A cluster of severe thunderstorms, some with supercell structures, developed over the southern Texas Panhandle during the late evening hours of the 16th. Some of these storms went on to produce damaging tornadoes in the south-central Texas Panhandle.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
A cluster of severe thunderstorms, some with supercell structures, developed over the southern Texas Panhandle during the late evening hours of the 16th. Some of these storms went on to produce damaging tornadoes in the south-central Texas Panhandle.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 16, 8:58 PM CST, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 958 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 .UPDATE... THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS AS JET ENERGY PUSHES INTO WEST TEXAS. ALREADY SEEING THE FIRST DEVELOPMENT ACROSS LAMB AND BAILEY COUNTIES. WILL BE INTERESTING TO SE HOW FAST CONVECTION INCREASES AS THE LIFT INTERACTS WITH THE DEEPER MOISTURE THAT IS POISED TO MOVE ONTO THE CAPROCK. PLENTY OF SHEAR WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM TO GET STORMS ROTATING SO WE DO ANTICIPATE A LARGE HAIL THREAT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THIS SYSTEM EJECTS TOMORROW. WIND ADVISORIES WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS AT LEAST THE NORTHWESTERN 8 COUNTIES ALONG WITH AN UPGRADE OF THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A WARNING. FOR NOW WE WILL UPDATE THE SPS TO INCREASE AWARENESS OF THE WIND AND FIRE POTENTIAL. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 50 77 44 72 38 / 20 10 0 0 0 TULIA 55 80 45 73 40 / 30 10 0 0 0 PLAINVIEW 56 81 46 75 41 / 40 10 0 0 0 LEVELLAND 55 81 47 75 40 / 30 10 0 0 0 LUBBOCK 58 82 48 77 42 / 40 10 0 0 0 BROWNFIELD 56 82 48 77 42 / 40 10 0 0 0 CHILDRESS 65 84 53 81 48 / 50 30 0 0 0 SPUR 60 84 52 79 46 / 50 30 0 0 0 ASPERMONT 63 85 55 82 49 / 50 30 10 0 0 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ021>025-027>031-033>035-039-040. && 18
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 332 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 TXZ021>044-172045- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 332 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT CONVECTIVE THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIATE OVER THE WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN PANHANDLE...MOST LIKELY DEVELOPING AROUND OR JUST AFTER SUNSET. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED INITIALLY...BUT WILL INCREASE AS THIS ACTIVITY PICKS UP IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...SPREADING EAST TO THE ROLLING PLAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TONIGHT WILL BE ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF LARGE HAIL...WITH THE BEST PROBABILITIES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 27/HIGHWAY 87 CORRIDOR AFTER MIDNIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL PRESENT A SECONDARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF TONIGHT/S STORM SYSTEM...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY. THESE WINDS...POSSIBLY SUSTAINED AS HIGH AS 25 TO 35 MPH OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS...WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. THEREFORE A RISK FOR WILDFIRES WILL EXIST...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL BE LOW THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... DUE TO THE LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AFTER DARK TONIGHT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS UNLIKELY. LOCAL OFFICIALS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN OVERNIGHT.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1013 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 TXZ021>036-039>042-170915- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-YOAKUM-TERRY- LYNN-GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART... TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS... MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...MORTON...LEVELLAND... LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...RALLS...PLAINS... DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL...POST 1013 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 ...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY... THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN ON WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN KANSAS. WEST WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH A FEW GUSTS APPROACHING 50 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS WHERE A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...PATCHY BLOWING DUST COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES ESPECIALLY ON THE CAPROCK. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE CAPROCK COUNTIES. THE COMBINATION OF VERY DRY AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE RAPID GROWTH AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES GIVEN IGNITION. THE WATCH MAY BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING. KW
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1037 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 TXZ021-022-170400- PARMER TX-CASTRO TX- 1037 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACROSS CASTRO AND PARMER COUNTIES... AT 1033 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PARMER NEAR LAZBUDDIE MOVING INTO WESTERN CASTRO COUNTY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THE STORMS WILL AFFECT DIMMITT...EASTER AND LAZBUDDIE. STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1130 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 TXZ022-170500- CASTRO TX- 1130 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACROSS CASTRO COUNTY... AT 1128 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CASTRO COUNTY...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF DIMMITT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 59 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 04:42 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A member of the Happy Fire Department reported quarter size hail immediately east of the city.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 62427.