A vigorous shortwave moved across the area which caused widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms with heavy rain.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
A vigorous shortwave moved across the area which caused widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms with heavy rain.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 1, 7:08 PM CST, 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 808 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2010 .UPDATE... HAVE UPDATED THE GOING FORECAST TO INCREASE POPS ACROSS THE AREA. COVERAGE OF SHRA/TSRA HAS INCREASED OVER THE WESTERN CWA OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS WHICH HAS HELPED TO FURTHER SATURATE THE PREVIOUSLY DRY LOW LEVELS. HAVE ALSO UPDATED THE HWO TO UPGRADE THE FLOODING RISK TO LIMITED IN AREAS WHERE TRAINING STORMS MAY OCCUR. LINDENBERG && .DISCUSSION... WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. THE INCOMING TROUGH WILL DEEPEN A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW TO THE SOUTH. MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL BRING A CONTINUED SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTHERN MISSOURI BORDER. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY IS GENERALLY LACKING SO WIDESPREAD THUNDER IS NOT EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES TOMORROW ACROSS THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 50S WITH SOME CLOUD COVER LINGERING BEHIND THE LOW TO THE SOUTH. TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL REBOUND SLIGHTLY AS SKIES CLEAR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL RIDING WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO COOL INTO THURSDAY AS NORTHERLY FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE BUILDING HIGH INTENSIFIES. HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 40S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR FREEZING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNING. THE HIGH CENTER WILL SLIDE EASTWARD ON SATURDAY RETURNING WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MODEL SOLUTIONS TEND TO TAKE THIS TROUGH NORTH OF THE AREA. IN ADDITION...SURFACE FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST WHICH DOES NOT FAVOR STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE AREA. WITH A POSSIBLE SECOND FREEZE OVER THE WEEKEND...INCREASING SURFACE WINDS...AND WARMING TEMPERATURES...FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE A CONCERN INTO NEXT WEEK. KARDELL && .AVIATION... FOR THE 00Z TAFS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 12Z TUE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE SHIFTING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. BEST CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA IMPACTING THE FORECAST POINTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 09-12Z AS THE SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FROM ITS LOCATION AT 23Z. LINDENBERG && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 754 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2010 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030100- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 754 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...LIMITED. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... THE LIGHTNING RISK IS LIMITED. THE FLOODING RISK IS LIMITED. DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT. IN LOCATIONS WHERE TRAINING STORMS CAN OCCUR...A LIMITED FLOODING RISK WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AS A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN. ANY VEGETATION THAT REMAINS GREEN...ESPECIALLY OVER FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS...MAY BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FROST AND OR FREEZE DAMAGE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) LINDENBERG
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 353 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2010 MOZ067-078-012130- CEDAR MO-ST. CLAIR MO- 353 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2010 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CEDAR AND SOUTH CENTRAL ST. CLAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT... AT 349 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FILLEY...OR 8 MILES WEST OF STOCKTON... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVER RURAL AREAS OF CEDAR AND SOUTH CENTRAL ST. CLAIR COUNTIES. PEOPLE IN CEDAR AND SOUTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN. BOXELL
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 433 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2010 MOZ067-078-012200- CEDAR MO-ST. CLAIR MO- 433 PM CDT MON NOV 1 2010 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CEDAR AND SOUTH CENTRAL ST. CLAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT... AT 428 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES EAST OF FILLEY...OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF STOCKTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE STOCKTON. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT INCLUDE TRUMAN LAKE. PEOPLE IN CEDAR AND SOUTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN. BOXELL
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding was reported by Cedar County dispatch along Highway J at County Road 900 just north of Stockton.
A Public observer reported 3.9 inches of rainfall. No flooding was observed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 262949, 262950.