Increasing east to southeast winds ahead of a low pressure area over the Gulf of Mexico which eventually became Tropical Storm Barry caused favorable conditions for rip currents along Atlantic beaches on May 31st. One person drowned in Delray Beach.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
Increasing east to southeast winds ahead of a low pressure area over the Gulf of Mexico which eventually became Tropical Storm Barry caused favorable conditions for rip currents along Atlantic beaches on May 31st. One person drowned in Delray Beach.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 1:49 PM EST, 4 hours 41 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
249 PM EDT THU MAY 31 2007
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
THROUGH FRIDAY...AS THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO. THE MODELS THEN SPLIT IN THE PATH OF THE LOW THIS
WEEKEND...DUE TO THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE NAM MODEL
TAKES THE LOW TO THE PANHANDLE...THE CMC AND THE ECMWF MODELS TAKE
THE LOW THROUGH NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE GFS AND THE NOGAPS TAKE
THE LOW JUST NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE THIS WEEKEND.
SO HAVE TAKEN A COMPROMISE PATH BETWEEN ALL OF THE MODEL AND TAKE
THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLY THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS LATE THIS WEEKEND.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO WORK INTO THE AREA
STARTING FRIDAY AND LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY. SO HAVE INCREASE THE
POPS TO DEFINITE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING TEMPS TO CHANCE CAT BY SUNDAY.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE
BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AREAS POSSIBILITY OF SEEING 3
INCHES OR HIGHER ACROSS THE AREA.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE REFER TO THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
ONCE THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST OF THE SUNSHINE
STATE...DRY WEATHER SHOULD WORK INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST ON THE
SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW OVER THE CWA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE SOUTHWEST
WIND FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA MIDDLE TO
END OF NEXT WEEK...AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAHAMA
ISLANDS MOVES NORTH. SO WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF POPS IN THE
FORECAST FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THEN INCREASE THE POPS TO
CHANCE CAT AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE AN EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT.
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS MAY ALSO OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
MAINLY ALONG THE EAST COAST. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY STAY DRY THROUGH
THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT.
BEYOND TONIGHT THE FORECAST BECOMES MORE PROBLEMATIC WITH THE
DISTURBANCE IN THE CARIBBEAN AND ASSOCIATED TROPICAL MOISTURE. RAIN
WILL LIKELY BE SPREADING INTO THE CWA ON FRIDAY MORNING, BUT AT THIS
TIME LEFT THE TERMINALS AT P6SM WITH -RA.
&&
.MARINE...
THE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE BEEN 15 TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE EAST
OVER THE CWA WATERS. THE WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT
BEFORE INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS
THEY SWING TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. THE WINDS WILL THEN SLOWLY
DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 KNOTS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THEY SWING
TO A SOUTHWEST DIRECTION.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE SEAS IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS TO INCREASE
FROM 6 FEET TONIGHT UP TO 8 FEET FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE
ATLANTIC SEAS WILL THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 6 FEET OR LESS BY LATE
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FOR THE GULF SIDE...THE SEAS
WILL BE 6 FEET TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.THE GULF SEAS WILL THEN FALL BELOW 6 FEET
BY LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SO WILL PUT UP A SCA FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES
DUE TO THE HIGH MOISTURE WORKING INTO SOUTH FLORIDA FRIDAY INTO
THIS WEEKEND. SO NO PROBLEM WITH THE FIRE WEATHER.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 75 81 75 85 / 40 80 90 70
FORT LAUDERDALE 77 81 76 86 / 50 90 90 70
MIAMI 75 82 75 86 / 50 90 90 70
NAPLES 70 84 74 85 / 50 90 90 70
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EDT SATURDAY
FOR FLZ168-FLZ172-FLZ173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EDT SATURDAY
FOR AMZ610-AMZ630-AMZ650-AMZ651-AMZ670-AMZ671.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EDT SATURDAY
FOR GMZ656-GMZ657-GMZ676.
&&
LONG TERM...54/BNB
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...04/ATHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 938 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2007 FLZ063-066>075-010145- GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN- WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD- BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN- MAINLAND MONROE- 938 AM EDT THU MAY 31 2007 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES TODAY... ...MINOR BEACH EROSION POSSIBLE ALONG EAST COAST... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RIP CURRENTS: EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES. STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY. AS A RESULT, SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED AT THESE BEACHES. GIVEN THE PERSISTENCE OF THE STRONG WINDS MINOR BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY PARTICULARLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE WHICH IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EASTERLY WIND FLOW AND THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS NORTH ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA FRIDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALSO... DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF DEEP MOISTURE MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE REGION... LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED ROADWAYS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A 31-year-old Michigan man drowned while trying to help a friend who had been caught in a rip current. The drowning occurred at the public beach near Ocean and Atlantic Avenues in Delray Beach, after lifeguards had gone home for the day.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Coastal Palm Beach County | 2007-05-31 | 31 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 36291.