North Carolina, 2007

Drought in North Carolina, June 12 to 30, 2007

June 12 to 30, 2007 · NWS RNK · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Significant rainfall deficits resulted in moderate drought (D2) conditions in Ashe and Watauga counties.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
$487,000
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.

Significant rainfall deficits resulted in moderate drought (D2) conditions in Ashe and Watauga counties.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 11, 11:15 PM EST, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 11:15 PM EST, 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1215 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW OFF OF THE NE COAST...WILL BE THE SOURCE OF SEVERAL
UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES THIS WEEK. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY WILL NOT MOVE EAST UNTIL LATE WEEK...KEEPING UNSETTLED
WEATHER IN PLACE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
SHOWERS HAVE DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...BUT MORE ISOLATED
ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT...AS SHORTWAVE MOVES SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. FOG HAD DEVELOPED ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE...AND IS
LOCALLY DENSE IN HLX. HAVE ADDED FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHSIDE
VA AS WELL...AS CLEARING SKIES AND MOIST GROUND SHOULD ALLOW FOR
FOG DEVELOPMENT.

BY MORNING SHORTWAVE WILL BE OVER OUR FAR SOUTHWESTERN CWA AND SOME
CONVECTION MAY GET GOING IN THAT AREA EARLY BUT SHUD SINK SOUTH.
THE SFC BNDRY WILL ALSO MOVE DOWN INTO THE CAROLINAS FOR TMRW.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DROP INTO NORTHERN VA DURING THE AFTERNOON
WITH TSTMS POSSIBLY SPREADING SOUTH INTO CENTRAL AND WESTERN VA
LATER IN THE DAY. RELATIVELY MODERATE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
WARMER AIR OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY UNDER THE BROAD UPR RIDGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE MODEL OF CHOICE...CONCERNING THE POTENT
SHRTWV DROPPING JUST TO OUR SOUTHWEST BY TUESDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH
NAM-WRF HAS SIMILAR TIMING AND STRENGTH...TYPICAL NAM DRY BIAS
WITH THIS SETUP APPEARS AGAIN. SOUPY AIRMASS IN PLACE...WITH NEAR
70F DEWPOINTS IN PLACE JUST TO OUR SOUTH...WITH SOME HEATING...AND
SLIGHT UPSLOPE COMPONENT SHOULD EQUATE TO A SHOWERY DAY ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CWA...ESPECIALLY WESTERN AND SW HIGHEST POINTS.
ALTHOUGH TSTORMS MAY DIE OFF WITH LOSS OF HEATING...SHOWERS SHOULD
STILL PERSIST IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. CORE OF COLDEST H5
TEMPS...-15C TO -18C...PASS OVER SW CWA...LOWERING FREEZING
HTS...ALLOWING AT LEAST SOME SMALL HAIL WITH STORMS THAT DO FIRE
LATER TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH NOT AS UNSTABLE ON WEDNESDAY...EXPECT MORE
OF THE SAME...SUNSHINE LEADING TO LATE MORNING CLOUDS ALONG WITH
SHWRS/TSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER CHUNK OF -15C H5 AIR MOVES SOUTH
ACROSS THE CWA ON THURSDAY...DRIER AIR IN THE MIDLEVELS MAY
PRECLUDE AS MUCH DEVELOPMENT...WITH SLT CHC POPS REMAINING IN THE
FORECAST. EXPECT DENSE FOG...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS...WED
MORNING WITH DIURNAL CLOUDS BREAKING UP A BIT AND LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN SIMILAR WED AND THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
EASTERN REX BLOCK ON FRIDAY BREAKS DOWN BY THIS WEEKEND
WITH IMPROVEMENT BY THE END OF THE LONG TERM...ALTHOUGH ECMWF AND
GFS DIFFERING ON STRENGTH OF UPPER RIDGE WHICH FINALLY MOVES EAST
INTO THE CWA. AGREE WITH HPC THAT ECMWF IS MOST LIKELY
SOLUTION...AS GFS SEEMS TOO STRONG WITH LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY H5
LOW...WHICH PREVENTS H5 RIDGE FROM BUILDING AS STRONG AS THE
ECMWF PREDICTS. THUS...EXPECT H85 TEMPS TO RUN AOA +20C ON SUNDAY
FORWARD. COLD FRONT WEAKENING AND SLIPPING OUT OF
PENNSYLVANIA...INTO THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE CWA
MAY BE ENOUGH TO SPARK OFF CONVECTION LATE SUNDAY...BUT POPS WERE
LEFT FOR NOW...AS AGAIN GFS MAY BE TOO AMPLIFIED WITH THE
BOUNDARYS SOUTHERN PROGRESS. WARMEST DAY OF THE FORECAST SHOULD
ARRIVE MONDAY...WITH ISOLATED STORMS ON THE BLUE RIDGE AND WEST...DEPENDING
ON THE STRENGTH OF THE CAP.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
OUTSIDE OF SCTD TSTMS THAT SHOULD TAPER OFF AFTER 01Z...EXPECT
OVERALL VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME MVFR FOG
LIKELY IN A FEW SPOTS EARLY IN THE MORNING AS WELL AS POCKETS OF
IFR ESPECIALLY WHERE EARLIER RAIN OCCURRED. FOG SHOULD QUICKLY
GIVE WAY TO CLEAR SKIES...THEN SCTD/BKN AFTERNOON CU TUESDAY ALONG
WITH WIDELY SCTD TSRA. HOWEVER SINCE COVERAGE IFFY IN ANY ONE
LOCATION HAVE LEFT MENTION OUT OF THE TAFS FOR NOW.

THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK ALTHOUGH COVERAGE OF
LATE DAY CONVECTION MAY INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A CHANGE TO
A MORE STABLE...MARITIME AIRMASS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KM
NEAR TERM...JH/WP
SHORT TERM...KM
LONG TERM...KM
AVIATION...JH/JS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 5:07 AM EST, 18 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
607 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-121015-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
607 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:14 PM EST, 5 hours 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
714 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             EAST BEND               36.22N 80.51W
06/11/2007  E0.88 INCH       YADKIN             NC   PUBLIC

            NICKEL HAIL REPORTED IN EAST BEND.

&&

JH
Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:31 PM EST, 5 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
731 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             LEXINGTON               37.78N 79.44W
06/11/2007  E0.88 INCH       CITY OF LEXINGTON  VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN LEXINGTON CITY.

0635 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE LEXINGTON          37.80N 79.42W
06/11/2007                   ROCKBRIDGE         VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 LARGE TREES DOWN OUTSIDE OF THE CITY OF LEXINGTON.

&&

JH
Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:38 PM EST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
738 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     HAIL             2 S LEXINGTON           37.75N 79.44W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       ROCKBRIDGE         VA   PUBLIC

            TRUCK DRIVER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON INTERSTATE 81.

&&

JH
Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:06 PM EST, 3 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
906 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             3 NE BURNT CHIMNEY      37.13N 79.79W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

WERT
Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:26 PM EST, 3 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
926 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     HAIL             CHECK                   37.05N 80.18W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       FLOYD              VA   PUBLIC

&&

RMG
Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:34 PM EST, 3 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
934 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             7 E CHARITY             36.82N 80.09W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       PATRICK            VA   PUBLIC

            HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

0210 PM     HAIL             BASSETT                 36.77N 79.98W
06/11/2007  E0.88 INCH       HENRY              VA   PUBLIC

            HAIL COVER GROUND

0235 PM     LIGHTNING        3 S CENTENARY           37.66N 78.52W
06/11/2007                   BUCKINGHAM         VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ONE INJURY FROM A LIGHTNING STRIKE.

0240 PM     HAIL             BUCKINGHAM              37.55N 78.55W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       BUCKINGHAM         VA   POST OFFICE

0329 PM     HAIL             BEDFORD CITY            37.34N 79.52W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       CITY OF BEDFORD    VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY HAIL IN BEDFORD CITY.

0336 PM     HAIL             YANCEYVILLE             36.41N 79.34W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       CASWELL            NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

0351 PM     HAIL             5 SE REIDSVILLE         36.30N 79.61W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       ROCKINGHAM         NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

0358 PM     HAIL             GOODE                   37.37N 79.38W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       BEDFORD            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0402 PM     HAIL             FOREST                  37.37N 79.28W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       BEDFORD            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0415 PM     HAIL             W LYNCHBURG CITY        37.42N 79.15W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       CITY OF LYNCHBURG  VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0416 PM     HAIL             FOREST                  37.37N 79.28W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       BEDFORD            VA   PUBLIC

            INTERSECTION ROUTE 811 AND 221

0419 PM     HAIL             CHECK                   37.05N 80.18W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       FLOYD              VA   PUBLIC

0422 PM     HAIL             CONCORD                 37.35N 78.98W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       CAMPBELL           VA   PUBLIC

0428 PM     HAIL             CONCORD                 37.35N 78.98W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       CAMPBELL           VA   PUBLIC

0433 PM     HAIL             N LYNCHBURG AIRPORT     37.33N 79.20W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       CAMPBELL           VA   PUBLIC

0435 PM     HAIL             LYNCHBURG CITY          37.42N 79.15W
06/11/2007  E0.88 INCH       CITY OF LYNCHBURG  VA   PUBLIC

0438 PM     HAIL             LYNCHBURG AIRPORT       37.33N 79.20W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       CAMPBELL           VA   PUBLIC

0445 PM     HAIL             1 S ENNICE              36.54N 81.00W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       ALLEGHANY          NC   PUBLIC

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CULLEN                  37.12N 78.65W
06/11/2007                   CHARLOTTE          VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN

0510 PM     HAIL             WALNUT COVE             36.29N 80.14W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       STOKES             NC   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL ALONG HIGHWAY 89 NEAR WALNUT COVE.

0635 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE LEXINGTON          37.80N 79.42W
06/11/2007                   ROCKBRIDGE         VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 LARGE TREES DOWN OUTSIDE OF THE CITY OF LEXINGTON.

0635 PM     HAIL             LEXINGTON               37.78N 79.44W
06/11/2007  E0.88 INCH       CITY OF LEXINGTON  VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN LEXINGTON CITY.

0700 PM     HAIL             EAST BEND               36.22N 80.51W
06/11/2007  E0.88 INCH       YADKIN             NC   PUBLIC

            NICKEL HAIL REPORTED IN EAST BEND.

0718 PM     HAIL             2 S LEXINGTON           37.75N 79.44W
06/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       ROCKBRIDGE         VA   PUBLIC

            TRUCK DRIVER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON INTERSTATE 81.

0840 PM     HAIL             3 NE BURNT CHIMNEY      37.13N 79.79W
06/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

RMG

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Ashe

When
June 12, 12:00 AM EST to June 30, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Ashe forecast zone
Crop damage
$67,000
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
36.434, -81.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A moderate drought, which began on June 12th, and continued through the end of the month, resulted in losses in hay and pasture as well as to Christmas tree farmers.

Drought, Watauga

When
June 12, 12:00 AM EST to June 30, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Watauga forecast zone
Crop damage
$420,000
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
36.231, -81.696 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A moderate drought, which began on June 12th and lasted through the end of the month, resulted in signficiant losses to hay and to Christmas tree farmers. Ten to twenty percent of all Christmas trees planted in Watauga County were lost.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, June 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 45178, 45180.