Missouri, 2007

Flooding in Missouri, October 15 to 17, 2007

October 15 to 17, 2007 · NWS EAX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Heavy rains caused minor to moderate flooding at two locations,|on October 15th through the 17th.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.

Heavy rains caused minor to moderate flooding at two locations,|on October 15th through the 17th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 15, 3:25 AM CST, 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 3:25 AM CST, 36 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 14, 12:05 PM CST, 15 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
105 PM CDT SUN OCT 14 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-151100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
105 PM CDT SUN OCT 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS WILL REMAIN FREE FROM
ANYTHING OTHER THAN ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WHAT
STORMS MAY DEVELOP WILL NOT BE SEVERE...BUT COULD HAVE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

LATE TONIGHT...AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL
MOVE ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS INTO MISSOURI...AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY AND
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVE INTO THE REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE LACK OF INSTABILITY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT
HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS FROM
THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS AND CENTRAL MISSOURI. AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SEVERAL
INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS WILL BE MOST AT RISK FOR
FLOODING PROBLEMS OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE SURFACE FRONT WILL FINISH SWEEPING EAST ACROSS THE REST OF
MISSOURI MONDAY. WHILE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
STORMS...THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IS IN QUESTION. THIS MAKES THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER VERY CONDITIONAL BEHIND THE FRONT. PERSONS
ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER OUTLOOKS FOR UPDATES.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM...SEVERE WEATHER
MAY BE A POSSIBILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT MIGHT BE
NEEDED FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON.

CUTTER

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Atchison

When
October 15, 4:01 AM CST to October 16, 8:51 AM CST
Where
Atchison County, 2.63 mi S of Tarkio to 4.44 mi NNW of Fairfax Steele Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
40.393, -95.371

The Tarkio River near Fairfax crested at 23.26 feet, or 6.26 feet above flood stage.

Flood, Buchanan

When
October 15, 1:43 PM CST to October 17, 2:30 AM CST
Where
Buchanan County, 1.49 mi W of St Joseph to 2.36 mi NW of (Stj)st Joseph Mem A
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
39.773, -94.878

The Missouri River at Saint Joseph crested at 19.79 feet, or 2.79 feet above flood stage.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, October 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 68240, 68242.