Colorado, 2010Winter Storm in Colorado, January 19, 2010
January 19, 2010 · NWS PUB · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A storm system affected southwest Colorado, generating heavy snow across portions of the eastern San Juan Mountains. Near the summit of Wolf Creek Pass 10 inches of snow fell.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A storm system affected southwest Colorado, generating heavy snow across portions of the eastern San Juan Mountains. Near the summit of Wolf Creek Pass 10 inches of snow fell.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 18, 3:32 PM MST, 9 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 3:32 PM MST, 9 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
332 PM MST MON JAN 18 2010
.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)
CURRENTLY...SNOW HAS BEEN A LITTLE SLOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...AS RADAR/OBS/WEB CAMS REVEAL ONLY A FEW
FLURRIES AT WOLF CREEK PASS SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON. FINALLY SEEING
SOME PRECIP SOUTH AND WEST OF THE AREA IN NORTHWEST NM AND NORTHEAST
AZ...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW AT GALLUP NM SINCE 21Z. FARTHER
EAST...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AND RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS HAVE KEPT MAX
TEMPS FROM WARMING TOO QUICKLY...THOUGH MOST LOCATIONS ALONG/EAST OF
I-25 HAVE MADE IT INTO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S AS OF 22Z.
TONIGHT...MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT FIRST MAJOR PIECE OF
ENERGY TO EJECT FROM THE WESTERN TROUGH WILL REACH THE 4 CORNERS BY
SUNRISE...WITH SNOW BECOMING WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY OVER THE SAN JUANS
AFTER 09Z. THUS CURRENT TIMING OF WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH
STARTS AT MIDNIGHT...LOOKS FINE. FARTHER NORTH...LA GARITAS AND
SAWATCH RANGE WILL SEE ACCUMULATING SNOW BY MORNING...BUT AMOUNTS
LOOK TOO LOW FOR HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS POINT. FORECAST MAY BE A LITTLE
TOO QUICK TO SPREAD SNOW TO THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...AS
NAM AND GFS BOTH KEEP MOST QPF ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH
12Z. WILL KEEP JUST SOME LOW POPS IN PLACE FROM THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
EASTWARD INTO THE SANGRES FOR NOW...COUNTING ON A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
TO SPILL OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY SUNRISE. CLOUDS SHOULD KEEP
MIN TEMPS FAIRLY WARM...WITH READINGS IN THE 20S OVER THE
PLAINS...TEENS AND 20S MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS.
TUESDAY...STILL APPEARS WINDOW FOR HEAVIEST SNOW OVER THE SAN JUANS
WILL BE FROM 12Z-18Z AS DYNAMIC UPWARD MOTION AND STRONGEST
SOUTHWEST OROGRAPHIC FLOW COMBINE TO PRODUCE 1-2 INCH PER HOUR
SNOWFALL RATES OVER THE WEST FACING SLOPES. GIVEN RATHER STRONG FLOW
AT THE MID LEVELS AND ALOFT...PORTIONS OF THE UPPER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY (SOUTH FORK AND CREEDE) MAY BE SHADOWED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE
HEAVY SNOW...THOUGH A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS LIKELY. WON'T
HOIST AN ADVISORY HERE YET...THOUGH AREA NEEDS TO BE WATCHED
CLOSELY. UPPER TROUGH LIFTS INTO THE PLAINS AFTER 18Z AND MID LEVEL
FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY...WHICH SHOULD REDUCE SNOW INTENSITY OVER
THE SAN JUANS WHILE SNOW COULD BRIEFLY BECOME HEAVY OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. STILL NOT ENOUGH ACCUMULATION FOR A HIGHLIGHT OVER THE
SAWATCH...AS BEST LIFT AND MOISTURE MOVE QUICKLY EAST BY 00Z. OVER
THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...KEPT THE LOW POPS FOR SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS GOING THROUGH THE DAY...THOUGH AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT AS
STRONG WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES. SUSPECT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE LIMITED TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE SANGRES AND PIKES PEAK. ON THE
PLAINS...DOWNSLOPE FLOW SHOULD KEEP THINGS DRY...THOUGH DID ADD SOME
LOW POPS TO PALMER DIVIDE FOR THE AFTERNOON AS WEAK FRONTAL SURGE
AND PASSING UPPER TROUGH COULD PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS. FOR
TEMPS...ANOTHER MILD DAY EXPECTED ON THE PLAINS WITH DOWNSLOPE
FLOW...WHILE MOUNTAINS ESPECIALLY WESTERN ZONES...BEGIN TO COOL AS
COOLER AIR ALOFT PUSHES EAST. --PETERSEN
.LONG TERM...
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
LONG TERM CONCERNS REMAIN SNOW TOTALS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTDVD WITH MAINLY WARM AND BREEZY WEATHER
EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS AS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA IN MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
TUESDAY NIGHT NIGHT-WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODEL RUNS IN AGREEMENT
WITH SHORT WAVE LIFTING OUT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
COLORADO TUESDAY EVENING AND INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING ANOTHER POTENT WAVE
EJECTING ACROSS THE DESERT SW TUESDAY NIGHT THOUGH ARE HAVING
PROBLEMS WITH ITS STRENGTH...LOCATION AND TIMING AS IT MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND OUT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE ECMWF THE STRONGEST
OF THE SOLUTIONS AS IT DEVELOPS A CLOSED LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AT ANY RATE...WITH WESTERLY FLOW AND
SUBSIDENCE DEVELOPING BEHIND FIRST WAVE...SHOULD SEE SNOW WINDING
DOWN ACROSS THE SW MTS EARLY TUESDAY EVENING WITH LATER SHIFTS
POSSIBLY NEEDING TO CANCEL CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE
EASTERN SAN JUANS PRIOR TO THE 07Z WED ENDING TIME. HAVE KEPT HIGH
POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTS TUESDAY EVENING AND DIMINISHING
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH GENERALLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF A COUPLE OF
INCHES. HAVE ALSO KEPT ISOLATED TO LOW END SCATTERED ACROSS THE
EASTERN MTS AND EASTERN PLAINS MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 50 WITH ANY
ACCUMULATIONS OF UNDER AN INCH. WITH INCREASING SW FLOW AHEAD OF
NEXT SYSTEM...SHOULD SEE PRECIP RAMPING UP AGAIN ACROSS THE SW MTS
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND COULD SEE LOW END ADVISORY AMOUNTS THROUGH THE
LATE AFTERNOON. WITH MODEL DIFFERENCES ON MOVEMENT OF THIS
WAVE...HAVE GONE WITH IDEA OF BROAD UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POPS ACROSS THE REST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND
EASTERN PLAINS. TEMPS ON WEDNESDAY A CHALLENGE AS WELL...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS...WITH POSSIBLE STRATUS DEVELOPING BEHIND
PASSING WAVE TUESDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH A STRONGER NORTHERLY
SURGE/COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY MORNING IF THE
STRONG EC SOLUTION IS CLOSER TO THE TRUTH.
THURSDAY-SATURDAY...MODELS REMAIN IN DECENT AGREEMENT OF STRONG
SUB TROPICAL JET CORE TRANSLATING ACROSS THE DESERT SW THURSDAY
WHICH THEN CONTINUES ACROSS THE ROCKIES WITH A BROAD TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS THE STATE AND A DEVELOPING CLOSED LOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ABUNDANT PAC MOISTURE PROGGED WITH
THIS SYSTEM AND ALONG WITH STRONG OROGRAPHICS AND UPPER
SUPPORT...HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE POPS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTDVD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH SEVERAL
MORE FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SAN JUAN
MTS. WARMING AND STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY WILL ALLOW FOR WELL ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPS WITH HIGHS
POSSIBLE INTO THE UPPER 60S WITH TEMPS COOLING BACK TO AT OR BELOW
NORMALS ON SATURDAY BEHIND SYSTEM WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LIKELY
CREATING A RAW DAY. HAVE KEPT CURRENT SLIGHT POPS ACROSS THE PLAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA.
SUNDAY-MONDAY...MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY
MODERATES AND BECOMES MORE WESTERLY ON MONDAY WITH SHORT LIVED
RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA. HAVE KEPT A DRY FORECAST...SAVE CENTRAL
MTS...WITH TEMPS AROUND SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH THE PERIOD. -MW
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 24H FOR ALL TAF SITES. OVER
THE MOUNTAINS...HIGHER PEAKS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ALREADY
OBSCURED...AND EXPECT CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY TO LOWER TO PASS LEVEL
OR LOWER OVERNIGHT AS SNOW SPREADS EASTWARD. EASTERN MOUNTAINS MAY
BEGIN TO SEE SOME PARTIAL OBSCURATION AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY...AS
SNOW SHOWERS SPREAD EASTWARD.
&&
.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MST
TUESDAY NIGHT FOR COZ068.
&&
10/23
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 18, 5:10 PM MST, 7 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
510 PM MST MON JAN 18 2010
COZ058>089-093>099-200015-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
510 PM MST MON JAN 18 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...AND
BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THREE TO FIVE
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE...ELEVATIONS ABOVE 10000
FEET CAN EXPECT LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OVER THE
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT OVER THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...WILL BE 8 TO
16 INCHES. THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS WILL
LIKELY SEE 1 TO 4 INCHES.
ONLY LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...BUT THEN
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS AGAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...THEN DECREASING FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THEN AGAIN THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY OVER THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLE
FOR OTHER LOCATIONS ABOVE 10000 FEET TONIGHT.
50/77
Winter Storm, Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft
- When
- January 19, 1:00 AM MST to 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 37.484, -106.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in California, January 19, 20101 death · $1.2 million · EF1 · 10 events
- Dense Fog in Wisconsin, January 19, 20101 death · 1 event
- Tornado and Damaging Wind in California, January 19 to 21, 2010$3.5 million · EF0 · 4 events
- Debris Flow and Flooding in California, January 19, 2010$605,000 · 67 kt wind · 20 events
- Winter Storm and High Wind in Utah, January 19 to 24, 201063 kt wind · 10 events
- Heavy Snow in New Mexico, January 19 to 20, 20109 events
- Heavy Snow in Maine, January 19 to 20, 20108 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Colorado, January 19 to 20, 20107 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in Arizona, January 19 to 20, 201060 kt wind · 5 events
- Heavy Snow in Maine, January 19 to 20, 20104 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Utah, January 19 to 20, 20104 events
- High Wind in Texas, January 19 to 20, 201056 kt wind · 4 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 210741.