Alaska, 2008

Coastal Flood and High Surf in Alaska, July 29 to 31, 2008

July 29 to 31, 2008 · NWS AFG · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A 980 mb low pressure center moved counter-clockwise across the southern Beaufort Sea during 29th through Aug 1st, bringing several periods of west winds 30 to 50 mph across the Arctic Coast of Alaska. This caused a combination of high surf and elevated ocean water levels which destroyed the seawall and threatened 3 structures at the village of Wainwright on the western coast, and damaged the…

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$7.8 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

A 980 mb low pressure center moved counter-clockwise across the southern Beaufort Sea during 29th through Aug 1st, bringing several periods of west winds 30 to 50 mph across the Arctic Coast of Alaska. This caused a combination of high surf and elevated ocean water levels which destroyed the seawall and threatened 3 structures at the village of Wainwright on the western coast, and damaged the seawall and half of the airstrip at the village of Kaktovik, on the far eastern coast. On Aug 1, a father and his 13-year-old son in an open skiff perished in Camden Bay under strong winds as they were boating from their camp to Kaktovik. Property Damage Estimated at $7 million for Wainwright Seawall; $800,000 for Kaktovik Seawall and Airstrip. Event continued into August.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 1:25 PM AKST, 10 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 1:25 PM AKST, 10 hours 35 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
225 PM AKDT MON JUL 28 2008

.DISCUSSION...
991 MB LOW EAST OF WRANGELL ISLAND WILL CURVE NORTHEAST TO 280
MILES NORTH OF BARROW 4AM TUE AND THEN MAKE A COMPLETE CIRCLE OVER
THE BEAUFORT SEA TO 270 MILE NORTH OF BARROW 10 PM WED AND TO 320
MILES NORTHEAST OF BARROW 4PM THU. OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING TO
WAINWRIGHT TO LISBURNE 10 PM MON...TO DEADHORSE TO ANAKTUVUK PASS
TO POINT HOPE 4AM TUE AND TO CANADA BORDER TO KOTZEBUE 4PM TUE AND
TO NORTHWAY TO NOME 4PM WED.

OCCLUSION FROM JUST EAST OF TALKEETNA TO CENTRAL TO DAWSON
DISSIPATING BUT UPPER LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER MOVING FROM DAWSON TO
80 MILES EAST OF FAIRBANKS 4AM TUE THEN AFTER 4PM TUE MOVING EAST
INTO CANADA AHEAD OF OCCLUSION FROM ARCTIC.

MODELS...PREFER GFS IN MOVING EASTERN INTERIOR VORTICITY CENTER
EAST AFTER 24 HOURS RATHER THAN WRF/NAM WHICH DRAGS IT SOUTH.
IN MEDIUM TERM HPC LEANING ON GFS SOLUTION WHICH IS CREATING MORE
OF A TROUGH OVER AK AS OPPOSED TO THE FLAT RIDGE BY THE ECMWF ON
SAT AND SUN...BY MON NEW ECMWF AND GFS ARE CLOSE WITH UPPER TROUGH
OVER WRN AK.

NORTH SLOPE...EXPECT STRONG SOUTH WINDS WESTERN COASTAL ZONES...GUSTS
TO 45 MPH AHEAD OF FRONT THIS EVENING INTO EARLY MORNING...SHIFTING
TO WESTERLY 30 MPH WITH FROPA. WINDS ALSO INCREASING OVER EASTERN
ARCTIC BUT TO ABOUT 30 MPH...SHIFT TO WEST WITH FROPA. RAIN AHEAD
OF FRONT...FEW SHOWERS BEHIND FROPA. WINDS DROPPING OFF MORE TUE
PM BUT PICKING UP SOME WED AS PARENT LOW IN BEAUFORT CURVES BACK
TOWARD ARCTIC COAST...SO MORE WEST WINDS WHICH WILL DIMINISH A
LITTLE ON THU.

WESTERN ALASKA...RAIN AHEAD OF OCCLUSION WITH SOME SHOWERS
AFTERWARD OVER NORTHERN ZONES...RAIN LINGERING SOUTHER ZONES AS
OCCLUSION DECELERATES TUE AND TUE NIGHT. SOME MIXING WITH SNOW
POSSIBLE IN POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS AND RAIN...MAINLY NOME NORTH.
ANOTHER SHOT OR RAIN MOVING IN THU OVER NORTHERN ZONES AS FRONTAL
SYSTEM BACKS UP NORTH OVER BERING STRAIT AND AN EASTWARD MOVING
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN CHUKCHI.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...BANDS OF RAIN AND HEAVY RAIN
CONTINUING WEST OF TOK TO EIELSON AND DRIFTING WEST OVER THE
FAIRBANKS AREA THIS PM. MIXED SNOW OR WET SNOW IN ZONE 226 THIS
EVENING BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION NOT EXPECTED. HAVE ISSUED
WATCH FOR ZONES 224 223 AND 226...AND 222 FOR SALCHA RIVER
ONLY. CHENA AND CHATANIKA RIVERS WILL HAVE RISES BUT NOT LIKELY
NEAR BANKFUL. RAIN TURING INTERMITTENT TUE AS VORTICITY CENTER
BEGINS TO MOVE EAST...THEN ARCTIC OCCLUSION BRINGING IN ANOTHER
DOSE BY EVENING. SOME DRYING EXPECTED WED THOUGH CLOUD COVER MAY
PERSIST IN FAST NORTHWEST CYCLONIC FLOW.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...ARCTIC LOW REMAINING OVER
BEAUFORT SEA WILL POSE SOME THREAT OF MINOR BEACH EROSION TO
BARROW AREA PREDOMINATELY...THOUGH AREAS OF SEA ICE MAY LIKELY
PUSH ONSHORE AFTER TONIGHTS FRONTAL PASSAGE AND LESSEN THE WAVE
ACTION OVERALL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE

&&

.HYDROLOGY...FLOOD WATCH FOR ZONES 222 (SALCHA ONLY) AND TANANA
TRIBUTARIES OF ZONES 223 AND 226..RIVERS OF 224 WEST OF TOK. ALSO
EXPECT SMALL STREAM TO BE FULL IN ZONE 226 FROM RICHARDSON HIGHWAY
TO TOK CUTOFF. SOME WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT OR TUE AM IF
PRECIP LIVES UP TO MODELS VALUES. BULK OF PRECIP WILL REMAIN EAST
OF FAIRBANKS AREA AND WEST OF TOK.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH FOR AKZ222-AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ226.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ240-PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ220.
&&

JL JUL 08

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 28, 7:53 PM AKST, 4 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
853 PM AKDT MON JUL 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 W TWO RIVERS          64.87N 147.09W
07/28/2008  M1.00 INCH                          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&

MKIDWELL
Local storm report, Jul 28, 9:05 PM AKST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1005 PM AKDT MON JUL 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1004 PM     HEAVY RAIN       8 W TWO RIVERS          64.87N 147.17W
07/28/2008  M1.24 INCH                          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&

MKIDWELL

Event by event

1 high surf, 1 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.

High Surf, Western Arctic Coast

When
July 29, 12:00 AM AKST to July 31, 6:00 PM AKST
Where
Western Arctic Coast forecast zone
Property damage
$7.0 million
Reported by
Emergency Manager

Coastal Flood, Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast

When
July 30, 12:00 AM AKST to July 31, 11:59 PM AKST
Where
Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast forecast zone
Property damage
$800,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager

What these are

High Surf
Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.
Coastal Flood
Flooding of coastal land by the sea, from storm surge, onshore wind or high tides.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, July 2008

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 119748, 119751.