A cold front moved through central Texas and caused thunderstorms and rain showers which produced isolated heavy rain and flash flooding in Lavaca county.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
A cold front moved through central Texas and caused thunderstorms and rain showers which produced isolated heavy rain and flash flooding in Lavaca county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 15, 10:32 PM CST, 3 hours 28 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1132 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007 .AVIATION... CIGS AROUND 7 HUNDRED FT TO NEAR 1 THSD FT ARE EXPECTED THRU 14Z. WDLY SCT SHRA AND TSRA WILL CONTINUE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF IH-35 THRU 09Z. PATCHY AREAS OF VSBYS 3 TO 5 MI IN FOG IS PSBL FROM 11Z TO 14Z ALONG AND EAST OF A KGTU TO KAUS TO KSAT TO KPEZ LINE. CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE TO CIGS 2 THSD TO 3 THSD BKN AFTER 15Z TO 4 THSD TO 8 THSD SCT AFTER 18Z. ISOLD SHRA ARE POSSIBLE FROM 17Z TO 23Z TUESDAY NEAR AND EAST OF A KAUS TO KPEZ LINE. NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME EAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS BY 15Z AND SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 KNOTS AFTER 18Z TUESDAY. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 819 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007/ DISCUSSION... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH TO NEAR TWO INCHES IS POSSIBLE BY MIDNIGHT ACROSS THIS AREA. A FEW SPRINKLES MAY DEVELOP ALONG I-35, BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE LOWER LEVELS IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOW PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP BY EARLY MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. RAIN-COOLING EFFECTS HAVE ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKER THAN EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. AS SUCH, HAVE MADE A FEW TWEAKS TO OVERNIGHT LOWS ACROSS THIS AREA. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON HAS HELD ON STRONG AND CONTINUES TO PROGRESS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 20 MPH, HAVING JUST TREKKED THROUGH SAN ANTONIO. THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS ALLOWED WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 TO I-37 CORRIDOR TO TURN NORTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 20. THESE BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE WINDS BECOME CALM OVERNIGHT. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO SKY AND HOURLY TEMP GRIDS TO BETTER COME IN LINE WITH CURRENT TRENDS. OTHERWISE, PREVIOUS FORECAST IS ON TRACK. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 713 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007/ AVIATION... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUDS AROUND 5 THSD TO 10 THSD FT ARE EXPECTED THRU 08Z. SCATTERED SHRA AND TSRA WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF A KGTU TO KPEZ LINE THRU 06Z. CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME CIGS NEAR 1 THSD FT OVERCAST FROM 08Z TO 11Z. PATCHY AREAS OF VSBYS 3 TO 5 MI IN FOG IS POSSIBLE FROM 11Z TO 13Z. CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE TO CIGS 3 THSD BKN AFTER 14Z TO 5 THSD TO 10 THSD SCT AFTER 17Z WITH ISOLATED SHRA. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007/ DISCUSSION... CONVECTION TRAINING NWD ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE FALLEN. STILL EXPECT SCATTERED REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS OVER THE EASTERN HILL COUNTRY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TX OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...NEAR A WEAK COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE WEST AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN THE NE. AIRMASS CONTINUES TO HEAT SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARIES WHICH WILL RESULT IN A STRONG THERMAL GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WILL KEEP BEST CHANCE POPS INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA DIMINISHING BY MIDNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF FOG OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA AS SKIES BRIEFLY CLEAR AND LOW LEVELS REMAIN MOIST. OTHERWISE WILL SEE DECREASING RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY WITH ONLY SLIGHT OR LOW CHANCES IN THE EASTERN HALF BY THE AFTERNOON. A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ALOFT BY WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF CONVECTION SKIRTING THE FAR NERN COUNTIES AS TROF TRACKS ACROSS N TX. A WARM DRY WESTERLY FLOW PREVAIL LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE DRY LINE TROF WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT FILLING IN BEHIND THAT. HOWEVER NOT MUCH COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THIS FRONT SO MOSTLY JUST DRIER WITH A LARGER DIURNAL TEMPERATURE VARIATION. MAX TEMPS THURSDAY WILL BE IN SERIOUS DANGER OF BEING BROKEN AS FORECAST HIGHS WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. NOT QUITE AS WARM OVER THE WEEKEND AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS BUT MAX TEMPS WILL STILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMALS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME NEXT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER TROF DRIVES EASTWARD TO OUR NORTH AND A COLD FRONT DROPS THRU S TX. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 67 87 70 89 71 / 30 10 10 10 10 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 65 88 69 90 68 / 30 20 10 10 10 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 66 89 73 90 65 / 20 10 10 10 0 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 66 88 71 89 71 / 30 10 10 10 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 25/08/JB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 930 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-161100- LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- 930 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND EAST OF A GEORGETOWN TO PEARSALL LINE TONIGHT BECOMING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TOWARD THE EARLY MORNING TUESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE EAST PART OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY. ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...ASSOCIATED WITH A LATE OCTOBER COOL FRONT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 122 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:58 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water Rescue on FM 530 6 miles north of Speaks. CoCoRAHs observer Hallettsville 13.4SE measured 11.00 of rain in 24 hours ending at 7 AM October 16, 2007. Most of the rain fell between 1 and 4 AM.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 63050.