S. resulted in strong southwest winds.
Every event with a place to put it; 11 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The pressure gradient between lower pressures in the central Plains and high pressure in the southeast U.S. resulted in strong southwest winds. Peak wind gusts at airport observing sites in southeast Missouri were near 45 mph.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 13, 2:23 AM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
223 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2011
.DISCUSSION...
BIGGEST CHALLENGE WITH THIS PACKAGE CONTINUES TO BE THE EVOLUTION
OF LOW LEVEL FEATURES AND THE EFFECT THEY HAVE ON THE FORECAST.
CONSEQUENTLY MODELS HAVE BEEN HAVING A HARD TIME DECIDING WHAT TO
DO THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE UPCOMING WEEK DESPITE PERSISTENT BROAD
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
IN THE MEANTIME...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER
THE SOUTHEAST US. TODAY AS A SURFACE TROF PASSES JUST TO THE
NORTH AND EAST OF OUR CWA...IT WILL IMPINGE ON THE SOUTHEAST HIGH
THUS TIGHTENING THE WIND GRADIENT. AS A RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 PM. WITH RATHER HEALTHY GUSTS ALREADY BEING
REPORTED AT A FEW LOCATIONS...DECIDED TO MOVE THE VALID TIME OF
THE ADVISORY BACK TO 4 AM THIS MORNING.
WITH THE CONTINUED STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE HEARTLAND. EVEN WITH NO APPRECIABLE LIFTING
MECHANISM AT THE SURFACE OR ALOFT...PRECIP CHANCES WILL SLIGHTLY
INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT.
MONDAY AS ANOTHER SURFACE TROF PASSES JUST TO THE NORTH AND WEST
OF OUR CWA...ITS INTERACTION WITH THE DEEPENING MOISTURE AND A
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE GOOD CHANCES FOR
PRECIP...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF OUR CWA.
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A SHARP SHORT WAVE LIFTS NORTHEAST
OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...IT WILL ENHANCE FORCING THROUGH THE
COLUMN AS WELL AS ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY...SO PRECIP
CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE REGION.
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT WAVE TROF TUESDAY NIGHT...PRECIP
CHANCES WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST ACCORDINGLY. THE POTENTIAL
FOR A HEAVY RAIN EVENT HAS DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT...HOWEVER AREAS
GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE OHIO RIVER COULD SEE STORM TOTAL
PRECIP BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES WITH LESS THAN AN INCH
ELSEWHERE.
IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A LARGE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP THE REGION DRY AND COOLER INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. WITH THE SURFACE HOLDING FAST...MODELS CONTINUE TO BACK
OFF ON THE ONSET OF PRECIP DUE TO THE DIFFICULTY OF BEING TO
SATURATE DOWN THROUGH THE DRY WEDGE OF AIR. COULD FINALLY SEE
MOISTURE DEEP ENOUGH TO GENERATE PRECIP BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.
EVEN THOUGH THERE IS MENTION OF THUNDER OVER ALL OR PART OF THE
HEARTLAND FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...INSTABILITY WILL BE HARD
TO COME BY...SO THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE VERY
LIMITED.
&&
.AVIATION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SOUTH SOUTHWEST
WINDS OVER 50KTS AT 1.5-2KFT WILL RESULT IN LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
THROUGHOUT THE REGION THROUGH DAYBREAK. SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE
LATE TONIGHT AND WILL BE MAXIMIZED SUNDAY MORNING...AS THE TAIL END
OF A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH PUSHES EASTWARD JUST TO OUR
NORTH.
AS WINDS INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...MVFR CEILINGS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA. LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRENDING AWAY FROM IFR
CEILINGS AND ANY REDUCED VISIBILITIES. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
SPRINKLES LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY AT KEVV AND
KOWB...BUT THE IMPACT TO AVIATION WOULD BE NIL.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR BALLARD-CALDWELL-
CALLOWAY-CARLISLE-CHRISTIAN-CRITTENDEN-DAVIESS-FULTON-
GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-LYON-MARSHALL-
MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-TRIGG-UNION KY-WEBSTER.
MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR BOLLINGER-BUTLER-
CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-PERRY MO-
RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.
IL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALEXANDER-
EDWARDS-FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
JOHNSON-MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-UNION IL-WABASH-
WAYNE IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.
IN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GIBSON-PIKE-
POSEY-SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.
&&
RJP/JAPHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 400 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2011 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-141000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 400 AM CST SUN NOV 13 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY THOSE TRAVELLING IN AN EAST TO WEST DIRECTION. BOATERS ARE DISCOURAGED FROM VENTURING OUT ON TO AREA WATERWAYS TODAY AS CONDITIONS WILL BE ROUGH. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THE ADVISORY FOR MORE DETAILS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT GENERALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY...MONDAY NIGHT...AND TUESDAY ACROSS ALL OR PART OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. JP
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
11 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 352343, 352344, 352345, 352346, 352347, 352348, 352349, 352350, 352351, 352352, 352353.