30  10   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  26  44  23  41 /  20  10   0   5
CLINES CORNERS..................  26  42  21  40 /  20  10   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  28  46  24  45 /  20  10   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  29  47  26  44 /  10   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  27  47  26  44 /  10   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  23  33  19  35 /  60  50  10  10
RATON...........................  27  39  18  43 /  70  60  10  10
SPRINGER........................  27  42  20  43 /  60  40  10  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  23  41  19  39 /  50  20   5   5
CLAYTON.........................  30  44  26  46 /  50  30  10   0
ROY.............................  29  42  25  40 /  50  30   5  10
CONCHAS.........................  34  50  28  48 /  20  20   5   0
SANTA ROSA......................  34  50  29  47 /  10  10   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  36  50  28  49 /  20  10   5   0
CLOVIS..........................  36  51  29  48 /  10   5   0   0
PORTALES........................  37  54  29  50 /  10   5   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  36  53  28  48 /  10   5   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  39  60  33  52 /   5   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  33  54  29  46 /   5   0   0   0
ELK.............................  30  52  28  46 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MST TUESDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ515-527-528-530.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM MST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ502-505-506.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM MST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ503-504-510>514.

&&

50/40
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 7, 6:05 AM MST, 13 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
605 AM MST MON NOV 7 2011

CORRECTION TO CHANGE MDT TO MST.

NMZ501>540-081300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
605 AM MST MON NOV 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ENTER WESTERN NEW MEXICO
LATER TODAY...CROSSING THE STATE TONIGHT. A FEW TO SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO TODAY INTO TONIGHT...THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ON THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...THEN ALSO IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE NORTHEAST PLAINS MAY ALSO RECEIVE A FEW INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION TONIGHT. OVERALL THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY
FALL ON THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND THE NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SOME SNOW WILL LINGER TUESDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON FROM THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS ON EAST...BUT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS DURING THIS PERIOD SHOULD BE LIGHTER THAN THE PRIOR
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

ANOTHER SNOW AND RAIN MAKER WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE WEEKEND. THIS
SYSTEM MAY BE A LITTLE WARMER...AT LEAST INITIALLY...AND FORCE MORE
OF THE SNOW TO SOMEWHAT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM CREATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ
OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

43

Event by event

5 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, West Slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
November 7, 8:00 PM MST to November 8, 9:00 AM MST
Where
West Slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Areas near Arroyo Seco received 8.5 inches of snow. Elsewhere, amounts were closer to 4 inches.

Heavy Snow, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 9500 Feet/Red River

When
November 7, 8:00 PM MST to November 8, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 9500 Feet/Red River forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL

The northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains received the brunt of the snowfall. Areas around Red River, including the ski area, received between 11 and 14 inches of snow.

Heavy Snow, East Slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
November 7, 8:00 PM MST to November 8, 9:00 AM MST
Where
East Slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Though most areas received between 4 and 7 inches of snow, isolated locations received well more than that. The cooperative observer in Eagle Nest reported a whopping 19 inches of snow with this storm.

Heavy Snow, Far Northeast Highlands

When
November 7, 8:00 PM MST to November 8, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Far Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Areas between Springer, Cimarron and Rayado were the hardest hit locations within the far northeast highlands. Between 4 and 8 inches of snow was common. Eight inches was reported 6 miles east-southeast of Cimarron by a trained spotter.

Heavy Snow, Union County

When
November 7, 8:00 PM MST to November 8, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Union County forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

The northern half of Union County received between 2 and 5 inches of snowfall.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, November 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 346832, 346833, 346834, 346835, 346968.