Winter Storm, Polk
- When
- February 12, 10:30 PM CST to February 13, 5:30 PM CST
- Where
- Polk forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 41.686, -93.573 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Low pressure formed over the Texas Panhandle during the afternoon of the 12th. This was one of the few systems that formed in the southern stream during this winter season.
Every event with a place to put it; 17 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS DMX wrote it up.
Low pressure formed over the Texas Panhandle during the afternoon of the 12th. This was one of the few systems that formed in the southern stream during this winter season. The low drew moisture north from the Gulf of Mexico overnight with dew points in the 40s and 50s feeding the system. A large cloud shield formed with Iowa located in the deformation zone of the storm. Snow broke out over the state during the late evening hours and picked up overnight. A strong feed of Arctic air fed into the system from the north. The drier air from the north, combined with strong convection to the south, resulted in a limitation of snowfall amounts. As the low moved east overnight it intensified over Arkansas, then continued moving northeast into eastern Kentucky by the afternoon of the 13th. The pressure gradient increased over the state with northeast to north winds of 20 to 25 mph, gusting to 35 mph, common over the state by the early morning hours of the 13th. The snow was quite dry and accumulated to 3 to 6 inches across much of the southeast half of the state. Heaviest snow was along the Missouri border with Centerville and Corydon both reporting about 6 inches of accumulation. The gusty winds produced considerable drifting of the snow and areas of blowing snow developed. Travel was not recommended over areas south of Interstate 80 and east of Interstate 35 by daybreak on the 13th. Car wrecks were numerous with some roads drifting shut. The combination of the fluffy snow, gusty winds, and temperatures falling into the teens resulted in a very hazardous situation.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 12, 9:15 PM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 915 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 .DISCUSSION... WILL CONTINUE CURRENT HEADLINES...THOUGH SOME INDICATION THAT DEF ZONE WILL JUST BRUSH ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND UP TO ABOUT INTERSTATE 80 WHICH WOULD LESSEN AMOUNTS NORTH OF THAT LINE. ALSO HAVE TO FACTOR IN PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW WHICH HAS RESULTED IN SLOWER ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...WINDS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS SO BLOWING SNOW SHOULD STILL BE A PROBLEM THROUGH 18Z WITH LIGHT SNOW CONTINUING THROUGH MORNING AS EXTENDED PERIOD OF LIFT REMAINS. FEEL THAT THE TALLY WILL BE CLOSER TO 4 TO 7 ACROSS THE WARNING AREA WITH THE HEAVIER TOTALS IN THE FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES./REV .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... FIRST S/WV HAS MOVED OUT OF THE STATE AND MAIN SYS IS NOW LIFTING OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. GOING FORECASTS HAVE THINGS PRETTY WELL IN HAND, HOWEVER THERE ARE A COUPLE AREAS OF CONCERN. ONE IS THE CONVECTION OVER THE S CNTRL STATES. THIS WILL CONSOLIDATE MOISTURE, CUTTING OFF SOME OF THE INFLOW INTO THE SYSTEM. THE SECOND CONCERN IS THE DRY SLOT THAT HAS BEEN PUSHING NEWD ACRS THE TX AND OK PNHDL AREA AT 35 TO 40 KTS. THIS WOULD PUSH THROUGH THE THE SERN CWA SOMETIME AROUND 09Z. STILL FEEL SCNDRY DEF ZONE WILL FORM AND THEREFORE WILL CONT WITH THE WARNING. THINKING ATTM IS THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES MAY FALL A LITTLE SHORT OF WARNING CRITERIA. SERN ZONES LOOK SOLID HOWEVER, ESPECIALLY SW OF A MONTEZUMA TO CORYDON LINE. MOST OF THE SNOW WILL FALL IN THE 04Z-12Z TIME FRAME ACROSS THE CWA. OVER THE REST OF THE STATE, WILL CONT THE ADVY AND FEEL BLSN WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM IN OPEN AREAS. GOOD GRAD WEST OF THE LOW WILL PRODUCE PLENTY OF BLSN LATER TNGT INTO TUE WITH ARCTIC AIR SPILLING INTO THE STATE. TEMPS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY FALL THRU TNGT INTO TUE. .LONG TERM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL IOWA WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM SYSTEM LATE TUESDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL PREVENT TEMPS FROM FALLING OFF THE CHART TUESDAY NIGHT BUT CLOUDS CLEAR ON WEDNESDAY AND THE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS TO OUR WEST KEEPING A NORTHERLY FLOW OVER CENTRAL IOWA. TEMPS SHOULD FALL INTO THE 5 TO 10 BELOW RANGE FOR THIS PERIOD. BY THURSDAY WE BEGIN TO GET INTO RETURN FLOW SO AFTER A COLD START TEMPS SHOULD REBOUND INTO THE TEENS AND 20S. BY FRIDAY STRONG WAA TAKES HOLD AHEAD OF ANOTHER SYSTEM PUSHING OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM DOES GET SOME UPPER SUPPORT FROM A SHORTWAVE SWINGING ACROSS DURING THE DAY. ECMWF AND GFS ARE ALL FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN PRODUCING SOME SNOW AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES. WE GET BACK INTO THE COOLER AIR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY BEFORE A REALLY STRONG SURGE OF WARM AIR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. I PLAYED TEMPS LOWER KEY FOR NOW GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF HOW MUCH SNOW WELL SEE AND WHERE BUT HIGH TEMPS TEMPS IN THE 30S AND 40S COULD BE A REALITY LATE IN THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WARNING CONTINUES THIS EVENING TO 12 PM CST TUESDAY FOR APPANOOSE-CLARKE-DAVIS-DECATUR-JASPER-LUCAS-MADISON-MAHASKA-MARION-MA RSHALL-MONROE-POLK-POWESHIEK-RINGGOLD-STORY-TAMA-UNION-WAPELLO-WARREN -WAYNE. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY CONTINUES THIS EVENING TO 12 PM CST TUESDAY FOR ADAIR-ADAMS-AUDUBON-BLACK HAWK-BOONE-BREMER-BUTLER-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CASS-CERRO GORDO-CRAWFORD-DALLAS-EMMET-FRANKLIN-GREENE-GRUNDY-GUTHRIE-HAMILTON-H ANCOCK-HARDIN-HUMBOLDT-KOSSUTH-PALO ALTO-POCAHONTAS-SAC-TAYLOR-WEBSTER-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-WRIGHT. && MS/FAB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...OUTDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 510 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-047-131145- EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO- POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN- WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-BOONE- 255 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL IOWA MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACCUMULATING SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW FALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS AROUND 20 TO 25 BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE ALWAYS APPRECIATED. IAZ048>050-059>062-072>075-082>086-093>097-131145- STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-MADISON-WARREN- MARION-MAHASKA-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-RINGGOLD-DECATUR- WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS- 255 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A MOUNT AYR TO AMES TO TAMA LINE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL BE MIXED WITH THE SNOW FROM U.S. HIGHWAY 34 SOUTH THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL DROP AT OR BELOW ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW FALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS AROUND 20 TO 25 BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE ALWAYS APPRECIATED. IAZ044>046-057-058-070-071-081-092-131145- CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-CASS-ADAIR-ADAMS-TAYLOR- 255 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL IOWA MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF A BEDFORD TO JEFFERSON LINE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SNOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED. SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL BE MIXED WITH THE SNOW EARLY THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACCUMULATING SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW FALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS AROUND 20 TO 25 BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE ALWAYS APPRECIATED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
17 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Iowa in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Iowa, February 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 7938, 7939, 7940, 7941, 7942, 7943, 7944, 7945, 7946, 7947, 7948, 7949, 7950, 7951, 7952, 7953, 7954.