Virginia, 2007

Winter Storm and Strong Wind in Virginia, February 12 to 14, 2007

February 12 to 14, 2007 · NWS LWX · 24 events in 23 counties and zones

A low pressure system moved out of the Southern Plains and strengthened off the southeast coast February 12th through 14th, bringing accumulating wintry precipitation to much of northern Virginia beginning during the afternoon and evening hours of February 12th and continued through the early morning hours of February 14th. The heaviest precipitation occurred February 13th as the low pressure…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 19 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
1
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
24

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.

A low pressure system moved out of the Southern Plains and strengthened off the southeast coast February 12th through 14th, bringing accumulating wintry precipitation to much of northern Virginia beginning during the afternoon and evening hours of February 12th and continued through the early morning hours of February 14th. The heaviest precipitation occurred February 13th as the low pressure system intensified off the coast. |Snow and sleet accumulations ranged from 1 to 7 inches and ice accumulations ranged from a tenth to three quarters of an inch. This mix of sleet, snow and freezing rain created a very hard and thick layer of ice. Many snow plows were not equipped to handle such heavy precipitation, leading to longer wait times for roadways and sidewalks to be cleared. Icy road conditions lead to dozens of car accidents across the region. Schools were closed for much of the week. Several restaurants and florists reported reduced Valentines Day sales due to the hazardous road conditions.|The Washington Post reported that a 15 year old girl in Bluemont, VA., was killed when a strong wind gust sent portions of a large old tree fell. Wind gusts around the region ranged from 20 to 25 mph with gusts as high as 35 mph.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 12, 8:55 PM EST, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 8:55 PM EST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
855 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...

SURFACE MSAS ANALYSIS FROM 01Z SHOWS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
NORTH TEXAS...WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING EAST INTO NORTH
CAROLINA. REGIONAL RADAR SHOWS PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO SOUTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA. THE FIRST WAVE OF ISENTROPIC
PRECIPITATION WAS EXITING THE BALTIMORE METRO. TEMPERATURES HAVE
FALLEN INTO THE 30S ACROSS THE REGION...WITH DEW POINTS IN THE TEENS
AND 20S.

TWEAKED OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS AND USING
THE 18Z ADJMAV GUIDANCE. WITH INCOMING SNOW SHOWERS...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD EASILY FALL INTO THE LOW 20S NORTH AND NEAR 30 SOUTH.
OVERNIGHT WINDS SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES TODAY WERE ABLE TO CLIMB TO NEAR 40 DEGREES...
SO SNOW SHOWERS EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WERE SLOW TO
STICK. HOWEVER...AS TEMPERATURES FALL OFF OVERNIGHT...EXPECT THAT
TO CHANGE. LOOK FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 INCHES TO ACCUMULATE ALONG AND
WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...INCLUDING NEAR CHARLOTTESVILLE. EAST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE...INCLUDING THE WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROS...
EXPECT AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW TO ACCUMULATE BY MORNING.

BYD THAT...DEFINITELY A CHALLENGING FCST. THE 18Z GDNC /OP RUNS
AND LTST ENSEMBLES/ HAS COME IN VERY CLOSE TO THE 12Z RUNS...WHICH
BOLSTERS FCST CONFIDENCE. THATS NOT TO SAY THERES NOT ROOM FOR
IMPVMNT. IN SHORT...STORM SYSTEM HAS EVOLVED INTO AN ICE
EVENT...POTENTIALLY A SIGNIFICANT ONE.

SFC LOPRES BACK IN TX ATTM. THE HEFTIER LIFT IN THE OHVLY ATTM...AND
SHUD OVRSPREAD CWFA BY MRNG. PROFILES AT START COLD...FOR SNW.
BUT...WAA ALOFT CREEPS IN FM SE TO NW. PTYPE WL TRANSITION TO PL AND
EVENTUALLY TO FZRA. TIMING THE CHGOVR KEY. THIS IS THE TUFFEST PART
OF FCST...AS SPREAD STILL IN MDL SOLNS. WL SIDE CLSR TO CLIMO...AS
WNDS DONT BUDGE FM NELY TRAJ THRUT...SUGGESTING THAT THE BNDRY LYR
WL REMAIN COLD.

SO...WL CHG HEADLINES FM WATCH TO WRNG/ADVY. FEEL COMFY W/ WRNG FOR
BURBS N/W OF DC/BALT...AND ADVY FOR SRN MD/KG VA. DECISION BASED ON
ICE ACCUM...SOLID QTR TO HALF INCH IN WRNG AREA...ONE TO TWO TENTHS
IN ADVY AREA. SOME OP GDNC SUGGESTING W OF I-95 CUD BE HIER.
BUT...THEN AGN...SRN MD CUD CHG OVR TO JUST RA IF ENUF OF A WARM
SURGE DOES MAKE IT TO THE SFC. WL LET LATER SHIFTS FINE TUNE ACCUM
FCST. CORRIDOR IN BTWN...FM EZF-DCA-NAK...HAS HIEST DOUBT DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY IN PTYPE FCST. HWVR...PTTN CLIMATOLOGICALLY AND THE RAW
MDL DATA SUGGESTS TO ERR ON THE COLD SIDE.

CSTL SYSTM TAKES OVR WED...WHICH SHUD MARK QUICK END TO PCPN. HV
MADE NO CHGS TO FCST WED BYD.
&&

.AVIATION /02Z-24Z/...
XPCT VFR CONDS ATTM /XCPT FOR MVFR AT BWI DUE TO -SN/ TO QUICKLY
DETERIOTATE IN PCPN OVNGT. HV KEPT FCSTS JUST ABV IFR CONDS
ATTM...THO LCL RESTRICTIONS BLO THAT CUD APPEAR. PTYPE WL CHG FM SN
TO PL AND EVENTUALLY TO FZRA...MOST LIKELY W/ A MIXED BAG FOR MOST
OF THE DAY. SHUD END UP W/ MOSTLY FZRA BY END OF PD EVERYWHERE...THO
MRB HAS BEST LIKLIHOOD TO HANG ONTO A THICKER SLICE OF LLVL COLD AIR.
&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ALONG THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY WILL
REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA OVERNIGHT. LOOK FOR WINDS
TO INCREASE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND THE
COASTAL LOW BEGINS TO FORM. TIDE LEVELS TONIGHT ARE NEAR TO JUST
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 314 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

GFS AND NAM DISPLAYING VERY SIMILAR TRACKS FOR THE SFC LOW
DEVELOPING IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. BOTH GFS AND NAM
TRACK A WEAK SFC LOW BETWEEN 1003 AND 1005 MB FROM NORTHERN TX AT
00Z TUESDAY TO EASTERN KY BY 00Z WEDNESDAY. AT 00Z WEDNESDAY BOTH
THE GFS AND NAM ALSO INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE AREA JUST EAST OF THE NC COAST. THE GFS BEGINS
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CWA 6 TO 9 HOURS EARLIER THAN THE NAM...AND
WILL LEAN TOWARD GFS SOLUTION BASED ON CONTINUITY. PRECIPITATION
TONIGHT WILL BE LIGHT WITH ONLY WEAK FORCING PROVIDED BY H7/H5
CONVERGENCE AS LAYER OF MOISTURE DEEPENS OVERNIGHT. BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO WARM FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL VA AND
SOUTHERN MD...WHERE RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW AT TIMES IS EXPECTED...BUT
EVAPORATIONAL COOLING OF THE ATMOSPHERE TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR
ALL SNOW. THE NORTHERN POTOMAC HIGHLANDS WILL RECEIVE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES OF SNOW TONIGHT WITH AROUND AN INCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
SUBURBS OF WASHINGTON DC AND THE NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY. A TRACE
OF SNOW TO A HALF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT FROM NORTHEASTERN MD
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA TO AUGUSTA AND
ROCKINGHAM COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL VA.

AS SFC LOW PUSHES NORTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN KY TUESDAY...SOUTHERLY
H85 JET AT 30 TO 40 KT WILL ADVECT MOIST AND WARMER AIR INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC. GFS AND NAM PROJECT A SHALLOW...COLD WEDGE OF AIR WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ROUGHLY EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. OVERRUNNING SITUATION WILL CAUSE GRADUAL CHANGE TO FREEZING
RAIN ACROSS ALL OF THE CWA EXCEPT THE NORTHERN TIER OF MD AND THE
NORTHERN POTOMAC HIGHLANDS BY 00Z WEDNESDAY. GFS AND NAM POINT
TOWARD THE POSSIBILITY OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR MORE OF ICE
ACCUMULATION WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS OF THE
BLUE RIDGE IN CENTRAL VA ON TUESDAY. WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR ICE ACCUMULATION FOR THIS AREA.

AVIATION...

LIGHT SNOW BEGINNING AT CHO/MRB AT AROUND 02Z WILL PRODUCE MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 10Z AND IFR CIGS AFTER 10Z. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN
AT IAD/DCA/BWI/MTN AT AROUND 04Z...AND CIG/VSBYS WILL DROP TO MVFR
AND AREA EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE MVFR CATEGORY THROUGH 18Z.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

WINTER STORM PROVING TO BE A COMPLICATED FORECAST. WHAT A FEW DAYS
AGO HAD BEEN A SNOWSTORM WITH COLD AIR LOCKED IN PLACE OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA HAS MORPHED INTO SCENARIO WITH A WEAKER ANTICYCLONE OVER
THE NE. THAT MEANS LESS COLD AIR AND WARM AIR GETTING ADVECTED IN
THE LOW LEVELS AND THEREFORE MIXED PRECIP.

FOR THE TUE NIGHT AND WED PERIODS...THE BIG SLUG OF HEAVY PRECIP
WILL COME SW TO NE THROUGH THE REGION BETWEEN 02Z WED SW AND 10Z WED
NE. SNOW SEEMS TO BE WELL N OF OUR FORECAST AREA BY TUE NIGHT... AND
RAIN SEEMS TO BE MORE CERTAIN FOR LOWER S MD. THAT LEAVES THE REST
OF THE FORECAST AREA IN THE FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...OR RAIN.
EXPECTING FREEZING RAIN TO BE THE DOMINATE PRECIP TYPE. SLEET MAY BE
MIXED IN THE N SHEN VALLEY AND WESTERN MD. RAIN MAY BUMP FURTHER NW
INTO THE DC METRO DURING THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT. BUT AT THIS POINT
THOSE FINER POINTS OF THE FORECAST ARE STILL IN QUESTION.

PRECIP SHOULD BE MOVING OUT OF OUR SW AROUND SUNSET WED MORN...BUT
LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE DAY IN NE MD. PRECIP TYPE SHOULD REMAIN
FAIRLY CONSTANT WHILE THE STORM COMES TO A CLOSE. THERE MAY BE SOME
SNOW AT THE VERY END IN SOME PLACES AS COLD AIR COMES IN BEHIND THE
STORM... BUT NOT EXPECTING IT AND FURTHERMORE THAT SHOULD NOT BE A
THREAT EVEN IF IT DOES.

PLANNING ON A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE AREA THAT SEEMS TO HAVE
THE BEST CHC AT SIG ICE ACCUMS WITH SOME SNOW THRU WED MORN. THAT
WOULD BE WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND THE CHO AREA IN NELSON ALBEMARLE
AND AUGUSTA IN CENTRAL VA. CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SHEN VALLEY
CERTAINLY HAVE A SIG THREAT OF A BAD ICE STORM. ESP WITH THE WINDY
COLD CONDITIONS COMING IN BEHIND THE STORM TO FURTHER DESTABILIZE
ICE LOADED TREES THAT ARE EXPECTED.

FOR S MD AND KING GEORGE VA...SOME ICING THREAT IS POSSIBLE AT THIS
TIME...MAINLY TUESDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

FOR THE REST OF THE AREA IN BETWEEN...INCLUDING DC AND BALT
METROS... THE SIG ICING THREAT MAY MOVE EAST INTO THAT AREA... BUT
AT THIS POINT THE LINE BETWEEN A LITTLE ICING AND SIG AND DANGEROUS
ICING REMAINS ELUSIVE FOR LATE TUE AND TUE NIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN THE
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THAT AREA FOR FURTHER MODEL RUNS TO BETTER
DEFINE.

WED PRECIP EXITS AND WINDS WILL KICK UP AS THE LOW BOMBS OUT TOWARDS
NEW ENGLAND. AFTER THAT WINDY AND COLD CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE 20S AND 30 THRU THE REST OF THE FORECAST. CLIPPER STILL
BRINGS THE CHC OF LIGHT SNOW DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEKEND.

MARINE...

AS THE SFC LOW APPROACHES THE AREA TONIGHT...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL BACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 5 TO 10 KT BY 06Z
TUESDAY. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR NORTHEAST WINDS AT
15 TO 20 KT BEGINNING AT 18Z TUESDAY AND CONTINUING TUESDAY NIGHT.

SMALL CRAFT WILL EBB AND BE DISCONTINUED LATE TUE NIGHT. BUT THEN
BREEZY CONDITIONS RESUME WED AFTERNOON AFTER THE COASTAL STORM MOVES
AWAY. NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR DCZ001.

MD...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-501-502.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MDZ016>018.

VA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR VAZ021-025>031-036>042-050>056.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR VAZ057.

WV...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR WVZ050>055-501>504.

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR ANZ530>537.

&&

SHORT TERM...SAR/HTS
AVIATION...HTS
MARINE...SAR
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SMITH/STRONG
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 12, 9:45 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
945 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-501-502-
VAZ021-025>031-036>042-050>057-WVZ050>055-501>504-131045-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-HIGHLAND-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-
ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-PENDLETON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
945 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING VERY LATE TONIGHT FROM
METRO BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON WESTWARD. PATCHES OF SNOW WILL BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD TOWARD MORNING ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 95. UP
TO AN INCH IS POSSIBLE BY DAWN...WITH UP TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED IN THE
HIGHLANDS OF EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN MARYLAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND
AND KING GEORGE COUNTY VIRGINIA. SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN WILL CHANGE TO RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT.
SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE UP TO AN INCH...WITH A SMALL ICE
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...A WINTER STORM WARNING WILL
CONTINUE. ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. SNOW WILL CHANGE TO
SLEET THEN FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 1/4 TO 1/2
INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN
AREA...WITH HEAVIER ICING OF UP TO 3/4 OF AN INCH FURTHER WEST IN
SPOTS SUCH AS CHARLOTTESVILLE...STAUNTON...HARRISONBURG...
MOOREFIELD...MARTINSBURG AND HAGERSTOWN. SEVERE ICING OF
TREES...ROADS...AND POWER LINES IS LIKELY ALONG AND WEST OF ROUTE
15.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
WILL LAST INTO TUESDAY NIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE MARINE AREA. GALE
WARNING CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WATERS. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY.

VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS SHOULD BE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY
PRECIPITATION REPORTS RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL
BE APPRECIATED DURING THIS EVENT.

RDH/CAS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

23 winter storm, 1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Albemarle

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Albemarle forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
38.029, -78.477 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Broadcast Meteorologist and a trained spotter reported 1 to 3 inchs of snow from Crozet to Scottsville. A quarter inch of ice was also reported in Scottsville.

Winter Storm, Arlington

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Arlington forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.855, -77.106 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotters reported 3 to 4 inches of snow in Arlington, VA.

Winter Storm, Augusta

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Augusta forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
38.109, -78.974 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Cooperative Observers and trained spotters reported 1 to 3 inches of snow in Augusta County and 1 to 2 inches of snow in the City of Waynesboro. A half inch of ice was also reported in both Fishersville and the City of Waynesboro.

Winter Storm, Clarke

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Clarke forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
39.112, -77.997 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter reported 4 to 5 inches of snow and a quarter inch of ice in Berryville.

Winter Storm, Culpeper

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Culpeper forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
38.486, -77.956 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Cooperative Observer reported between 2 and 3 inches of snow in Boston, VA.

Winter Storm, Fairfax

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Fairfax forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.841, -77.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Between 1 and 4 inches of snow and sleet was reported across Fairfax County. A third of an inch of ice was reported in the City of Fairfax by a trained spotter.

Winter Storm, Fauquier

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Fauquier forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Between 2 and 4 inches of snow and sleet was reported across Fauquier County. A CoCoRahs Observer in Warrenton, VA., reported 0.7 inches of ice.

Winter Storm, Frederick

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Frederick forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
39.195, -78.213 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Between 4 and 5 inches of snow, sleet and freezing rain was reported in Stephens City and Cross Junction.

Winter Storm, Greene

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Greene forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.298, -78.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Between 1 and 2 inches of snow and sleet was reported in Standardsville, VA.

Winter Storm, Highland

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Highland forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Between 2 and 3 inches of snow and sleet and a quarter of an inch of ice was reported in Monterey, VA., by a trained spotter.

Winter Storm, King George

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
King George forecast zone
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
38.274, -77.156 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Washington Post reported nearly 4,500 power outages across King Georges County due to ice.

Winter Storm, Loudoun

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Loudoun forecast zone
Reported by
Newspaper

Between 3 and 5 inches of snow and sleet were reported across Loudoun County. Two tenths of an inch of ice was reported by an NWS Employee in Ashburn, VA.|

Winter Storm, Madison

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Madison forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
38.414, -78.279 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Locations surrounding Madison County reported between 2 and 4 inches of snow and sleet and between a quarter inch and a half inch of ice.

Winter Storm, Nelson

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Nelson forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.787, -78.887 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Trained Spotter reported a half inch of ice in Shipman, VA.

Winter Storm, Orange

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Orange forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.246, -78.013 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Trained Spotter reported 5 inches of snow and sleet in Somerset, VA.

Winter Storm, Page

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Page forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.620, -78.484 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained Spotters reported between 2 and 3 inches of snow and sleet in Page County. A Spotter in Luray, VA., reported 0.4 inches of ice.

Winter Storm, Prince William

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Prince William forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Trained Spotters reported between 1 and 3 inches of snow and sleet and between 3 and 5 tenths of an inch of ice in Prince William County.

Winter Storm, Rappahannock

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Rappahannock forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.685, -78.159 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Trained Spotter reported 3 inches of snow and sleet and quarter inch of ice in Castleton, VA.

Winter Storm, Rockingham

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Rockingham forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.481, -78.872 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained Spotters reported 1 to 2 inches of snow and sleet and half inch of ice in Rockingham County.

Winter Storm, Shenandoah

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Shenandoah forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.858, -78.571 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained Spotters reported 1 to 3 inches of snow and sleet in Shenandoah County.

Winter Storm, Spotsylvania

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Spotsylvania forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.244, -77.558 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained Spotters reported 1 to 2 inches of snow and sleet and a half inch of ice in Spotsylvania County.

Winter Storm, Stafford

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Stafford forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.421, -77.457 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Trained Spotter reported 2 inches of snow and sleet and a quarter inch of ice in Stafford, VA.

Winter Storm, Warren

When
February 12, 11:00 PM EST to February 14, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Warren forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.909, -78.207 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Trained Spotter reported 3 inches of snow and sleet in Front Royal, VA.

Strong Wind, Loudoun

When
February 14, 3:00 PM EST
Where
Loudoun forecast zone
Measured
30 kt (35 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper

The Washington Post reported that a 15 year old girl in Bluemont, VA., was killed when a strong wind gust sent portions of a large old tree fell. Wind gusts around the region ranged from 20 to 25 mph with gusts as high as 35 mph.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Strong Wind, Loudoun2007-02-1415FemaleOutside/Open AreasDirect

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, February 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 14972, 14973, 14974, 14975, 15661, 15662, 15663, 15664, 15665, 15666, 15667, 15668, 15669, 15670, 15671, 15672, 15673, 15674, 15675, 15676, 15677, 15678, 15679, 16426.