Montana, 2008

High Wind in Montana, January 14, 2008

January 14, 2008 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A strong weather disturbance brought strong winds to the Northern Rocky Mountain Front. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph were common.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A strong weather disturbance brought strong winds to the Northern Rocky Mountain Front. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph were common.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 14, 4:51 PM MST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 4:51 PM MST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
451 PM MST MON JAN 14 2008

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY
DROPPING SE ALONG THE BC COAST WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE STATE ON TUESDAY...BRINING A
SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE TO THE REGION. FIST IMPACT WILL BE STRONG
WINDS...WHICH HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ALONG THE ROCKY MTN FRONT AND
WILL BE SPREADING EAST ONTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM NEARS THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM NEARS
AND TEMPS ALOFT COOL OVERNIGHT WITH SNOW INCREASING OVER AREAS
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER DOWNSLOPE WINDS
WILL KEEP MOST OF THE PLAINS DRY THROUGH TONIGHT. MAIN ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
MORNING WITH A COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH
NORTH CENTRAL MT...USHERING IN A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS. DYNAMICS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND NW UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW TO MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL MT TUESDAY
MORNING WITH LIGHT UPSLOPE SNOWS CONTINUING ON THE NORTH SLOPES OF
THE CENTRAL MT MTNS INTO TUESDAY EVENING. WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
THE ROCKY MTN FRONT AND ADJACENT PLAINS WILL REMAIN INTACT TO
HIGHLIGHT WIND THREAT TONIGHT AND SNOW/BLOWING SNOW POTENTIAL ON
TUESDAY. FARTHER EAST WINTER STORM WATCH WILL BE CONVERTED TO A HIGH
WIND WARNING TO HIGHLIGHT WINDS TONIGHT AND SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORY FOR THE REMAINDER OF NORTH-CENTRAL MT. SNOW AND WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.
DRYING CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD UNDER WINDY AND
CLOUDY CONDITIONS BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH BRINGING COOLING
TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL MAKE TEMPERATURES TRICKY WITH TONIGHTS
LOW AND TOMORROWS HIGH LIKELY OCCURRING SIMULTANEOUSLY EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING WITH TEMPS COOLING THROUGH THE DAY. SOMEWHAT BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. HOENISCH

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
CONTINUE TO PORTRAY THIS PERIOD AS UNSETTLED. A STRONG UPPER RIDGE
WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ALONG THE WEST COAST WITH STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT OVER THE COUNTY WARNING AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF
LIGHT SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY..WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS
FALLING IN THE MOUNTAINS. A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE SNOW OCCURS
FRIDAY AS A LITTLE DRIER AIR MOVES OVER THE AREA. A STRONGER UPPER
TROF WILL SLIDE OVER THE AREA LATE SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES.

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MODELS START OUT IN FAIR AGREEMENT BEFORE
DIVERGING ON MONDAY. HOWEVER...RUN TO RUN INCONSISTENCIES FURTHER
DETRACT FROM FORECAST CONFIDENCE. LATEST RUN NOT AS COLD ON BOTH GFS
AND ECMWF. BOTH MODELS INDICATE AN ARCTIC FRONT PLUNGING SOUTH
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY. DUE TO UNCERTAINTY AT THIS POINT I
WENT WITH MAINLY CHANCE POPS OF SNOW SPREADING ACROSS THE
AREA...BUT THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SNOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL STILL DROP DRAMATICALLY...AND COMBINED WITH
GUSTY NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT...BITTER COLD WIND
CHILLS CAN BE EXPECTED. EK

&&

.AVIATION...
A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TONIGHT REACHING CENTRAL MONTANA BETWEEN 12 AND 15Z. SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS IN ALBERTA. A
POWERFUL SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BLAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST...NORTHWEST AND NORTH AROUND 12Z IN
THE NORTHWEST AND AROUND 16Z IN MY SOUTHEASTER ZONES. THE FRONT WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND A BLAST OF SNOW.
PERIODS OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO MVFR
CONDITIONS AT ALL STATIONS WITH IFR AND LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT
TIMES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER 21Z AT MOST LOCATIONS AS THE
FRONT MOVES EAST ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH AND SNOW TO TAPER OFF. MPJ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  27  28   8  25 /  10  70  30  10
CTB  25  27   3  28 /  20 100  10  10
HLN  25  30   9  25 /  30  60  10  10
BZN  23  32   5  23 /  20  60  20  10
WEY  15  19  -6  11 /  30  70  30  10
DLN  23  26   1  18 /  30  30  10  10
HVR  28  29   2  26 /  20  80  20  10
LWT  29  30   7  24 /  20  80  30  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM MST TUESDAY
FOR MTZ012-013-045-050.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR
MTZ011>014-045-047-050-051-054.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 2 PM MST TUESDAY FOR MTZ009-010-044-
046-048-049.

&&

SHORT TERM...HOENISCH
LONG TERM...EMANUEL/EK
AVIATION...MPJ

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 14, 3:38 PM MST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
338 PM MST MON JAN 14 2008

MTZ009-010-044-046-048-049-151300-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN GLACIER-TOOLE-
EASTERN PONDERA-SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN TETON-
338 PM MST MON JAN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT UNTIL 2 PM
TUESDAY MST FOR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MONTANA ADJACENT TO THE FRONT. HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA...WHILE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 2 PM MST
TUESDAY FOR THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MONTANA ADJACENT TO THE FRONT. HIGH WINDS...SNOW...AND
BLOWING SNOW WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY.

EXPECT MORE WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK...WITH WIND CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO AT TIMES.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO
MONTANA NEXT SUNDAY OR MONDAY...POSSIBLY BRINGING IN THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...ALONG WITH
AREAS OF SNOW...MAY ALSO OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT NEXT
WEEKEND. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS
SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MTZ012-013-045-050-151300-
CASCADE-CHOUTEAU-LIBERTY-JUDITH BASIN-
338 PM MST MON JAN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MONTANA
AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST TONIGHT THROUGH 8
AM MST TUESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MONTANA.
THIS INCLUDES LIBERTY...CHOUTEAU...CASCADE...AND JUDITH BASIN
COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 8 AM MST TUESDAY.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WILL THEN GO INTO EFFECT AT 8 AM
MST TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR THIS SAME
AREA. HIGH WINDS WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT DURING THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...SNOW WILL BEGIN OVER THE AREA...AND LINGERING WINDS WILL
CAUSE WIDESPREAD BLOWING SNOW.

EXPECT MORE WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK...WITH WIND CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO AT TIMES.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO
MONTANA NEXT SUNDAY OR MONDAY...POSSIBLY BRINGING IN THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...ALONG WITH
AREAS OF SNOW...MAY ALSO OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT NEXT
WEEKEND. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS
SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MTZ011-014-047-051-054-151300-
HILL-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-BLAINE-FERGUS-MEAGHER-
338 PM MST MON JAN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT
IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MST
TUESDAY THROUGH 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR MOST OF CENTRAL AND NORTH
CENTRAL MONTANA. THIS INCLUDES MEAGHER AND LEWIS AND CLARK
COUNTIES...AS WELL AS HILL...BLAINE...AND FERGUS COUNTIES.

EXPECT MORE WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK...WITH WIND CHILL READINGS BELOW ZERO AT TIMES.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO
MONTANA NEXT SUNDAY OR MONDAY...POSSIBLY BRINGING IN THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...ALONG WITH
AREAS OF SNOW...MAY ALSO OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT NEXT
WEEKEND. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS
SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MTZ008-015-052-053-055-151300-
BEAVERHEAD-MADISON-JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-GALLATIN-
338 PM MST MON JAN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT
IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO
MONTANA NEXT SUNDAY OR MONDAY...POSSIBLY BRINGING IN THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...ALONG WITH
AREAS OF SNOW...MAY ALSO OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT NEXT
WEEKEND. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS
SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
January 14, 6:36 PM MST to 9:00 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

A wind gust to 66 mph was reported at the Two Medicine DOT site.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, January 2008

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 68417.