An intense North Pacific low moved across the Aleutians into the Bering Sea September 10th. This produced the typically strong wind in the Eastern Aleutians.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.
An intense North Pacific low moved across the Aleutians into the Bering Sea September 10th. This produced the typically strong wind in the Eastern Aleutians.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 9, 11:00 PM AKST, 2 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT MON SEP 10 2007
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
LARGE STACKED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING HAS GAINED STRENGTH AS THE
REMNANTS OF TYPHOON FITOW HAS BEEN ENVELOPED INTO THE PREVIOUS LOW.
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS IS BEING PUSHED EAST
WITH A STRONG SOUTHERLY UPPER LEVEL JET AHEAD OF IT SUPPORTING STORM
FORCE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. COLD ADVECTION ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THIS LOW IS PROVIDING THE WESTERN BERING AND WESTERN
ALEUTIANS WITH STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS. OUT EAST...THE REMNANT COLD
FRONT IS NOW OVER FAR EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN AND EXITING QUICKLY
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS FOLLOWING BEHIND. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM THE FRONT OVERNIGHT OVER THE VALDEZ AND CORDOVA AREAS WILL ALLOW
THE FLOOD ADVISORY TO CONTINUE UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING FOR NOW.
VALDEZ HAS NOW BROKE DAILY RAINFALL RECORDS FOR THE LAST TWO
DAYS...RECEIVING A LITTLE OVER 5.5 INCHES IN TOWN OVER THE LAST 48
HOURS. A RIDGE FROM THE GULF IS PUSHING NORTH INLAND OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND SUSITNA VALLEY CLEARING SKIES AS IT TRAVELS EAST.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
FOLLOWED THE GFS MODEL FOR GUIDANCE WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE AS IT
REMAINS TO SUSTAIN GOOD PERSISTENCE AS WELL WITH BEING IN AGREEMENT
WITH UKMET AND ECMWF MODELS. NAM IS AND HAS BEEN THE OUTLIER WITH THE
POSITION OF THE BERING LOW.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS/SOUTHWEST ALASKA...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS STRONG WINDS ABOVE ARE ALIGNED
AND MIXING DOWN TO ENHANCE THE SURFACE WINDS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA BEGINNING TONIGHT AND SPREAD EAST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY INCREASING WINDS AND PROVIDING MORE RAINFALL. THE
LOW WILL START MIGRATING NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT TOWARDS THE BERING
STRAIT TO ALLOW THE VERY WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS OF THE PAST WEEK TO
IMPROVE.
SOUTHCENTRAL...AS SKIES HAVE CLEARED AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS IN
PLACE FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...AREAS OF FOG HAVE DEVELOPED EARLY THIS
MORNING ALONG COOK INLET. CLEARING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING SPREADING EAST AS THE RIDGE MOVES THROUGH. THEREFORE EXPECT
MORE AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP TONIGHT WITH RADIATIONAL COOLING AS MORE
AREAS CLEAR. THE FRONT FROM OUT WEST WILL MAKE ITS WAY EAST AND REACH
KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY MORNING AND SPREAD OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH THE RIDGE HOLDING ON ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...GAP WINDS LIKE THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM WILL AGAIN INCREASE
TUESDAY AND REMAIN STRONG UNTIL AT LEAST WEDNESDAY MORNING.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN LOOKS TO FLATTEN AND MOVE THE RIDGE EAST AND
BRING THE TROUGH TOWARD THE MAINLAND THROUGH THE WEEK...ALLOWING
SYSTEMS TO MAKE IT FURTHER EAST AND CONTINUE WITH RAINY AND SHOWERY
CONDITIONS. RIDGING WOULD BUILD IN BEHIND THE TROUGH TO GIVE THE
BERING SEA A BREAK.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 185
...FLOOD ADVISORY 131
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY 155
MARINE...STORM 170 179
...GALE 130 150 155 160 165 171 172 176 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE
LR SEP 071 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Dutch Harbor Harbor Master estimated wind gusts near 80 mph.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 49729.