Lightning Strike in Georgia, July 29, 2008

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
212 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON
WEDNESDAY...AND CROSS OUR AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS SECOND FRONT WILL
STALL NEAR THE COAST ON FRIDAY...AND WILL WEAKEN BY SATURDAY.
MOISTURE LEFT OVER FROM THIS FRONT WILL MOVE WEST TOWARD THE
MOUNTAINS ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
A DEGREE OF LARGER SCALE LIFT WILL BE MAINTAINED TONIGHT AS MID LVL
S/WV SWINGS ACRS. IN CONCERT WITH WEAK LLVL WAA FLOW AND FCST SNDGS
YIELDING ELEVATED INSTABILITY CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
ANYWHERE FROM ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS...TO PERHAPS NUMEROUS CVRG
WHERE ACTIVITY IS ENHANCED BY LOCAL LLVL CONVERGENCE AND SMALL SCALE
BNDRYS/OUTFLOWS...IS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...A FAIR AMOUNT OF HIGHER
LVL CLOUDS WILL BE SEEN ACRS THE FA OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY FROM
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
LATE JULY NORMALS. FOR THE TIME BEING WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHWRS/TSTMS THRU TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE S/WV MOVES E...THEN A
LULL IN DEEP CONVECTION LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTN...BEFORE
RAMPING CHANCES BACK UP IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 2 PM EDT...A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
EAST ACROSS THE TN VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT...DEAMPLIFYING AS IT CROSSES
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON WEDNESDAY. WEAK UPPER IMPULSES LEAVING
AN UPPER TROUGH INT HE CENTER OF THE NATION WILL CROSS THE MOUNTAINS
ON WEDNESDAY...BUT OUR AREA WILL BE IN A RELATIVELY DRY REGIME
BETWEEN THE REMAINS OF AN OLD BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH...AND AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT IN THE OH RIVER VALLEY...AND PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL REFLECT THIS. THE ATMOSPHERE MOISTENS OVER OUR AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT REACHES THE TN VALLEY...SUPPORTING
INCREASING POPS. ON THURSDAY THE FRONT CROSSES OUR AREA FROM THE
NORTH...WITH EVEN HIGHER POPS EXPECTED AS A WELL DEFINED VORTICITY
MAXIMUM MOVES THROUGH THE BASE OF THE ARRIVING UPPER TROUGH.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONT AND THE HEIGHT FALLS THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THE UPPER
TROUGH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 1 PM EDT...THE HPC PREFERRED GFS SOLUTION DEPICTS AN SLOWLY
PROGRESSIVE AND ANOMALOUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE EAST COAST
FRIDAY. ON SATURDAY...THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THIS FEATURE
ACCELERATES EASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC....LEAVING BEHIND A WEAK
UPPER LOW OFF THE GA COAST. THIS LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED INVERTED
TROUGH DRIFTS SLOWLY WEST AROUND ACROSS THE GULF STATES THROUGH
MONDAY.

THE COLD FRONT NEAR INTERSTATE 40 ON THURSDAY MOVES SOUTH TO NEAR
INTERSTATE 20 ON FRIDAY...THEN STALLS OVER THE GULF STATES AND
COASTAL SC ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. BY MONDAY THIS FRONT DISSIPATES.
THE GFS SHOWS A BAND OF MOISTURE TRAVELING WEST WITH THE UPPER
INVERTED TROUGH...MUCH LIKE AN EASTERLY WAVE...REACHING THE
MOUNTAINS SUNDAY...THEN DEPARTING ON MONDAY.

BETWEEN LOWER THAN NORMAL HEIGHTS...AND BEING ON THE COOL SIDE OF
THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL TREND DOWNWARD FROM JUST ABOVE NORMAL
TO NEAR NORMAL. CHANCE POPS WILL BE CARRIED EARLY IN THE FORECAST
WITH THE FRONT IN THE VICINITY....TRENDING DOWNWARD TO SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS IN THE NORTHWEST AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH. LATE IN THE
FORECAST A LOBE OF CHANCE POPS WILL BE ALLOWED TO MOVE WEST OVER THE
SOUTHEAST FACING BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT AS THE INVERTED UPPER TROUGH
RETROGRESSES.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT UNTIL 10Z. I WILL MENTION SHRA WITH TEMPO
MVFR RA FROM 6-10Z FOR TERMINALS EAST OF THE MTNS. VFR FOG MAY
DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS DURING THE PRE DAWN
HOURS...MVFR FOG AT KAVL. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MTNS. PROBABILITIES
APPEAR TOO LOW TO MENTION TSRA IN THE TAF...HOWEVER...I WILL MENTION
CB WITH CLOUD COVER FROM 19Z-1Z.

OUTLOOK...WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MAY TRIGGER AFTN-EVE
TSTMS...ESP AS A COLD FRONT DROPS S TOWARD THE CWA WED-THU WITH
CHANCE SHWRS/TSTMS EACH DAY. LOOK FOR PATCHY FOG EACH MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO START BUILDING IN FROM THE N FRI.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...CSH/RB
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...NED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
909 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-300115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
909 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH LATE-
EVENING. HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS. GUSTY WINDS AND EVEN SOME HAIL
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS
ALONG THE BORDER OF NORTH CAROLINA WITH GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND ON MONDAY FROM THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA TO THE PIEDMONT OF SOUTH CAROLINA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
958 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

SCZ009-290245-
YORK-
958 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT YORK COUNTY THROUGH 1045 PM
EDT...

AT 958 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HICKORY GROVE...OR 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF YORK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 19 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MCCONNELLS BY 1015 PM EDT.
  YORK BY 1025 PM EDT.
  5 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROCK HILL BY 1045 PM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1007 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0931 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE ROCK HILL          34.90N 80.98W
07/28/2008                   YORK               SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            A TREE REPORTED IN THE ROADWAY NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
            LESLEY HIGHWAY AND EAST SPRINGDALE ROAD.

0935 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNW ROCK HILL         35.01N 81.06W
07/28/2008                   YORK               SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            A TREE REPORTED IN THE ROADWAY NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
            TWIN LAKES AND HOMESTEAD ROADS.

&&

OUTLAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1021 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

SCZ004-005-010-290300-
ANDERSON-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
1021 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ANDERSON...SOUTHEASTERN
OCONEE AND SOUTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTIES THROUGH 1100 PM EDT...

AT 1021 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF FAIR PLAY...OR 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CLEMSON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  5 MILES SOUTH OF PENDLETON BY 1050 PM EDT.
  SANDY SPRINGS BY 1055 PM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1037 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

NCZ036-057-071-072-290315-
CABARRUS-IREDELL-MECKLENBURG-ROWAN-
1037 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MECKLENBURG...
NORTHWESTERN CABARRUS...SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL AND SOUTHWESTERN ROWAN
COUNTIES THROUGH 1115 PM EDT...

AT 1037 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HUNTERSVILLE...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF UNC
CHARLOTTE...MOVING EAST AT 17 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ENOCHVILLE BY 1110 PM EDT.
  KANNAPOLIS BY 1115 PM EDT.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1111 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0932 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W SHELBY              35.29N 81.61W
07/28/2008                   CLEVELAND          NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            THERE WERE 3 REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS IN
            CLEVELAND COUNTY. ONE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 74
            WEST AND WASHBURN SWITCH ROAD...ANOTHER ON UNION CHURCH
            ROAD JUST OFF HIGHWAY 226 WHICH IS 8 NW SHELBY WHICH ALSO
            BROUGHT DOWN A POWERLINE AND A SMALL TREE DOWN NEAR
            BOILING SPRINGS IN SOUTHWEST CLEVELAND COUNTY. ALL AROUND
            THE SAME TIME.

&&

OUTLAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
220 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

GAZ017-018-026-290715-
FRANKLIN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-
220 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN HABERSHAM...WESTERN
FRANKLIN AND WESTERN STEPHENS COUNTIES THROUGH 315 AM EDT...

AT 219 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BALDWIN...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF
CLARKESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 11 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BALDWIN BY 225 AM EDT.
  CORNELIA BY 230 AM EDT.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

NED