Michigan, 2011

Winter Weather in Michigan, December 22 to 23, 2011

December 22 to 23, 2011 · NWS MQT · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Colder air in the wake of a frontal passage generated briefly heavy lake effect snow over eastern Marquette and Alger County from the afternoon of the 22nd continuing into the early morning of the 23rd.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MQT wrote it up.

Colder air in the wake of a frontal passage generated briefly heavy lake effect snow over eastern Marquette and Alger County from the afternoon of the 22nd continuing into the early morning of the 23rd.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 22, 3:31 PM EST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 3:31 PM EST, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
331 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/...

NW BLYR WINDS WITH TEMPS AT INVERISON TOP OF H85 AOB -15C LEADING TO
LK EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG ROUGHLY THE WEST TWO-THIRDS OF UPR MI
NEAR LK SUPERIOR. VWP INDICATES DEPTH OF LK EFFET IS 5-6KFT...BUT
SHEAR IN LOWEST 1KFT IS PROHIBITING MUCH IN WAY OF BANDED STRUCTURE.
FOR MOST PART...LES HAS TAKEN FORM OF AREAS OF SNOW REORIENTING IN
DIFFERENT PLACES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. NRLY BLYR WINDS PROHIBITING
MUCH LES EAST OF GRAND MARAIS PER OBS AND CANADIAN RADAR LOOP. AS
WINDS IN BLYR BACK MORE WESTERLY THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
BRIEFLY MOVES ACROSS...LES SHOULD AFFECT AREAS EAST OF MARQUETTE TO
NEWBERRY. SINCE MAJORITY OF CLOUD LAYER IS WITHIN IDEAL DENDRITIC
GROWTH ZONE (DGZ) COULD SEE ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF FLUFFY SNOW FOR
SNOWBELTS OF ALGER/NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT THIS EVENING. AFTER
MIDNIGHT...EXPECT LES TO END AS WINDS BACK SW PUSHING THE SNOW
SHOWERS OFFSHORE. STILL WILL KEEP WITH IDEA OF TEMPS OVR INLAND WEST
CRASHING OVERNIGHT ONCE FLOW OFF LK CEASES...ESPECIALLY ONCE 925MB
WINDS BECOME OFFSHORE. COULD SEE LOWS TOWARD ZERO IN SHELTERED
INTERIOR LOCATIONS WITH ENOUGH CLEARING GIVEN PWAT AOB 50 PCT OF
NORMAL MOVING ACROSS UPR LAKES.

ATTN TOWARD DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY TURNS TO STRONG SHORTWAVE SLIDING SE
OUT OF SOUTHERN MANITOBA. COMPACT SHORTWAVE/VORTICITY MAX IS FCST TO
SLIDE OVER WEST HALF OF UPR MI...AND PERHAPS EVEN INTO NORTHERN WI.
MODELS HAVE TRENDED FARTHER WEST WITH THIS WAVE COMPARED TO A COUPLE
DAYS AGO WHICH MAKES SENSE BASED ON SHARP LOOK TO WAVE ON WV LOOP
THIS AFTN. SFC LOW WITH SYSTEM NOT TOO STRONG...ROUGHLY AROUND
1015MB. EVEN SO...BRIEF PERIOD OF 700-500MB Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE
WITH THE WAVE AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT ON 280K SFC /H8-H7/ SHOULD ALLOW
SOME LGT SNOW FOR ALL AREAS ON FRIDAY. 12Z NAM LOOKS PRETTY SIMILAR
TO GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN SO RELYED ON ITS OUTPUT AND ALSO THAT OF
HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS THAT ARE INITIALIZED OFF THE NAM /LOCAL
WRF-ARW AND NCEP WRF-ARW/WRF-NMM. MOSTLY THIS LED TO MAJORITY OF
SNOW FALLING AFTER 15Z FRIDAY AND ENDING MOSTLY BY 00Z SATURDAY.
TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS SHOULD GENERALLY END UP LESS THAN 1 INCH. LK
SUPERIOR SHORE OVR MARQUETTE AND ALGER COUNTY COULD SEE JUST A
COATING AS DOWNSLOPE SWLY WINDS AND LINGERING DRY AIR BLO H85 EAT
AWAY AT SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. THE MOST SNOW WILL OCCUR OVR KEWEENAW
AND ALSO FAR SE CWA CLOSER TO LK MICHIGAN WHERE LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE
ONSHORE AND THERE COULD BE ENHANCEMENT TO THE SNOW DUE TO THE FLUXES
OFF THE LAKES. EVEN IN THOSE AREAS...QUICK MOVING NATURE OF SYSTEM
WILL LIMIT SNOWFALL TO A FEW INCHES. WINDS SHOULD NOT BE TOO BIG OF
DEAL WITH THE SYSTEM...BUT IT COULD BE GUSTY OVR TIP OF KEWEENAW IN
AFTN WITH WSW WINDS. BLEND OF BIAS CORRECTED NAM/REGIONAL CANADIAN
USED FOR TEMPS WHICH RESULTED IN HIGHS IN THE 20S FOR MAJORITY OF
CWA.

.LONG TERM 00Z SAT ONWARD...

NAM SHOWS A 500 MB TROUGH ON THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES 00Z SAT WHICH
WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SAT WITH MORE ENERGY AFFECTING THE AREA SAT
NIGHT. NAM BRINGS IN SOME 850-500 MB Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE AND
MOISTURE ON SAT AND ALSO FOR LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. ECMWF AND GFS
SHOW THE SAME THING AS WELL. SYSTEM SNOW PULLS OUT FRI NIGHT WITH
DRY SW LOW LEVEL FLOW FOR SAT...SO HAVE NO POPS FOR SAT. WITH NEXT
SYSTEM COMING IN LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...HAVE POPS IN THE
FORECAST WITH COLDER AIR ARRIVING ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL KICK UP THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW AGAIN AS NW WINDS BRING 850 MB TEMPERATURES DOWN TO
-10C. WITH LAKE TEMPERATURES AROUND 5C...THIS IS ENOUGH FOR LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. BUMPED POPS UP TO LIKELY LATE SUNDAY IN THE
EAST AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON AND LOOKED LIKE A
GOOD SHOT AT SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW THERE. OVERALL...DID NOT MAKE TOO
MANY CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO STAY ABOVE
NORMAL WITH FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER.

IN THE EXTENDED...ECMWF AND GFS SHOW A 500 MB TROUGH OVER THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES WITH THE PACIFIC NW ALSO HAVING A TROUGH...A RIDGE OVER
THE ROCKIES AND A TROUGH ACROSS MEXICO INTO TX 12Z SUN. RIDGING THEN
COMES IN FOR 12Z MON. ANOTHER TROUGH THEN COMES IN FOR 12Z TUE AND
THE TROUGHING STAYS THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO LOOK WARM AND ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED FORECAST WITH NO REAL BIG STORMS AFFECTING THE AREA. THERE
WILL ALSO BE A FEW PERIODS WHERE THERE WILL BE LAKE EFFECT SNOW OR
SYSTEM SNOW AS COLD FRONTS AND WEAK SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.
WILL GO WITH LOW CHANCE POPS WHEN THAT OCCURS. LOOKS DRY FOR LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE IS IN THE AREA.
&&

.AVIATION /FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE/...

COLD AIR SPILLING SOUTH ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR WILL LEAD TO LIGHT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAYTIME AT AT ALL OF THE TAF
SITES. MOSTLY EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS...BUT HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS
COULD RESULT IN IFR VSBY AT TIMES...MAINLY AT CMX AND SAW. EXPECT A
DIMINISHING TREND TO THE SNOW LATE THIS AFTN AND THROUGH THE
NIGHT...AS SFC RIDGE MOVES INTO THE AREA AND DRIER AIR ARRIVES. DID
LEAVE MVFR CIGS AT KCMX SINCE WINDS ROTATING TO THE SW WOULD STILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR LINGERING LES. WIDESPREAD SYSTEM SNOW WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT ALL TAF SITES LATE FRIDAY MORNING. EXPECT IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY AFTN.
&&

.MARINE /FOR THE 4 PM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE/...

NW WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING...THEN CLIPPER SYSTEM IS FCST TO
SLIDE ACROSS UPR LAKES ON FRIDAY. EXPECT SW WINDS TO 30 KTS WITH
THE SYSTEM...WITH A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS OVER WRN LAKE SUPERIOR
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GALES NOT FREQUENT OR WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY
ISSUING GALE WARNING. THE PATTERN OF LOWS MOVING THROUGH CANADA AND
SWEEPING TROUGHS ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST
PART OF NEXT WEEK. TROUGHS WILL AFFECT LK SUPERIOR ON SAT/SAT NIGHT
AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. DURING THE PASSAGE OF TROUGHS...EXPECT SW-NW
WINDS UP TO 30 KTS. BEST POTENTIAL FOR GALES WOULD BE WITH THE SW
WINDS ON MONDAY.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
NONE.
LAKE SUPERIOR...
NONE.
LAKE MICHIGAN...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JLA
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...JLA
MARINE...JLA
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 3:43 PM EST, 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
343 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-231300-
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE-
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
343 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011 /243 PM CST THU DEC 22 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-231300-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM-SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-
BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI-
ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI-
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING
KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI-
MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-
GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE
CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE
ROYALE NATIONAL PARK-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU
ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
343 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011 /243 PM CST THU DEC 22 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR
FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING OVER
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LAKE SUPERIOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

LMZ221-248-250-231300-
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
343 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

07

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 22, 3:53 PM EST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
353 PM EST THU DEC 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     SNOW             4 SE BIG BAY            46.78N 87.66W
12/22/2011  E3.0 INCH        MARQUETTE          MI   PUBLIC

            SNOW FELL OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS.

&&

KLUBER

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Weather, Marquette

When
December 22, 4:00 PM EST to 7:30 PM EST
Where
Marquette forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
46.663, -87.573 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A spotter in Harvey measured five inches of lake effect snow in three and a half hours late on the 22nd.

Winter Weather, Alger

When
December 22, 4:00 PM EST to December 23, 6:00 AM EST
Where
Alger forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
46.451, -86.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A spotter near Chatham measured 5.5 inches of lake effect snow in five hours late on the 22nd. The observer south of Grand Marais also reported over five inches of snow in the 12-hour period ending on the morning of the 23rd.

What these are

Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Michigan in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, December 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 358360, 358361.