Lake Michigan, 2007Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Lake Michigan, August 12, 2007
August 12, 2007 · NWS MKX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Leftover clusters of strong storms pushed out over Lake Michigan and generated strong wind gusts.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Leftover clusters of strong storms pushed out over Lake Michigan and generated strong wind gusts.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 11, 2:04 PM CST, 11 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 11, 2:04 PM CST, 11 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
304 PM CDT SAT AUG 11 2007
.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON CONVECTION POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT
AND POTENTIAL OF WEATHER SYSTEM FOR MONDAY NIGHT.
.SHORT TERM...NGM/RUC/GFS/NAM/WRF PROGS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH BULK
OF OVERNIGHT CONVECTION EXPECTED TO PASS JUST NORTH OF CWA. MOST
PARAMETERS INCLUDING NOSE OF LOW LEVEL JET...BETTER DEFINED SHORT
WAVE AND HIGH PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES PROGGED TO COME TOGETHER
JUST NORTH OF CWA. HOWEVER CONVECTION TRYING TO FIRE UP OVER IOWA
IN AREA OF DECENT INSTABILITY JUST AHEAD OF FRONTAL SYSTEM DESPITE
700 MILLIBAR CAPPING TEMPERATURES AROUND +11C. THERE IS MORE
CONCERN THAT MIDDLE LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL COLLAPSE BELOW 10C
AFTER 00Z AS INDICATED BY NAM/GFS/NGM PROGS AND WILL ALLOW
CONVECTION TO EITHER DEVELOP SOUTHWARD FROM NORTHERN WISCONSIN OR
CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST FROM NORTHERN IOWA DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THIS SCENARIO IS DEPICTED QUITE WELL BY WRF CONVECTION LOOP. SO
WILL KEEP CHANCY CONVECTION IN FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AS
PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES HOVER ONLY BETWEEN 1 AND 1.25.
.LONG TERM...PROGS AGREE THAT CENTER OF 500 MILLIBAR UPPER HIGH
OVER SOUTHERN U.S. RETROGRADES WESTWARD SLOWLY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...EFFECTIVELY SHARPENING NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS OVER CWA. THIS DRIVES A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS
GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THEN GFS/NAM PROGS DEPICT A
FAIRLY STRONG SHORT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE SYSTEM TO FORM IN
STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN OVER MINNESOTA MONDAY AND SWEEP
ACROSS THE CWA MONDAY NIGHT. HAVE BOOSTED RAIN CHANCES MAINLY LATE
MONDAY NIGHT FOR ALL OF CWA AS SYSTEM POOLS DECENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG FRONT WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 2.25 INCHES.
PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES RUNNING BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5.
.LONG LONG TERM...CWA REMAINS IN VICINITY OF GOOD UPPER FLOW. THIS
WILL INSURE RAPID PASSAGE OF WEATHER SYSTEMS FOR REMAINDER OF WEEK
WITH TIMING OF RAIN PRODUCING SYSTEMS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN.
&&
.AVIATION...IMMEDIATE AVIATION CONCERN IS CONVECTION ACRS CNTRL
WI/SE MN AND NRN IA. THE STRONGEST STORM IN CNTRL WI HAS DEVIATED
RIGHT OF ITS EASTWARD TREK SO WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS CLOSELY. NO
SHORTAGE OF MOIST/UNSTABLE INFLOW INTO THIS STORM. OVERALL A WEAK
FRONTAL BNDRY BRINGS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO SRN WI TONIGHT
WITH LCL MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS IN THUNDERSTORMS. WILL GO WITH PROB 30
FOR ROUGHLY 05-12Z TIME FRAME. BL WINDS AND CLOUDS SHOULD KEEP FOG
FROM BECOMING A PROBLEM...EXPECTING ONLY RESTRICTIONS OF NOTE WITHIN
TSTMS.
&&
.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
ZAJDEL/10
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 11, 7:00 PM CST, 6 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
800 PM CDT SAT AUG 11 2007
WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-121100-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
800 PM CDT SAT AUG 11 2007
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD
FRONT CROSSING THE REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS
NORTH OF A LINE STRETCHING FROM MILWAUKEE TO WHITEWATER TO
DARLINGTON.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS MONDAY NIGHT. THERE
IS A ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
LMZ643>646-665-121100-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN ADJACENT OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TO MID LAKE-
800 PM CDT SAT AUG 11 2007
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD
FRONT CROSSING THE REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF MILWAUKEE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
WINDS TURNING SHARPLY TO THE NORTH BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS SUNDAY WILL BUILD WAVES CLOSE TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS MONDAY NIGHT. THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY.
DAVIS
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 12, 12:28 AM CST, 42 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Aug 12, 12:47 AM CST, 23 minutes before
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</html>Marine Thunderstorm Wind, North Pt Lt to Wind Pt Wi
- When
- August 12, 1:10 AM CST
- Where
- North Pt Lt to Wind Pt Wi forecast zone, Milwaukee Harbor
- Measured
- 35 kt (40 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 43.030, -87.970
Thunderstorm wind gusts to 35 knots (40 mph) were measured near the Milwaukee Harbor.
Marine Thunderstorm Wind, Wind Pt Lt Wi to Winthrop Hbr Il
- When
- August 12, 1:30 AM CST
- Where
- Wind Pt Lt Wi to Winthrop Hbr Il forecast zone, Kenosha
- Measured
- 40 kt (46 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 42.580, -87.830
Thunderstorm wind gusts to 40 knots (46 mph) were measured near the Kenosha Harbor.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Excessive Heat in Texas, August 12 to 13, 20071 death · 20 injured · 3 events
- Wildfire in Hawaii, August 12 to 19, 2007$1.0 million · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Iowa, August 12, 2007$93,000 · 62 kt wind · 15 events
- Damaging Winds in Missouri, August 12 to 13, 20071 injured · 60 kt wind · 40 events
- Damaging Winds in Illinois, August 12, 2007$45,000 · 60 kt wind · 7 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Michigan, August 12, 2007$51,000 · 54 kt wind · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Nebraska, August 12, 2007$12,000 · 65 kt wind · 28 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Missouri, August 12, 2007$4,000 · 61 kt wind · 21 events
- Damaging Winds and Heavy Rain in Iowa, August 12, 200755 kt wind · 11 events
- Excessive Heat in Missouri, August 12 to 16, 20077 events
- Drought in North Carolina, August 12 to 31, 20076 events
- Damaging Winds in Illinois, August 12 to 13, 200752 kt wind · 6 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 56044, 56045.