A hurricane Force Low moved into the Western Gulf on 10/30. This system caused a series of strong fronts moving onto the Gulf Coast 10/30 and 10/31, with a secondary 987 MB Low developing and moving into the Northern Panhandle early Wednesday morning 10/31.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.
A hurricane Force Low moved into the Western Gulf on 10/30. This system caused a series of strong fronts moving onto the Gulf Coast 10/30 and 10/31, with a secondary 987 MB Low developing and moving into the Northern Panhandle early Wednesday morning 10/31.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 12:30 AM AKST, 30 minutes earlier.
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION 630 AM ADT WED OCT 31 2007 .SYNOPSIS... .SHORT RANGE...A WAVE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT MOVED THROUGH THE PANHANDLE YESTERDAY HAS DEVELOPED INTO A 992 MB CLOSED LOW AND IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL INNER CHANNELS AND TRACKING NORTH. THIS FEATURE RESULTED IN EXTENSIONS TO THE WIND ADVISORIES FOR ZONES 26...27...AND 28 AS WELL AS THE ADDITION OF A WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONE 29. ADVISORIES FOR ZONES 27 THROUGH 29 ARE EXPECTED TO EXPIRE AT 9 AM. THE GENERAL TREND FOR WINDS TODAY WILL SEE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE BECOME GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTH AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA AND THE YUKON. SOUTH OF FREDERICK SOUND...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH AROUND MID MORNING. SATELLITE IMAGERY IS REVEALING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES BETWEEN -40 AND -50 DEGREES F. GFS AND NAM ARE BOTH INDICATING SOME SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HAVE THEREFORE INCLUDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE COASTAL MARINE ZONES...THE OUTER COAST...AND A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE INTO TONIGHT. A SHORT WAVE WILL TRACK OVER THE OUTER COAST LATE IN THE DAY TODAY. THIS FEATURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND EXTENDS INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF. THIS FEATURE WILL KEEP THE PANHANDLE UNDER SHOWERS TODAY AND TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT WEATHER FRONT. BY THIS AFTERNOON...A 978 MB GALE FORCE LOW WILL BE LOCATED NEAR 160W SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND TRACKING NORTHEAST. WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUDED FRONT WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE IN THE OFFSHORE MARINE ZONE BY THE END OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS NEXT LOW PLEASE SEE THE EXTENDED RANGE DISCUSSION BELOW. .LONG RANGE...MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT AND FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUN. USED A BLEND OF 00Z NAM40 AND ECMWF FOR DAY 3 THEN BLENDED 00Z GFS AND MOS WITH OFFICIAL GRIDS FOR DAYS 4 THROUGH 8. 978 MB LOW MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF THURSDAY AND ONSHORE THE KENAI PENINSULA FRIDAY EVENING, THE ASSOCIATED OCCLUSION MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. EXPECT WIDESPREAD GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND MAX SMCR TO GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE INNER CHANNELS THURSDAY EVENING. WILL LIKELY NEED ANOTHER ROUND OF WIND ADVISORIES WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED IN ZONES. AGAIN RAINFALL WILL BE MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SOUTHERN AND COASTAL. BEHIND THIS LOW... A FAST WEST WIND SETS UP ACROSS THE GULF ON FRIDAY AS PARENT LOW MOVES INTO ALASKA INTERIOR. THE PERSISTENT W-SW WINDS WILL KEEP A LARGE SWELL IN THE GULF WITH SEAS HOLDING OVER 20 FEET INTO FRIDAY. THICKNESS VALUES DROP OFF INTO THE LOWER 520S BUT WITH LONG FETCH OVER WATER WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NORTH. A WAVE ALONG THE TRAILING FRONT PASSES SOUTH OF THE CHARLOTTE ISLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THINK IT WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO KEEP THE STRONGEST WINDS SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA BUT DO EXPECT TO SEE PRECIPITATION REACH THE SOUTHERN ZONES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT HYDER COULD GO TO SNOW DURING THIS TIME AS THICKNESS DROPS TO 525 WITH AN OFFSHORE WIND LATE FRIDAY NIGHT BUT WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION. A RESIDUAL LOW AND TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF DIGS SE THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AS A 1030+ MB HIGH BUILDS INTO THE GULF SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA SUNDAY. INITIALLY...SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE TOP OF RIDGE FOR CONTINUED CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS. ONCE TROUGH DROPS SOUTH WINDS WILL TURN OFFSHORE AND DO EXPECT A BRIEF DRYING TREND FROM THE NW PANHANDLE SATURDAY NIGHT TO SE PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. WILL GO MOSTLY TO PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THIS TIME WITH A COOLER AIR MASS SPILLING INTO THE AREA. A WETTER PATTER RETURNS BY MID WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE TILTS TO SE AND ALLOWS LONG FETCH SW FLOW BACK INTO THE PANHANDLE. .AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY AKZ027>029 MARINE...GALES PKZ041-036 SCA PKZ012>013-021>022-031-033>035-042>043-051>052 FCF/MM
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The NWS CO-OP Observer in Craig Alaska estimated wind gusts over 70 MPH and a peak wind of 80 MPH between 0100 and 0330 AKST 10/31.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 59515.