Below normal rainfall continued during the month of November across the Missouri Bootheel. The lack of rainfall continued extreme (D3) drought conditions across the Missouri Bootheel.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Below normal rainfall continued during the month of November across the Missouri Bootheel. The lack of rainfall continued extreme (D3) drought conditions across the Missouri Bootheel. The biggest impact from the drought were hydrological concerns as many lake and river levels remained at low levels. Although some agricultural concerns remained as well as many pastures were in poor condition forcing farmers to feed livestock with baled hay.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 10:17 PM CST, 1 hour 43 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1117 PM CDT SUN OCT 31 2010 .UPDATE... UPDATED FOR THE 06Z TAF DISCUSSION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 926 PM CDT SUN OCT 31 2010/ UPDATE... UPDATED FOR SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS FOR INCREASING SKY COVER DISCUSSION... HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO THICKEN WITH THE CURRENT ZONAL SUBTROPICAL JET STREAMING OVERHEAD. THUS...HAVE ADDED WORDING OF PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN THE ZONES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH NEAR THE TENNESSEE AND MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE. AS OF 9PM TEMPERATURES WERE GENERALLY IN THE 50'S WITH EITHER CALM OR LIGHT EAST WINDS. REST OF THE FORECAST PARAMETERS ARE ON TRACK WITH NO OTHER UPDATES NEEDED AT THIS TIME. JAB && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 PM CDT SUN OCT 31 2010/ DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON RAIN CHANCES EARLY THIS WEEK...THEN ON A VERY SIGNIFICANT TROUGH FOR LATE THIS WEEK. SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IT HAS BEEN A VERY PLEASANT DAY ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S UNDER SUNNY SKIES. A STATIONARY FRONT IS LOCATED ROUGHLY FROM JONESBORO TO DYERSBURG AND PARIS. SENSIBLE WEATHER IS NOT VERY DIFFERENT ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT...EXCEPT FOR WIND DIRECTION. THIS FRONT WILL SAG SLOWLY SOUTH TONIGHT TO NEAR THE I-40 CORRIDOR BY MONDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS MAY BEGIN TO STREAM ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT...BUT MOST OF THE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUD INCREASE SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY. TOOK A COMPROMISE OF MET/MAV GUIDANCE TONIGHT. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE GOVERNED ON HOW QUICKLY CLOUDS THICKEN BUT 925 MB TEMPS SUGGEST HIGHS SIMILAR TO TODAY EXCEPT A LITTLE COOLER OVER THE FAR NORTH. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT. INCREASING MOISTURE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CAUSE RAIN TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH BY TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES STILL APPEAR HIGHEST OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE AND EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WHERE LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS RESIDE. A DRIER NORTHEAST FLOW WILL MITIGATE MUCH FROM DEVELOPING FURTHER NORTH SO CHANCE OR SLIGHT CHANCES REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF JACKSON. A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN LOOKS POSSIBLE OVER EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHERE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONG. DID NOT MENTION HEAVY RAIN YET...BUT LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO LOOK AT THE POSSIBILITY FURTHER. LINGERING SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT AND AT LEAST WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN MS BEFORE A VERY SIGNIFICANT TROUGH BEGINS TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE PLAINS. THIS WILL IN ESSENCE SQUASH THE MOISTURE ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CUT OFF LOW AND DRIVE A STRONG COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE TRICKY DUE TO EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND AREAS OF RAIN...BUT MOS SEEMS REASONABLE. LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. SURGE OF COLD AIR EXPECTED BEHIND POLAR COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AND GUSTY WINDS SHOULD SEND EVERYBODY INTO THE 30S BY THURSDAY MORNING. AS THIS TROUGH DIGS...IT APPEARS LIKELY NOW THAT THE CUT OFF LOW OVER THE GULF WILL ENCOUNTER THE BAROCLINIC INSTABILITY WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH AND DEVELOP RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALONG THE APPALACHIANS. BY THURSDAY NIGHT...500 MB HEIGHT ANOMALIES COULD REACH AT LEAST 6 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND THE GULF COAST WHICH IS JUST ASTONISHING. THIS LOW REALLY HAS POTENTIAL TO BECOME POWERFUL OVER THE MID ATLANTIC OR EASTERN OHIO VALLEY. DEPENDING UPON WHERE AND HOW THIS LOW INTERACTS WITH THE TROUGH WILL DETERMINE IF WE SEE ANY WRAP AROUND RAIN AND/OR YES POSSIBLY SNOW. THE 12Z CANADIAN IS RATHER AMUSING PRODUCING SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW OVER WEST AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE. BEFORE BELLS AND WHISTLES START SOUNDING...THIS SCENARIO SEEMS QUITE UNLIKELY. HOWEVER...THICKNESSES DROP INTO THE 528-534 DAM RANGE OVER THE MIDSOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH 850 MB TEMPS OF -6 TO -8C BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE ECMWF AND TO SOME EXTENT THE GFS DO GENERATE LIGHT QPF FRIDAY. BECAUSE 925 MB TEMPS ARE NEAR ZERO OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AND THE HIGH RH IS LOCATED JUST BELOW THE SNOW GROWTH REGION...IT APPEARS THE PRECIP OF CHOICE WILL BE JUST RAIN OR SPRINKLES. IT WILL BE A VERY CHILLY DAY FRIDAY NONETHELESS WITH HIGHS LIKELY REMAINING IN THE 40S. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER AND WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. BORGHOFF && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF CYCLE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN CALM TO LIGHT EASTERLY TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING FROM THE EAST ON MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL STREAM ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE LOWER CLOUDS MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY EVENING. JLH && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 53 77 55 64 / 0 0 40 60 MKL 43 72 47 65 / 0 0 20 50 JBR 46 73 49 61 / 0 10 30 50 TUP 47 78 55 66 / 0 0 30 70 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 355 PM CDT SUN OCT 31 2010 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-011215- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 355 PM CDT SUN OCT 31 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AS LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE. A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHEAST OR MID ATLANTIC STATES LATE THIS WEEK. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM MAY WARRANT WIND ADVISORIES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. BORGHOFF
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Extreme (D3) drought conditions continued across the area.
Extreme (D3) drought conditions continued across the area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 267469, 267470.