Excessive rainfall caused an isolated area of flash flooding in Miller County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
Excessive rainfall caused an isolated area of flash flooding in Miller County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 27, 11:25 AM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1225 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007 .UPDATE... WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR AT THIS HOUR. HOWEVER...NUMEROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM PREVIOUS DAYS CONVECTION EXIST ACROSS THE AREA. CONVECTION DEVELOPING AT THIS HOUR IN WHAT WAS A CLEAR SLOT EARLIER THIS MORNING. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY SPREAD WESTWARD WITH THE AFTERNOON HEATING. && .AVIATION... FOR THE 18Z TAFS...LIGHT RAIN HAS PERSISTED IN AND AROUND THE KJLN TERMINAL THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO INITIATE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. A COMBINATION OF A MOIST UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS TRAVERSING THE AREA WILL ALLOW SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO AROUND SUNSET. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE VICINITY OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. GAEDE && PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... //245 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007// MORE OF THE SAME THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. EXPECTING AFTERNOON CONVECTION WITH MAIN HAZARDS BEING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO SOME FLASH FLOODING. COULD BE SOME ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS WAS THE CASE YESTERDAY. BUT ALL IN ALL...MORE BENEFICIAL RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY. CURRENTLY...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI THIS MORNING CREATING SOME CONVECTION OVER THAT PART OF THE STATE. REMNANTS OF MCV CONTINUE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. STILL SEEING SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS MORNING...NOTHING TOO SERIOUS THOUGH AT THIS TIME WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES GENERALLY UNDER A QUARTER OF AN INCH. FOR TODAY...DECENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE THROUGH THE DAY SHOULD AID IN INCREASING POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA TODAY. ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI WHERE THIS AREA MAY BE MORE INFLUENCED BY THE COLD FRONT AS IT SLOWLY MOVES A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH. HAVE RAISED POPS TO 70-80% RANGE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FOR THIS AFTERNOON TO REFLECT THIS THINKING. COULD SEE SOME PIECES OF ENERGY COME ROTATING OFF THE EAST OKLAHOMA MCV AS WELL...SO WOULD THINK OUR WESTERN ZONES WOULD HAVE INCREASED CHANCES FOR RAIN OUT THAT WAY. GFS BEING VERY BULLISH ON QPF TOTALS THIS AFTERNOON WITH 6 HOUR QPF TOTALS NEAR A HALF INCH OUT WEST. CONTINUED WEAK UPPER FLOW SEEN ON MODEL SOUNDINGS WITH PWATS RIGHT AROUND 1.5 INCHES. SO STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND EFFICIENT PRECIP PRODUCERS ONCE AGAIN. MORE OF THE SAME AS GENERAL PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED. EXPECTING AFTERNOON CONVECTION THROUGH TUESDAY AS SOUTHEASTERN U.S. RIDGE HOLDS FIRM. THIS WILL KEEP US IN MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. GFS STILL TRYING TO BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. NOT READY TO JUMP ON ANYTHING YET...SINCE THE GFS HAS SLOWED SOME OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF RUNS. GCC && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. WFO SGF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 105 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281815- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 105 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DISCUSSION: AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS THAT ARE MOVING SLOWLY OR TRAINING OVER A PARTICULAR LOCATION. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THESE GUST SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STORM THAT IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...BUT THIS WOULD BE ISOLATED AT BEST. FINALLY...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS LIKELY...THEREFORE AREA INTERESTS THAT HAVE WEEKEND OUTDOOR PLANS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE BOTH MEMORIAL DAY AND TUESDAY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AS A MOIST UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS OVER THE REGION. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO EASTERN KANSAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE...BUT TIMING AND AREAS AFFECTED REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) WISE/CLAYCOMB
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 124 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:58 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Excessive rainfall caused the Mill and Wolf creeks near Brumley to flood into low lying areas.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 31243.