New Jersey, 2007

Wildfire in New Jersey, May 15 to 21, 2007

May 15 to 21, 2007 · NWS PHI · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A large forest fire consumed 15,550 acres of forest in Stafford and Barnegat Townships. About twenty-four square miles of forest was destroyed.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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  • Wind
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  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
2
Property damage
$500,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.

A large forest fire consumed 15,550 acres of forest in Stafford and Barnegat Townships. About twenty-four square miles of forest was destroyed. The fire also destroyed five homes and significantly damaged fifty other homes. Two New Jersey Forestry Service personnel were injured battling the blaze. At the height of the blaze, about 6,000 people from about 2,500 homes were evacuated from the two townships. The fire started about 215 p.m. EDT on the 15th. It spread rapidly because of the strong southwest winds and the unseasonably dry weather that had occurred during the first half of May. The peak wind gust from the Atlantic City International Airport in Atlantic County on the 15th was 32 mph. The wildfire was believed to have been caused by a self-defense flare discharged by an F-16 Falcon Fighter from the New Jersey Air National Guard 117th fighter wing. The aircrafts were involved in self-defense exercises over the Warren Grove Training Facilities with two A10 Thunderbolt II ground support jets from the Pennsylvania Air National Guard. In all about 600 firefighters from as far away as Sussex and Cumberland Counties in New Jersey along with seven aircraft helped battle the blaze. This was the largest wildfire in New Jersey since April of 1995 when about 20,000 acres burned again in southern Ocean County.

Evacuations started at about 4 p.m. EDT on the 15th. In Stafford Township, evacuations occurred from the Atlantic Hills, Fawn Lake, Ocean Breeze and Ocean Acres development west of Breakers Drive. This was the first time that a forest fire caused an evacuation of all or part of that large development. They were permitted to return on the 17th. Three convalescent homes were evacuated: Manahawkin, Somerville Assisted Living and Southern Ocean Nursing and Rehabilitation. Three active adult communities were also evacuated: Pheasant Run, Horizons and Heritage Point. They were permitted to return early on the 16th, but had to be evacuated again later that day as the gust front from the approaching thunderstorms brought west winds to the fire zone. They were permitted to return home on the 17th. In Barnegat Township, the fast moving fire did most of its structural damage and forced the evacuation until the 17th of the Brighton at Barnegat and Pinewood Estates Mobile Homes as well as the Scrubby Pines Campground. The five homes that were destroyed were located in the two former developments. The evacuees were sent to the Russell O. Brackman School and the Barnegat High School in Barnegat and the Southern Regional High School in Stafford.

The wildfire rapidly jumped over Ocean County Route 539 and New Jersey State Route 72 on its way northeast into Barnegat Township. Both roadways were closed. A section of Ocean County Route 554 was also closed in Barnegat Township. The Garden State Parkway on the 15th had three exits closed. There was a 25 mile back-up on the southbound side. On the 16th because of the thick smoke it became necessary to close the parkway between mile markers 58 and 72. Southbound U.S. Route 9 was backed up as far north as Lacey Township.

The fire was about thirty-three percent contained at Noon EDT on the 16th as gusty southwest winds continued to cause problems. Flames reached as high as 150 feet in the air. The gust front (west winds) that preceded the thunderstorms during the early evening of the 16th started pushing the fire toward the Garden State Parkway. But, the half an inch of rain that fell from the thunderstorms helped the fire to be about seventy percent contained on the night of the 16th. The fire reached about ninety to ninety-five percent containment on the afternoon of the 18th as another gentle soaking rain fell. The fire was declared fully contained on the 21st and was also about ninety percent under control. In addition to damage to homes and injuries to fire fighters, many deer were killed and many turtles that took refuge on roadways were run over.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 15, 9:30 AM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 15, 9:30 AM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1030 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE, CENTERED OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST EARLY THIS
MORNING, WILL DRIFT OUT TO SEA.  MEANWHILE, A COLD FRONT EXTENDED
SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  THE FRONT
WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AND IT SHOULD REACH OUR REGION LATE ON
WEDNESDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WERE OVER OUR REGION THIS MORNING.
THE CLOUDS WERE SPILLING DOWN FROM THE CONVECTION UP IN THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THE CLOUDS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST
AS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. AS A RESULT, WEVE
CARRIED A MOSTLY SUNNY/SUNNY FORECAST FOR TODAY.

ONCE THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO MIX, WIND SPEEDS WILL PICK UP INTO THE
15 TO 25 MPH RANGE, SO WEVE INCLUDED THE WORD BREEZY FOR TODAY.

IN LIGHT OF THE FACT THAT TEMPS MADE IT WELL INTO THE 80S IN THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY ON MONDAY, THE SOURCE REGION FOR
TODAYS AIR OVER OUR FORECAST AREA, WEVE GONE ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR
TODAYS HIGHS. RAOBS AND H8 TEMPERATURES ALSO SUPPORT WARMER TEMPS.
SO...WEVE CARRIED MID 80S EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND AT
THE SHORE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FOR THIS EVENING, SOME CLOUDS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SHOWER MAY
BRUSH ACROSS THE POCONOS AND EXTREME NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.
OTHERWISE, IT LOOKS LIKE A FAIR AND MILD NIGHT THROUGHOUT OUR
FORECAST AREA.  THE WIND IS NOT EXPECTED TO DECOUPLE, SO WE SHOULD
MAINTAIN A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR AS THOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND IT SHOULD MOVE OFF THE
COAST ON WEDNESDAY EVENING.  WEVE RAISED OUR POPS INTO THE LIKELY
CATEGORY FOR THE PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT.  WEVE FOCUSED
THE TIMING OF THE PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO THE NORTH AND
WEST OF PHILADELPHIA, AND ON THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN.

IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE FRONT AND THE PRECIP WILL PUSH FAR ENOUGH OFF
THE COAST ON THURSDAY TO ALLOW US TO LOWER THE POPS FROM CHANCE TO
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THAT PERIOD OF TIME.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE 00 UTC GFS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT AND
MOVING UP INTO MAINE AND EASTERN CANADA FOR THE WEEKEND.  MEANWHILE,
HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD INTO OUR REGION FROM THE WEST.  THE
OVERALL SCENARIO IS NOT MUCH DIFFERENT FROM THE PREVIOUS GUIDANCE.
AS A RESULT, WE HAVE NOT MADE MUCH CHANGE TO THE LONG TERM PORTION
OF THE FORECAST.

BASED ON THE EXPECTED LACK OF INSTABILITY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY, WE DID REMOVE THE MENTION OF TSTMS FROM THOSE TIME PERIODS.
WE LEFT IN THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS JUST IN CASE THE LOW DRIFTS BACK
TOWARD THE COAST A LITTLE MORE THAN THE MOST RECENT GUIDANCE IS
SUGGESTING.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD WITH HIGH
PRESSURE IN CONTROL OF THE WX.  SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS
WILL WORK THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AS WAA INCREASES ALOFT.  AT THE
SURFACE, SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY AND GUSTY.

LOOKING BEYOND THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD, A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY, BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN,
POSSIBLY SOME THUNDER AND SOME AVIATION CONCERNS ALONG WITH IT.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND SCA FLAGS ARE
ALREADY FLYING.  WILL EXTEND THE SCA THRU 00Z THURSDAY WITH THE
ISSUANCE OF THE MORNING PACKAGE.  LATEST WAVEWATCH INDICATES SCA MAY
NEED TO BE EXTENDED FURTHER INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, BUT MIGHT BE HELD
TO THE WEST AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ON THE AFOREMENTIONED
BOUNDARY.  MORE HEADLINES MIGHT BE NEEDED LATER IN THE WEEK IF THE
WAVE COMES TO FRUITION.  THE GFS INDICATES A WAVE WHILE THE WRF DOES
NOT, SO ITLL HAVE TO BE WATCHED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WHILE THE WIND AND FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL MEET RED FLAG WARNING
CRITERIA TODAY, THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LIKELY BE JUST
ABOVE THE 30 PERCENT CRITERIA.  AS A RESULT, WEVE OPTED NOT TO
ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING.  HOWEVER, IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
WE WILL MENTION THAT THERE IS AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FOR THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE WSR-88D AT FORT DIX, NEW JERSEY /KDIX/ WILL REMAIN OUT OF
SERVICE TODAY AS WE AWAIT A REPLACEMENT PART.  THE REPLACEMENT PART
IS SLATED TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE DAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
         ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...IOVINO
NEAR TERM...KRUZDLO/IOVINO
SHORT TERM...IOVINO
LONG TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION/MARINE...NIERENBERG
FIRE WEATHER/EQUIPMENT...IOVINO
Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 7:03 AM EST, 6 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
803 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-161215-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
803 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...EASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON.  WITH A SOUTHWEST
WIND AT 15 TO 25 MPH AND TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 80S,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 30 TO 40
PERCENT RANGE.  IF ANY BRUSH OR WILDFIRES IGNITE THIS AFTERNOON THEY
MAY BE SPREAD QUICKLY BY THE SOUTHWEST WIND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY THAT SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-452>455-161215-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
803 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY THAT SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-451-161215-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
803 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
THAT SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Western Ocean

When
May 15, 1:15 PM EST to May 21, 5:00 PM EST
Where
Western Ocean forecast zone
Injuries
2 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
39.866, -74.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A large forest fire consumed 15,550 acres of forest in Stafford and Barnegat Townships. About twenty-four square miles of forest was destroyed. The fire also destroyed five homes and significantly damaged fifty other homes. Two New Jersey Forestry Service personnel were injured battling the blaze. At the height of the blaze, about 6,000 people from about 2,500 homes were evacuated from the two townships. The fire started about 215 p.m. EDT on the 15th. It spread rapidly because of the strong southwest winds and the unseasonably dry weather that had occurred during the first half of May. The peak wind gust from the Atlantic City International Airport in Atlantic County on the 15th was 32 mph. The wildfire was believed to have been caused by a self-defense flare discharged by an F-16 Falcon Fighter from the New Jersey Air National Guard 117th fighter wing. The aircrafts were involved in self-defense exercises over the Warren Grove Training Facilities with two A10 Thunderbolt II ground support jets from the Pennsylvania Air National Guard. In all about 600 firefighters from as far away as Sussex and Cumberland Counties in New Jersey along with seven aircraft helped battle the blaze. This was the largest wildfire in New Jersey since April of 1995 when about 20,000 acres burned again in southern Ocean County.

Evacuations started at about 4 p.m. EDT on the 15th. In Stafford Township, evacuations occurred from the Atlantic Hills, Fawn Lake, Ocean Breeze and Ocean Acres development west of Breakers Drive. This was the first time that a forest fire caused an evacuation of all or part of that large development. They were permitted to return on the 17th. Three convalescent homes were evacuated: Manahawkin, Somerville Assisted Living and Southern Ocean Nursing and Rehabilitation. Three active adult communities were also evacuated: Pheasant Run, Horizons and Heritage Point. They were permitted to return early on the 16th, but had to be evacuated again later that day as the gust front from the approaching thunderstorms brought west winds to the fire zone. They were permitted to return home on the 17th. In Barnegat Township, the fast moving fire did most of its structural damage and forced the evacuation until the 17th of the Brighton at Barnegat and Pinewood Estates Mobile Homes as well as the Scrubby Pines Campground. The five homes that were destroyed were located in the two former developments. The evacuees were sent to the Russell O. Brackman School and the Barnegat High School in Barnegat and the Southern Regional High School in Stafford.

The wildfire rapidly jumped over Ocean County Route 539 and New Jersey State Route 72 on its way northeast into Barnegat Township. Both roadways were closed. A section of Ocean County Route 554 was also closed in Barnegat Township. The Garden State Parkway on the 15th had three exits closed. There was a 25 mile back-up on the southbound side. On the 16th because of the thick smoke it became necessary to close the parkway between mile markers 58 and 72. Southbound U.S. Route 9 was backed up as far north as Lacey Township.

The fire was about thirty-three percent contained at Noon EDT on the 16th as gusty southwest winds continued to cause problems. Flames reached as high as 150 feet in the air. The gust front (west winds) that preceded the thunderstorms during the early evening of the 16th started pushing the fire toward the Garden State Parkway. But, the half an inch of rain that fell from the thunderstorms helped the fire to be about seventy percent contained on the night of the 16th. The fire reached about ninety to ninety-five percent containment on the afternoon of the 18th as another gentle soaking rain fell. The fire was declared fully contained on the 21st and was also about ninety percent under control. In addition to damage to homes and injuries to fire fighters, many deer were killed and many turtles that took refuge on roadways were run over.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Jersey in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, May 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 21499.