An isolated severe weather event occurred in the Mississippi River delta. The storm occurred in a deep southwest flow ahead of a broad upper level trough over the southern Plains.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
An isolated severe weather event occurred in the Mississippi River delta. The storm occurred in a deep southwest flow ahead of a broad upper level trough over the southern Plains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 27, 1:45 AM CST, 11 hours 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 245 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007 .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION WILL OCCUR THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST WILL ESSENTIALLY BE ONE OF PERSISTENCE THROUGH THIS PERIOD. MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL REMAIN INTACT. SCATTERED...MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL OCCUR DAILY ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. BASED ON PATTERN OF THE LAST FEW DAYS...THUNDER SHOULD BE LIMITED MOSTLY TO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. MOS POP GUIDANCE KEEPS ONLY HOP BELOW 20 PERCENT ALL THREE DAYS. ELSEWHERE...POPS ARE MOSTLY IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. THIS LOOKS REASONABLE BASED ON THE STAGNANT NATURE OF THE RIDGE AND WHAT HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. NAM QPF STILL LOOKS VERY INACCURATE...AND IT DOES NOT SEEM TO AGREE WITH ITS OWN MOS POPS. PERSISTENCE WILL WORK WELL FOR TEMPS AS WELL...WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE MID 80S EACH DAY AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A MAJOR 500 MB PATTERN CHANGE WILL OCCUR DURING THE LONG TERM. THE SOUTHEASTERN RIDGE WILL BE REPLACED WITH AN EASTERN U.S. TROUGH. THE PERIOD OF TRANSITION WILL OCCUR FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE GFS SHOWS VERY GOOD CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS RUNS...DEEPENING A 500 MB TROUGH OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. ECMWF IS IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS...THROUGH THURSDAY ANYWAY. BEYOND THURSDAY...THE ECMWF APPEARS TO OVERDEVELOP A CLOSED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AT THE EXPENSE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO HOLD THE POTENTIAL FOR RATHER WIDESPREAD CONVECTION...AT LEAST COMPARED TO WHAT WE HAVE SEEN THE PAST COUPLE WEEKS. GIVEN RATHER STRONG DYNAMICS...THE OTHERWISE UNIMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS AND INSTABILITY COULD YIELD SOME INTENSE CONVECTION. TEMPS WILL CHANGE LITTLE DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT LATE IN THE WEEK. MAIN EFFECT SHOULD BE LOWER HUMIDITY. LONGER RANGE GFS OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAMMERS AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A PRONOUNCED EASTERN TROUGH/WESTERN RIDGE PATTERN. && .AVIATION... SOME HZ...POSSIBLY MVFR AT TIMES POSSIBLE. OFF AND ON HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED WITH DIURNAL ENHANCED CU LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LIMITED TSRA CHANCE AT THE TAF SITES. BETTER CHANCES AT KCGI AND KEVV CLOSER TO A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...SHOULD BECOME SSW...AT OR BELOW 10 KTS TODAY...AND RETURN TO LIGHT TONIGHT. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && PUBLIC...MY AVIATION...CN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 433 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-280945- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 433 AM CDT SUN MAY 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALMOST DAILY...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO RIVER THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WHEN A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. WHILE THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE STRONGER AND MORE NUMEROUS...THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. MY
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:18 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
At Highway H and County Road 524, several trees were down across roads. Trees ranged in diameter from 6 to 18 inches. Six to eight houses had minor wind damage to their roofs, mainly shingles blown off. There was siding and fence damage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 26154.